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Assessment of CO outflow during TRACE-P period Calculate CO distribution during TRACE-P period using University of Maryland CTM driven by fields from GEOS DAS (5 simulations) Base: 2.0° x 2.5° grid / Monthly bb and Annual ff/bf (Kiley et al. based on Streets/Yevich/Logan) Bbb: 2.0° x 2.5° grid / Daily bb and Monthly ff/bf (Woo/Streets/Kiley) SGbb: “0.5 ° x 0.5°” / Daily bb and monthly ff/bf Boh: 2.0° x 2.5° grid / Monthly bb and Annual ff/bf / modified Spivakovsky OH (Russell Martin) BnC: 2.0° x 2.5° grid / Monthly bb and Annual ff/bf/ no deep convection Compare with aircraft and MOPITT data. Optimize ff/bf and bb sources (minimizing RMS diffs between aircraft- and MOPITT-CO measurements. Evaluate resulting distributions. Study in progress
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Assessment of CO outflow during TRACE-P period

Jan 13, 2016

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Assessment of CO outflow during TRACE-P period. Calculate CO distribution during TRACE-P period using University of Maryland CTM driven by fields from GEOS DAS (5 simulations) Base: 2.0 ° x 2.5 ° grid / Monthly bb and Annual ff/bf (Kiley et al. based on Streets/Yevich/Logan) - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Page 1: Assessment of CO outflow during TRACE-P period

Assessment of CO outflow during TRACE-P period

• Calculate CO distribution during TRACE-P period using University of Maryland CTM• driven by fields from GEOS DAS (5 simulations)

• Base: 2.0° x 2.5° grid / Monthly bb and Annual ff/bf (Kiley et al. based on Streets/Yevich/Logan)

• Bbb: 2.0° x 2.5° grid / Daily bb and Monthly ff/bf (Woo/Streets/Kiley) • SGbb: “0.5 ° x 0.5°” / Daily bb and monthly ff/bf• Boh: 2.0° x 2.5° grid / Monthly bb and Annual ff/bf / modified Spivakovsky OH

(Russell Martin) • BnC: 2.0° x 2.5° grid / Monthly bb and Annual ff/bf/ no deep convection

• Compare with aircraft and MOPITT data. Optimize ff/bf and bb sources (minimizing RMS diffs between aircraft- and MOPITT-CO measurements. Evaluate resulting distributions.

• Study in progress

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A-priori and a-posteriori correlation coefficients based on comparison of model output with 5-minute merge CO data

from DC-8 Flights 7-17

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0.9Bnc0Base0Boh0Bbb0SGbb0Bnc1Base1Boh1Bbb1SGbb1

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Mid-Atlantic Air quality modeling efforts at the University of Maryland

Principals:

Director: Russ Dickerson

CMAQ modeling: Jeff Stehr and Dale Allen

MM5: Da-Lin Zhang and Weizhong Zheng

SMOKE: Sheryl Ehrman and Yu-Jin Choi

GEOS-CHEM interface: Dale Allen and collaborators (planned)

Aircraft measurements: Bruce Doddridge, Lackson Marufu, and Brett Taubman

Funding: Maryland DOE, Maryland DNR, NARSTO-NE, MANE-VU, NE-OPS

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Purpose

• Scientifically-motivated and policy-driven simulations of Mid-Atlantic air quality

• Past: Simulations of 1997 air quality with CMAQ driven by MM5. Default IC/BC

• Future: Simulations of 2002 (MDE’s choice) air quality with CMAQ driven by MM5. IC/BC from O3 chemistry/PM version of GEOS-CHEM

• Met fields for past and future simulations driven by MM5. “UMD”-MM5 includes PBL scheme (Zhang & Zheng) with an improved treatment of vertical mixing within very stable boundary layers.

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CMAQ Options and Modules

• SMOKE Emissions, 1996 NET Inventory

• CB-4 Chemistry with MEBI Solver; AERO3 Aerosol Module

• No Plume-in-Grid

• July 5- July 21, 1997

• Horizontal grid: 12 km grid nested within 36 km grid

• Vertical grid: 24 MM5 layers collapsed to 16 CMAQ layers: Lowest 11 layers (3 km) unchanged

• Cloud: radm2

• June 2002 Release

• Sun Ultra-2

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Ozone Violations, July 12-17, 1997

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

Ozo

ne (

ppbv

)

Aldino Harford

Clifton Baltimore City

Davidsonville Anne Arundel

Edgew ood Harford

Essex Baltimore

Fairhill Cecil

Ft. Meade Anne Arundel

Greenbelt Prince George's

Millington Kent

Padonia Baltimore

S. Maryland Charles

Suitland Prince George's

185

125

138

174

132

152

DailyMaxima

Monitors

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UMd Research AircraftUMd Research AircraftGPS Position (°Lat, °Long)

Meteorology (T, RH, Pr, Palt)

Carbon Monoxide (CO)

Ozone (O3)

Sulfur Dioxide (SO2)

Aerosol Optical Properties:

Absorption, Bap (565 nm)

Scattering, Bscat (450,550,700 nm)

Particle Counts (CPC: TSI 3007)

Aerosol Particle Size (MetOne)

6 cuts: range 0.3–1.0μm

Aerosol Chemistry (PIXE Streaker)*Aircraft operated by: University Research FoundationUniversity Research Foundation

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Bay Bridge

Fallston

GaithersburgHolbrook

Greene County

Gettysburg

1997 Flights

AM Flight

PM Flight

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Ozone Profile7/13/97 6:29 EST Gettysburg, PA

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Ozone (ppbv)

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itu

de

(m

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L) Observed

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X

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SW

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SE

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Ozone Profile7/13/97 12:15 EST Greene County, PA

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Ozone (ppbv)

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Observations

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Ozone Profile7/13/97 15:08 EST Fallston, MD

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Ozone (ppbv)

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Acknowledgements

• CMAQ modeling: Jeff Stehr and Russ Dickerson

• Aircraft measurements: Bruce Doddridge, Lackson Marufu, and Brett Taubman

• MM5: Da-Lin Zhang and Weizhong Zheng

• SMOKE: Yu-Jin Choi and Sheryl Ehrman

• TRACE-P modeling: Kenneth Pickering, J. H. Woo, and Randall Martin

• Support: NASA Grants NASA.NAG59672 and NASA.NAG511246; Maryland DOEnvironment, Maryland DNR, NARSTO-NE, MANE-VU, NE-OPS