1 UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance Conference May 9, 2007 UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance Conference Mary Lehmann, Vice President and Treasurer May 9, 2007
Sep 13, 2014
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance Conference
Mary Lehmann, Vice President and Treasurer
May 9, 2007
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Forward-Looking StatementsThis presentation contains statements relating to future results of the company (including certain projections and business trends) that are “forward-looking statements” as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are typically identified by words or phrases such as “believe,” “expect,”“anticipate,” “estimate,” “should,” “are likely to be,” “will” and similar expressions. Actual results may differ materially from those projected as a result of certain risks and uncertainties, including but not limited to global economic and market cycles and conditions; the demand for commercial, specialty and light vehicles for which the company supplies products; risks inherent in operating abroad (including foreign currency exchange rates and potential disruption of production and supply due to terrorist attacks or acts of aggression); availability and cost of raw materials, including steel; OEM program delays; demand for and market acceptance of new and existing products; successful development of new products; reliance on major OEM customers; labor relations of the company, its suppliers and customers, including potential disruptions in supply of parts to our facilities or demand for our products due to work stoppages; the financial condition of the company’s suppliers and customers, including potential bankruptcies; possible adverse effects of any future suspension of normal trade credit terms by our suppliers; potential difficulties competing with companies that have avoided their existing contracts in bankruptcy and reorganization proceedings; successful integration of acquired or merged businesses; the ability to achieve the expected annual savings and synergies from past and future business combinations and the ability to achieve the expected benefits of restructuring actions; success and timing of potential divestitures; potential impairment of long-lived assets, including goodwill; competitive product and pricing pressures; the amount of the company’s debt; the ability of the company to continue to comply with covenants in its financing agreements; the ability of the company to access capital markets; credit ratings of the company’s debt; the outcome of existing and any future legal proceedings, including any litigation with respect to environmental or asbestos-related matters; rising costs of pension and other post-retirement benefits and possible changes in pension and other accounting rules; as well as other risks and uncertainties, including but not limited to those detailed herein and from time to time in other filings of the company with the SEC. These forward-looking statements are made only as of the date hereof, and the company undertakes no obligation to update or revise the forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as otherwise required by law.
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Highlights• FY 2007 EPS guidance before special items of $0.70 to
$0.80
• Optimistic about 2008-2009 commercial vehicle volumes
• Light Vehicle Systems margins on improving trend
• Performance Plus profit improvement plan will add $150 million to EBITDA by 2009 with restructuring and cost reductions alone• Incremental opportunity from growth initiatives
• Sale of Emissions Technologies unit on track to close this quarter
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Status of Emissions Technologies Sale• Transaction is on track to close this quarter
• Received anti-trust approvals from all jurisdictions
• All major elements of the deal are as reported on February 2
• Proceeds to be used to improve balance sheet and fund restructuring and growth initiatives
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Second Quarter Income Statement from Continuing Operations – Before Special Items(1)
(in millions, except per share amounts) Three Months Ended March 31,Better/(Worse)
$ %Sales $ 1,627) $ 1,629) $ (2) 0%Cost of Sales (1,490) (1,477) (13) -1%GROSS MARGIN 137) 152) (15) -10%
SG&A (99) (89) (10) -11%OPERATING INCOME 38) 63) (25) -40%
Equity in Earnings of Affiliates 7) 7) -) 0%Interest Expense, Net and Other (28) (35) 7) 20%
INCOME BEFORE INCOME TAXES 17) 35) (18) -51%Provision for Income Taxes (2) (7) 5) 71%Minority Interests (3) (4) 1) 25%
INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS $ 12) $ 24) $ (12) -50%
DILUTED EARNINGS PER SHAREContinuing Operations $ 0.17) $ 0.34) $ (0.17) -50%
2007 2006
(1) See Appendix – “Non-GAAP Financial Information”
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
(1) See Appendix – “Non-GAAP Financial Information”(2) Adjusted to reflect the impact of reduced volumes in our Brussels operation
(in millions) Quarter Ended March 31,Better/(Worse)
$ %EBITDA
Light Vehicle Systems $ 30) $ 16) $ 14) 88%Commercial Vehicle System 59) 88) (29) -33%
Segment EBITDA 89) 104) (15) -14%Unallocated Corporate Costs (1) -) (1) -100%ET Corporate Allocations (11) (6) (5) -83%
Total EBITDA $ 77) $ 98) $ (21) -21%
EBITDA MarginsLight Vehicle Systems (2) 5.2% 2.8% 2.4 ptsCommercial Vehicle System 5.5% 8.3% -2.8 pts
Segment EBITDA Margins 5.4% 6.4% -1.0 ptsTotal EBITDA Margins 4.7% 6.0% -1.3 pts
2007 2006
Segment EBITDA Before Special Items(1)
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
(1) See Appendix – “Non-GAAP Financial Information”(2) Excluding gains or losses on divestitures, restructuring costs, and other special items
EBITDA Margin (2)
Other Volume 1.5Other Improvements 0.4
2.8 %
1.6(1.1)
2.4%
5.2%
Fiscal Q2 2006
Cost Reductions Net of PricingNorth America Volume
Net Improvement
Fiscal Q2 2007
LVS EBITDA Margin Improvement Showcases Improving Operational Excellence(1)Fiscal Q2 2007 Compared to Fiscal Q2 2006
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
RevenueCOGSET Specific SG&A
38
Corporate Costs (18)
Continuing Operations
Discontinued Operations
EBITDA 20
RevenueCOGSET Specific SG&A
38
Corporate Costs (18)
EBITDA (18)
1H Before Divestiture
EBITDA 38EBITDA 0
Discontinuation of Emissions Technologies
x
1H After DivestitureIn millions; excludes asset impairment
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Free Cash Flow(1)Quarter Ended
March 31,
2007 2006
Income (Loss) from Continuing Operations $ (13) $ 32
Net Spending (D&A less Capital Expenditures) 6 9Pension and Retiree Medical Net of Contributions (63) 12Performance Working Capital (2) (7) (56)Off Balance Sheet Securitization and Factoring 17 5Restructuring, Disc. Ops. and Other (11) (67)
Free Cash Flow $ (71) $ (65)
(1) See Appendix – “Non-GAAP Financial Information”(2) Change in payables less changes in receivables, inventory and customer tooling
In millions
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
61%59%
56%
63%
55%
51%
57%54%
56%
2003 2004 2005 2006 Mar. 31
$561$469
$659
$265
$409
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
$299
$948
$696
$368
$93
2003 2004 2005 2006 Mar. 31
$1,629
$1,338 $1,368
$1,007$872
2003 2004 2005 2006 Mar. 31
Debt-to-capitalization ratio
Unfunded pension liability(millions)
Term debt due within 5 years(millions)
Net debt(millions)
Market value
Book value
Balance Sheet Is a Competitive Strength(1)
8-3/4% due March 2012
Projected status at 9/30/07
(1) See Appendix – “Non-GAAP Financial Information”
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Global Pension Plan Funded Status
2006 Year-End Underfunded Status $ (409)
Discount Rate (-50 bps in U.S and Canada) (85)UK Elective Contribution (1) 40Other Plan Year Activity (2) 124Plan Freeze 30ET Divestiture 35
Estimated 2007 Underfunded Status $ (265)
In millions
(1) $10 million pull-ahead and $30 million incremental 2007 contributions applied to significantly reduce underfunding levy over next six years
(2) Includes other plan contributions and asset returns net of interest and service cost
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Fiscal Year 2007 Outlook Continuing Operations Before Special Items
FY 2007Full Year Outlook (1)
Sales $ 6,000 $ 6,200
EBITDA 275 295
Interest Expense (95) (105)
Effective Tax Rate 8% 12%Income from Continuing Operations $ 50 $ 57
Diluted Earnings Per Share 0.70 0.80
Free Cash Flow 50 100
(in millions except tax rate and EPS)
(1) Excluding gains or losses on divestitures, restructuring costs, and other special items
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
(1) Excluding gains or losses on divestitures, restructuring costs, and other special items
Sales (millions)
Weaker North America Truck Market (50) – (75) (0.10) – (0.15)
Lower Achievement of NA Offsets (25) – (50) (0.05) – (0.10)
Stronger European Truck Volumes 125 – 175 0.10 – 0.15
Unrecovered Commodity Cost Increases (0.05)Lower EU Productivity & Volume Penalties (0.15) – (0.20)
$5,900 – $6,100
$6,000 – $6,200
Estimated EPS (1)
Previous Guidance $1.00 – $1.10
Updated FY 2007 Guidance Range $0.70 – $0.80
FY 2007 Outlook vs. Prior Continuing Operations Before Special Items
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Improvement Factors
CY -48% +47% +20%
FY -35% +12% +25%
Performance Plus Cost Initiatives (YOY) Baseline +$75
million+$75
million
Performance Plus Growth Initiatives Baseline +$TBD +$TBD
Profitability Profitable EBITDA +50%
EBITDA +30%
Cash Flow Positive Improved Improved
North America Class 8 Demand
2007 2008 2009
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Factors Affecting 2008-2009 Upturn
(1) Global Insight April 2007 (2) MacKay & Co.
Tonnage Trends Improving4.9
3.43.7
2.62.1
'05 '06 '07 '08 '09
Industrial Production(1)
Housing Starts(1)
Light Vehicle Sales(1)
1.9 1.62.1
1.51.5
'05 '06 '07 '08 '09
16.416.5
17.3 16.8
16.4
'05 '06 '07 '08 '09
3.3 3.23.3
2.62.3
'05 '06 '07 '08 '09
Real GDP Growth(1)
FleetAge(2)
Operating Cost of 2005 Truck
7.7
8.07.9 8.0
7.9
'05 '06 '07 '08 '09
'05 '06 '07 '08 '09
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Performance Plus
Steering Committee
Operational ExcellenceCost Improvements
Commercial ExcellenceRevenue Enhancement
Materials Mfg. OverheadProduct
Strategy & Growth
Aftermarket
C. Reinhardt C. Reinhardt J. Craig P. Martens P. Martens &
M. Lehmann J. Craig
ER&D
Corporate Officers
Talent ExcellenceSponsor: R. Ostrov
App
roac
hFo
unda
tion
Program OfficeSponsors: J. Craig and J. Donlon
Sponsors
Goa
l
Top Quartile Financial Performance Among Peer Companies
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Performance Plus Profit Improvements
REVENUEElements
COST Elements
~$50-$150
~$350-$450
~$400-$600
Run rate by 2009 in millions
Reduce 8%-10%$5 Billion Base
Grow $1.2 Billion7-13% Margins
(Addressable Costs)
Improvement
Base
$200-300
NetRisk
$150
TBD TBD
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Performance Plus High-Confidence Improvement –Adjusted for Emissions Technologies
2006 2007 2008 2009
$365 $275-$295 $335-$380 $385-$445
$365 $275-$295 $410-$455 $535-$595
Updated Baseline
High-Confidence Cost Savings
Total
Growth Actions TBD TBD
EBITDA Before Special Items
75 150
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Restructuring is a Subset ofPerformance Plus
Calendarization of Restructuring Expenses and Benefits(millions) 2007 2008 2009 Total
$115 $100
$80
$75-$80
$100
$325
$280
$25-$30 $130-$140
$65
$50
$5
Restructuring Expense
Restructuring Cash
Cumulative Annual Run-Rate Benefits by 2011
OverheadIn millions
Lever/Sub-Team 2009 EBITDATarget
Non-Manufacturing $35-$40
10-20
45-50
Indirect Materials
Activity/Process Labor
Total $90-$100
Manufacturing OptimizationIn millions
Lever/Sub-Team 2009 EBITDATarget
Restructuring $35-$40
25-30Lean
Total $60-$70
Engineering Research & DevelopmentIn millions
Lever/Sub-Team 2009 EBITDATarget
Efficiency TBD
Consolidation TBD
TBDPortfolio Rationalization/Optimization
Total $TBD
Net of transitioncosts, but not
restructuring costs
Net of transitioncosts, but not
restructuring costs
Run Rate$45-$55
APortion
APortion
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Performance Plus Restructuring
(millions except plants) North America Europe
$170 $155
$125
4
$50 - 55
$155
9
$80 - 85
Total
Restructuring Expense $325
Restructuring Cash $280
Number of Plants Affected 13
Cumulative Annual Run-Rate Benefits by 2012 $130 - $140
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Calendarization of Expenses and Benefits
(millions) 2007 2008 2009 Total
$115 $100
$80
$75-$80
$100
$325
$280
$25-$30 $130-$140
$65
$50
$5
Restructuring Expense
Restructuring Cash
Cumulative Annual Run-Rate Benefits by 2011
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Personnel Reductions Include Manufacturing and White Collar Workers
High-Cost SitesPositions Eliminated (2,400) (400) (2,800)
Positions Added 900 900
Net (1,500) (400) (1,900)
Low-Cost Sites
Positions Added 800 TBD TBD
Manufacturing White Collar Total
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Detailed Cost Reduction Targets
Cost Reductions (millions) 2008 2009
Overhead $ 65
100
Manufacturing (20) 65
Risk (70) (215)
$ 100
Materials 200
High Confidence Net of Risk $ 75 $ 150
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Overhead
Lever / Sub-Team Opportunities2009 EBITDA
Target
Non-Manufacturing- Travel and Entertainment- Reduction in Energy Consumption- Temp Labor- Supplier Consolidation- Re-bid Contracts- Demand Management- Commonization (SKU Reduction)- Outsourcing
Activity / Process Labor
- Outsourcing- Foot Print Rationalization 45 – 50
Total $90 - $110
$35 – $40
Indirect Materials 10 – 20
In millions
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Material OptimizationIn millions
Lever / Sub-Team Opportunities 2009 EBITDA
Target
Design Optimization
- Material / process standardization- Design improvements for lower cost- Key tools: competitive teardowns and
supplier conferences
LCCC Sourcing
- Leverage spend across regions and product lines to gain scale
- Invest time and resources to develop world-class suppliers
55 – 60
Clean-Sheet Negotiations
- Understand detailed supplier cost structure and “should-be” costs
- Take a total cost approach- Transparent and stable relationships with suppliers to jointly eliminate waste
40 – 45
Freight - Reduce freight rates across all modes- Reduce frequency, costly modes, expedites 25 – 30
Total $190 – $210
$70 – $75
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Manufacturing Optimization
Lever / Sub-Team Opportunities2009 EBITDA
Target
Restructuring - Optimize manufacturing footprint
- Improve productivity through consistent implementation of lean manufacturing principles
Total $60 - $70
$35 – $40
Lean 25 – 30
In millions
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Progress to Revenue Improvement Target
$400
$1,000
$0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200
BeingImplemented
IdentifiedInitiatives
TargetRevenue growth in millions by 2010
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Product Strategy & Growth:$1 Billion Identified Growth Initiatives• LVS New Products 30%
• Chassis systems: wheels, electronic ride control • Apertures: joint product development (roofs/doors)
• Asia/Pacific 20%• Increased China LVS OEM growth• Global program awards manufactured in Asia
• Specialty and Trailer 20 %• Strong organic growth
• Aftermarket/Other 30 %• Global expansion underway• Strong remanufacturing operations
• 100%
Clear Focus on Higher Margin Products and Growth in Asia
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Engineering, Research & Development:Increasing PD Capability and Throughput• Achieve and sustain a competitive cost and technology position
• “One ArvinMeritor” Product Development system focused on global synergies
• Underlying competencies in engineering delivery being strengthened to support cost reduction efforts
• Focus on quality paramount in all technical areas• Deliver “gotta have” products with increased focus on value add
• Electronic motors/electronic control systems common focus • Technical acquisitions aimed at accelerating controls/ software development
under study• Consolidate and leverage corporate technical capabilities to increase
speed to market• Global capability being expanded and realigned to support new product
introductions and growth initiatives
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Aftermarket Growth:Building on an Existing Strength
• Double in three years, triple in five • Leverage strong distribution channel for further
organic growth in North America• Strengthen capability and offering in Europe and
Asia, replicating successful North American formula
• Expand remanufacturing scale and scope
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
2008-2009 Opportunities
Sound Investment
Success factors…
• Significant cost savings• Improve operating efficiency• Develop products and
technologies
Launched PerformancePlus Initiatives
• Rebounding truck volumes ahead of 2010 emissions change
Market
• Enhanced global footprint• Consolidate LVS/CVS
engineering facilities• Overhead
Restructuring
• Changed U.S. retirement plan effective Jan. 1, 2008
• Implemented consumer-driven healthcare initiatives in Jan. 2007
Addressing Pension and Healthcare Issues
Solid Balance Sheet• Reduced debt• Increased liquidity
• Customer base• Global presence• Product portfolio
Diversified
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Appendix
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Use of Non-GAAP Financial InformationIn addition to the results reported in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (“GAAP”) included throughout this presentation, the Company has provided information regarding income from continuing operations and diluted earnings per share before special items, which are non-GAAP financial measures. These non-GAAP measures are defined as reported income or loss from continuing operations and reported diluted earnings or loss per share from continuing operations plus or minus special items. Other non-GAAP financial measures include “EBITDA,” “net debt” and “free cash flow”. EBITDA is defined as earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, and losses on sales of receivables, plus or minus special items. Net debt is defined as total debt less the fair value adjustment of notes due to interest rate swaps, less cash. Free cash flow represents net cash provided by operating activities less capital expenditures.
Management believes that the non-GAAP financial measures used in this presentation are useful to both management and investors in their analysis of the Company’s financial position and results of operations. In particular, management believes that net debt is an important indicator of the Company’s overall leverage and free cash flow is useful in analyzing theCompany’s ability to service and repay its debt. EBITDA is a meaningful measure of performance commonly used by management, the investment community and banking institutions to analyze operating performance and entity valuation. Further, management uses these non-GAAP measures for planning and forecasting in future periods.
These non-GAAP measures should not be considered a substitute for the reported results prepared in accordance with GAAP. Neither net debt nor free cash flow should be considered substitutes for debt, cash provided by operating activities or other balance sheet or cash flow statement data prepared in accordance with GAAP or as a measure of financial position or liquidity. In addition, the calculation of free cash flow does not reflect cash used to service debt and thus, does not reflectfunds available for investment or other discretionary uses. EBITDA should not be considered an alternative to net income as an indicator of operating performance or to cash flows as a measure of liquidity. These non-GAAP financial measures, as determined and presented by the Company, may not be comparable to related or similarly titled measures reported by other companies.
Set forth on the following slides are reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures, if applicable, to the most directly comparable financial measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP.
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Non-GAAP Financial Information2nd Qtr FY 2006 Results before Special items
(in millions, except per share amounts)Q2 FY 06 Reported Environmental Restructuring
Debt Extinguishment Income Taxes
Q2 FY 06 BeforeSpecial
Items
Sales 1,629$ -$ -$ -$ -$ 1,629$
Gross Margin 152 - - - - 152
Operating Income 53 3 7 - 63
Income from Continuing Operations 32 2 4 6 (20) 24
Diluted Earnings Per Share - Continuing Operations 0.46$ 0.03$ 0.06$ 0.09$ (0.30)$ 0.34$
Segment EBITDA
Light Vehicle Systems 10$ -$ 6$ -$ -$ 16$
Commercial Vehicle Systems 87 - 1 - -$ 88 Total Segment EBITDA 97$ -$ 7$ -$ -$ 104$
Segment EBITDA Margins
Light Vehicle Systems 1.7% 2.8%
Commercial Vehicle Systems 8.3% 8.3%
Total Segment EBITDA Margins 6.0% 6.4%
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Non-GAAP Financial Information2nd Qtr EBITDA Reconciliation
(in millions)
2007 2006
Total EBITDA - Before Special Items $ 77 $ 98
Restructuring Costs (37) (7)
Fair Value Adjustment 10 -
Impact of Work Stoppages 6 -
Environmental Remediation Costs - (3)
Loss on Sale of Receivables (1) - Depreciation and Amortization (34) (32) Interest Expense, Net and Other (34) (44) Benefit for Income Taxes - 20
Income (Loss) From Continuing Operations (13)$ 32$
Quarter Ended March 31,
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Non-GAAP Financial InformationFree Cash Flow
(in millions)
2007 2006
Cash Used For Operating Activities (30)$ (25)$
Less: Capital expenditures (41) (40)
Free Cash Flow (71)$ (65)$
Three Months Ended March 31,
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007
Non-GAAP Financial InformationNet Debt
(in millions)
03/31/07 12/31/06 09/30/06 06/30/06 03/31/06
Short-term debt 17$ 137$ 56$ 65$ 217$
Long-term debt 1,220 1,174 1,174 1,275 1,133
Total Debt 1,237 1,311 1,230 1,340 1,350
Less: Cash (222) (369) (350) (365) (236)
Less: Fair value adjustment of notes (8) (8) (8) (3) (7)
Net Debt 1,007$ 934$ 872$ 972$ 1,107$
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UBS 2007 Leveraged Finance ConferenceMay 9, 2007