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Niche protection in transitions to sustainability Paper for the European Association for the Study of Science and Technology Annual Conference at the University of Trento, Italy 2-4 September 2010 Adrian Smith (SPRU) and Rob Raven (TU Eindhoven)
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Page 1: Aps easst presentation 2010

Niche protection in transitions to sustainability

Paper for the European Association for the Study of Science and Technology Annual Conference at the University of Trento, Italy

2-4 September 2010

Adrian Smith (SPRU) and Rob Raven (TU Eindhoven)

Page 2: Aps easst presentation 2010

A sustainability transitions problem framing

Path-breaking innovations originate in niche settings that provide a ‘protective space’ where some regime-derived selection processes do not operate

Regime selection environments / processes are multi-dimensional:Evolutionary economics Socio-technical transitions- socio-cognitive / heuristics - institutions- markets - infrastructures- institutions? - users

- cultural associations- policy

How does ‘protective space’ permit path-breaking novelties to flourish; and how does it contribute to systems innovation?

From: incrementally innovating

‘regimes’ of socio-technical practices (enduring trajectories,

yet troubling /destabilising)

Towards: radically more environmentally

sustainable and socially just regimes.

Page 3: Aps easst presentation 2010

Protective space as a shield

Selection factors in dominant regime

Niche; partial shielding

after Hoogma( 2000)

socio-cognitive / heuristics

markets

institutions

infrastructures

users cultural associationspolicy and power

Page 4: Aps easst presentation 2010

after Geels and Raven, 2006; Markard and Truffer, 2008

Protective space as an alternative selection environment

Protective space

B. Nurturing niche development:- expectations- networks- learning

C. Empowering the niche:-mutual identities-niche interests- challenge and reform regime

A. Shielding - alternative selection criteria:- socio-cognitive / heuristics- markets- institutions- infrastructures- users- cultural associations- policy

Page 5: Aps easst presentation 2010

Removing or institutionalising protection?

Protectionism Sustainability transitions

Protection removed as niche adapts and becomes competitive under regime

selection pressures (fitting)

Protection institutionalised as part of a new regime largely based on innovative sustainability practices

in the niche (stretching)

Infant industries

Protection is perpetuated by beneficiaries, so little pressure to continue innovating (capture)

Page 6: Aps easst presentation 2010

Different types of protectionSource of protection Empirical indicatorsEconomic Public grants; price support; purchase

obligations; RD&D funding; feed-in systems; long-term private investment commitments;

Institutional Planning rules; grid connection rules; insurance schemes; rule exemptions (e.g. for environmental reporting); development of supporting norms and standards

Socio-cognitive Promising claims; feasibility studies; training schemes; research programmes; conferences; best practice publications; establishment of intermediary organisations;

Cultural References to the technology in wider symbolic context; statements of what the technology signifies for prevailing social values (of group or society); art such as images, movies and stories that positively portrait the technology;

Geographic Locations of experiments with respect to resource endowments; proximity to existing infrastructures; articulated fit with local (socio-economic) problem agendas;

Political Statements that link technologies to political goals; explicit mentioning of technologies in white papers; Ministerial commitments.

Page 7: Aps easst presentation 2010

Piecemeal protection and niche development

actualexpectedunrealised

Time 1

Cultu

ral

Time 2

Socio-cognitive

Cultu

ral

Socio-cognitiveTime 3

Cultu

ral

Geographic

Economic

Regime t1 Regime t2Regime t3

Mobilising protections from the regime and against the regime

Page 8: Aps easst presentation 2010

The social construction of protective space

Socio-cognitive

Cultu

ral

Geographic

Economic

Expectations

Social learning

Networks

Institutional

Resources Actor interests

Narratives

Page 9: Aps easst presentation 2010

The social construction of protective space

Socio-cognitive

Cultu

ral

Geographic

Economic

Expectations

Social learning

Networks

Institutional

Resources Actor interests

Narratives

Page 10: Aps easst presentation 2010

The social construction of protective space

Socio-cognitive

Cultu

ral

Geographic

Economic

Expectations

Social learning

Networks

Institutional

Resources Actor interests

Narratives

Page 11: Aps easst presentation 2010

Protective space as network building

Time 1 Time 2 Time 3

Global niche network

Local experimentation

Niche representationsResource flows

Regime developments over time, windows of opportunity

Design expectations, resources and lessons flow between global niche

and local experiments

Global niche grows, becomes more robust and empowered

Page 12: Aps easst presentation 2010

Towards an analysis of the politics of protective space

1. Start with the niche – what is the state of learning / performance, network and expectations

2. What further protective measures are niche advocates seeking, and why?

3. What narratives are being engaged to argue for these protections?

4. Who are the target audiences and how are their interests being re-defined (if at all)?

5. What resources are being mobilised behind new protective measures (and with what new interests and narratives coming to bear)?

6. How are regime dynamics (and contending niches) structuring the ability of advocates to mobilise resources?

7. How does this influence the next phase of niche development?

8. Are any protective measures proving unnecessary, or becoming institutionalised?

Page 13: Aps easst presentation 2010

Summarising: questions for future research

Isn’t protection harmful for innovation?

What is protective

space?

How do the dynamics of protection influence

niche development, and vice versa?

Who is involved in the construction of

protection, and how do they do it?

Where might we find answers?!

How is protection built up, and then

withdrawn?

Page 14: Aps easst presentation 2010

Answers between now and September 2013 (perhaps )!?

www.lowcarbonpolitics.org