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APPROXIMATING SOCIAL GRADE ON THE 2011 CENSUS How and Why? Helen Lambert 6 th Nov 2013
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APPROXIMATING SOCIAL GRADE ON THE 2011 CENSUS Social Grade on... · 2017. 12. 21. · 2011 Census: Approximated social grade for LSAO in Kensington & Chelsea Base: All household reference

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Page 1: APPROXIMATING SOCIAL GRADE ON THE 2011 CENSUS Social Grade on... · 2017. 12. 21. · 2011 Census: Approximated social grade for LSAO in Kensington & Chelsea Base: All household reference

© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 1

APPROXIMATING SOCIAL GRADE ONTHE 2011 CENSUSHow and Why?

Helen Lambert6th Nov 2013

Page 2: APPROXIMATING SOCIAL GRADE ON THE 2011 CENSUS Social Grade on... · 2017. 12. 21. · 2011 Census: Approximated social grade for LSAO in Kensington & Chelsea Base: All household reference

© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 2

Outline

Why is Social Grade important in research?

Developing the model for Census 2011

Comparing with other sources

2011 Census example data

What Social Grade approximation data is available to use on the Census 2011?

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 3

Why is Social Grade important in research?

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 4

Why is Social Grade important in research?

Common Currency within Market research

Depending on the arena of commercial or social research, it differentiates on arange of attributes from consumption as well as attitudes.

Need it as a standard currency for sample control and weighting in market research

Need to be able to profile geographic areas and niche audiences to make thecensus data relevant to Market Research

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 5

Percentage of regular shoppers at various supermarketsby Social Grade of HRP

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

AB C1 C2 DE

Co-op

Morrisons

Sainsburys

Waitrose

M&S

Asda

Tesco

Source: Financial Research Survey June 2013

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 6

Time spent watching 5 ‘terrestrial’ channels, by SocialGrade

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

AB C1 C2 DE

BBC 1BBC 2ITVCH4Channel 5

Source: BARB, 2013 – Average number of minutes watching each of 5 channels as a proportion of time spent watching any of 5terrestrial channels

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 7

Wealth and education

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

AB C1 C2 DE

No formal qualifications Degree or higher degree

Pay Higher Rate Tax Do not pay Tax

Being bought on mortgage/own outright

Source: Financial Research Survey June 2013

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 8

Differentiates on attitudes & behaviours

Sources: Financial Research Survey ,June 2013, % Smokers - Lifecourse Tracker survey Wave 2, Oct 13https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/251802/Lifecourse_Tracker_survey_Wave_2_Report_final.pdf

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

AB C1 C2 DE

I only save for a specific purpose.

I would be happy to use the Internet to carry out dayto day banking transactions.

Smokers

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 9

Developing the model for Census 2011

Page 10: APPROXIMATING SOCIAL GRADE ON THE 2011 CENSUS Social Grade on... · 2017. 12. 21. · 2011 Census: Approximated social grade for LSAO in Kensington & Chelsea Base: All household reference

© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 10

Developing the model for Census 2011

NRS Data• Q4 2010 – Q1 2011

Modellingpool

• Social Grade information recorded for individual for CIE and all those who were working

CommonQuestions

• Employment Status, Working status, Tenure, Qualifications, SOC 2010

2001 model• Key question missing (size of establishment) meant that 2001 model did not apply

Create new2011

approach

• Developed Decision Tree models to allocate respondents based on the commonquestions

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 11

Accuracy of modelPercentage of Actual Social Grade of respondent correctlypredicted by model

Social Grade in NRS

PredictedSocialGrade

AB C1 C2 D E DE

AB 77% 12% 3% 1% 2% 1%

C1 19% 74% 9% 5 % 9% 6%

C2 2% 7% 66% 14% 7% 11%

D 1% 5% 19% 75% 17% 53%

E 1% 2% 3% 6 % 66% 29%

DE 2% 7% 21% 81% 83% 82%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Source: NRS (Q4 2010 – Q1 2011)

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 12

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%Total

Female

Male

16-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

AB DC1 C2 E Social GradeApproximation

Comparing the profiles

Source: NRS (Q4 2010 – Q1 2011)

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 13

Comparing discrimination - indices between actual andmodelled Social Grade

0

50

100

150

200

AB C1 C2 D E

Average income

050

100150200250300350

AB C1 C2 D E

020406080

100120140

AB C1 C2 D E

Number of cars - none

Holidays in last 3 years

020406080

100120140160

AB C1 C2 D E

Has store card

020406080

100120140

AB C1 C2 D E

Accessed the internet

0

50

100

150

200

250

AB C1 C2 D E

Taken out a mortgage

Source: NRS (Q4 2010 – Q1 2011)

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 14

Comparing with other Sources

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 15

Compared with the NRS modelling data

Census: Higher Allocations to D instead of ERetiredUnemployed

Census: Slightly Lower allocation into AB in favour of C1Most noticeable in 65+Most likely due to the allocation based on previous occupation

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 16

Comparing with Census 2001 – Limited Trend analysisat present

Census 2011 is published so far based on counts for Household ReferencePersons aged 16 – 64

2001 census based on ASG of HRP for Any age and applied to all persons

Looking to release for All persons for 2011, but still work in progress

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 17

Examples from the 2011 Census

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 18

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

AB C1 C2 DE

Example Results – Approximated Social Grade forInner London Boroughs

2011 Census: Approximated social grade for local authorities in England and WalesBase: All household reference persons aged 16 to 64 in households

Source: Office for National Statistics

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 19

% AB within Lower Super Output Area – Kensington &Chelsea

Low

High

Notting HillTube

LadbrokeGrove Tube

Wormwoodscrubs

World’s endestate (400K)

Essex Villas(£7.5m)

2011 Census: Approximated social grade for LSAO in Kensington & ChelseaBase: All household reference persons aged 16 to 64 in households

Source: Office for National Statistics

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 20

Essex Villas (average House price £7.5m)

Source: House price data: Zoopla, Oct 2013, Image: Google maps

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 21

% AB within Lower Super Output Area – Kensington &Chelsea

Low

High

Notting HillTube

LadbrokeGrove Tube

Wormwoodscrubs

World’s endestate (400K)

Essex Villas(£7.5m)

2011 Census: Approximated social grade for LSAO in Kensington & ChelseaBase: All household reference persons aged 16 to 64 in households

Source: Office for National Statistics

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 22

Average number of cars per household - within Lower SuperOutput Area – Kensington & Chelsea

Low

High

Notting HillTube

LadbrokeGrove Tube

Wormwoodscrubs

World’s endestate (400K)

Essex Villas(£7.5m)

2011 Census: Approximated social grade for LSAO in Kensington & ChelseaBase: All household reference persons aged 16 to 64 in households

Source: Office for National Statistics

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 23

% DE - within Lower Super Output Area – Kensington &Chelsea

High

Low

Notting HillTube

LadbrokeGrove Tube

Wormwoodscrubs

World’s endestate

Essex Villas

2011 Census: Approximated social grade for LSAO in Kensington & ChelseaBase: All household reference persons aged 16 to 64 in households

Source: Office for National Statistics

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 24

World’s end estate (average house price £400K)

Source: House price data: Zoopla, Oct 2013, Image: Google maps

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 25

Average number of persons per room per household - withinLower Super Output Area – Kensington & Chelsea

High

Low

Notting HillTube

LadbrokeGrove Tube

Wormwoodscrubs

World’s endestate (400K)

Essex Villas(£7.5m)

2011 Census: Approximated social grade for LSAO in Kensington & ChelseaBase: All household reference persons aged 16 to 64 in households

Source: Office for National Statistics

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© GfK 2013 | Approximation of Social Grade on the Census 2011: How & Why? | 06. Nov 2013 26

More information and other potential uses of ASG fromCensus 2011

Potential Uses:

Geo-demographic Analysis

Targeting Local Markets

Sample Design & Execution for Survey research

Link to Customer databases or Survey research

https://www.mrs.org.uk/cgg/social_gradehttp://www.nomisweb.co.uk/census/2011http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/publications/re-reference-tables.html?edition=tcm%3A77-301985http://www.nomisweb.co.uk/census/2011/bulk/r2_2