Appraisal Institute State of Atlanta Housing Market
Dec 17, 2015
Appraisal InstituteState of AtlantaHousing Market
National Housing Market
NORTHEAST - ANALYSIS
Market Unemployment Median Annual Rate Home Price % Change
Buffalo 6.2% $95,000 9.2%Philadelphia 4.9% $176,000 3.5%Boston 4.5% $411,000 16.4%Baltimore 4.5% $244,000 8.9%Washington DC 3.2% $387,000 24.8%New York 5.8% $444,000 18.1%Bergen, NJ 4.1% $462,000 19.7%Long Island 3.9% $454,000 17.3%Source: Dismal.com/NAR
MIDWEST - ANALYSIS
Market Unemployment Median Annual Rate Home Price % Change
St Louis 5.8% $123,000 1.7%Pittsburgh 5.7% $113,000 7.6%Detroit 7.6% $168,000 5.7%Cincinnati 5.0% $142,000 2.9%Columbus 4.7% $144,000 3.6%Cleveland 6.4% $156,000 5.4%Minneapolis 4.2% $226,000 7.1%Chicago 5.9% $259,000 8.4%Denver 5.3% $240,000 2.1%Source: Dismal.com/NAR
WEST - ANALYSIS
Market Unemployment Median Annual Rate Home Price % Change
Phoenix 3.3% $197,000 20.9%Las Vegas 3.8% $293,000 12.7%San Diego 3.6% $597,000 8.3%Orange County 3.2% $672,000 4.0%Los Angeles 6.1% $486,000 11.5%Riverside, CA 5.5% $350,000 20.7%San Francisco 4.3% $705,000 12.8%Portland 6.6% $226,000 10.2%Seattle 5.3% $326,000 12.4%Source: Dismal.com/NAR
SOUTHEAST - ANALYSISMarket Unemployment Median Annual
Rate Home Price % Change
Dallas 6.0% $143,000 5.9%Charlotte 5.6% $169,000 4.3%Raleigh 3.6% $180,000 1.1%Houston 6.1% $142,000 6.8%Atlanta 4.4% $162,000 5.9%Tampa 3.8% $208,700 23.0%Naples 3.7% $491,400 25.0%Orlando 4.1% $242,300 45.0%Ft Lauderdale 4.4% $378,000 29.0%Sarasota 3.1% $336,800 39.0%West Palm Beach 5.3% $406,800 30.0%
Atlanta Housing Market
ATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKET
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
2Q99 4Q99 2Q00 4Q00 2Q01 4Q01 2Q02 4Q02 2Q03 4Q03 2Q04 4Q04 2Q05
Quarterly Starts Quarterly Closings
ATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKET
ATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKET
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
2Q99 4Q99 2Q00 4Q00 2Q01 4Q01 2Q02 4Q02 2Q03 4Q03 2Q04 4Q04 2Q05
Annual Starts Annual Closings
ATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKET
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
2Q99 4Q99 2Q00 4Q00 2Q01 4Q01 2Q02 4Q02 2Q03 4Q03 2Q04 4Q04 2Q05
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
Finished Vacant Under Construction Housing MOS
ATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKET
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
2Q00 3Q00 4Q00 1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01 1Q02 2Q02 3Q02 4Q02 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q050.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
Finished Vacant Finished Vacant MOS
ATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKET
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
2Q99 4Q99 2Q00 4Q00 2Q01 4Q01 2Q02 4Q02 2Q03 4Q03 2Q04 4Q04 2Q05
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Finished Vacant Finished Vacant % of Total Inv.
ATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKET
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
2Q99 4Q99 2Q00 4Q00 2Q01 4Q01 2Q02 4Q02 2Q03 4Q03 2Q04 4Q04 2Q05
Lot Delivery Quarterly Starts
ATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKET
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
2Q99 4Q99 2Q00 4Q00 2Q01 4Q01 2Q02 4Q02 2Q03 4Q03 2Q04 4Q04 2Q05
VDL Inventory Annual Starts
ATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKET
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
2Q99 4Q99 2Q00 4Q00 2Q01 4Q01 2Q02 4Q02 2Q03 4Q03 2Q04 4Q04 2Q05
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
VDL Inventory VDL MOS
ATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKET
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000
Fulton (North)
Cherokee
Forsyth
Gwinnett
Cobb
Dekalb
Paulding
Hall
Clayton
Douglas
Fayette
Fulton (South)
Henry
Rockdale
Coweta
Newton VDL Inventory
Annual Starts
ATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKET
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0
Fulton (North)
Cherokee
Forsyth
Gwinnett
Cobb
Dekalb
Paulding
Hall
Clayton
Douglas
Fayette
Fulton (South)
Henry
Rockdale
Coweta
Newton
VDL MOS
Months of Supply
ATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKET
0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000
Fulton (North)
Cherokee
Forsyth
Gwinnett
Cobb
Dekalb
Paulding
Hall
Clayton
Douglas
Fayette
Fulton (South)
Henry
Rockdale
Coweta
Newton
Annual Starts Future Lots
ATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKET
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0
Fulton (North)
Cherokee
Forsyth
Gwinnett
Cobb
Dekalb
Paulding
Hall
Clayton
Douglas
Fayette
Fulton (South)
Henry
Rockdale
Coweta
Newton
Housing Inventory MOS
Months of Supply
ATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKET
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
Fult
on (
Nort
h)
Cher
oke
e
Fors
yth
Gw
innet
t
Cobb
Dek
alb
Pau
ldin
g
Hal
l
Cla
yton
Dougla
s
Faye
tte
Fult
on (
South
)
Hen
ry
Rock
dal
e
Cow
eta
New
ton
ANNUAL STARTS ANNUAL CLOSINGS Housing Mos
ATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKET
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
0-$150,000
$150,000 -$200,000
$200,000 -$300,000
$300,000 -$400,000
$400,000 -$500,000
$500,000 -$600,000
$600,000 -$750,000
$750,000 -UP
ANNUAL STARTS ANNUAL CLOSINGS
ATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKETATLANTA HOUSING MARKET
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
0-$150,000
$150,000-
$200,000
$200,000-
$300,000
$300,000-
$400,000
$400,000-
$500,000
$500,000-
$600,000
$600,000-
$750,000
$750,000- UP
VDL INVENTORY ANNUAL STARTS
ATLANTA TOP COMMUNITIES
RANKED BY SALESSubdivision Name Market Area Price Range Annual Starts Annual Sales
Woodlands Cherokee $160-$265 308 356
Summer Grove Coweta $131-$395 255 281
Bridge Mill Cherokee $110-$855 288 260
Breckinridge Station Gwinnett $155-$231 130 259
Windermere Forsyth $224-$750 193 230
Eagles Landing Henry $105-$890 215 223
Bentwater Paulding $140-$575 175 209
Mulberry Park Gwinnett $124-$181 175 184
Heron Bay Henry $140-$1000 238 183
Hamilton Mill Gwinnett $180-$825 149 182
Anneewakee Trails Douglas $117-$400 174 164
Ellington Newton $115-$160 173 163
Boulder Forest Dekalb $172-$195 136 157
Whittington Forsyth $145-$204 143 145
River Green Cherokee $150-$475 191 144
ATLANTA TOP ATLANTA TOP COMMUNITIESCOMMUNITIES
RANKED BY SALESRANKED BY SALESSubdivision Name Market Area Price Range Annual Starts Annual Sales
ShakeRag Farms Forsyth $182-$250 120 136
Amhurst Fulton (South) $136-$285 107 133
Sandpiper's Cove Fulton (South) $150-$194 149 131
Bridle Point Gwinnett $131-$174 175 125
Cooks Landing Fulton (South) $158-$196 112 124
Sugarloaf/ Longmont Gwinnett $191-$283 113 116
Sterling on the Lake Hall $207-$380 189 115
TH/ Ellison Lakes Cobb $150-$175 118 115
Trilogy Park Gwinnett $228-$326 108 115
Monarch Village Henry $100-$300 90 114
Townsend Creek Gwinnett $180-$246 105 108
Villa Chase Gwinnett $240-$310 122 107
Walden Park Fulton (South) $160-$400 102 107
Apalachee Heritage Gwinnett $183-$327 101 106
River Park Cherokee $120-$183 108 104
UNDER $150,000
$150,000 to $ 200,000
$200,000 to $400,000
$400,000 to $600,000
ATLANTA CLOSINGS by Price Range
$600,000 and over 3% 4%
28% 22%
29% 31 %
35% 36 %
6% 7%
2Q 20052Q 2004
…now you know