Townsville Flood Hazard Assessment Study Revision A Phase 3 Report - Vulnerability Assessment and Risk Analysis December 2005 J:\MMPL\80377706\Administration\Flood Report\Phase 3\re-issue Nov 06\report.doc Appendix A Disaster Risk Management Documentation
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Appendix A Disaster Risk Management Documentation · Disaster Risk Management (1999), Zamecka and Buchanan, Queensland Department of Emergency Services Floodplain Management in Australia,
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Townsville Flood Hazard Assessment Study Revision A Phase 3 Report - Vulnerability Assessment and Risk Analysis December 2005 J:\MMPL\80377706\Administration\Flood Report\Phase 3\re-issue Nov 06\report.doc
Appendix A Disaster Risk Management Documentation
TABLE OF CONTENTS Table 1 – Risk Management Team ...............................................................................................2 Table 2 – Establishment of the Risk Management Structure................................................3 Table 3 – Problem Definition and Establishment of Context.................................................4 Table 4 – Identification and Description of Hazard (Flooding) .............................................6 Table 5 – Identification and Description of Hazard (Storm Surge)......................................6 Table 6 – Identification and Description of Community and Environment ........................7 Table 7 – Community Vulnerability Profile..................................................................................9 Table 8 – Scale of Likelihood........................................................................................................10 Table 9 – Scale of Consequence.................................................................................................10 Table 10 – Scale of Risk.................................................................................................................10 Table 11 – Risk Classification Matrix .........................................................................................11 Table 12 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Townsville ....................................12 Table 13 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Townsville ....................................13 Table 14 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Townsville ....................................14 Table 15 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Townsville ....................................15 Table 16 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Townsville ....................................16 Table 17 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Magnetic Island..........................17 Table 18 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Magnetic Island..........................18 Table 19 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Pallarenda and Cungulla ........19 Table 20 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Pallarenda and Cungulla ........20 Table 21 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Other Components ...................21 Table 22 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Other Components ...................21 Table 23 – Risk Register, Part B – Risk Evaluation – Townsville .....................................22 Table 24– Risk Register, Part B – Risk Evaluation – Townsville (continued) ...............23 Table 25 – Risk Register, Part B – Risk Evaluation – Magnetic Island ...........................24 Table 26 – Risk Register, Part B – Risk Evaluation – Pallarenda and Cungulla ..........25 Table 27 – Risk Register, Part B – Risk Evaluation – Other Components .....................25 Table 28 – Register of Prioritised Unacceptable Risks – Townsville (Flooding) ..........26 Table 29 – Register of Prioritised Unacceptable Risks – Townsville (Storm Surge)...27 Table 30 – Register of Prioritised Unacceptable Risks – Magnetic Island (Flooding) 28 Table 31 – Register of Prioritised Unacceptable Risks – Magnetic Island (Storm
Surge) ...........................................................................................................................................29 Table 32 – Register of Prioritised Unacceptable Risks – Pallarenda and Cungulla ....30 Table 33 – Register of Prioritised Unacceptable Risks – Other Components...............31 Table 34 – Identification and Evaluation of Treatment Options – Flood and Storm
Surge ............................................................................................................................................32 Table 35 – Treatment Strategy Development (Townsville) ............................................ 33 Table 36 – Treatment Strategy Development (Magnetic Island) .......................................35 Table 37 – Treatment Strategy Development (Pallarenda & Cungulla) ..........................36
Table 1 – Risk Management Team
Name Position Agency Contact Details Councillor Toni Kirkpatrick
Chair, Engineering Services Committee
Townsville City Council Ph: 4772 5829 Fax: 4724 5176 Email: [email protected]
Mr Brian Milanovic
Manager Engineering Services (Study Manager)
Townsville City Council Ph: 4727 9358 Fax: 4727 9051 Email: [email protected]
Mr Bob Neunhoffer
Technical Services Engineer, Citiworks (Deputy Study Manager)
Townsville City Council Ph: 4727 8468 Fax: 4727 8921 Email: [email protected]
Mr Ross Griffiths
Technical Coordinator, Citiworks
Townsville City Council Ph: 4727 8440 Fax: 4727 8921 Email: [email protected]
Table 2 – Establishment of the Risk Management Structure Physical and Time Boundaries of the Study The disaster risk management process will be applied to evaluation and treatment of risks associated within the defined study area. This area includes the Townsville floodplain (City, Fairfield, South Townsville, Mount Louisa, Sandfly Creek, and Annandale); Magnetic Island (Picnic Bay, Nelly Bay, Arcadia and Horseshoe Bay); Pallarenda and Cungulla. For the purposes of the risk analysis and evaluation process, the communities have been grouped as Townsville, Magnetic Island and coastal communities (Pallarenda and Cungulla). Phase 3 of the Study is to be completed by June 2002 to permit Council enough time to integrate this risk assessment into their application for further funding. Communication and Consultation Throughout the course of the study, consultation was conducted with various groups and agencies including Queensland Police, Department of Emergency Services, State Emergency Services and the Bureau of Meteorology. In addition, a flooding questionnaire was delivered to various residents within the Townsville floodplain area to record anecdotal evidence and historical flood levels. Terms of Reference, Goals and Objectives The specific aims of the risk management study include: To assess the risk of flood inundation within the Study area To assess the risk of storm surge on coastal communities To determine the resulting flood hazards To assess community and infrastructure vulnerability
It is anticipated that the study will be incorporated into the existing Townsville/Thuringowa Counter Disaster Plan. Ongoing review of the study will allow the accuracy of the outcomes to be improved during future reviews. Expected Outcomes In accordance with Disaster Risk Management (Zamecka and Buchanan, 1999) the study will provide: Risk Evaluation Criteria Identification and Description of the hazard of flooding Identification and Description of Community and Environment Community Vulnerability Profiles Risk Register (Parts A and B) Identification and Evaluation of Treatment Options Treatment Strategy Development Risk Treatment Action and Monitoring Schedule
In addition to this, the study involves the assessment of storm surge on coastal communities, and will address the vulnerability of access to these areas (evacuation routes). Extent and Comprehensiveness of the Risk Management Activities The Study will focus exclusively on the risks associated with flooding within the designated Townsville and Magnetic Island areas and the impact of storm surge on the coastal communities of Pallarenda and Magnetic Island. Parameters and Sequence of Activities Establish detailed management structures and processes. Review available information. Identify hazards. Describe the community and environment. Establish unacceptable risks and prioritise. Develop treatment options (where applicable).
Other Issues The study will establish how uncertainties may be reduced in future reviews.
Table 3 – Problem Definition and Establishment of Context Problem Definition Townsville City is located on the east coast of North Queensland and has a population of approximately 94739 persons (2001 Census). The Townsville region (which also includes the City of Thuringowa) is the largest regional centre in Queensland, and the primary administrative and industrial centre of North Queensland. The Study Area of Townsville comprises 12 sub-areas, the most significant of which is described as the Townsville Floodplain, incorporating the sub-areas of the City, South Townsville, Fairfield, Annandale, Mt Louisa and Sandfly Creek. The Study area also includes Magnetic Island (Picnic Bay, Nelly Bay, Arcadia and Horseshoe Bay), and the coastal communities of Pallarenda and Cungulla. The majority of natural disasters that have affected Townsville in the past have been related to cyclones and flooding. Notable examples of these are the recent flooding of January 1998 (ex-Tropical Cyclone Sid) and February 2000. The Townsville/Thuringowa Counter Disaster Plan recognises the risk of flooding, as well as storm surge and identifies the coastal communities of Pallarenda and Cungulla to be most at risk. Major transport infrastructure is comprised of the North Coast Railway line and the Bruce Highway, both of which run through the Townsville Study Area. A well-developed network of roads exists within the Study Area including access roads to the coastal communities listed above. In most cases, these roads are the only access in and out of the coastal communities. Clients and Stakeholders Stakeholders include: Townsville City Council Study Advisory Group Department of Emergency Services Residents of Townsville (within Study Area), Magnetic Island, Pallarenda and Cungulla Department of Main Roads Department of Transport Queensland Rail Department of Natural Resources & Mines Queensland Environmental Protection Agency Queensland Police Queensland Ambulance Queensland Fire and Rescue Authority
Factors that Affect the Risk Management Process Townsville City Council is committed to the principles of Disaster Risk Management. The Council’s strategic direction recognises community safety and counter disaster obligations. Funding Agreement and Project Plan outlines aims, strategies and program for fulfilling funding
obligations. Townsville City Council and the Council of Thuringowa have a joint Counter Disaster Plan (21
November 2001) that is periodically reviewed. The responsibilities of Council in regard to disaster management are prescribed in legislation,
directives and policy documents. Those documents applicable to this study are listed below:
a. Legislation Local Government Act 1993 Environment Protection Act 1994 Native Title (Queensland) Act 1993 Queensland Heritage Act 1992 State Counter Disaster Organisation Act 1975 Integrated Planning Act 1997 Coastal Protection and Management Act 1995 Water Resources Act 1989 Water Act 2000 Local Government Planning and Environmental Act Soil Conservation Act Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999
b. Guiding Principles State Counter Disaster Plan Townsville/Thuringowa Counter Disaster Plan Disaster Risk Management (1999), Zamecka and Buchanan, Queensland Department of
Emergency Services Floodplain Management in Australia, SCARM Report 73 (2000) – Best Practice Principles
and Guidelines. Risk Management AS/NZS 4360:1999 Natural Disaster Financial Assistance Arrangements within Queensland 2001/2002 Queensland Urban Drainage Manual Natural Disaster Relief Arrangements, 2001 Regional Flood Mitigation Programme Guidelines, Department of Transport and Regional Services Economic Costs of Natural Disasters in Australia, Bureau of Transport and Regional
Economics, Report 103 (2001) Benefits of Flood Mitigation in Australia, Bureau of Transport and Regional Economics,
Report 106, (2002) The Community Awareness and Education in Emergency Management Good Practice
Guide, Emergency Management Australia (2000) Australian Rainfall and Runoff, The Institution of Engineers, Australia (1998)
c. Government Departments
Department of Primary Industries – Fisheries Queensland Environmental Protection Agency Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority Department of Emergency Services Department of Natural Resources & Mines
Applicable Federal, State and Local Disaster Arrangements Townsville City Council has developed a Counter Disaster Plan (overview only) for various natural disasters, including flood, cyclones and storms, storm tides, earthquake/landslides, fire, and various accidents. Political, Social and Economic Circumstances Council is required to demonstrate flood mitigation options by developing an overall Disaster Risk Management Report and Disaster Mitigation Plan, to satisfy the requirements for continued eligibility for Natural Disaster Relief Arrangements. Politically it is unacceptable to do nothing about solving flooding problems currently faced by the residents of Townsville, particularly in those areas that are subject to frequent flooding. Townsville is vulnerable to flooding (including storm surge) as indicated by the historic flood events of January 1998 and February 2000, as well as Cyclone Althea, December 1971. The community is well aware of its vulnerability to flooding and is conscious that flooding is often as a result of inadequate local drainage infrastructure. Other Issues Due to the proximity of Townsville to Thuringowa, it is likely that during significant flood events, the impacts of flooding in Townsville will have follow-on effects in Thuringowa. The risk to the safety of the community and the risk of damage to public and private infrastructure as a result of storm surge is also a serious concern to Council.
Table 4 – Identification and Description of Hazard (Flooding) Hazard Name Flooding Hazard Description Flooding has been identified as the most significant hazard in the Study area. The vulnerability of Townsville to flooding was highlighted in the event of January 1998, when considerable inundation of property, damage to infrastructure and disruption to essential services occurred. The compensation paid by insurance companies to Townsville residents is reported to be approximately $72 million. The actual disruption caused by flooding will depend on a number of factors including: Total rainfall Intensity and duration of rainfall Geographical spread Antecedent weather conditions Ground cover Capacity of drainage systems and infrastructure Tidal influence Extent of impervious land (e.g. roofs, road surfaces) Depth of runoff (greater than 200 mm in private properties are considered a hazard)
The flood models developed as part of this study has looked at a range of flood events (up to 100 year ARI and PMF) for the Townsville floodplain and Magnetic Island. The risk assessment will look separately at the risks associated with a range of ARI events. Secondary Hazards A number of secondary hazards are a direct result of flooding and include landslides, particularly relevant to steep erosive slopes on Castle Hill, and public health issues associated with mosquito infestations (a result of ponding water) and the contamination of waterways with sewage due to the malfunction or overflow of sewage pump stations.
Table 5 – Identification and Description of Hazard (Storm Surge) Hazard Name Storm surge and tidal inundation Hazard Description For many coastal communities the threat of inundation from extreme tides is often greater than either river flooding or local runoff. This is case at Pallarenda and Cungulla and therefore the effect of storm surge and tides is considered the most significant hazard for these low-lying areas. The actual disruption caused by storm surge will depend on a number of factors including: Severity of cyclone Landfall and direction of cyclone Resulting floodwater depth and velocity Rate of risk and recession of storm surge Duration Vulnerability of the community and the environment
The storm surge component of this study has looked at the impact of static 50 year ARI and 100 year ARI with wave setup, in addition to Cyclone Althea (1971) occurring coincident with a high tide, resulting in a peak water level of RL 4m. It should be noted that this component of work is preliminary only and provides a cursory look at the vulnerability of the community to storm surge and tidal inundation. Further detailed storm surge assessments are recommended. Secondary Hazards The aftermath of cyclones is usually classed as a rain depression and may add further complications should the rain continue and create flooding problems. Land degradation resulting from saline intrusion is also a potential secondary hazard of storm surge.
Table 6 – Identification and Description of Community and Environment Description of the Community Townsville City, located on the east coast of North Queensland, has a population of approximately 94739 persons (2001 Census). Approximately 3000 people reside on Magnetic Island. Townsville City has an unemployment rate of 8.8% and according to 2001 Census, approximately 16% of all families are living below the poverty line in the Townsville Region (i.e. including the City of Thuringowa). Demographic data indicates that high concentrations of older people live in the Townsville suburbs of Rowes Bay, Belgian Gardens (where a caravan park is located), Pallarenda, Mundingburra, Currajong, Magnetic Island and Pimlico. Aged care facilities are located in Rowes Bay, Belgian Gardens, Pallarenda and Mundingburra. Description of the Built Environment (i) Buildings Townsville boasts a number of heritage-listed buildings scattered throughout the community, and
large impressive buildings built during early settlement of Townsville are still being used today. The Strand Redevelopment has become the nucleus of recreational and social activity for the
community. Recent years has seen the revival of residential accommodation in the inner city and expansion of
new housing estates established in outer suburbs New development within the city continues with the redevelopment of old railway yards, the
upgrading of defence facilities, and the expansion of mineral processing facilities. (ii) Engineering Lifelines Electricity –Queensland’s electricity market has recently been deregulated, with two peak load
power stations and one recently constructed base load power station providing highly reliable power supply for Townsville. Communities within the Study Area are serviced by Ergon Energy, with overhead power provided to the coastal communities of Pallarenda and Cungulla. Power to Magnetic Island is via an underground service pipeline.
Telecommunications – Telstra is the main supplier of telecommunication services. Telecommunications throughout the Townsville area (including Pallarenda) is reliable with fully diverse optical fibre routes meshed with all Australian capital cities and regional areas. Internet and email services are fully functional. Radio broadcast services are highly reliable. Magnetic Island has a reliable telecommunication network, as does Cungulla.
Water Supply – The water supply to Townsville is reliable and sourced from Ross River Dam, Paluma Dam and Burdekin Falls Dam, provided by NQ Water, the bulk water provider for the region. Townsville City Council is responsible for the distribution of water throughout the Study Area, which includes Pallarenda and Magnetic Island. Residents at Cungulla operate rainwater tanks to supplement the water supply.
Waste Removal and Sewerage – The Townsville floodplain area, as well as Pallarenda, have a reticulated sewerage system. Some areas of Magnetic Island are sewered however the majority are serviced by septic tanks. Septic tanks are also used throughout Cungulla. Townsville, Pallarenda, Magnetic Island and Cungulla have access to public waste disposal facilities, and Townsville City Council operates weekly waste removal services for Townsville, Magnetic Island and Pallarenda.
Transport Routes – Major transport infrastructure is comprised of the Bruce Highway and the Northcoast Railway Line. Declared roads are under the financial responsibility of the Department of Main Roads. The Northcoast Railway Line is the responsibility of Queensland Rail. The road network throughout Townsville is comprehensive and offers alternative routes to critical facilities during emergency situations. When road closures do occur, the delay imposed is not thought to be extensive, with most routes expected to be open within 24hrs. A privately owned ferry service transports residents and tourists between Magnetic Island and the mainland. Cungulla is accessed from the Bruce Highway via the Aims Road.
(iii) Critical Facilities Emergency Services
The Department of Emergency Services, District Manager, Disaster Operations, Counter Disaster and Rescue Services for the region are based in Townsville.
The City Councils of Townsville and Thuringowa Local Government Counter Disaster Committee has prepared “The Cities of Townsville/Thuringowa Counter Disaster Plan” for the local region and assists and advises the Chairperson and Executive Officer for the respective Councils in counter disaster operations.
The State Emergency Services (SES) has a centre in Townsville. The Queensland Ambulance Service (QAS) has services in Townsville. Queensland Police has units based throughout the Study area, including Magnetic Island. The Fire Brigade has stations located in Townsville. There are designated evacuation centres within the Townsville area.
Health Services Townsville has the largest public facility of its type in the region, and is located in Douglas. Two
other smaller privately owned hospitals are located in Pimlico and Hyde Park. Airport An internationally accredited airport services Townsville, and is located within the Study Area
(Garbutt). Miscellaneous Defence facilities in the area (Army and RAAF) offer alternative emergency support capabilities.
Description of Natural Environment e.g. Topography Townsville City is located in an area known as the Townsville Coastal Plains. This area is typically a narrow coastal plain bounded by mountain ranges, with areas of mangrove flats, old beach ridges, and estuarine and coastal freshwater wetlands. The inshore island community of Magnetic Island is also located within Townsville City.
The vast majority of Townsville City’s population and infrastructure are located on the coastal plain of the Ross River, with the remainder located on the lower flanks of surrounding hills. The Ross River is dammed upstream of the city by the Ross River Dam (catchment area 750km2) which was constructed in the early 1970s for water supply and flood mitigation purposes. Other significant watercourses in the city include Louisa, Gordon, Stuart and Ross Creeks, and a drainage depression known as Mindham Park Drain (likely to be an old course of the Ross River). Mindham Park Drain and the Lakes and Woolcock Canal take the majority of Townsville’s urban runoff.
Townsville City experiences a dry tropical climate. The City has an average rainfall of 1,143 mm per year, with the majority falling during summer. The area is also vulnerable to tropical cyclones, which form in summer and early autumn.
Description of Social Environment e.g. Community Safety Service Provision, Economics, Culture Council has been proactive in addressing various risks associated with natural disaster events that threaten the safety of the Community by developing a Counter Disaster Plan. The purpose of the Plan is to minimise the effects of and coordinate the response to a disaster affecting the residents and communities of the Cities of Townsville and Thuringowa. Council has also established a “Townsville City Safe” project which, through partnership with the community and other organisations throughout the city work towards a safer environment for the residents of Townsville.
Townsville has a diverse economic base with no single dominating sector ensuring the economy is both stable and resilient to market fluctuations. The local economy receives major contributions from several core industries including manufacturing, public administration, defence forces, mineral refining, mining operations, tourism, education, research, and tertiary services.
The manufacturing and public administration sectors provide strong contributions to the economy with most businesses located in Townsville/Thuringowa serving as the commercial centre for the region. Public administration and defence also account for a large proportion of employment and can be attributed to the Lavarack Barracks Army Base in Townsville. The army base, the second largest facility of its kind in Australia, provides a steady demand for goods and services which further strengthens the economy. In recent years, mining has experienced the significant growth, reflecting the region’s strong relationship with the mining industry.
The Townsville Civic Theatre is one of Australia’s leading regional theatres which plays a central role within the community by presenting a wide variety of programmes featuring national and international artists, as well as providing a showcase for local talent. Townsville also boasts North Queensland’s largest convention and entertainment venue that offers excellent meeting and exhibition facilities.
Table 7 – Community Vulnerability Profile Vulnerability of People The economic situation of many Study Area residents and businesses threatened by flooding is such that the resilience of the community would be impaired. Whilst there will be a small degree of community self-reliance it is anticipated that there will be a strong reliance on Council, Emergency Services and associated social support organisations. The small coastal communities are particularly vulnerable to storm surge. It should also be noted that it has been a significant amount of time since the last storm surge event (1971) and major flood (1998). Residents may have become complacent and new residents may not be aware of the risks of flooding and storm surge. This has the effect of reducing the preparedness of the community. Vulnerability of Social Structures It is believed that social structures in Townsville are generally strong. James Cook University gives students wishing to gain tertiary education the opportunity to remain in Townsville whilst the defence forces attract young people/married couples to the city, resulting in an often vibrant and active community. Townsville offers excellent health and community services and facilities, education, cultural development, sporting and recreation facilities that underlies this strong sense of community well-being. The community response to major catastrophes has shown evidence of community spirit and the strong links between Council and community agencies. Vulnerability of Buildings Majority of houses built in the recognised flood zones do not have any special construction features
that reduce damage caused by flooding. Typically older houses exist in flood prone areas. However, older homes in Townsville are typically
highset, providing additional immunity to flooding. Recent years has seen extensive development on the slopes of Castle Hill. These slopes are highly
erodable and during rainfall events significant amounts of silt is entrained within the runoff and cause local drainage systems to be blocked, resulting in the subsequent inundation of property.
Vulnerability of Lifelines Electricity – Power lines and telephone links are likely to fail due to high winds associated with
cyclone events, and subsequent flooding. Water Supply – Reasonable reliability of water supply is expected to areas within Townsville during
flood events. A 900mm water supply pipeline crosses the Ross River near the golf course. Approximately half the length of the pipeline was damaged in a flood and this portion of pipeline, when replaced, was buried under the river bed. There is potential for scouring of the river bed during severe flooding which may expose the pipeline. The remaining section of pipeline still exists above ground and there is potential for floating debris to collect behind this pipeline and cause failure.
Sewerage Systems – Sewerage systems are unlikely to operate during flood events as pump stations shut-down when inundated with water. The sewerage system, if affected, is expected to be operable within hours. The Cleveland Bay Purification Plant is located on the lower Ross River floodplain, however, in the event of January 1998, the plant was isolated by not adversely affected.
Transport Routes – The Bruce Highway and the Northcoast Railway are vulnerable to flooding inundation. Access routes into Cungulla and Pallarenda are vulnerable to storm surge and tidal inundation. Major evacuation routes within the city are also prone to inundation.
Vulnerability of Critical Facilities The Townsville/Thuringowa Counter Disaster Plan designates Townsville City Council as the lead agency in flooding emergencies as well as cyclone and storm emergencies. The Council is supported by the SES, Queensland Police Service, Queensland Fire and Rescue Service, Ergon Energy, Telstra and Queensland Ambulance Service in emergency situations. Damage to critical facilities during flood events, including emergency service centres, the Disaster Coordination Centres, hospitals and evacuation centres, would hinder the ability of emergency services to respond in an emergency situation. The critical facilities to be utilised in flooding events are required to be safe from flooding but also to be structurally sound and able to withstand the winds associated with cyclones that often produce flooding. Vulnerability of Local Economic Production and Employment Flooding is considered to impact on the economic viability, particularly in the short-term, of local businesses and residents of Townsville and Magnetic Island whilst the coastal communities of Pallarenda and Cungulla may experience some dislocation from regional centres for short periods of time.
Table 8 – Scale of Likelihood Likelihood
Level Descriptor Description A Almost Certain Up to 5 Year ARI
(the event is expected to occur) B Likely Up to 10 Year ARI
(the event will probably occur) C Possibly Up to 20 Year ARI
(the event should occur at some time) D Unlikely Up to 50 Year ARI
(the event could occur at some time) E Rare 1998 Event (approximately 500 Year ARI)
(the event may occur only in exceptional circumstances)
Table 9 – Scale of Consequence Consequences
Level Descriptor Description 1 Insignificant Minimal property damage, no fatalities, no injuries, low financial loss, little
disruption to the community, no measurable impact on environment
2 Minor Inundation of a small number of properties, small number of injuries, no fatalities, first aid treatment required, some displacement of people (very short period of time eg 24hrs), some personal support required, some damage, some disruption (short period of time), small impact on environment with no lasting effects, some financial loss.
3 Moderate Inundation of significant number of properties, substantial property damage, medical treatment required, no fatalities, some hospitalisation, displacement of people (very short period of time e.g. 24hrs), personal support satisfied through local arrangements, localised damage which is rectified by routine arrangements, normal community functioning with some inconvenience, some impact on environment with no long term effect or small impact on environment with long term effect, financial loss.
4 Major Extensive injuries, fatalities, significant hospitalisation, large number displaced (more than 24hrs duration), external resources required for personal support, significant damage that required external resources, community only partially functioning, some services unavailable, some impact on environment with long term effects, significant financial loss, some financial assistance required.
5 Catastrophic Large number of severe injuries, extended and large numbers requiring hospitalisation, general and widespread displacement for extended duration, significant fatalities, extensive personal support, extensive damage, community unable to function without significant support, significant impact on environment and/or permanent damage, huge financial loss – unable to function without significant support.
Table 10 – Scale of Risk Risk
Level Descriptor Description E Extreme risk Immediate action required H High risk Works identified and included in forward works programme M Moderate risk Management responsibility must be specified L Low risk Managed by routine procedures
Table 12 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Townsville Hazard – Flooding (1 in 10 Year ARI Event)
Vulnerable Elements
Risk Consequence
People A population of 183 is at risk of inundation by flooding in the following areas: Mt Louisa. Belgian Gardens, North Ward, Cranbrook,
Mundingburra, Pimlico, Vincent. Wulguru, Cluden.
People may be displaced from their homes for short period (eg 24hrs).
Buildings 52 residential buildings are at risk of inundation by flooding in the following areas:
Mt Louisa. Belgian Gardens, North Ward,
Cranbrook, Mundingburra, Pimlico, Vincent.
Wulguru, Cluden.
Buildings may suffer some damage (contents).
Water, power and telecommunications are expected to operate adequately.
Temporary loss of sewerage services.
Some clean-up costs may be incurred by property owners.
Business 5 businesses are at risk of being affected by flooding in the following areas: Garbutt, West End.
Businesses operate with some inconvenience.
Temporary loss of sewerage. Some clean-up costs. Loss of power,
communications and water supply unlikely.
Engineering Lifelines
Engineering lifelines (water, sewerage, power supply, communications) within the following areas may suffer damage by flooding (>300mm): Pump Stations City: near Mt St John STP. Fairfield: Abbot Street. Mt Louisa: Webb Drive.
Negligible disruption to the community
Sewerage may fail temporarily or surcharge.
Critical Facilities
Some critical facilities in the following areas are at risk from flooding: (>300mm) Mount Louisa: Evacuation centre at
Bayswater Road.
Some evacuation centres may be subject to inundation.
Table 13 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Townsville Hazard – Flooding (1 in 50 Year ARI Event)
Vulnerable Elements
Risk Consequence
People A population of 573 is at risk of inundation by flooding, in the following additional areas: Garbutt, West End, Hyde Park, Hermit
Park, Mysterton, Currajong, Aitkenvale, Heatley.
Railway Estate.
People may be injured and require medical treatment.
People may be displaced from their homes for short period (eg 24hrs).
People may require local services.
People may be able to work with some inconvenience.
Buildings Approximately 177 residential buildings are at risk of inundation by flooding, in the following additional areas: Garbutt, West End, Hyde Park, Hermit
Park, Mysterton, Currajong, Aitkenvale, Heatley.
Railway Estate.
Buildings may suffer some damage (contents).
Temporary loss of power, telecommunications and sewerage.
Property owners may incur some clean-up costs.
Business 12 businesses are at risk of being affected by flooding, in the following additional areas: Garbutt, Hyde Park, Hermit Park,
Aitkenvale. Mt Louisa. Stuart.
Businesses operate with some inconvenience.
Temporary loss of power, telecommunications and sewerage.
Some clean-up costs. Damage to caravan parks.
Engineering Lifelines
Engineering lifelines (water, sewerage, power and communications) may suffer damage by flooding within the following additional areas (>300mm): Pump Stations City: Hugh Street, Douglas
Sewerage, power and telecommunications may fail temporarily.
Critical Facilities
Some critical facilities in the following additional areas are at risk from flooding (>300mm): Evacuation Areas Fairfield: Area at Mervyn Crossman
Drive flooded. City: Access to area at the showgrounds
restricted at Kings Road and portion of area inundated.
City: Access restricted to area at Fulham Road/Swanson Street intersection.
Annandale: Access restricted to area on Yolanda Drive/Oleander Street and area inundated.
Inconvenience to local goods distribution.
Local clinics operate with some inconvenience.
Hospital may operate with some inconvenience.
Some delay in the response of emergency services (fire, police, ambulance) due to road access restrictions.
Table 14 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Townsville Hazard – Flooding (1998 Flood Event – 1 in 500 Year ARI Event)
Vulnerable Elements
Risk Consequence
People A population of 3865 is at risk of inundation by flooding, in the following additional areas to those in Table 13: Rowes Bay, Rosslea, Gulliver. Idalia, Oonoonba, Stuart.
Injuries and fatalities. Evacuation and emergency
accommodation and food. Post-traumatic stress. Recovery services and financial
assistance required. Emergency services required. Temporary loss of jobs due to
displacement and lack of access.
Buildings 1185 residential buildings are at risk of inundation by flooding, in the following additional areas to those in Table 13: Rowes Bay, Rosslea, Gulliver. Idalia, Oonoonba, Stuart.
Buildings may suffer structural and/or contents damage.
Temporary loss of power, telecommunications, and sewerage.
Loss of government services. Property owners may incur
cleanup costs. Damage to caravan parks and
other community facilities. Business 310 businesses are at risk of being affected by
flooding, in the following additional areas to those in Table 13: Rowes Bay.
Structure and stock damage. Temporary loss of power,
telecommunications nd sewerage.
Looting may occur. Clean-up costs.
Engineering Lifelines
Engineering lifelines will suffer damage by flooding (>300mm). Those lifelines most at risk include water supply and sewerage services, important transport routes and power. Sewerage Western Suburb Outfall Main to CBPP at risk of damage due to debris in Ross River. Pump Stations City: North Coast Railway/Mather Street,
South Townsville: Doorey Street. Fairfield: University Road
Sewerage, power and telecommunications will likely fail.
Roads will be closed. Essential services unable to be
maintained – eg refrigeration of food.
Health concerns due to contaminated water supply, spread of disease, especially if the major sewer that crosses the Ross River sustains damage.
Inability to warn community, coordination of emergency services etc.
Road access cut-off, structural damage to transport routes.
Critical Facilities
Most critical facilities are at risk of damage due to flooding (depths > 300mm), in particular: Evacuation Areas Fairfield: Access to evacuation centre on
Mervyn Crossman Drive restricted (>300mm).
Fairfield: Evacuation area on Oonoonba Rd flooded.
Heatley: Evacuation area on Dalrymple Service road flooded.
Annandale: Access to area at army barracks off University Rd restricted.
Reduction in food and other critical goods storage and distribution capacity.
Reduction in hospital capacity. Reduction in capacity of
emergency services in both response and recovery stages.
People A small population (440) is at risk from inundation, in Oonoonba, Hermit Park and South Townsville, Railway Estate.
No fatalities or injuries
Buildings 150 buildings are at risk of inundation by flooding, in Oonoonba, Hermit Park and South Townsville.
Minimal property damage No loss of power,
telecommunications, water or sewerage services
Business Businesses are at no apparent risk of inundation.
Minimal stock damage No loss of power,
telecommunications, water or sewerage facilities
Engineering Lifelines
Engineering lifelines are at no apparent risk of damage by inundation.
Negligible disruption to the community
No restrictions to access
Critical Facilities
Critical facilities are at no apparent risk from inundation.
Negligible impact on facilities
Note: Assessment based purely on impact of storm surge inundation. Significant damage will probably occur to moored vessels and to buildings as a result of wave and wind action (not assessed as part of this Study).
Table 16 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Townsville Hazard – Storm Surge and Tidal Inundation (Cyclone Althea coincident with High Tide)
Vulnerable Elements
Risk Consequence
People A population of 7150 is at risk of inundation by inundation, in the following areas: City: Belgian Gardens, North Ward, City,
West End, Hyde Park, Hermit Park. South Townsville: South Townsville,
Railway Estate. Fairfield: Oonoonba.
Injuries and fatalities. Evacuation and emergency
accommodation and food. Post-traumatic stress. Recovery services and financial
assistance required. Emergency services required. Temporary loss of jobs due to
displacement and lack of access.
Theft and presence of looters. Buildings 2230 buildings are at risk of inundation, in the
following areas: City: Belgian Gardens, North Ward, City,
West End, Hyde Park, Hermit Park. South Townsville: South Townsville,
Railway Estate. Fairfield: Oonoonba.
Buildings may suffer structural and/or contents damage.
Temporary loss of power, telecommunications, water supply and sewerage.
Loss of government services. Cleanup costs. Looting may occur. Property owners may incur
cleanup costs. Damage to caravan parks and
other community facilities. Business 160 businesses are at risk of being affected by
inundation, in the following areas: City: Belgian Gardens, City, Hyde Park,
Hermit Park. South Townsville: South Townsville,
Railway Estate.
Structure and stock damage. Temporary loss of power,
telecommunications, water supply and sewerage.
Inability to service customers. Looting may occur. Clean-up costs.
Engineering Lifelines
Some engineering lifelines may suffer damage by storm surge (>300mm). Those lifelines most at risk include important transport routes, and power. Transport Routes Access to Cleveland Bay STP restricted.
South Townsville: Perkins Street, Palmer Street, Sixth Street East (end), Sixth Street East/Fifth Avenue, Seventh Street, Ninth Street, Doorey Street, Railway Avenue/Queens Road, Sussex Street/Bayswater Road.
Water, sewerage, power and telecommunications may fail.
Roads will be closed. Essential services unable to be
maintained – eg refrigeration of food.
Health concerns due to contaminated water supply, spread of disease.
Inability to warn community, coordination of emergency services etc.
Road access cut-off, structural damage to transport routes.
Coordination difficulties for emergency services personnel.
Critical Facilities
Critical facilities are at risk from storm surge inundation (>300mm): South Townsville: Fire Station inundated
and access restricted.
Reduction in food and other critical goods storage and distribution capacity.
Reduction in hospital capacity. Reduction in capacity of
emergency services in both response and recovery stages.
Note: Assessment based purely on impact of storm surge inundation. Significant damage will probably occur to moored vessels and to buildings as a result of wave and wind action (not assessed as part of this study).
Table 17 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Magnetic Island Hazard – Flooding (1 in 50 Year ARI Event)
Vulnerable Elements
Risk Consequence
People The population is at risk of inundation by flooding in the following areas: Picnic Bay (7) Nelly Bay (36) Arcadia (20) Horseshoe Bay (40)
People may be injured and require medical treatment.
People may be displaced from their homes for short period (eg 24hrs).
People may require local services. People may be able to work with some
inconvenience. Buildings Buildings are at risk of inundation
by flooding in the following areas: Picnic Bay Nelly Bay Arcadia Horseshoe Bay
Buildings may suffer some damage (contents).
Temporary loss of power, telecommunications, water supply and sewerage.
Some clean-up costs may be incurred by property owners.
Business Businesses are at risk of being affected by flooding in the following areas: Picnic Bay Nelly Bay Arcadia Horseshoe
Businesses operate with some inconvenience.
Temporary loss of power, telecommunications, water supply and sewerage.
Some clean-up costs.
Engineering Lifelines
Engineering lifelines (sewerage, power supply, communications) within the following areas may suffer damage by flooding: Picnic Bay Nelly Bay Arcadia Horseshoe Bay
Sewerage, power and telecommunications may fail temporarily.
Critical Facilities
Some critical facilities are at risk from flooding
Inconvenience to local goods distribution. Local clinics operate with some
inconvenience. Some delay in the response of emergency
services (police) due to road access restrictions.
Table 18 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Magnetic Island Hazard – Storm Surge & Tidal Inundation (1 in 50 Year ARI Event)
Vulnerable Elements
Risk Consequence
People The population is at risk of inundation by storm surge and tidal inundation in the following areas: Nelly Bay (12) Horseshoe Bay (6)
People may be injured and require medical treatment.
People may be displaced from their homes for short period (eg 24hrs).
People may require local services. People may be able to work with some
inconvenience. Buildings Buildings are at risk of storm
surge and tidal inundation in the following areas:
Nelly Bay Horseshoe Bay
Buildings may suffer some damage (contents).
Temporary loss of power, telecommunications and sewerage.
Some clean-up costs may be incurred by property owners
Business Businesses are at risk of being affected by storm surge and tidal inundation in the following areas:
Nelly Bay Horseshoe Bay
Businesses operate with some inconvenience.
Temporary loss of power, telecommunications and sewerage.
Some clean-up costs. Engineering Lifelines
Engineering lifelines (sewerage, power supply, communications) within the following areas may suffer damage by storm surge and tidal inundation: Nelly Bay Horseshoe Bay
Sewerage, power and telecommunications may fail temporarily.
Critical Facilities
Some critical facilities in the following areas are at risk from storm surge and tidal inundation
Inconvenience to local goods distribution. Local clinics operate with some
inconvenience. Some delay in the response of emergency
services (police) due to road access restrictions
Table 19 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Pallarenda and Cungulla Hazard – Storm Surge & Tidal Inundation (1 in 50 Year ARI Event)
Vulnerable Elements
Risk Consequence
People The populations of Pallarenda (70) and Cungulla (100) are at risk of inundation by storm surge and tidal inundation
People may be displaced from their homes for short period (eg 24hrs).
Buildings Buildings at Cungulla and Pallarenda are at risk of inundation by storm surge and tidal inundation
Buildings may suffer some damage (contents).
Power and telecommunications are expected to operate adequately.
Temporary loss of sewerage services (Cungulla).
Some clean-up costs may be incurred by property owners.
Business Businesses at Cungulla and Pallarenda are at risk of inundation by storm surge and tidal inundation
Businesses operate with some inconvenience.
Temporary loss of sewerage (Cungulla). Loss of power and communications unlikely. Some clean-up costs.
Engineering Lifelines
Engineering lifelines may suffer damage by storm surge and tidal inundation. The pump station at the end of Cribb Street at Pallarenda is inundated.
Water and sewerage may temporarily fail (Cungulla).
Health concerns due to contaminated water supply, spread of disease.
Access may be restricted within local area at Cungulla.
Critical Facilities
Some critical facilities are at risk from storm surge and tidal inundation. The aged care facility at Pallarenda is subject to inundation at the property boundary.
Reduction in food and other critical goods storage and distribution capacity.
Table 20 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Pallarenda and Cungulla Hazard – Storm Surge and Tidal Inundation (Cyclone Althea coincident with High Tide)
Vulnerable Elements
Risk Consequence
People The populations of Pallarenda and Cungulla are at risk of inundation by storm surge and tidal inundation
Injuries and fatalities. Evacuation and emergency accommodation
and food. Post-traumatic stress. Recovery services and financial assistance
required. Temporary loss of jobs due to displacement
and lack of access. Buildings Buildings are at risk of inundation
by storm surge and tidal inundation
Buildings may suffer structural and/or contents damage.
Temporary loss of power, telecommunications, water supply and sewerage.
Cleanup costs. Property owners may incur clean-up costs.
Business Businesses are at risk of inundation by storm surge and tidal inundation
Structure damages. Temporary loss of power,
telecommunications, water supply and sewerage.
Cleanup costs. Engineering Lifelines
Engineering lifelines are at risk of inundation by storm surge and tidal inundation, particularly of main evacuation routes. There will also be damage to on-site septic systems, rain water tanks, power and telecommunications. The pump station along the Esplanade at Pallarenda is inundated.
Water, sewerage, power and telecommunications may fail.
Roads will be closed. Health concerns due to contaminated water
supply and inundation of septic tanks. Essential services unable to be maintained,
e.g. refrigeration of food. Inability to warn community, coordination of
emergency services. Road access cut-off, structural damage to
transport links. Critical Facilities
Some critical facilities are at risk from storm surge and tidal inundation. Further inundation of the Aged care facility at Pallarenda is evident.
Reduction in food and other critical goods storage and distribution capacity.
Table 21 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Other Components Hazard – Flooding (1998 Flood Event)
Vulnerable Elements
Risk Consequence
Environment Ross River and various other creeks and floodplain environments throughout the Study Area may be adversely effected by flooding. Debris and sediment may be generated during the flooding.
Pollution of water ways: spreading of disease, chemicals, fuels etc may be released in river.
River bank scouring and erosion may occur, possible course change.
Sediment transport and deposition. Loss of vegetation and habitat. Reduced drainage capacity due to debris
and sediment loading. Major Transportation Routes
Major transport routes throughout the Study Area are at risk of flooding. The North Coast Railway Line is at risk of inundation by flooding.
Structural damage. Major supply route cut off with indirect
affects to neighbouring areas (Thuringowa). Major access routes cut off, causing
difficulties for emergency services accessing the community.
People travelling through the Study areas may be cut off, creating extra pressure on emergency services.
Table 22 – Risk Register, Part A – Risk Description – Other Components Hazard – Storm Surge & Tidal Inundation (Cyclone Althea coincident with High Tide)
Vulnerable Elements
Risk Consequence
Environment Ross River, Ross Creek and various other creeks and floodplain environments throughout the Study Area may be adversely effected by storm surge and tidal inundation.
Pollution of waterways: spreading of disease, chemicals, fuels etc may be released in creeks and rivers.
Creek bank scouring and erosion may occur.
Loss of vegetation and habitat through salt damage.
Soil deterioration due to salt intrusion. Major Transportation Routes
Main accesses into Pallarenda and Cungulla are at risk of inundation by storm surge and tidal inundation. Main access routes are at risk of inundation by storm surge and tidal inundation.
Structural damage. Major supply route cut off. Major access routes cut off, causing
difficulties for emergency services accessing the community.
Table 23 – Risk Register, Part B – Risk Evaluation – Townsville Hazard Risk Likelihood
Rating Consequence
Rating Risk Rating
Flooding (1 in 10 Year ARI Event)
Population at risk in City, Fairfield and Mt Louisa Buildings flooded over floor level in City, Fairfield and Mt Louisa Businesses suffer loss/damage in City Engineering lifelines suffer damage Critical facilities damaged/disrupted
Likely
Likely
Likely
Likely
Likely
Insignificant
Minor
Minor
Insignificant
Insignificant
Moderate
High
High
Moderate
Moderate
Flooding (1 in 50 Year ARI Event)
Population at risk in City, Fairfield, Mt Louisa, South Townsville and Annandale Buildings flooded over floor level in City, Fairfield, Mt Louisa, South Townsville and Annandale Businesses suffer loss/damage in City, Mt Louisa and Fairfield Engineering lifelines suffer damage Critical facilities damaged/disrupted
Unlikely
Unlikely
Unlikely
Unlikely
Unlikely
Minor
Moderate
Moderate
Minor
Moderate
Low
Moderate
Moderate
Low
Moderate
Flooding (1998 Flood Event)
Population at risk across most of Townsville area Buildings flooded over floor level across most of Townsville area Businesses suffer loss/damage Engineering lifelines suffer damage Critical facilities damaged/disrupted
Rare
Rare
Rare
Rare
Rare
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Major
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
High
Moderate
High Risks: Works identified and included in forward works programme
Table 24– Risk Register, Part B – Risk Evaluation – Townsville (continued) Hazard Risk Likelihood
Rating Consequence
Rating Risk Rating
Storm Surge & Tidal Inundation (Cyclone Althea)
Small population at risk Small number of buildings flooded over floor level Businesses suffer minimal loss/damage Engineering lifelines suffer minimal damage Critical facilities not damaged/disrupted
Possibly Possibly
Possibly
Possibly
Possibly
Minor Minor
Insignificant
Insignificant
Insignificant
Moderate Moderate
Low
Low
Low
Storm Surge & Tidal Inundation (Cyclone Althea coincident with High Tide)
Population at risk Buildings flooded over floor level Businesses suffer loss/damage Engineering lifelines suffer damage Critical facilities damaged/disrupted
Rare Rare
Rare
Rare
Rare
Major Major
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate
High High
High
Moderate
Moderate High Risks: Works identified and included in forward works programme
Table 25 – Risk Register, Part B – Risk Evaluation – Magnetic Island Hazard Risk Likelihood
Rating Consequence
Rating Risk Rating
Flooding (1 in 50 Year ARI Event)
Population at risk Buildings flooded Businesses suffer loss/damage Engineering lifelines suffer damage Critical facilities damaged/disrupted
Unlikely
Unlikely
Unlikely
Unlikely
Unlikely
Moderate
Moderate
Minor
Insignificant
Minor
Moderate
Moderate
Low
Low
Low
Storm Surge & Tidal Inundation (1 in 50 Year ARI Event)
Population at risk Buildings flooded Businesses suffer loss/damage Engineering lifelines suffer damage Critical facilities damaged/disrupted
Unlikely Unlikely Unlikely
Unlikely
Unlikely
Minor Minor Minor
Minor
Minor
Low Low Low
Low
Low
Table 26 – Risk Register, Part B – Risk Evaluation – Pallarenda and Cungulla Hazard Risk Likelihood
Rating Consequence
Rating Risk Rating
Storm Surge & Tidal Inundation (1 in 50 Year ARI Event)
Population at risk Buildings flooded Businesses suffer loss/damage Engineering lifelines suffer damage Critical facilities damaged/disrupted
Unlikely Unlikely Unlikely
Unlikely
Unlikely
Minor Minor Minor
Minor
Minor
Low Low Low
Low
Low Storm Surge & Tidal Inundation (Cyclone Althea coincident with High Tide)
Population at risk Buildings flooded Businesses suffer loss/damage Engineering lifelines suffer damage Critical facilities damaged/disrupted
Rare Rare Rare
Rare
Rare
Moderate Moderate
Minor
Moderate
Moderate
Moderate Moderate
Low
Moderate
Moderate
Table 27 – Risk Register, Part B – Risk Evaluation – Other Components Hazard Risk Likelihood
Rating Consequence
Rating Risk Rating
Flooding (1998 Flood Event)
Environmental damage to floodplain Major transport routes cut off Debris and sediment loading causes localised drainage issues
Rare
Rare
Possibly
Minor
Major
Minor
Low
High
Moderate
Storm Surge & Tidal Inundation (Cyclone Althea coincident with High Tide)
Environmental damage to floodplain Major transport routes cut off
Rare
Rare
Moderate
Major
Moderate
High
High Risks: Works identified and included in forward works programme
Population at risk from over floor flooding: 183 in 10 Year ARI 573 in 50 Year ARI 3865 in January 1998
(500 year ARI)
Moderate Loss of life and serious injury in predictable events unacceptable. Large scale damage/displacement in extreme events like that experienced in 1998 is undesirable.
Unacceptable City, Fairfield, Mount Louisa
2
Residential buildings flooded over floor level: 52 in 10 Year ARI 177 in 50 Year ARI 1185 in January 1998
(500 year ARI)
High Damage to buildings is unavoidable in extreme events, where widespread loss of property and contents occurs. Damage to buildings or infrastructure for events less than 1 in 50 year AEP is unacceptable in existing areas.
Unacceptable City, Fairfield, Mount Louisa
1
Businesses suffer loss/damage from over floor inundation: 5 in 10 Year ARI 12 in 50 Year ARI 310 in January 1998
(500 year ARI)
High Major economic loss and long term effects on existing businesses is unacceptable for events less than the 1 in 10 year AEP. For larger events, it is accepted that economic loss is unavoidable.
Unavoidable City 2
Engineering lifelines suffer damage and disruption
High Damage to engineering lifelines (water, sewerage, power, communications) for more than 24 hours is unacceptable.
Undesirable It is recognised that any loss will be for a short duration (less than 6 hours)
City 2
Flooding
Critical facilities damaged/disrupted
Moderate Damage to critical facilities that makes them inoperable/unavailable at any time is unacceptable. New facilities should not be constructed in areas known to be flood prone.
Population at risk from over floor flooding: 440 in Cyclone Althea 7150 in extreme event
High Loss of life and serious injury in predictable events unacceptable. Large scale damage/displacement in extreme events like Cyclone Althea coincident with a high tide is undesirable.
Unacceptable City, South Townsville, Fairfield
1
Buildings flooded over floor level: 150 in Cyclone Althea 2230 in extreme event
High Damage to buildings is unavoidable in extreme events, where widespread loss of property and contents occurs. Damage to buildings or infrastructure for events less than 1 in 100 year AEP is unacceptable.
Undesirable City, South Townsville, Fairfield
2
Businesses suffer loss/damage from over floor inundation: 160 in extreme event
High Major economic loss and long term effects on existing businesses is unacceptable for events less than the 1 in 10 year AEP. For larger events, it is accepted that economic loss is unavoidable.
Unavoidable City, South Townsville
3
Engineering lifelines suffer damage and disruption
Moderate Damage to engineering lifelines (water, sewerage, power, communications) for more than 24 hours is unacceptable.
Undesirable Unsealed access routes may remain untrafficable for extended period
Sandfly Creek (CBPP)
2
Storm Surge and Tidal Inundation
Critical facilities damaged/disrupted
Moderate Damage to critical facilities that makes them inoperable/unavailable at any time is unacceptable. New facilities should not be constructed in areas known to be flood prone.
Undesirable South Townsville 2
Table 30 – Register of Prioritised Unacceptable Risks – Magnetic Island (Flooding) Hazard Risks Risk
Rating Risk Evaluation Assessment Most Vulnerable
Areas Risk Priority
Population at risk from over floor flooding: 103 in 50 Year ARI
Moderate Loss of life and serious injury in predictable events unacceptable. Large scale damage/displacement in extreme events like that experienced in 1998 is undesirable.
Undesirable Picnic Bay, Horseshoe Bay, Arcadia, Nelly Bay
2
Buildings flooded over floor level.
Moderate Damage to buildings is unavoidable in extreme events, where widespread loss of property and contents occurs. Damage to buildings or infrastructure for events less than 1 in 100 year AEP is unacceptable.
Unavoidable Picnic Bay, Horseshoe Bay
2
Businesses suffer loss/damage from over floor inundation.
Low Major economic loss and long term effects on existing businesses is unacceptable for events less than the 1 in 10 year AEP. For larger events, it is accepted that economic loss is unavoidable.
Undesirable Picnic Bay, Horseshoe Bay, Arcadia
3
Engineering lifelines suffer damage and disruption
Low Damage to engineering lifelines (water, sewerage, power, communications) for more than 24 hours is unacceptable.
Undesirable Horseshoe Bay 3
Flooding
Critical facilities damaged/disrupted
Low Damage to critical facilities that makes them inoperable/unavailable at any time is unacceptable. New facilities should not be constructed in areas known to be flood prone.
Undesirable Nelly Bay 3
Table 31 – Register of Prioritised Unacceptable Risks – Magnetic Island (Storm Surge) Hazard Risks Risk
Rating Risk Evaluation Assessment Most Vulnerable
Areas Risk Priority
Population at risk from over floor flooding: 18 in 50 Year ARI 80 in 100 Year ARI
Low Loss of life and serious injury in predictable events unacceptable. Large scale damage/displacement in extreme events like Cyclone Althea coincident with a high tide is undesirable.
Undesirable Nelly Bay, Horseshoe Bay, Arcadia
3
Buildings flooded over floor level: 6 in 50 Year ARI 27 in 100 Year ARI
Low Damage to buildings is unavoidable in extreme events, where widespread loss of property and contents occurs. Damage to buildings or infrastructure for events less than 1 in 100 year AEP is unacceptable.
Unavoidable Nelly Bay, Horseshoe Bay, Arcadia
3
Businesses suffer loss/damage from over floor inundation
Low Major economic loss and long term effects on existing businesses is unacceptable for events less than the 1 in 10 year AEP. For larger events, it is accepted that economic loss is unavoidable.
Undesirable Nelly Bay, Arcadia
3
Engineering lifelines suffer damage and disruption
Low Damage to engineering lifelines (water, sewerage, power, communications) for more than 24 hours is unacceptable.
Undesirable Nelly Bay, Horseshoe Bay
3
Storm Surge and Tidal Inundation
Critical facilities damaged/disrupted
Low Damage to critical facilities that makes them inoperable/unavailable at any time is unacceptable. New facilities should not be constructed in areas known to be flood prone.
Undesirable Picnic Bay, Nelly Bay
3
Table 32 – Register of Prioritised Unacceptable Risks – Pallarenda and Cungulla Hazard Risks Risk
Rating Risk Evaluation Assessment Most Vulnerable
Areas Risk Priority
Population at risk from over floor flooding: Cungulla 100 in 50 Year ARI 140 in 100 Year ARI
Pallarenda 70 in 50 Year ARI 170 in 100 Year ARI
Moderate Loss of life and serious injury in predictable events unacceptable. Large scale damage/displacement in extreme events like Cyclone Althea coincident with a high tide is undesirable.
Unacceptable Pallarenda Aged care facility potentially isolated for short periods and subject to inundation
2
Buildings flooded over floor level
Moderate Damage to buildings is unavoidable in extreme events, where widespread loss of property and contents occurs. Damage to buildings or infrastructure for events less than 1 in 100 year AEP is unacceptable.
Unavoidable Cungulla 3
Businesses suffer loss/damage from over floor inundation
Low Major economic loss and long term effects on existing businesses is unacceptable for events less than the 1 in 10 year AEP. For larger events, it is accepted that economic loss is unavoidable.
Undesirable Pallarenda 3
Engineering lifelines suffer damage and disruption
Moderate Damage to engineering lifelines (water, sewerage, power, communications) for more than 24 hours is unacceptable.
Undesirable Cungulla 2
Storm Surge and Tidal Inundation
Critical facilities damaged/disrupted
Low Damage to critical facilities that makes them inoperable/unavailable at any time is unacceptable. New facilities should not be constructed in areas known to be flood prone.
Undesirable Pallarenda 2
Table 33 – Register of Prioritised Unacceptable Risks – Other Components Hazard Risks Risk
Rating Risk Evaluation Assessment Most Vulnerable
Areas Risk Priority
Environmental damage to floodplain
Low Environmental damage through river bank erosion, loss of vegetation and habitat, possible river course change is unacceptable in frequent events. Some environmental damage in extreme events is unavoidable
Undesirable The flood event of 1998 produced no lasting environmental damage
Ross River floodplain, Louisa Creek, Ross Creek, Rowes Bay Canal
3
Major transportation routes cut off
High Damage/disruption to major transportation routes for more than 24 hours is unacceptable. It is unacceptable that frequent events (1 in 5 year AEP) result in individuals or communities being isolated for more than 6 hours. Reduced capacity for medical evacuation is unacceptable.
Unacceptable Magnetic Island, Pallarenda, Cungulla, Cluden
1
Flooding
Debris and sediment reduce drainage efficiency
Moderate Unacceptable
Mindham Park Drain, Castle Hill, Magnetic Island, Ross River
2
Environmental damage to floodplain and foreshore
Moderate Environmental damage through foreshore erosion, loss of vegetation and habitat is unacceptable in frequent events. Some environmental damage in extreme events is unavoidable
Undesirable Recent cyclone events have resulted in significant foreshore erosion
Pallarenda, Rowes Bay, Strand, South Townsville
2 Storm Surge and Tidal Inundation
Major transportation routes cut off
High Damage/disruption to major transportation routes for more than 24 hours is unacceptable. It is unacceptable that frequent events (1 in 5 year AEP) result in individuals or communities being isolated for more than 6 hours. Reduced capacity for medical evacuation is unacceptable.
Unacceptable Magnetic Island, Pallarenda, Cungulla, City, South Townsville, Fairfield
1
Table 34 – Identification and Evaluation of Treatment Options – Flood and Storm Surge Treatment Options Risk Risk
Population at risk Buildings flooded over floor level Businesses suffer loss/damage Engineering lifelines suffer damage Critical facilities damaged/disrupted Environmental Damage Debris and Sediment Loading Major Transport Routes Cut
Moderate
To
High
Structural measures to increase capacity of drainage systems, increase immunity of road crossings, or reduce frequency of flooding. Town planning controls to restrict new development in flood prone areas, and set development levels. In areas where flooding affects only small numbers of properties, voluntary acquisition or raising of properties can prove cost effective. Upgrade the existing flood warning system, particularly in areas prone to flash flooding (most of the Study Area). Assess potential for relocating or flood proofing critical facilities. Raise critical access roads or identify alternative routes.
Implement a community awareness and education program aimed at preparedness, damage reduction and response resources. Develop comprehensive flood database, including historical flood levels and flood inundation mapping. Improve the dissemination of flood warning advice to affected communities, and implement strategies to ensure efficient and targeted communication. Promote community involvement (individuals or groups) in disaster planning and local flood management schemes. Review and update the Townsville / Thuringowa Counter Disaster Plan. Implement a regular maintenance program to minimise potential for debris and sediment build-up.
Activate the Counter Disaster Plan, including designated Emergency Coordination Centre. Training and exercises for response and recovery teams. Utilise range of resources available to ensure that reliable and timely information is provided to the public (eg. Bureau of Meteorology, radio and television stations). Coordination of evacuation procedures with Police, Fire, and SES personnel. Resource logistical support as required to meet different situations (eg. military). Minimise impact to transient population by implementing road and rail closures (in conjunction with Main Roads and QR) to limit population ingress to affected area.
Assistance with clean up of residential and commercial property. Provision of temporary housing and shelter, financial assistance and emergency food supplies. Counselling of emotionally affected people, particularly post-traumatic stress disorder. Public awareness programs to inform affected communities of where and when recovery assistance can be sought. Review Counter Disaster Plan in light of recent experience. Restoring lifelines and essential services, particularly to isolated communities.
Townsville City Council consistently demonstrates commitment to disaster planning, including: - implementing lessons learnt from the event of January 1998 - development of draft town planning policies addressing flooding risk - funding major flood mitigation works in worst affected areas - developing brochures and advertising to raise awareness - collecting historical flood data and community input via questionnaire and public meetings. - undertaking design and investigation of mitigation works - expansion of flood warning network
Table 35 – Treatment Strategy Development (Townsville) Ranking (Priority)
1 (H) Continue to implement current Townsville West Flood Mitigation Project (Stage 1 and 2).
Townsville City Council 0 – 5 years $7.20 million Council Budget, External Funding Sources
2 (H) Develop town planning policy on flood and storm surge prone areas.
Townsville City Council 0 – 5 years $5000 (Time and Materials)
Council Budget
3 (H) Upgrade existing flood warning system for Townsville. Townsville City Council 0 – 5 years $25,000 Council Budget, External Funding Sources
4 (H) Review and Update Counter Disaster Plan Townsville City Council 0 – 5 years $5000 (Time and Materials)
Council Budget
5 (H) Wandella Crescent/Cranbrook Park trunk drainage to Ross River
Townsville City Council 0 – 5 years $6.00 million Council Budget, External Funding Sources
6 (H) Killara Street Diversion to Ross River. Townsville City Council 0 – 5 years $11.8 million Council Budget, External Funding Sources
7 (M) Widening of the primary drainage path in the area immediately downstream of Abbott Street – Gordon Creek
Townsville City Council 5 – 10 years $2.40 million Council Budget, External Funding Sources
8 (M) Widening the Woolcock Canal between Kings Road and Parkes Street, and culverts under Kings Road to match.
Townsville City Council 5 – 10 years $1.60 million Council Budget, External Funding Sources
9 (H) Relocate the exposed section of the western suburb outfall main that crosses the Ross River.
Citiwater 0 – 5 years $1.00 million Council Budget, External Funding Sources
10 (H) Raise section of Bruce Highway (between Abbott St and Stuart Drive).
Department of Main Roads and other agencies
0 – 5 years $0.10 million State Government
11 (L) Fraire Street (Hermit Park) Diversion to Ross River. Townsville City Council 10 – 15 years $3.20 million Council Budget, External Funding Sources
12 (M) Construction of stormwater pump stations at Albany Road and Hindley Street.
Townsville City Council 5 – 10 years $1.8 million Council Budget, External Funding Sources
13 (M) Divert southern Dalrymple Road Drain under Bayswater Road to link up with the corresponding drain on the northern side of Bayswater Road.
Townsville City Council 5 – 10 years $0.15 million Council Budget
14 (M) Divert and upgrade Brampton Avenue pipe drainage system from Oliver Court to Fulham Road via Nathan Street.
Townsville City Council 5 – 10 years $3.50 million Council Budget, External Funding Sources
15 (M) Provide additional culvert capacity along Hopkins Street to reduce inundation around Hugh Street and Gill Park (Ambulance Station)
Townsville City Council 5 – 10 years $1.80 million Council Budget
16 (M) Upgrade drainage capacity at Lyndhurst Street / Barnet Street (Mount Louisa).
Townsville City Council 5 – 10 years $1.15 million Council Budget, Developer Contribution.
17 (L) Raise Boundary Street (Various Locations). Townsville City Council 10 – 15 years $0.53 million. Council Budget, External Funding Sources
Legend: H – High Priority, M – Medium Priority, L – Low Priority
Table 36 – Treatment Strategy Development (Townsville) (Contd) Ranking (Priority)
18 (L) Divert Buchanan Street / Davies Street drainage to Louisa Creek.
Townsville City Council 10 – 15 years $0.48 million Council Budget, External Funding Sources
19 (M) Upgrade drainage at Brooks Street/Tenth Avenue. Townsville City Council 5 – 10 years $0.06 million Council Budget 20 (M) Upgrade pipe drainage system at Mitchell Street / Burke
Street (North Ward). Townsville City Council 5 – 10 years $0.50 million Council Budget, External
Funding Sources 21 (M) Captains Creek (Rowes Bay Canal): Downstream of Old
Common Road, the capacity of the Creek needs to be increased (particularly downstream of Evans Street).
Townsville City Council 5 – 10 years $1.75 million Council Budget, External Funding Sources
22 (M) Anne Street (Aitkenvale) Diversion to Ross River. Townsville City Council 5 – 10 years $3.40 million Council Budget, External Funding Sources
23 (M) Upgrade diversion pump at Campbell Street/Queens Road intersection.
Townsville City Council 5 – 10 years $1.5 million Council Budget, External Funding Sources
24 (M) Channel clearing and widening of Gordon Creek to establish a defined flow path over a 1 km length.
Townsville City Council 5 – 10 years $2.00 million Council Budget, External Funding Sources, Developer Contribution.
25 (M) Upgrade drainage at Marshall Street/Primrose Street intersection.
Townsville City Council 5 – 10 years $0.90 million Council Budget, External Funding Sources
26 (M) Upgrading the access culvert to BP Service Station (Cluden).
Department of Main Roads / Developer 5 – 10 years $0.21 million State Government
27 (L) Upgrade capacity of the pipe drainage system along Fulham Road and Eckhoff Street.
Townsville City Council 10 – 15 years $3.20 million Council Budget
Townsville City Council 10 – 15 years $0.45 million Council Budget
29 (L) O'Dowd Street (Mundingburra) Diversion to Ross River. Townsville City Council 10 – 15 years $0.40 million Council Budget, External Funding Sources
30 (L) Upgrade Water Street piped stormwater drain Townsville City Council 10 – 15 years $0.38 million Council Budget, External Sources
31 (L) Buy out of flooded lot on the corner of O’Reilly / Brown Street
Townsville City Council 10 – 15 years Subject to property valuation and negotiation
Council Budget
32 (M) Divert Flow From Jurekey Street to Stuart Creek by Overland Flow Path
Townsville City Council 5 – 10 years $1.70 million Council Budget, External Funding Sources
Legend: H – High Priority, M – Medium Priority, L – Low Priority
Table 37 – Treatment Strategy Development (Magnetic Island) Ranking (Priority)
1 (H) Upgrade Heatley Parade (Evacuation Route from Pallarenda).
Townsville City Council 0 – 5 years $0.55 million Council Budget, External Funding Sources
2 (H) Install dedicated storm surge sirens at Pallarenda and Cungulla.
Townsville City Council 0 – 5 years $10,000 Council Budget, External Funding Sources
3 (M) Upgrade Frank Randall Drive (Main Road at Cungulla).
Townsville City Council 5 – 10 years $0.20 million Council Budget, External Funding Sources
Legend: H – High Priority, M – Medium Priority, L – Low Priority
Townsville Flood Hazard Assessment Study Revision A Phase 3 Report - Vulnerability Assessment and Risk Analysis December 2005 J:\MMPL\80377706\Administration\Flood Report\Phase 3\re-issue Nov 06\report.doc
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Appendix C Community Vulnerability Mapping
Original Size A1
DESIGN
DRAFTING
CHECKEDPREPAREDPASSED
DATE Consulting Engineers, Planners,Environmental Scientists & Project Managers
Maunsell Australia Pty LtdABN 20 093 846 925
ISSUEDATE14.9.04 1
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Original Size A1
DESIGN
DRAFTING
CHECKEDPREPAREDPASSED
DATE Consulting Engineers, Planners,Environmental Scientists & Project Managers
Maunsell Australia Pty LtdABN 20 093 846 925
ISSUEDATE11.9.03 1
HONEYSUCKLE
DRIVE
MARIGOLD CT
ROAD
DR
SERI
SSA
CRES
SERI
SSA
CRES
LINARIA
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Original Size A1
DESIGN
DRAFTING
CHECKEDPREPAREDPASSED
DATE Consulting Engineers, Planners,Environmental Scientists & Project Managers
Maunsell Australia Pty LtdABN 20 093 846 925
ISSUEDATE11.9.03 1
BRUCE HWY
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Townsville Flood Hazard Assessment Study Revision A Phase 3 Report - Vulnerability Assessment and Risk Analysis December 2005 J:\MMPL\80377706\Administration\Flood Report\Phase 3\re-issue Nov 06\report.doc
Appendix D Citiworks List of Preliminary Mitigation Areas
Administration Building Walker Street Townsville PO Box 1268 Townsville QLD 4810
A BUSINESSUNIT OF
THE TOWNSVI
LLE CITY
COUNCIL
File S140220 24/01/03
TOWNSVILLE FLOOD MITIGATION STUDY PRELIMINARY LIST OF MITIGATION WORK
PRIORITY 1 • Gordon Creek - Fairfield - Wulguru
- Murray Sports Complex - Racecourse • Ross Creek - Woolcock Street - Mindham Park - Killara Street
- Lakes - Brampton Avenue - Including North and South rail yards • Louisa Creek - Hammett Street
- Eckhoff Street - Brampton Avenue - Buchanan Street, Davis Street • Barryman Street Pumps + Other 2 • Clayton Street, Campbell Street Pump
PRIORITY 2 • Primrose Street, Marshall Street - North Ward – ‘Seagulls’ • Margaret Street, Garrick Street (detention in Quarry) • Mitchell Street behind Aquarius (Kennedy Street) • Melrose Park, Douglas Street - Garbutt • Lara Street, Isabella Court – Cranbrook • Hugh Street adjacent to Gill Park – Hopkins Street Lakes 1
PRIORITY 3 • Boundary Street, Railway Estate - South Townsville • Little Street, Heatley Parade, Bundock Street • Chubb Street, Evans Street - Belgian Gardens • Stagpole Street, William Street, Harold Street - West End • Lyndhurst Street
PRIORITY 4 • Stuart Street, Stanley Street, Paxton Street • Meenan Street, Garbutt • Stuart Creek, Normandy Street • Holroyd Street, Wulguru • Howitt Street
PRIORITY 5 • Stuart Drive • Leichhardt Street, Eyre Street • Brooks Street
Townsville Flood Hazard Assessment Study Revision A Phase 3 Report - Vulnerability Assessment and Risk Analysis December 2005 J:\MMPL\80377706\Administration\Flood Report\Phase 3\re-issue Nov 06\report.doc
Appendix E Mitigation / Treatment Option Mapping
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Original Size A1
DESIGN
DRAFTING
CHECKEDPREPAREDPASSED
DATE Consulting Engineers, Planners,Environmental Scientists & Project Managers
Maunsell Australia Pty LtdABN 20 093 846 925
ISSUEDATE15.9.03 1
ROAD
LOLWORTH
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Original Size A1
DESIGN
DRAFTING
CHECKEDPREPAREDPASSED
DATE Consulting Engineers, Planners,Environmental Scientists & Project Managers
Maunsell Australia Pty LtdABN 20 093 846 925
ISSUEDATE05.1.04 2
INGHAM ROAD
BRUCE HWY
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ISSUEDATE14.9.04 1
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