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APLICACIONES EN INFORMÁTICA AVANZADA, S.L. European Innovation Transfer can Help with India Electricity System Growth Challenges September 2015.

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Page 1: APLICACIONES EN INFORMÁTICA AVANZADA, S.L.  European Innovation Transfer can Help with India Electricity System Growth Challenges September 2015.

APLICACIONES EN INFORMÁTICA AVANZADA, S.L. www.aia.es 1

European Innovation Transfer can Help with India Electricity System Growth Challenges

September 2015

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1. Group AIA

2. Context

3. Transmission and Generation Capacity

4. Main Challenges

5. Innovation from Europe

6. NASA Assessment

7. Possible Ways

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Group AIA (Aplicaciones en Informática Avanzada, S.L.) is a consulting and software engineering company founded in 1988 by 6 partners with experience in the scientific academic field. 100% owned by founders, employees and consultants.

Group AIA’s main objective is to empower our clients quality service delivery producing quantifiable economic profit through innovation, using advanced software as a technological value proposition.

Group AIA has accomplished the transfer of basic science: Mathematics, Physics, Economics and Artificial Intelligence to its goal Markets: Energy, Banking, Healthcare and Telecoms. It has solved common complex problems with solutions applied crossing industries' boundaries through new methods and algorithms.

Group AIA develops advanced software based on:- Intelligent Observation Systems.- Classification, prediction, optimization and simulation

techniques.- Modeling, Prescription and BIG DATA techniques.- Application of methodologies used in Mathematics and

Theoretical Physics.

Our Main ASSET: World Class Team with Talent & Creativity. - Top Talent Team of 50 (31% PhDs, 16% BSCs, 35%

Engineers).

(PhDs, MBAs, BS & engineers).

Presentation Group Companies Worldwide

Group AIA

MAIA SA de CVDF, México

Group AIA a Micro-multinational has been over twenty-six yearsBUILDING ALGORITHMS FOR A BETTER WORLD

acting as the enzyme for clients R&D

AIA SLBarcelona (HQ)

SPAIN

AIA India Private LimitedChennai, Tamil Nadu

INDIA

GRIDQUANT ESPAÑA S.L.U Barcelona

SPAIN

R&R MUSIC LIMITEDLondon

UK

ELEQUANT INCSan Francisco, CA

USA

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1. Group AIA

2. Context

3. Transmission and Generation Capacity

4. Main Challenges

5. Innovation from Europe

6. NASA Assessment

7. Possible Ways

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1. Make in India  and the building of new infrastructures require a strong , stable and reliable electricity supply and management.

2. The need to cover in a short time the energy demand growth of India triggers the use of renewable and green production available today.

3. Modi’s government is committed and we have heard of the many projects taking place at state and federal level.

4. Centralized Generation requires to be strengthened with Distributed Generation as well as a  strong backbones of transmission grid.

Context

Solutions

1. Tools that improve management of the frequency and voltage  stability  as well as non theft originated  losses still present in Transmission Grids.

2. Improve the REAL-TIME Management of the Backbone of Transmission and Distribution Grids.

3. Improve the off-line studies for Planning of Electricity Grids with regards to reliability and stability.

4. European Innovation  for Transmission and Distribution Alternate Current Grids that is being tested  by NASA in Direct Current with embedded electronic for missions further than Mars  and terrestrial Distribution  Microgrids, can be brought to India from Europe.

Situation and Issues

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Transmission and Generation CapacityTop 10

# Substations Transformation capacity (MVA)

Transmission lines (Km)

State Installed Capacity (MW)

Mahatransco (Maharashtra)

627§ 105,527 43,942 38,373

GETCO (Gujarat)

1,350† --- 47,972 28,950

TANTRANSCO (Tamil Nadu)

842* --- 24,497 23,105

Rajasthan Transco

486‡ 53,249 30,667 17,229

MPTRANSCO (Madhya Pradesh)

298§ 46,860 30,829 16,551

UPPTCL (Uttar Pradesh)

413‡ 68,162 28,544 15,722

KPTCL (Karnataka)

1,408† --- 42,093 15,271

CSPTCL (Chhattisgarh)

656† 10,599 19,675 13,688

A.P. TRANSCO (Andhra Pradesh)

246‡ --- 19,108 11,391

PSTCL (Punjab) 157* 18,075 9,693 10,590

§ Includes substations down to 66 kV.† Includes substations down to 33 kV.‡ Includes substations down to 132 kV.* Details of voltage levels unavailable.

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Main ChallengesMain key figures The table below shows the population, installed capacity, and peak demand in 2015*:

Population

(m) Installed Capacity

(GW) Peak Demand

(GW) Northern Region 370 54.1 54.3 Western Region 273 50.3 48.5 Southern Region 252 35.0 43.6 Eastern Region 271 19.4 18.5 North-Eastern Region 44 2.54 2.65

*Data from CEA [1]. Figures reflect actual available installed capacities, instead of nominal installed capacities, which are misleadingly higher. The Transmission and Distribution losses in India, although steadily improving, are still very high (these do not account for theft):

Year T&D losses (%) 2010-11 23.97 2011-12 23.65 2012-13 23.04 2013-14 21.46

As a reference, the typical aggregated T&D losses in advanced countries are about 7% to 9%.

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1. Make in India  and the building of new infrastructures require a strong , stable and reliable electricity supply.

2. The need to cover in a short time the energy demand growth of India triggers the use of renewable and green production available today.

3. Modi’s government is committed and we have heard of the many projects taking place at state and federal level.

4. Centralized Generation requires to be strengthened with Distributed Generation as well as a  strong backbones of transmission grid.

Main Challenges (2)

Triggered Actions

1. Solving the need to cover the nearly one-quarter of population with no electricity access.

2. Solving the need for this electricity to be reliable.

3. Minimizing non theft originated losses.

4. Guaranteeing the Security of this electricity in the sense of it being independent from outside providers.

5. Mitigation of climate change.

6. Commitment to Green Energy, Renewables wide spread.

Main Situation and Issues

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Innovation from EuropeWhat is AGORA and Benefits

ADVANCED GRID OBSERVATION RELIABLE ALGORITHMS

1. Is a XXIst Century Grid Management System solution , plug in software at various context.

2. Based on a patented breakthrough innovation algorithm to solve the load flow equations HELM (Holomorphic Embedding Loadflow Method) is the MUST HAVE TOOL for Companies embracing the LATEST TECHNOLOGIES.

3. Supports engineers in the operation and operation planning with tools that will facilitate the management of the ever changing grid and its assets.

4. Supports The New Smart Grid. Distribution grids are growing in size today and in the next years, creating flow behavior in unpredictable ways. AGORA a solution helping to best mange the electrical assets of the smart grids.

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Innovation from EuropeAGORA Loadflow Solutions HELM

10

AGORA loadflow Newton-Raphson (2 node system)

Physical Unstable

Erroneous Non-Convergence

Note: Every point within the circumference represents a possible starting point for Newton-Raphson calculation

Physical SolutionV

While AGORA always finds the physical solution, N-R can converge to either a physical or non-physical solution, wrong solution, or no solution or not

converge at all.

Voltage Collapse Point

Spurious Solution

P,Q

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Physical Spurious

Erroneous No Convergence

R=0X=0.2P=-0.8

Q=-0.2

R=0X=0.2P=-0.8

Q=-0.8

R=0X=0.2P=-0.8

Q=-1.115

R=0X=0.2P=-0.8

Q=-1.05

Electrical Grid observationSimple 2-node network: one swing and one load

NEW METHOD CHANGES PARADIGMS. DETERMINIST METHODOLOGY THAT PERFORMS ALWAYS UNLIKE NEWTON RAPHSON ITERATIVE NON

CONVERGENCE AS SYSTEM APPROACHES VOLTAGE COLLAPSE

Innovation from EuropeValue Proposition at the Base: HELM Loadflow Breakthrough Method

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AGORA always finds the Physical solution with no EQUIVOCATION; no initial points and no iteration.

Innovation from EuropeAGORA Loadflow Independent of Initial Point. Non Iterative Method

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Innovation from EuropeAGORA

• AGORA is based on a deterministic solution of the load flow equations– Ensures 100% “convergence” or solution generation even close to voltage

collapse.• AGORA’s advanced analysis modules provide

– State Estimation every 30 seconds in real time.– Automatic blackout recovery Plan in real time.– Improved system security for real time asset management

• Preventive (contingency analysis, load shedding recommendations…)• Corrective (resolution of limits violation, generation of restoration plans…)

– Network optimization and effect on Bottom line (minimizing losses, intelligent load shedding, demand forecasting, etc) and Optimal network planning.

– Process automation, Knowledge transfer and Training.– Will be instrumental in monitoring new topologies of Distribution Smart Grids.

AGORA solves some of the most important problems in the electrical network operation everyday tasks.

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• The probability of contingencies and great blackouts is increasing.

- Electricity companies operate nearer and nearer their capacity limits.

- Experts retiring, being replaced by young engineers.

• Obtain a clear vision of the network with new SE generations enabling.

- Operation under unstable conditions and near voltage collapse.

- Plan a more stable network for future investments.

• Great blackouts take more and more time to recover.

• From 2003 on, 50% of 42% informed ones last over one day.

- An important blackout has impact on the whole society, and its costs are getting higher.

- Networks change their behavior as market models and demand and generation distribution change.

• Automatic recovery systems coexisting with SMART Grid EMS.

- Prevents blackout situations when possible.

- In case of blackout, EMS computes the best and fastest restoration plan possible.

- Improves performance for interdependencies of networks.

- Allows for auditable information.

• REGULATORS.

• Enforcement of penalties.

• Deregulation forces cost-effectiveness.

• Optimize network management to optimize its economic performance and avoid fines.

• Optimize network planning to minimize investment needs.

Main concerns of the electricity sector Possible solutions AGORA

14

Innovation from EuropeIndustry Needs Addressed by AGORA

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Innovation from Europe AGORA Benefits: A Short List

AGORA BENEFITS IN NATIONAL AND STATES CONTEXT

1. AGORA Intelligent Grid Monitoring and its Innovative technology helps in Improving the overall score on quality indexes established by regulators (power losses, time of interruptions, etc) having impact on BUDGET with a short period for ROI. Minimizing unscheduled interchanges and curbing overdraws improves National Grid Security. Providing Reliable knowledge of the grid state for operations or market purposes.

2. Improvement of the Public Image of the industry in society and in the rest of the Country thanks to the above, and facilitating auditing of grid management practices through information provided.

3. Increase in the availability of electricity supply state and nationwide, by means of the increase of reliability of Operation (transmission capacity, generation assets management, Forecasting demand,..) even nearer to voltage collapse. Optimize Planned optimal rolling blackouts when load shedding is necessary.

4. Minimize the negative impact in the press and other media when blackouts occur. Grids imbalance between the growth of demand and the growth of transmission and generation infrastructures causes new flow patterns and unfamiliar grid behavior, thus increasing the risk of operation. There is a clear need for better supporting tools such as AGORA.

5. Reduction of economic losses in industry, agriculture and commerce as well as the reduction in the number and size of faults, and in the average time needed for blackout restoration. Quote: “…data suggest that across all business sectors, the U.S. economy is losing between $102 billion and $164 billion a year to outages and another $15 billion to $24 billion to Power-Quality phenomena” (source: EPRI, http://www.epri-intelligrid.com/intelligrid/docs/Cost_of_Power_Disturbances_to_Industrial_and_Digital_Technology_Companies.pdf ).

6. Minimize risk of alteration of social order, economy, public services, public health or environment in a region as consequence of total or partial interruption of the electricity supply.

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Performance. International Recognition.

Group AIA participates in NASA’s SBIR program (Small Business Innovation Research)

• NASA’s future developments:– At the International Space Station (ISS), State Estimation and Power Flow computations are performed from

ground control. NASA wants to make the transition towards fuller Autonomous Power Systems.– One of the main focus for NASA is placed today on the “Deep Space Exploration”: building infrastructure for

exploration. The approach relies heavily on the concepts of smart, autonomous systems: interchangeable (easily serviceable) power modules (“boxes”) that can be interchanged, with smart interfaces that allow them to cooperate.

– NASA expectations on Elequant Inc.’s HELM™ technology is that this new power flow algorithm can contribute in the research work area “Develop Power Control Hierarchy and Health Management”

• SBIR PHASE I awarded in June 2014, and successfully concluded in December 2014:– TOPIC S3, Spacecraft and Platform Subsystems, SUBTOPIC S3.03 Power Electronics and Management, and

Energy Storage– Proposal Title: Holomorphic Embedded Load Flow for autonomous spacecraft power systems.– Focus of the project: adapting the new HELM power flow to the relevant basic devices of DC micro-grids

present on current and projected power systems of spacecraft and space stations.  

• SBIR PHASE II awarded in June 2015 (2 year project)– Focus of the project: extend Phase-I results to all DC grid devices and build powerflow, state estimation, and

optimal powerflow modules for spacecraft grids. Explore new control applications based on this novel reliable powerflow algorithm.

NASA Assessment

16

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1. Knowledge Transfer, New Paradigm in Engineering curricula

2. Skilling on the applications of the method 

3. Selling product and services to the National, Transmission and Distribution Grid

4. Partnering with SMEs at state levels or Global player for engineering support

Possible Ways

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HQ BarcelonaAv. de la Torre Blanca, 5708172 Sant Cugat del VallèsBarcelonaTel. +34 93 504 49 00

San Francisco

48 Terra Vista Ave. # DSan Francisco, CA 94115 Tel. 1 415 978 98 00 Fax. 1 415 978 98 10

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Revenue per sector (2014):

Investment in R&D:- Strategic hedging position to guarantee

technological leadership.- Participation in National, European and US

(NASA) programs.- Defined policy for intellectual property and

patents.

The company in numbers

Group AIA

7%

Financial Ser-

vices74%

16%

4%

En-ergy

HealthcareOthers

EleQuant, Inc.

• Established in 2001 in San Francisco.

• Main responsibility is supporting energy business activities of Group AIA world-wide.

• Our responsibility is to support distributors in other markets (such as Battelle Memorial Institute in US and Canada).

• Focused primarily on the energy industry empowering utilities on their smart grid and green energy agenda.- Real-time EMS and DMS tools.- Off-line study & planning tools.- Demand forecasting.

EleQuant AWARD WINNER

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Transmission and Generation Capacity (2)

State-wise All India installed capacity as of July 2015

State/Union Territory

Thermal (in MW) Nuclear

(in MW)

Renewable (in MW)

Total (in MW)

% of Total Coal Gas Diesel

Sub-Total

Thermal Hydel

Other Renewable

Sub-Total Renewable

Maharastra 24,669.27 3,475.93 - 28,145.20 690.14 3,331.84 6,205.65 9,537.49 38,372.83 13.91%

Gujarat 16,010.27 6,806.09 - 22,816.36 559.32 772.00 4,802.40 5,574.4 28,950.08 10.49%

Madhya Pradesh 11,126.39 257.18 - 11,383.57 273.24 3,223.66 1,670.34 4,894.00 16,550.81 6.00%

Chhattisgarh 13,193.49 - - 13,193.49 47.52 120.00 327.18 447.18 13,688.19 4.96%

Goa 326.17 48.00 - 374.17 25.80 - 0.05 0.05 400.02 0.14%

Dadra & Nagar Haveli

44.37 27.10 - 71.47 8.46 - - - 79.93 0.03%

Daman & Diu 36.71 4.20 - 40.91 7.38 - - - 48.29 0.02%

Central - Unallocated

1,622.35 196.91 - 1,819.26 228.14 - - - 2,047.40 0.74%

Western Region 67,029.01 10,815.41 - 77,844.42 1,840.00 7,447.50 13.005.62 20,453.12 100,137.54 36.29%

Rajasthan 9,400.72 825.03 - 10,225.75 573.00 1,719.30 4,710.50 6,429.8 17,228.55 6.24%

Uttar Pradesh 11,677.95 549.97 - 12,227.92 335.72 2,168.30 989.86 3,158.16 15,721.80 5.70%

Punjab 6,444.88 288.92 - 6,733.80 208.04 3,145.13 503.42 3,648.55 10,590.38 3.84%

Haryana 6,527.53 560.29 - 7,087.82 109.16 1,456.83 138.60 1,595.43 8,792.41 3.19%

Delhi 5,001.87 2,366.01 - 7,367.88 122.08 822.05 34.71 856.76 8,346.72 3.03%

Himachal Pradesh 152.02 61.88 - 213.90 34.08 3,421.51 728.91 4,150.42 4,398.40 1.59%

Uttarakhand 399.50 69.35 - 468.85 22.28 2,441.82 244.32 2,686.14 3,177.27 1.15%

Jammu & Kashmir

329.32 304.14 - 633.46 77.00 1,805.21 156.53 1,961.74 2,672.20 0.97%

Chandigarh 32.54 15.32 - 47.86 8.84 62.32 5.04 67.36 124.06 0.04%

Central - Unallocated

977.19 290.35 - 1,267.54 129.80 754.30 - 754.30 2,151.64 0.78%

Northern Region 40.943.50 5,331.26 12.99 46,274.76 1,620.00 17,796.77 7,511.89 25,308.66 73,203.42 26.53%

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Transmission and Generation Capacity (3)State-wise All India installed capacity as of July 2015

State/Union Territory

Thermal (in MW) Nuclear (in MW)

Renewable (in MW) Total

(in MW) % of Total

Coal Gas Diesel Sub-Total Thermal

Hydel Other

Renewable Sub-Total Renewable

Tamil Nadu 10,075.10 1026.30 411.66 11,513.06 986.50 2,182.20 8,423.15 10,605.35 23,104.91 8.37%

Karnataka 6,408.46 - 234.42 6,642.88 475.86 3,599.80 4552.48 8,152.28 15,271.02 5.53%

Andhra Pradesh 5,849.21 1,672.65 16.97 7,538.83 127.16 1,721.99 2,002.65 3,724.64 11,390.64 4.13%

Telangana 5,598.47 1,697.75 19.83 7,316.05 148.62 2012.54 62.75 2,075.29 9,539.96 3.46%

Kerala 1,038.69 533.58 234.60 1,806.87 228.60 1881.50 204.05 2,085.55 4,121.02 1.49%

Puducherry 249.32 32.50 - 281.82 52.78 - 0.03 0.03 334.63 0.12%

Central - NLC 100.17 - - 100.17 - - - - 100.17 0.04%

Central - Unallocated 1,523.08 - - 1,523.08 300.48 - - - 1,823.56 0.66%

Southern Region 30,842.50 4,962.78 917.48 36,722.76 2,320.00 11,398.03 15,245.11 26,643.14 65,685.90 23.81%

West Bengal 8,083.83 100.00 - 8,183.83 - 1,248.30 131.45 1,379.75 9,563.84 3.47%

Odisha 6,753.04 - - 6,753.04 - 2,166.93 116.55 2,283.48 9,036.52 3.28%

DVC 7,160.66 90.00 - 7,250.66 - 193.26 - 193.26 7,443.92 2.70%

Bihar 2,516.24 - - 2,516.24 - 129.43 114.12 243.55 2,759.79 1.00%

Jharkhand 2,404.93 - - 2,404.93 - 200.93 20.05 220.98 2,625.91 0.95%

Sikkim 92.10 - - 92.10 - 174.27 52.11 226.38 318.48 0.12%

Central - Unallocated 1,572.07 - - 1,572.07 - - - - 1,572.07 0.57%

Eastern Region 28,582.87 190.00 - 28,772.87 - 4,113.12 434.54 4,547.66 33,320.53 12.08%

Assam 187.00 718.62 - 905.62 - 429.72 34.11 463.83 1,369.45 0.50%

Tripura 18.70 538.82 - 557.52 - 62.37 21.01 83.38 640.90 0.23%

Meghalaya 17.70 105.14 - 122.84 - 356.58 31.03 387.61 510.45 0.19%

Arunachal Pradesh 12.35 43.06 - 55.41 - 97.57 104.64 202.21 257.62 0.09%

Manipur 15.70 67.98 36.00 119.68 - 80.98 5.45 86.43 206.11 0.07%

Nagaland 10.70 46.35 - 57.05 - 53.32 29.67 82.99 140.04 0.05%

Mizoram 10.35 38.29 - 48.64 - 34.31 36.47 70.78 119.42 0.04%

Central - Unallocated 37.50 104.44 - 141.94 - 127.15 - 127.15 269.09 0.10%

North-Eastern Region 310.00 1,662.70 36.00 2,008.70 - 1,242.00 262.38 1,504.38 3,513.08 1.27%

Andaman & Nicobar - - 40.05 40.05 - - 10.35 10.35 50.40 0.02%

Lakshadweep - - - - - - 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.00%

Islands - - 40.05 40.05 - - 11.10 11.10 51.15 0.02%

Total 167,707.88 22,962.15 993.53 191,663.56 5,780 41,997.42 36,470.64 78,468.06 275,911.62 100.00%

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Innovation from EuropeCFE Mexico Uses HELM-Based Tools for Regional and TSO

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Functionalites Description

Innovation from Europe AGORA Blackout Restoration Function Summary

• Restoration Plan Generation

• Disturbance Detection.

• Dynamic restoration .

• Elaborates restoration plans based on the system situation in every moment considering the available equipment.

• Able to correct small blackouts before they turn into a bigger failure.

• Customers Rules can be incorporated.• Rules editing tools (specific states).• Incorporating restriction:

• on transient stability a-priori knowledge. • Black start.

• Optimal restoration plan. • Plan based on the A* algorithm that selects the optimal path (regarding established criteria) between the initial situation (blackout) and the final situation (system in service).

• Hierarchical restoration. • Restoration plan activated by areas and coordinated centrally.

• Continuous support to the operator. • Dynamic rectification of the plan when the operator does not follow it or there are external causes that change the network state.

The use of the combined state estimation SE in every moment, and the grid state transition simulation thanks to the new load flow makes it possible to

design the optimal restoration plan.