Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998 An Investigation of the Effectiveness of Hydrostatic Testing in Improving Pipeline Reliability Richard Espiner & Alan Edwards BG Technology Gas Research & Technology Centre Loughborough LE11 3GR United Kingdom SUMMARY Hydrostatic pressure testing can be used to prove the integrity of a pipeline, either prior to commissioning or for revalidation of an in-service pipeline. Probabilistic limit state analysis is used here to investigate the impact of hydrostatic testing on the overall reliability of an onshore gas transmission pipeline. Hydrostatic pressure testing is shown to significantly reduce the probability of failure from time dependent failure modes but has an insignificant effect on randomly occurring failure modes such as external interference. The merits of the hydrostatic test are discussed and compared with an alternative method for proving pipeline integrity. INTRODUCTION A pre-service hydrostatic test is usually conducted in order to prove the integrity of a pipeline and remove defects which may fail in service. However, many pipeline failures occur as a result of defects introduced during the life of the pipeline rather than those present at the time of commissioning, which limits the value of a pre-service hydrostatic test. This report describes a probabilistic limit state analysis to investigate the impact of
A pre-service hydrostatic test is usually conducted in order to prove the integrity of a pipeline and remove defects which may fail in service. However, many pipeline failures occur as a result of defects introduced during the life of the pipeline rather than those present at the time of commissioning, which limits the value of a pre-service hydrostatic test. This report describes a probabilistic limit state analysis to investigate the impact of SUMMARY INTRODUCTION
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Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
An Investigation of the Effectiveness of Hydrostatic Testing
in Improving Pipeline Reliability
Richard Espiner & Alan Edwards
BG Technology
Gas Research & Technology Centre
Loughborough
LE11 3GR
United Kingdom
SUMMARY
Hydrostatic pressure testing can be used to prove the integrity of a pipeline, either prior
to commissioning or for revalidation of an in-service pipeline.
Probabilistic limit state analysis is used here to investigate the impact of hydrostatic
testing on the overall reliability of an onshore gas transmission pipeline.
Hydrostatic pressure testing is shown to significantly reduce the probability of failure
from time dependent failure modes but has an insignificant effect on randomly occurring
failure modes such as external interference. The merits of the hydrostatic test are
discussed and compared with an alternative method for proving pipeline integrity.
INTRODUCTION
A pre-service hydrostatic test is usually conducted in order to prove the integrity of a
pipeline and remove defects which may fail in service. However, many pipeline failures
occur as a result of defects introduced during the life of the pipeline rather than those
present at the time of commissioning, which limits the value of a pre-service hydrostatic
test. This report describes a probabilistic limit state analysis to investigate the impact of
Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
pre-service hydrostatic testing on each credible mode of failure of onshore gas
transmission pipelines and hence on the overall probability of failure of such a pipeline.
A hydrostatic test may also be conducted during the life of the pipeline in order to
demonstrate that the pipeline integrity has been maintained, i.e. there is still a ‘factor of
safety’ between the operating pressure and the failure pressure. The impact of in-
service hydrostatic testing on the probability of failure for each credible failure mode is
investigated using a probabilistic limit state approach and compared with an alternative
method of proving pipeline integrity (the magnetic flux leakage pig).
The failure modes considered in this study are bursting, external corrosion, fatigue crack
growth and external interference. Operating experience of onshore gas transmission
pipelines has shown that external interference and external corrosion are the most likely
modes of failure [1].
FAILURE PROBABILITY
Bursting
For simplicity and conservatism, bursting of the pipeline is assumed to occur if the hoop
stress exceeds the material yield strength at any point around the pipe circumference.
This will occur if the wall thickness is smaller than a critical value wc given by
wc(Pop,ry ) =PopR
ry (1)
where R is the pipeline radius and Pop is the operating pressure.
Both wall thickness, w, and yield strength, σy, are subject to uncertainty and are
assumed to be independent quantities. Bursting will occur if the combination of values of
w and σy at any point around the circumference lies within the failure space given by
Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
0 [ ry [ ∞ (2)
0 [ w [ wc(Pop, ry)
Therefore the probability of failure of the pipeline, pf, found by integrating the product of
the independent probability density functions over the failure space, is given by
p f(Pop ) = ¶
0
∞
p(ry) ¶0
wc Pop,ry
p(w) dw dry (3)
where p(σy) and p(w) are the probability density functions of yield strength and wall
thickness respectively.
If the pipeline has previously been subjected to a hydrostatic test at pressure Ph without
failure, this additional information can be used to reduce the failure space as it is clear
that the wall thickness cannot be less than wc(Ph, σy). The reduced failure space is given
by
0 [ ry [ ∞ (4)
wc(Ph, ry) [ w [ wc(Pop, ry)
Therefore the conditional probability of failure at the operating pressure Pop, given that
the pipeline has survived a hydrostatic test at a pressure Ph, is
p f(Pop|Ph) =
¶0
∞
p(ry ) ¶w c Ph,ry
wc Pop,ry
p(w) dw dry
1 − ¶0
∞
p(ry ) ¶0
wc Ph ,ry
p(w) dw dry (5)
Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
Fatigue Crack Growth
Failure of pipelines due to fatigue crack growth occurs as a result of defects, introduced
into the pipeline during manufacture and construction, growing to a critical size under the
influence of a cyclic hoop stress. The defects are typically crack-like defects in
longitudinal seam welds. Failure will occur when a defect grows to a critical depth ac
given by [2]
ac(Pop ) =
w 1 −PopR
w1.15ry
1 −PopR
w1.15ryMa
(6)
where Ma is the Folias factor given by
Ma = 1 +0.26 L2
Rw (7)
and L is the defect length.
It is assumed that the growth of defects is accurately described by a function X, based
on the well known Paris fatigue crack growth law, such that
a(t) = X(a0, t) (8)
where a0 is the depth of the defect at time zero, i.e. at the time of commissioning of the
pipeline. Therefore a defect of critical depth at time t must have been of depth ac0 at
commissioning, where
ac0(Pop ) = X−1[ac(Pop ),t ] (9)
Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
This relationship allows the failure space for the interval (0, t) to be expressed in terms of
the initial distribution of defect depths, viz.
0 [ ry [ ∞
0 [ w [ ∞ (10)
0 [ L [ ∞
X−1[ac(Pop ), t] [ a0 [ w
The probability of failure in the interval (0, t), i.e. the cumulative failure probability is
therefore given by
P f(Pop, t ) = ¶
0
∞
p(ry ) ¶0
∞
p(w) ¶0
∞
p(L) ¶X−1 ac Pop ,t
w
p(a0 ) da0 dL dw dry
(11)
where p(a0) is the probability density function of the depth of construction defects
present at time zero, and p(L) is the corresponding probability density function for defect
length. It is assumed that the length of a given defect is constant, i.e. the distribution of
lengths is not time dependent.
If the pipeline was subjected to a hydrostatic test at pressure Ph at time th without failure,
this additional information can be used to reduce the failure space as it is clear that
defects of initial depth greater than ac(Ph) are not present in the pipeline for t > th. The
reduced failure space is given by
0 [ ry [ ∞
0 [ w [ ∞ (12)
0 [ L [ ∞
X−1[ac(Pop ), t] [ a0 [ X−1[ac(Ph),th ]
Therefore the conditional cumulative probability of failure, Pf[(Pop,t)|(Ph,th)], in the interval
(th, t), given that the pipeline survived a hydrostatic test at pressure Ph at time th, can be
approximated by
Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
Pf (Pop, t)|(Ph, th) = ¶
0
∞
p(ry ) ¶0
∞
p(w) ¶0
∞
p(L) ¶X−1 ac Pop ,t
X−1[ac(Ph),th ]
p(a0) da0 dL dw dry
(13)
External Corrosion
Failure of corrosion defects is governed by plastic collapse. Therefore failure is
assumed to occur when a defect grows to a size such that the stress in the remaining
ligament due to the operating pressure Pop exceeds the material ultimate tensile
strength, σu. This will occur at a critical depth ac given by [3]
ac(Pop ) =
w 1 −PopR
wru
1 −PopR
wruQ
(14)
where Q is a length correction factor given by
Q = 1 + 0.31 L2
Rw (15)
and L is the defect length.
The distributed quantities w, σu, a and L are all assumed to be independent, resulting in
the four-dimensional failure space given below.
0 [ ru [ ∞
0 [ w [ ∞ (16)
0 [ L [ ∞
ac(Pop ) [ a(t) [ w
Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
The defect depth, a, grows with time resulting in a time dependent failure probability,
pf(Pop, t), given by
p f(Pop, t ) = ¶
0
∞
p(ru) ¶0
∞
p(w) ¶0
∞
p(L) ¶ac Pop
w
p(a, t) da dL dw dru
(17)
where p(a,t) is the time dependent probability density function of corrosion defect depth
and p(L) is the time independent probability density function of defect length.
If the pipeline was subjected to a hydrostatic test at pressure Ph at time th without failure,
this additional information can be used to reduce the failure space as it is clear that
defects of initial depth greater than Y[ac(Ph), Th] are not present in the pipeline for t > th,
where the function Y represents the law describing corrosion growth with time given by
a(th) = Y−1[a(t),Th] (18)
and Th denotes the time interval (th, t).
The reduced failure space is given by
0 [ ru [ ∞
0 [ w [ ∞ (19)
0 [ L [ ∞
Y−1[ac(Pop ), Th] [ a(th) [ ac(Ph )
The conditional probability of failure following the successful hydrostatic test, given that
there were no failures on the pipeline prior to the hydrostatic test, is given by
Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
p f[(Pop, t)|(Ph, th) =
¶0
∞
p(ru ) ¶0
∞
p(w) ¶0
∞
p(L) ¶Y−1 ac Pop ,Th
ac(Ph)
p(a, th ) da dL dw dru
1 − ¶0
∞
p(ru ) ¶0
∞
p(w) ¶0
∞
p(L) ¶0
max{ac(Pop),ac(Ph)}
p(a,th) da dL dw dru
(20)
Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
External Interference
External interference defects, in the form of dent and/or gouges, are randomly
introduced into a pipeline during service. No growth mechanism is involved so a defect
will either fail immediately or remain safely in the pipeline (providing the operating
conditions do not alter) and therefore the probability of failure is not time dependent.
Failure of external interference defects occurs by an elastic-plastic fracture mechanism
if the defect is larger than the critical gouge depth ac where
ac = ac(Pop, ry ,w,Cv, L,D) (21)
In the above function L is the gouge length, D is the dent depth and Cv is the Charpy
energy of the pipe material. The function cannot be expressed analytically and must be
evaluated using a numerical method. A full description of the function is given in [4].
The six-dimensional failure space is given by
0 [ ry [ ∞
0 [ w [ ∞
0 [ Cv [ ∞ (22)
0 [ L [ ∞
0 [ D [ ∞
ac(Pop, ry ,w, Cv, L, D) [ a [ w
and the probability of failure by
p f(Pop ) = ¶
0
∞
p(ry ) ¶0
∞
p(w) ¶0
∞
p(Cv) ¶0
∞
p(L) ¶0
∞
p(D) ¶ac(. ..)
w
p(a) da dD dL dCv dw dry (23)
Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
INFLUENCE OF PRE-SERVICE HYDROSTATIC TEST
The preceding limit state analysis has been formulated in terms of a generalised
pressure test to a pressure Ph at time th. For the pre-service hydrostatic test the time th
is equal to zero. In the following sections the influence of the test pressure on the
probability of failure for each failure mode detailed previously is examined.
Bursting
Equation (5) shows that if the critical wall thickness at the pre-service hydrostatic test
pressure, wc(Ph, σy), is larger than the critical value at the operating pressure, wc(Pop, σy)
then the probability of failure will be zero. This will be the case if the hydrostatic test
pressure is greater than the operating pressure.
This result demonstrates that performing a pre-service hydrostatic test proves the
integrity of the pipeline provided that no damage occurs during construction or service.
The test removes the possibility of failure due to a gross error in wall thickness or yield
strength, i.e. it proves that what is in the ground is what was intended to be there.
Fatigue Crack Growth
Equation (13) shows that the cumulative probability of failure depends on the relative
magnitude of the critical values of the initial defect depth at the pre-service hydrostatic
test pressure, X-1[ac(Ph), th] and at the operating pressure, X-1[ac(Pop), t]. Therefore if a
pre-service hydrostatic test is conducted we can write
p f(t ) = f(Ph, Pop, t ) (24)
The function f is such that pf increases with increasing Pop and t but decreases with
increasing Ph.
Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
The probability decreases as the hydrostatic test pressure is raised because the
increased test pressure reduces the critical defect depth at the time of the test.
Therefore the depth of the largest remaining defect will be smaller, increasing the
amount of growth necessary to cause failure at the operating pressure and thus
extending the fatigue life.
The fatigue life of the pipeline, T, can be defined as the time at which the calculated
cumulative failure probability reaches some limit of tolerability Pf*, leading to the
functional relationship
T = g(Ph,Pop, Pf& ) (25)
From the above it is seen that, for known Pop and Pf*, the fatigue life of the pipeline is
increased if the hydrostatic test pressure is increased. If the desired life is known then it
is possible to calculate the test pressure which will ensure that the calculated probability
of failure within the design life is below Pf*.
If no pre-service hydrostatic test was carried out the fatigue life of the pipeline would be
governed by the largest defect introduced by the welding process. Adherence to set
welding procedures may limit the size of defects present but the actual size of the
largest defect and therefore the fatigue life would be unknown. Other measures such as
ultrasonic inspection can reduce the probability of failure due to fatigue crack growth but
cannot ensure that the desired fatigue life is achieved. A pre-service hydrostatic test is
necessary to obtain an adequate and known fatigue life. The extension of fatigue life due
to the pre-service hydrostatic test is shown schematically in Figure 1.
External Corrosion
It can be seen from Equation (20) that the probability of failure is governed by the time
dependent distribution of corrosion defect depths. At time zero the probability of failure
will be zero as it is assumed that the distribution of defect depths at this time is given by
Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
p(a, t0) = d(a) (26)
i.e. there are no corrosion defects present at this time. Therefore the pre-service
hydrostatic test will not effect the probability of failure due to external corrosion.
External Interference
It can be seen from Equation (23) that neither the hydrostatic test pressure nor the time
at which the test is performed have an effect on the probability of failure due to external
interference. This is because of the random nature of external interference defects. Any
failure in service is a result of a dent/gouge defect introduced into the pipeline
immediately before the failure, i.e. after the time of the hydrostatic test. Clearly the pre-
service test has no influence on defects introduced after the test and therefore cannot be
used to reduce the probability of failure.
INFLUENCE OF HYDROSTATIC TEST DURING SERVICE
Bursting
Failure due to bursting is ruled out as a credible failure mode during service due to the
pre-service hydrostatic test. A further test during service is of no additional benefit.
Fatigue Crack Growth
From Equation (13) it can be seen that conducting a hydrostatic test during service will
reduce the failure space and hence the probability of failure for t > th.
However, there is an increase in the probability of failure at the time that the test is
conducted, th, due to the probability of defects of depth greater than ac(Ph) failing during
the test. The additional probability of failure during the test is given by
Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
P f (Ph, th)|Pop = ¶
0
∞
p(ry ) ¶0
∞
p(w) ¶0
∞
p(L) ¶X−1 ac Pop ,th
X−1[ac(Ph ),th ]
p(a0 ) da0 dL dw dry
(27)
The probability of failure before, during and after the test is as shown schematically in
Figure 2.
External Corrosion
From Equation (20) it can be seen that conducting a hydrostatic test during service will
reduce the failure space and hence the probability of failure for t > th.
There is however an increased probability of failure at t = th due to the probability of
defects of depth greater than ac(Ph) failing during the test. The probability of failure
during the test is given by
p f (Ph, th )|Pop = ¶
0
∞
p(ru ) ¶0
∞
p(w) ¶0
∞
p(L) ¶ac(Ph)
ac(Pop)
p(a, t) da dL dw dru (28)
The probability of failure before, during and after the test is illustrated in Figure 3.
External Interference
As there is no growth mechanism involved with defects introduced from external
interference the defects are stable during normal operation. If a hydrostatic test is
conducted during service there is an increased failure probability due to the probability
of defects that are stable at the normal operating pressure failing at the hydrostatic test
pressure. The additional probability of failure during the test is given by
p f(Ph|Pop) = ¶
0
∞
p(ry) ¶0
∞
p(w) ¶0
∞
p(Cv) ¶0
∞
p(L) ¶0
∞
p(D) ¶ac(Ph)
ac(Pop)
p(a) da dD dL dCv dw dry
(29)
Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
The probability after the test is given by Equation (23), i.e. the probability of failure is
unmodified after the hydrostatic test is performed as shown schematically in Figure 4.
ALTERNATIVE METHODS OF PIPELINE INSPECTION
There are various types of on-line inspection tools available that are able to detect
incidences of metal loss to a high degree of accuracy. The effect of the on-line
inspection on the failure probability for each failure mode is discussed below. For
brevity the analysis is restricted to the magnetic flux leakage (MFL) pig.
Magnetic Flux Leakage Pig
The reduction in failure probability is dependent on the repair criterion adopted by the
operating company. The effect of the on-line inspection on reliability will be compared to
the effect of the hydrostatic test on reliability, therefore it is assumed that all defects
greater than or equal to the critical depth at the hydrostatic test are detected by the MFL
pig and subsequently repaired.
Bursting
Failure due to bursting is ruled out as a credible failure mode during service due to the
pre-service hydrostatic test. The on-line inspection vehicle detects defects so has no
effect on the bursting failure mode.
Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
Fatigue Crack Growth
The magnetic flux leakage pig does not detect crack-like defects so has no effect on the
probability of failure due to fatigue crack growth. Other tools (e.g. elastic wave pig) can
detect cracks which may be then be repaired as necessary.
External Corrosion
The probability of failure following an on-line inspection, given that no failures occurred
prior to the inspection, is given by
p f[(Pop, t)|ti ] =¶0
∞
p(ru ) ¶0
∞
p(w) ¶0
∞
p(L) ¶Y−1[ac(Pop),T i]
amax
p(a, ti) da dL dw dru
¶0
∞
p(ru ) ¶0
∞
p(w) ¶0
∞
p(L) ¶0
ac Pop
p(a, ti) da dL dw dru (30)
where amax is the maximum size of defect left unrepaired in the system following an on-
line inspection, ti is the time of the inspection and Ti denotes the interval (t,ti). If the value
of amax is chosen such that it is equivalent to the critical defect size at the hydrostatic test
ac(Ph), and the inspection time ti is equal to th, then it can be seen that Equation (30) is
equivalent to Equation (20). The probability of failure before and after the inspection is
illustrated in Figure 5. The probabilities of failure are compared with those associated
with an in-service hydrostatic test.
External Interference
Due to the random nature of incidences of external interference the probability of failure
following an on-line inspection is given by Equation (23). Therefore the probability of
failure is unmodified following an on-line inspection.
Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
DISCUSSION
It has been shown how the effect of the pre-service hydrostatic test on pipeline reliability
in service can be quantified. It has been shown that the test can eliminate any probability
of failure due to bursting and extend the fatigue life of the pipeline. However, the pre-
service test has no influence on the probability of failure due to either external corrosion
or external interference.
The effect of conducting a hydrostatic test during service on pipeline reliability has also
been examined. It is shown that the test will actually increase the cumulative failure
probability of the time dependent failure modes of fatigue crack growth and external
corrosion. This increase in failure probability is offset by the fact that the precise time of
failure is known and mitigating activities may be put in place at this time. The annual
probability of failure for all times following the test for these failure modes will be
reduced. However, the test is shown to have no influence on external interference which
is the mode of failure of greatest concern for many pipeline operators. The cumulative
probability of failure due to a defect introduced through external interference actually
increases if a hydrostatic test is conducted in service.
The effect of the hydrostatic test during service on pipeline reliability is compared to the
effect of performing an on-line inspection. It can be seen from Figures 3 & 5 that an on-
line inspection has a more beneficial effect on pipeline reliability than an in-service
hydrostatic test. This is because there is no probability of failure associated with
conducting the inspection (the probability of the inspection tool becoming trapped in the
pipeline etc. has been neglected).
There are fewer logistical problems associated with on-line inspection compared to
hydrostatic testing, such as water supply, drainage and pipeline drying. The financial risk
associated with the hydrostatic testing is significantly higher than with on-line inspection
as all defects greater than the critical size will require repair before the pipeline can be
recommissioned following the test.
Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
The probability of failure due to external interference is seen to be unmodified both
during and after the on-line inspection.
Experience of the operation of onshore transmission pipelines [1] has shown that
external interference and external corrosion are the two most likely modes of failure.
Therefore any measures taken to improve the reliability of a pipeline must have a
significant effect on one of these two modes. The pre-service hydrostatic test is thus of
little benefit in improving the in-service reliability of onshore gas transmission pipelines.
However, from Figure 1 it can be seen that the pre-service hydrostatic test has the effect
of eliminating fatigue crack growth of construction defects as a credible failure mode
during the design life of the pipeline.
Hydrostatic testing during service has the effect of reducing the pipeline reliability due to
the increased failure probability during the test. It is demonstrated that on-line inspection
will reduce the probability of failure due to external corrosion and therefore will improve
the overall pipeline reliability.
CONCLUSIONS
1. If the pipeline survives a pre-service hydrostatic test at a pressure above the
subsequent operating pressure, the probability of failure in service due to bursting
will be zero.
2. A pre-service hydrostatic test is necessary to obtain an adequate and known fatigue
life as it eliminates fatigue crack growth of construction defects as a credible failure
mode during this time. Increasing the pre-service test pressure increases the known
fatigue life.
3. The pre-service hydrostatic test does not have any effect on the probability of failure
due to external corrosion or external interference, which are the two most likely
Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
modes of failure for an onshore gas transmission pipeline.
4. The overall pipeline reliability is reduced if an in-service hydrostatic test is
conducted. The annual reliability after the test is seen to improve as the probability of
failure due to an external corrosion defect is reduced.
5. Methods other than the in-service hydrostatic test are available that will improve the
reliability of the pipeline but carry fewer logistical problems and lower financial risks.
REFERENCES
1. Anon., Report on the European Gas Pipeline Incident Data Group (EGIG), 19th
World Gas Conference, Milan 1994.
2. Keifner, J.F., Fracture Initiation, 4th Symposium on Linepipe Research, AGA, 1969
3. Batte, A.D., Fu, B., Kirkwood, M.G. & Vu, D., New Methods for Determining the
Remaining Strength of Corroded Pipelines, 16th International Conference on
Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering, Yokohama 1997
4. Francis, A., Espiner, R., Edwards, A.M., Cosham, A. & Lamb, M., Uprating an In-
service Pipeline Using Reliability Based Limit State Methods, 2nd International
Conference on Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines,
Aberdeen 1997
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
The authors would like to thank BG plc for permission to publish this paper.
Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
extension of fatiguelife due to test
FIGURE 1: Extension of Fatigue Life due to Pre-Service Hydrostatic Test
Pf*
Pf
no test with test
t
Cum
ulat
ive
prob
abili
ty o
f fai
lure
durin
g se
rvic
e
Pf
t
FIGURE 2: Effect of In-Service Hydrostatic Test on the Probability of Failure due to Fatigue Crack Growth of Construction Defects
th
Eqn (11)
Eqn (27)
Eqn (13)
Cum
ulat
ive
prob
abili
ty o
ffa
ilure
dur
ing
serv
ice
Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
Pf
t
Pro
babi
lity
of fa
ilure
per
an
num
dur
ing
serv
ice
FIGURE 4: Effect of In-Service Hydrostatic Test on the Probability of Failure due to External Interference
th
Eqn (23)
Eqn (29)
Eqn (23)
Pf
t
FIGURE 3: Effect of In-Service Hydrostatic Test on the Probability of Failure due to External Corrosion
th
Eqn (17)
Eqn (28)
Eqn (20)
Cum
ulat
ive
prob
abili
ty o
ffa
ilure
dur
ing
serv
ice
Risk Based and Limit State Design and Operation of Pipelines Aberdeen, October 1998
Pf
t
Cum
ulat
ive
prob
abili
ty o
ffa
ilure
dur
ing
serv
ice
FIGURE 5: Effect of On-Line Inspection on the Probability of Failure due to External Corrosion