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Recent trends in the Android ecosystem Apr 2016
32

Android In Asia April Meetup

Apr 11, 2017

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Page 1: Android In Asia April Meetup

Recent trends in the Android ecosystem Apr 2016

Page 2: Android In Asia April Meetup

ANDROID vs. iOS

Page 3: Android In Asia April Meetup

3

The meteoric rise of iOS and Android in one chart

Source: Business Insider (http://www.businessinsider.sg/ios-and-android-dominate-marketshare-2016-2/)

Page 4: Android In Asia April Meetup

4

The end of the iPhone's amazing eight-year run

Source: Business Insider (http://www.businessinsider.sg/apple-iphone-sales-by-year-2016-4/)

Page 5: Android In Asia April Meetup

5

The iPhone lost market share in most of the world last year

Source: Business Insider (http://www.businessinsider.sg/iphone-market-share-by-country-2016-1/)

Page 6: Android In Asia April Meetup

6

GPlay dominates downloads but iOS still generates more revenue

Source: Business Insider (http://venturebeat.com/2016/01/20/app-annie-2015-google-play-saw-100-more-downloads-than-the-ios-app-store-but-apple-generated-75-more-revenue/)

App DownloadsIndexed

App RevenueIndexed

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7

In 2016, Android will generate 119 Bn downloads vs. 27 Bn from iOS

2015 2016F 2020F

80

41

31

166

7854

352724

Mobile App DownloadsBillions (2015 - 2020F)

3rd-partyandroid

Source: AppAnnie presentation at TiA SG 2016

Page 8: Android In Asia April Meetup

8

APAC will drive most of the growth

2015 2016F 2020F

162

80

5864

3628 58

3125 …

APAC

EMEA

AMERICAS

Mobile App DownloadsBillions (2015 - 2020F)

Source: AppAnnie presentation at TiA SG 2016

Page 9: Android In Asia April Meetup

9

Developers in Asia think about Android first

Platform priority for Developers by country2014

Source: VisionMobile (http://www.slideshare.net/andreasc/mobile-megatrends-2014-25-may-2014)

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10

But it’s a huge challenge due to fragmentation

Models by Android manufacturer (Aug 2015)

Source: Business Insider (http://www.businessinsider.sg/android-fragmentation-and-the-effect-on-samsung-sales-2015-8/)

Android versions (Apr 2016)

Users distributed by 10 Android versions

Impossible to guarantee compatibility with more than 20 thousand distinct Android devices out there…

Page 11: Android In Asia April Meetup

3rd-PARTY ANDROID STORES

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The AOSP (Android Open Source Project) revolution

Android worldwide smartphone shipments*

Millions. Q4 2014

100% 291

+7pp AOSP

devices

Google devices

Q4 2014

29%

71%

Q4 2013

242

22%

78%

1 https://www.abiresearch.com/press/4q-2014-smartphone-os-results-android-smartphone-s 2 https://www.abiresearch.com/press/abi-research-investigates-rise-alternative-mobile-/ 3 http://www.theverge.com/2015/9/29/9409071/google-android-stats-users-downloads-sales

Android worldwide smartphone shipments*

Millions. Q4 2014

100% 291

+7pp AOSP

devices

Google devices

Q4 2014

29%

71%

Q4 2013

242

22%

78%

“…more than 360 million AOSP handsets are expected to ship in 2016.”

-- ABI Research

“Android used by 1.4 billion people but only 1 billion have Google Play...”

-- Google

1 https://www.abiresearch.com/press/4q-2014-smartphone-os-results-android-smartphone-s 2 https://www.abiresearch.com/press/abi-research-investigates-rise-alternative-mobile-/ 3 http://www.theverge.com/2015/9/29/9409071/google-android-stats-users-downloads-sales

Android worldwide smartphone shipments*

Millions. Q4 2014

100% 291

+7pp AOSP

devices

Google devices

Q4 2014

29%

71%

Q4 2013

242

22%

78%

“…more than 360 million AOSP handsets are expected to ship in 2016.”

-- ABI Research

“Android used by 1.4 billion people but only 1 billion have Google Play...”

-- Google

Page 13: Android In Asia April Meetup

13

Players building an independent Android experience on top of AOSP*

*Android Open Source Project 1 https://www.abiresearch.com/press/4q-2014-smartphone-os-results-android-smartphone-s

OEMs

OS

APP STORES

APPs / SERVICES

AOSP

The Android Open-Source Project is based on the open-source parts of Android and allows anyone to build or customize an Android ROM

Page 14: Android In Asia April Meetup

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Amazon is considering pitching their OS to OEMs

Source: Business Insider (http://www.businessinsider.sg/amazon-said-to-be-in-talks-with-oems-to-get-services-on-android-phones-2016-1/)

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Indus Android OS for 1st-time smartphone users in India

Source: TechCrunch (http://techcrunch.com/2016/01/18/indus-os-series-a-10-million/)

“If you want proof that Android is the operating system of emerging markets, look no further than Indus OS.

The company is tweaking the Google-run operating system to the unique demands and culture of India.

Indus OS believes that one of the primary problems is complexity, and it is retooling Android accordingly.”

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16

App owners are also addressing non-email users

Source: MyChat (http://mychat.mysquar.com/)

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Main 3rd-party android app stores in the world

User interest in 3rd-party AndroidGoogle Trends (Jan 2013 - Apr 2016)

GetJarMoboGenie

Aptoide

9AppsMoboMarket

Source: Google Trends (https://www.google.com.sg/trends/explore#q=mobogenie%2C%209Apps%2C%20aptoide%2C%20mobomarket%2C%20getjar&date=4%2F2012%2049m&cmpt=q&tz=Etc%2FGMT-8)

Page 18: Android In Asia April Meetup

3rd-party app stores is also not an easy task…

Source: The Verge (http://www.theverge.com/2016/3/4/11160942/barnes-noble-nook-app-store-shutting-down-march-15th)

Page 19: Android In Asia April Meetup

…and requires a lot of marketing investment

MoboMarket billboard in JakartaSponsored articles by Mobomarket

Source: DailySocial (https://dailysocial.id/wire/mobomarket-ungkap-kebiasaan-para-pengguna-android-di-indonesia/) & Tech in Asia (https://www.techinasia.com/baidu-android-mobomarket-active-users-indonesia-2014)

Page 20: Android In Asia April Meetup

GOOGLE ANTITRUST CASE

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EU antitrust case against Google regarding Android

Source: Bloomberg, The Verge, New York Times

“…we believe that Google’s behaviour denies consumers a wider choice of mobile apps and services and stands in the way of innovation by other players…”

— Margrethe Vestager, EU commissioner for competition

Page 22: Android In Asia April Meetup

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Google replied to the accusations…

Source: Business Insider (http://googlepolicyeurope.blogspot.sg/2016/04/androids-model-of-open-innovation.html)

“Our partner agreements are entirely voluntary -- anyone can use Android without Google.

…you can download the entire operating system for free, modify it how you want, and build a phone

…major companies like Amazon do just that.”

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…but did not mention it in the earnings call

Source: Business Insider (http://www.businessinsider.sg/alphabet-investors-not-worried-google-europe-anitrust-commission-android-battle-2016-4/)

Page 24: Android In Asia April Meetup

BOTS & STREAMING APPs

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Messenger bots have the goal of facilitating interactions

Source: Venture Beat (http://venturebeat.com/2016/04/27/zuckerberg-facebook-bots-will-help-businesses-respond-faster-than-with-messaging/)

“…a way to increase the speed and efficacy of interactions between users and businesses …

…people already message businesses on Facebook, but need to wait for a reply…

“…we can look at responses businesses give and automate them [with bots] to help decrease latency.”

Page 26: Android In Asia April Meetup

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Google app streaming initiative

Source: The Verge (http://www.theverge.com/2015/11/18/9755890/google-can-now-stream-apps-to-your-phone)

Page 27: Android In Asia April Meetup

ANDROID MALWARE

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Claims that Google Play has malware…

Source: The Register (http://www.theregister.co.uk/2016/04/26/android_malware_whack_a_mole/)

“Security researchers have discovered a strain of Android malware that keeps finding its way onto Google Play – despite the store supposedly being scrubbed clean of infiltrated apps..

The software nasty – Android.Spy.277.origin – is hidden in more than 100 applications on Google Play.”

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… and also 3rd-party App Stores

Source: PC World (http://www.pcworld.com/article/3032296/security/android-root-malware-widespread-in-third-party-app-stores.html)

“Four third-party app stores for Android have apps with a malicious component that seeks root access to devices, according to Trend Micro.

The apps containing the component were downloaded across 169 countries between Jan. 29 and Feb. 1 from marketplaces called Aptoide, Mobogenie, mobile9 and 9apps.”

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Our in-house anti-virus and anti-malware platform

Source: Aptoide Blog (http://blog.aptoide.com/evolution-of-aptoide-malware-detection-system/)

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31

Number of infected apps submitted every month

Uploads submitted to Aptoide Percentage of infected uploads

Source: Aptoide Blog (http://blog.aptoide.com/evolution-of-aptoide-malware-detection-system/)

Page 32: Android In Asia April Meetup

Thank you! Any questions? [email protected]