0 American Gas Association 2017 Financial Forum
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American Gas Association
2017 Financial Forum
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Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements NOTE: Certain information contained in this presentation is forward-looking information based on current expectations and plans that involve risks and
uncertainties. Forward-looking information includes, among other things, statements concerning earnings drivers, regulatory matters, capital expenditures,
business seasonality, net income growth and pipeline investments of Southern Company Gas (the Company). The Company cautions that there are certain
factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking information that has been provided. The reader is cautioned not to put
undue reliance on this forward-looking information, which is not a guarantee of future performance and is subject to a number of uncertainties and other
factors, many of which are outside the control of the Company; accordingly, there can be no assurance that such suggested results will be realized. The
following factors, in addition to those discussed in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016, and subsequent
securities filings, could cause actual results to differ materially from management expectations as suggested by such forward-looking information: the impact
of recent and future federal and state regulatory changes, including environmental laws, and also changes in tax and other laws and regulations to which the
Company is subject, including potential tax reform legislation, as well as changes in application of existing laws and regulations; current and future litigation,
regulatory investigations, proceedings, or inquiries; the effects, extent, and timing of the entry of additional competition in the markets in which the Company
operates; variations in demand for natural gas, including those relating to weather, the general economy and recovery from the last recession, population and
business growth (and declines), the effects of energy conservation and efficiency measures, including from the development and deployment of alternative
energy sources, and any potential economic impacts resulting from federal fiscal decisions; available sources and costs of natural gas; effects of inflation; the
ability to control costs and avoid cost overruns during the development and construction of facilities; investment performance of the Company's employee and
retiree benefit plans; advances in technology; state and federal rate regulations and the impact of pending and future rate cases and negotiations, including
rate actions relating to natural gas and other cost recovery mechanisms; the inherent risks involved in transporting and storing natural gas; the ability to
successfully operate the natural gas distribution and storage facilities and the successful performance of necessary corporate functions; internal restructuring
or other restructuring options that may be pursued; potential business strategies, including acquisitions or dispositions of assets or businesses, which cannot
be assured to be completed or beneficial to the Company; the ability of counterparties of the Company to make payments as and when due and to perform as
required; the direct or indirect effect on the Company's business resulting from cyber intrusion or terrorist incidents and the threat of terrorist incidents; interest
rate fluctuations and financial market conditions and the results of financing efforts; changes in the Company's credit ratings, including impacts on interest
rates, access to capital markets, and collateral requirements; the impacts of any sovereign financial issues, including impacts on interest rates, access to
capital markets, impacts on foreign currency exchange rates, counterparty performance, and the economy in general; catastrophic events such as fires,
earthquakes, explosions, floods, tornadoes, hurricanes and other storms, droughts, pandemic health events such as influenzas, or other similar occurrences;
the direct or indirect effects on the Company's business resulting from incidents affecting the U.S. natural gas pipeline infrastructure or operation of storage
resources; the effect of accounting pronouncements issued periodically by standard-setting bodies; and other factors discussed in other reports (including the
Form 10-K) filed by the Company from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The Company expressly disclaims any obligation to update
any forward-looking statements.
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Southern Company Gas (GAS) Overview
• GAS operates seven state-regulated
natural gas local distribution companies
(LDCs), serving 4.6 million customers
• Investments in six midstream pipelines
• Wholesale gas operations (Sequent)
and gas marketing services (SouthStar
and Pivotal Home Solutions)
complement core LDCs and growing
midstream investments
GAS Operations
Pipelines in Development
Operational Pipelines
Southern Company Gas LDCs
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Southern Company Gas Earnings Drivers
• Expect net income from state-regulated LDCs and FERC-regulated
pipelines to grow as LDC infrastructure investment programs
continue and additional pipeline investments become operational
• Constructive relationships with regulators in all seven LDC
jurisdictions
• LDC cost recovery supported by mechanisms which minimize
regulatory lag and pass through fuel costs
• Customer growth
• Growing contracted midstream operations consistent with low-risk
business objectives
–Current and future midstream investments are expected to be highly contracted with
creditworthy counterparties, be FERC-regulated and ensure reliable access to gas
supplies for the SO system
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Southern Company Gas Projected Capital Investments (billions of dollars)
Distribution
Operations
Midstream /
Operations*
Other Midstream /
Operations*
Rate Base
LDC Rider /
Infrastructure
(Approved)
LDC New Business
Other
LDC Rider (To be
approved)
*Note: Includes incremental capital at pipeline partnerships Totals may not foot due to rounding
By Segment By Type
$1.5 $1.4 $1.4
$0.3 $0.3 $0.3
$1.7 $1.7 $1.7
2017 2018 2019
$0.7 $0.7 $0.8
$0.6 $0.5 $0.5
$0.1 $0.1
$0.1 $0.1 $0.1
$0.3 $0.3 $0.3
$1.7 $1.7 $1.7
2017 2018 2019
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Business Seasonality: Percent of Estimated 2017 Net Income by Quarter
40%
15%12%
33%
38%
16%13%
33% 26%
16%25%
32%
54%
11%
3%
32%
Q1
Q2 Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q4 Q1
Q2
Q4
Q3
Q1
Q2
Q4
Q3
GAS Consolidated (Excluding Wholesale Gas Services)
GAS Distribution Operations GAS Midstream Operations GAS Marketing Services
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Gas Distribution Operations Summary
• One of the largest LDC operators in the U.S., serving 4.6 million customers
• Expected net income CAGR of ~5% (2017-2019) driven by customer growth,
infrastructure investment and base rate cases
2016
Customers (thousands)
2016 Rate
Base ($millions)
Allowed
ROE
2016
Actual
ROE
Miles of
Pipe
Nicor Gas 2,220 $1,797 10.17% 9.00% 34,300
Atlanta Gas Light 1,603 $2,402 10.75% 8.49% 33,200
Virginia Natural
Gas
296 $634 10.00% 7.19%
5,600
Elizabethtown
Gas
287 $611 10.30% 9.50%
3,200
Florida City Gas 108 $210 11.25% 6.76% 3,700
Chattanooga Gas 65 $117 10.05% 7.59% 1,600
Elkton Gas 7 N/A N/A1 N/A 100
– Expected annual customer
growth of ~1% based on
strong economic outlook in
most jurisdictions
– Infrastructure investment
averages ~$565 million
annually (pipeline
replacement and
improvements)
– Base rate cases
filed/expected in all major
jurisdictions
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Distribution Operations Rate Case Update
• Nicor Gas (Illinois)
– Filed a general base rate case on 3/10/17
– Expect ruling within the 11-month statutory time limit
• .Virginia Natural Gas
– Filed a general base rate case on 3/31/17 with the Virginia State Corporate Commission
–Rates will go into effect 9/1/17, subject to refund; the VSCC is expected to issue a ruling within 12
months of the filing date
• Elizabethtown Gas (New Jersey)
– Filed a general base rate case with the New Jersey Board of Public Utilities in 3Q16
– Expect the New Jersey BPU to issue an order on the filing in 3Q17
• Atlanta Gas Light (Georgia)
– In February, the Georgia Public Service Commission approved a joint settlement with its staff and
Atlanta Gas Light that adjusts future rates through the Georgia Rate Adjustment Mechanism
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Distribution Operations: Key Regulatory Mechanisms
Utility Rate Decoupling Weather
Normalization
Bad Debt
Recovery
Conservation
Program
Recovery
Infrastructure
Programs
Nicor Gas (~70% Fixed) Weather Risk Hedged
Atlanta Gas Light (Straight –Fixed -Variable)
N/A N/A
Virginia Natural Gas (Revenue Normalization)
Elizabethtown Gas
Florida City Gas
Chattanooga Gas
(Revenue Normalization)
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Midstream Operations: Pipeline Investments
•Committed investments totalling ~$2.9B in six
major pipelines, including over $2B invested in
operational pipelines –Southern Natural Gas Company (SNG) (In-Service)
–Dalton Expansion (Under Development – expected in-service summer 2017)
–Atlantic Coast Pipeline (Under Development)
–PennEast Pipeline (Under Development)
–Magnolia Pipeline (In-Service)
–Horizon Pipeline (In-Service)
• Pipeline Net Income was $31 million in 2016;
Expected to grow to $87 million in 2020 when
all investments are operational
• Pipelines are highly contracted with ROEs
averaging 11%-12%
• “Demand pull” rather than “producer push”
•Greater than 90% of capacity under contract
with investment-grade counterparties
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Pipeline Investments Project Overview
Pipelines in Construction/Permitting In Service Pipelines
Dalton
Horizon
Magnolia
Total
Ownership % 5% 50% 20% 50% 100% 50%
GAS Investment Exp. when all
projects In-Service/1 $256 $254 $270 $14 $40 $2,195/2 $3,029
Pipeline Capacity Mcf/D 1,500,000 448,000 1,000,000 380,000 82,000 3,900,000 7,310,000
Pipeline Miles 594 115 118 70 200 7,000 8,097
Total Spend Thru March 17/1 $38 $205 $27 n/a n/a n/a
In Service (or Expected) (4Q19) (3Q17) (4Q18) In Service In Service In Service
Percent Contracted 99% 100% 90% 100% 100% 99%
Average Contract Term 20 Years 25 years 14 years 9 years 15 years 5.6 years
Average Customer Credit Rating Investment
Grade+
Investment
Grade+
Investment
Grade+
Investment
Grade+
Investment
Grade+
Investment
Grade+/3
/1 $ in millions /2 Reflects $120 million contribution related to McDonough Lateral expansion, which remains subject to regulatory approvals /3 Approximately 50% of 2017 demand revenue related to Southern Company Gas and Southern Company
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Gas Marketing Services Summary
• Gas Marketing Services Net Income is
primarily driven by SouthStar Energy
Services, which markets natural gas to over
600,000 customers in select deregulated
markets
– SouthStar has maintained a market leading
position in Georgia since deregulation occurred
in 1998
–Commodity hedges reduce gas price exposure,
and weather hedges mitigate volumetric risk
• Pivotal Home Solutions provides home
warranties, appliance leasing and
maintenance services to 1.2 million
residential customer contracts
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Wholesale Gas Services (Sequent)
• Provides Asset Management Agreement (AMA)
services to affiliate LDCs and multiple third party
utilities across the U.S.
• Exclusive fuel manager for over 24,000 megawatts
of gas-fired power generation
• Utility-appropriate risk control environment
• Not included in EPS Guidance, primarily due to
mark-to-market accounting variability
$32M
$15M $18M
$47M
$60M
$35M
$13M $12M $12M $11M $11M $11M
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Actual amounts shared
Contractual Minimums
Historical Benefit of AMAs
to Affiliate LDCs
Manages physical natural gas assets for affiliate LDCs and third party
customers including natural gas utilities, gas-fired power generators,
natural gas producers and large commercial and industrial customers
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