American Foreign Policy and East Asia Spring, 2014
Feb 24, 2016
American Foreign Policy and East
Asia
Spring, 2014
(North)East Asia?
Relationship
Trade Deficit?Rising China?
Energy issues?
Human
Rights?
Relationship
After World War ‖
Bilateral Approach(hub-and-spoke)
The U.S. &
Japan (1951), South Korea(1953),
Nationalist China (1954)
NATO
Why the bilateral approach?
• Relative Size of the Regional Actors• Geographic Characteristics • State-level Factors: Japan’s Characteristics
• Diversity• Institutional Path-dependence
Relationship
China-Taiwan-US
China-Taiwan-US• Current Relationship between China and
Taiwan? Couldn’t be better!
- In February, the first official direct talk since 1949.- A possible summit in November?
- Cross-Strait Service Trade Agreement (June, 2013)
- Allowing Chinese tourists to visit Taiwan - Direct flight between China and Taiwan
Since Ma, Ying-Jeou became the president in 2008
China-Taiwan-US• Trade: (in hundred million dollars)* Year Total Export to
TaiwanImport fromTaiwan
2007 1245 235 10102008 1292 259 10332009 1062 205 8572010 1454 297 11572011 1600 351 12492012 1690 368 13222013 1972 406 1566
*China’s Taiwan Affairs Office
China-Taiwan-US• People visiting each other’s territory (in ten thousand)*
Year Taiwanese toMainland
Chinese to Taiwan
Total
2007 463 23 4862008 437 28 4652009 448 94 5422010 514 166 6802011 526 184 7102012 534 263 7972013 516 292 808
*China’s Taiwan Affairs Office
China-Taiwan-US
• 1950: During Korean War, Deployment of The Seventh Fleet • 1954-55/1958: The First and Second Taiwan Strait Crisis • 1979: U.S. Recognition of The PRC & The Taiwan Relations Act• 1995-1996: The Third Taiwan Strait Crisis• 2005: China passed the Anti-Secession Law
1995/1996 the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis
The Trigger--U.S. approval of a visa for Lee Teng-hui to visit the United States (May, 22, 1995)
What happened:Series of Missile Tests by China and Taiwan
China: July, 1995 / August, 1995 /March, 1996
Taiwan: September, 1995
The U.S. :Deployment of two carrier battle groups
March, 1996
1995/1996 the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis
• Taiwanese Domestic Politics
Taiwan
ChinaUS
Relationship
China-Japan-US
China-Japan-US• Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ)• BBC Interview
From CNN
Relationship
Japan-Korea-US
Japan-Korea-US
• Alliance Management 1) Territorial disputes
/West Sea
Dokdo / Takeshima
Japan-Korea-US
• Alliance Management 1) Territorial disputes
2) History : Yasukuni shrine, Comfort women,
and history textbook.
Relationship
North Korea-US-Others
North Korea
-1st Nuclear Crisis (1993-1994)
North Korea Threatened to
withdraw from NPT
Carter’s mediation
Agreed Framework
North Korea-2nd Nuclear Crisis (2002-)
October, 2002: North Korea admitted that
it had a secret nuclear weapons program
August, 2003: Six-Party Talk
October, 2006: North Korea tested its first
nuclear weapons
May, 2009: the second test
Feb, 2013: the third test
North Korea• Divergent Interests?
Source: Inside Multilateralism: The Six-Party Talks by John S. Park
Issue U.S. PRC Japan ROK
High priority
Nuclear Proliferation
Refugees
Ballistic Missiles
North Korea
• Change of Leadership in North Korea
• Change in Chinese perception of North Korea?
• Recent events:
- Unofficial meeting between North Korea and Japan regarding the investigation on kidnapped Japanese
-North Korea threatened to conduct another nuclear test
-Efforts to resume six-party talks
Conclusion
• Pivot to Asia?• Complicated relationship between states in
East Asia• Pay attention to news this week! 23-25: Japan 25-26: Korea (Malaysia / Philippines)