1960s 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s I. Post-War Suburbanization 1950s-60s II. Urbanization 1970s-80s Transition to New Urban Profile III. Adjustment to New Urbanism 1990s to Present Public School Enrollment Alexandria’s Pubic School Enrollment History: 1960 to Present Three Distinct Historical Eras - the Larger Context Influencing Enrollment Trends Distinguishing Characteristics of Three Phases in City’s - baby bust years - slow growth years: net population gain from 1970-1990: ....... - when large-scale commerical/retail devleopment of suburbs commenced - saw construction of large number of high-rise condos in West End and other parts of city - when city’s demographic profile morphed from a traditional family-suburb into new urban identity - baby boom years - period of rapid population growth, when city experienced its largest population increases in its history - households consisted pimarily of families with children - ??? what was built - moderate, but sustainined population growth - characterized by high degree of stability in many demographic and household fundamentals: avg household size, household composition (% families, households with children), percentage share of school-aged population, percent of households that rent, etc. - high degree of population turnover/migrstion Enrollment Trend Line
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1960s
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
I. Post-War Suburbanization
1950s-60s
II. Urbanization1970s-80s
Transition to New Urban Profile
III. Adjustment to New Urbanism1990s to PresentPublic School
Enrollment
Alexandria’s Pubic School Enrollment History: 1960 to PresentThree Distinct Historical Eras - the Larger Context Influencing Enrollment Trends
Distinguishing Characteristics of Three Phases in City’s
- baby bust years- slow growth years: net population
gain from 1970-1990: .......- when large-scale commerical/retail
devleopment of suburbs commenced- saw construction of large number of
high-rise condos in West End and other parts of city
- when city’s demographic profile morphed from a traditional family-suburb into new urban identity
- baby boom years- period of rapid population growth,
when city experienced its largest population increases in its history
- households consisted pimarily of families with children
- ??? what was built
- moderate, but sustainined population growth
- characterized by high degree of stability in many demographic and household fundamentals: avg household size, household composition (% families, households with children), percentage share of school-aged population, percent of households that rent, etc.
- high degree of population turnover/migrstion
Enrollment Trend Line
18,000
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0 2000
1990
2010
2020
2030
—— Projected ——
Enrollment Growth Scenarios
6080 70 4050 30 20
1990
1980
1960
1950
1970
2000
2010
2010
1990
1970
2000
1980
1960
60 40 20 0
Perc
ent
Ow
ner-O
ccup
ied
Hou
seho
lds
Perc
ent
Mar
ried-
Cou
ple
Hou
seho
lds w
ith C
hild
ren
Perc
ent H
ouse
hold
s w
ith C
hild
ren
1990
1980
1960
1970
2000
2010
70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
Perc
ent
Fam
ily H
ouse
hold
s
506070100 8090 40
1990
1980
1960
1970
2000
2010Av
erag
e H
ouse
hold
Siz
e
1990
1980
1960
1950
1970
2000
2010
50 40 30 20 10
1990
1980
1960
1950
1970
2000
2010
Perc
ent Y
outh
No
Evid
ence
of S
igni
fican
t Shi
ftsIn
Bas
ic D
emog
raph
ic/H
ouse
hold
Pro
file
that
has
Def
ined
the
City
for P
ast 3
0 Ye
ars
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
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