ENERGY, TECHNOLOGY, AND THE FUTURE Digital Government Summit Roger Duncan
Sep 15, 2015
ENERGY, TECHNOLOGY, AND THE FUTURE
Digital Government Summit
Roger Duncan
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Agenda
02
Energy and Technology
The Future of Buildings,
Transportation and
Power
The role of IT
Information in
Technology
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SUSTAINABLE TECHNOLOGYThe conversion of fuel to work with
LESS WASTE
LESS POLLUTION
LESS TOTAL
ENERGY CONVERSION
04
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We are meeting workloads with:
LESS
MATERIAL
LESS
MOTION
LESS
TIME05
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Technology Megatrend
More productivity from less material
Accelerating Ephemeralization
Fuller
Law of Accelerating
Returns Kurzweil
Moores Law Moore
06
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"Smaller Faster Lighter Denser
Cheaper"
- Robert Bryce
Printing Press
Vacuum Tube
Diesel Engine
Jet Turbine
AK-47
Telescope/Microscope
Digital Communications
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Will we eventually
get everything from
nothing?
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Smallest technology limit is
Nanotechnology
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Atomic Precision Manufacturing
Highest Quality
Zero Waste Manufacturing
New materials
Nanocomputers
10
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Stronger and lighter structures with less mass
Radical Cost Reductions
Less rare materials
CAMD (Molecular Design)
Bottom Up Manufacturing
Radical Abundance- Eric Drexler
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How is Technology Doing
This?
INFORMATION
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INFORMATION IN
TECHNOLOGY
MaterialsDesign and
EngineeringSensors
Processors
Automation/Robot
ics
EffectorsCommunication
Technology
Autonomy
13
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PHASECHANGE Energy Solutions
PCMs Release and Absorb Heat to Balance
Temperatures
14
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Nanopore Insulation
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Lovins Reinventing Fire 2011
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3D P
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Disposable Housing
18
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Smart Matter
Smart furniture
Buildings that can reconfigure and repair
themselves
Nanotechnology and Buildings
19
Smart Walls
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IoT
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Appliances that Learn
23
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Enchanted Objects- David Rose
Wallets
Livescribe pens
Furniture that melts
Understanding lights
Traffic situation key fobs
Umbrellas that read weather reports
Pill bottles
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Future Smart James Canton
6 waves of the Internet
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Future Smart James Canton
1. ARPANET
2. Graphics and Video
3. Social Web
UT Austin
31
Fourth Wave Collaboration Web
Dynamic Interaction
Deep Learning
Managing the Big Data tsunami
UT Austin
32
Fifth Wave Evolutionary Networking
Always Aware Internet
Personality
Voice Activation
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33
Sixth Wave Living Ecosystem
Independent knowledge
agentsSelf-organizing and creative
Smart, Aware physical spaces
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34
The Future Mind Michio Kaku
Telepathy
Telekinesis
Augmented Reality
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Brain Net
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The Age of Robotics
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Autonomy
43
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Spintel s.r.l.
47
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Electric Microgrid
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Solar Roof Shingles
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Solar Generating Windows
52
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Solar Paints
53
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Fossil Fuel Power
PlantOffice Building
Petroleum
Vehicle
Conventional Energy System
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Zero Energy Home
PHEV/BEVDistributed Utility
Fossil Fuels
Solar Wind
Nuclear
Unified Energy System
Autonomous
Sentient Appearing
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SAAM
Sentient-Appearing Autonomous Machines
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RELATIONSHIP?
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RACE AGAINST THE MACHINE
Andrew McAfee and Erik Brynjolfsson
Man working with Machine is superior
to either alone
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Artificial Intelligence
Artificial General Intelligence
Artificial Super Intelligence
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ENHANCEMENT
Man/Machine Merger Enhanced Senses Strength (Exoskeletons)
Internet Connected Implants
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Will we develop classes
of enhanced and
unenhanced?
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The role of
IT
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What happens when
everything is smart,
connected and
interacting with you??
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Everything
becomes
an IT
problem!!
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IT Problems
Health
Transportation
Energy Security
Buildings
HR Issues
Employment
Entertainment
67
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New Communication Skills
Chatting with SAAM
Mediating between people and machines
Dealing with enhanced people
Post-human skills?
68
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Will IT
Personnel be
the first
Post-
Humans?
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QUESTIONS
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