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Fin 626-Team Project Page 1 FIN 626 Term Project - AIG Company By, Team Members Andrey Skroznikov Harsh Mehta Kevin Matos Mahaveer Jayanth Ran Wei
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  • Fin 626-Team Project

    Page 1

    FIN 626

    Term Project -

    AIG Company

    By,

    Team Members

    Andrey Skroznikov Harsh Mehta Kevin Matos

    Mahaveer Jayanth Ran Wei

  • Fin 626-Team Project

    Page 2

    Table of Contents

    The History of AIG Page 3

    Lines of Business and Major Products Page 5

    Business Strategy Page 6

    Basic Financial Information about AIG Page 8

    Financial Performance of AIG Page 11

    Customers Page 14

    Competitors Page 17

    Recent Events of Interest Page 20

    References Page 21

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    The History of AIG

    American International Group, Inc. is a global insurance company that provides services

    and products to individual and institutional customers. AIG is one of the few insurance

    companies that is well known, and by many it can be considered to have a spectacular history.

    The origin of the company can be traced back to 1919, when Cornelius Vander Starr founded

    AAU (American Asiatic Underwriters) in Shanghai, China. AAU started off as a general insurance

    company and a couple of years after inception it shifted the focus on life insurance operations.

    Early years of the company were very successful and in the mid 1920s AAU set on a rapid

    global expansion campaign which lasted for approximately 50 years. Branches of the company

    were opened in Hong Kong, Vietnam and Philippines. The first U.S. branch was opened around

    1926 in New York, under the name of American International Underwriters. The company

    continued to expand area of its operations and to bringing insurance products to the following

    countries: Cuba, Japan, Germany, France, Mexico, Singapore, Brazil, Italy, Australia, United

    Kingdom and South Korea. In 1967 the company incorporated as an American International

    Group and AIG stock commenced public trading in 1969.

    During the period when AIG went public the company suffered consequent challenges

    related to global political changes. The company had to cease business operations in

    communist China; AIG further experienced losses in Cuban operations, due to Cuban revolution

    and the takeover by Fidel Castro. In response to numerous political affects, the company

    changed its expansion strategy and started to pursue the creation of new and innovative

    financial products, supplemented by the creation of new subsidiaries with the purpose to

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    provide financial services to diversified group of industries. For example: AIG Oil Rig, Inc. was

    created to manage insurance for offshore oil and gas drilling rigs, A.I. Credit Corporation to

    finance general insurance premiums for affiliate and non-affiliate insurers. Around 1975

    significant part of revenue growth was contributed by pension-fund management. In pursuit of

    health care services AIG commenced acquisitions of Jurgovan & Blair (1980s), while United

    Guaranty Corporation was acquired for its residential mortgage services. During 1980-1990s

    shares of AIG became tradable on Tokyo Stock Exchange and London International Stock

    Exchange. In 1988 AIG was severely hit with 162 million dollars insurance claim by Enron, AIG

    was forced to pay 2/3 of the judgment. By the end of the century AIG experienced significant

    expansion into financial industry, which further resulted in expensive acquisitions of financial

    companies ($100 million was spent to acquire SPC Credit LTD, which was a Honk Kong

    commercial finance company, $150 million was spent for a 7% stake in Blackstone Group which

    was a leveraged buyout firm).

    Further, in the beginning of the new century AIG suffered $820 million in losses related

    to September 11, 2001 attacks; however, these losses were offset by the enormous revenue of

    the company. Perhaps the most severe financial crisis for the company, followed in late 2008

    when AIG entered into credit default swaps to ensure $441 billion worth of securities, which

    lost most of their value. AIG was asked to provide additional collateral, with the trading counter

    parties further stipulating a liquidity deficit and default which ultimately led to $85 billion dollar

    bail out by the Federal Government. Up to December 2012, assets, subsidiaries and

    government owned stock of AIG have been sold off to reclaim the Federal bailout money.

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    Lines of business and Major Products

    The primary line of business for AIG is individual and institutional insurance, which is

    supplemented by professional money management and consulting services. AIG is no longer

    the giant that it used to be before the 2008 crisis; however, the variety of products and services

    that it provides today is formidable.

    Products and Services for individuals:

    Accident and Health Insurance: flexible and affordable products to protect health

    Annuities: products designed to secure future income

    Life Insurance: policies, custom tailored to deliver benefits at acceptable risk

    Travel Insurance: wide array of policies to cover, rentals and transportation

    Warranties: policies that cover consumer electronics and major appliances, extended service plans

    Mutual Funds: investments that offer diversification and money management

    Asset Management: providing consulting, and portfolio management

    Educational Savings Plans: programs designed to accumulate money for future education expenses

    Residential Home Loans: the purchase of such loans and loan servicing

    Individual Retirement Accounts: money accumulating programs for secure retirement

    Products and Services for Businesses:

    Alternative Risk: helping companies to mitigate risk, that is not addressed by traditional insurance

    Casualty: insuring risks associated with commercial transportation, excess liability, DBA

    Environmental: versatile pollution insurance programs in managing exposure

    Professional Liability: policies to address errors or omissions, negligence claims

    Property: insurance to cover material damage to property

    Trade Credit and Political Risk: policies to mitigate global risks and non-payments on ACC REC

    Independent Broker Dealer: access to investment solutions, marketing tools and trading platforms

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    Business Strategy of AIG

    The business strategies for Core Insurance Businesses of AIG are given below-

    1) AIG Property Casualty

    a) Grow High Value lines and optimize business mix

    b) Execute on technical underwriting, improved claims management and analytics

    c) Capitalize on global footprint; presence in over 90 countries

    2) AIG Life and Retirement

    a) Maintained balanced portfolio of products and leverage scale advantage

    b) Optimize spread management through new business pricing and active crediting rate

    management

    c) Expand distribution network and increase penetration of multiple products through

    each distribution partner

    3) AIG Mortgage Guaranty

    a) Selectively underwrite based on multivariate model to achieve higher risk adjusted

    returns

    b) Actively manage legacy book

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    With the help of such strong Business strategies AIG was able to achieve the below Key

    Accomplishments as of 4th Quarter 2013-

    Full year 2013 NPW(Net Premium Written) growth of 3.8% excluding FX compared to

    year 2012

    Optimizing Casualty line businesses

    2013 Accident Year loss ratio as adjusted, improvement of 5.4 points since beginning of

    2011

    HSBC/PICC Joint Venture

    12.9% of 2013 NPW from Growth economies

    Diversified sources of net flows and earnings

    Profitability enhanced through ongoing spread management actions

    Approximately $0.8 billion - $1.4 billion in quarterly pre-tax operating income since

    4Q11

    Earnings reflect new business; 59% of net premiums earned in 4Q13 were from business

    written after 2008

    Delinquency Ratio of 5.9% at 4Q13, lowest since 4Q07

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    Basic Financial Information about AIG

    American International Group (AIG) went through a tough financial crisis in 2008, which

    impacted all companies and individuals financially as well. AIG was gambling on mortgage

    backed securities and large derivatives prior to 2008, which ultimately AIG to the brink of self-

    destruction. Major Banks were becoming insolvent which caused AIG to quickly find

    themselves in need of liquidity cash. However, AIG was considered "too large to fail" due to the

    impact it would cause around the world if the company was to fail. As a result, the United

    States Government stepped in and rescued AIG by providing the company a "Government

    bailout" loan of $182 Billion. AIG went from being a company holding over $1 Trillion in Assets

    to being in Debt for $182 Billion and struggling to prevent bankruptcy. Nevertheless, five years

    later in December of 2012, AIG repurchased all of their outstanding warrants to the United

    States Treasury. As a result AIG repaid the full $182 Billion to the government, plus an

    additional $23 Billion in interest. Therefore, the United States Government no longer has a

    stake in the company.

    American International Group Inc's (AIG) basic financial information consists of various

    important key statistics which can help indicate the current health of the company as well as

    predict the future of the company. To know the total value of issued shares of AIG we had to

    compute the Market Capitalization. AIG's market capitalization is $74.70 Billion. This is

    calculated by computing the current stock price of $51.02 as of March 10, 2014 and then,

    multiply it by the number of shares outstanding 1.46B. The amount of debt that a company has

    is as equally important as this tells us how many expenses the company has. Currently, AIG has

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    $41.69 Billion Dollars of Debt which consists of Bank Loans, Rent, Bonds issues to fixed income

    investors, payroll etc. The Current stock price as of March 10th is $51.02 per share. We

    compared the current stock price for the past six months against the S&P 500 to see where the

    stock of AIG stands along with the rest of the national market.

    According to the stock chart below from Yahoo Finance; comparing American

    International Group Inc. (AIG) stock against the S&P 500 for the past 6 months we found that

    the stock price of AIG has predominantly been fluctuating along with the U.S. Market. In the

    month of October 2013, AIG stock was trading a bit higher than the S&P 500. At the end of

    October and beginning of November 2013, AIG's stock took a dive compared to the S&P 500

    below the average U.S. Market. According to Yahoo Finance, the drop in stock price was due to

    market concerns regarding AIG's performance after they reported worse than expected fourth

    quarter 2013 earnings of $1.1B along with their combined ratio of 104%. AIG's performance

    has been impacted due to the expenses of AIG's Property and Casualty line of business as they

    are investing heavily on Information Technology infrastructures. AIG is expecting to reduce

    their expenses shortly which should benefit the companys margins, and its operations should

    also start leveraging. In addition, AIG is in the process of re-pricing their products, focusing on

    consumer business, and expanding its foreign business. As of, November 2013 AIG's stock price

    has been trading below the national average (S&P 500); however, today AIG's stock has since

    been fluctuating along with the National Average however, is still trading below average.

    Below is a chart provided by Yahoo finance;

    (http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=AIG+Interactive#symbol=aig;range=1d;compare=^gspc;ind

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    icator=volume;charttype=area;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=off;source=;) depicting AIG's

    stock performance compared to the national average of S&P500 for the past six months.

    The red line on the chart is indicating the S&P500. The Blue line is an indication of AIG

    Stock. This chart is intended to provide a visual of how AIG stock was trading compared to the

    U.S. market and if it is relatively correlated. As you can see in October, 2013 AIG stock was

    actually trading higher than the national average. However, in November, 2013 the stock price

    once again took a dive. Since November, 2013 AIG stock has been fluctuating up and down

    along with the rest of the U.S. market.

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    Financial Performance of AIG

    A company's performance cannot be looked at in isolation by an investor. The market

    value and the performance of a company are impacted by financial market concerns. Investors

    have to analyze and gain a strong understanding of the geopolitical conditions as well as the

    current macroeconomic conditions of the American International Group both internationally

    and nationally before making a valuable or costly decision to invest. Critical information

    regarding the company is obtained through American International Groups financial

    statements.

    The price-to-earnings ratio is an equity valuation multiple. It is defined as market

    price per share divided by annual earnings per share. According to the AIG P/E Ratio and stock

    price charts below we found that the stock price of AIG has predominantly been fluctuating

    along with the U.S. Market. Prior to January 2013, AIG P/E ratio was remaining steadily at

    around 2. From the end of December 2012 and beginning of January 2013, AIG's P/E ratio

    increased dramatically to more than 20 and reached the highest point at 36.49. The growth of

    P/E ratio was due to the rising share prices and the fall of EPS. From the 2012 cash flow

    statement of AIG, we found that the net income dropped from 20622.00 in 2011 to 3438.00 in

    2012 which decreased by 83.32%. Its the main reason why AIGs P/E ratio increased

    dramatically at the end of 2012.

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    Price of American International Group, Inc. (AIG)

    Source: http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=AIG+Interactive#symbol=AIG;range=

    American International PE Ratio (TTM)

    Source: https://ycharts.com/companies/AIG/pe_ratio

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    Return on equity (ROE) measures the rate of return on the ownership interest

    (shareholders' equity) of the common stock owners. It measures a firm's efficiency at generating

    profits from every unit of shareholders' equity (also known as net assets or assets minus

    liabilities). ROE shows how well a company uses investment funds to generate earnings growth.

    ROEs between 15% and 20% are generally considered good.

    According to the AIGs ROE chart below, we found that AIG has been performing

    steadily since January 2011. It demonstrates AIGs ability to generate profits from shareholders

    equity (also known as net assets or assets minus liabilities). Compared to industrys ROE, we

    found that AIG had been doing well to use investment funds to generate growth.

    American International Return on Equity (TTM)

    Source: http://ycharts.com/companies/AIG/return_on_equity

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    Customers

    AIG Has Customers in two major part namely: -

    Individuals

    Business

    Individuals

    AIG is the worlds leading international insurance organization providing service and

    insuring at an affordable rate in over 130 countries to millions of people and their families

    around the world. American International Group organizations serve through one of the most

    extensive worldwide property-casualty networks of any insurer in the world.

    Firms

    Businesses have a huge exposure of insuring. For example a Bullion dealer will insure

    gold which is a costing commodity. To exporting or import gold American International Group

    will insure the products and whatever else they the gold business is shipping for transport

    around the world. Lets see why multinational corporations and big firms want to be insured by

    American International Group: Below is a chart branching out AIG to its sectors of operations

    and why businesses and people prefer AIG over other Insurance companies, such as overseas

    operation, Global Insurance tracking, single point of contacts, and peace of mind as stated in

    American International Group's Website.

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    Why multinational organizations prefer to be insured by AIG?

    Overseas operation

    No matter how big the multinational corporation is, American International Group

    insures them and any location as the insured's file claims, AIG employees will help out to take

    care of and cover the loss of the insured. The insurance brokers also get a huge opportunity

    and they may get clients of bigger markets and operations than what they actually thought of

    and collect brokers compensation. It does not matter how big the operation is and where it is

    located in the world. The claims AIG employee will handle it, manage and help settle the clients

    loss to the limit of the insurance taken depending on its program structure and retention layer.

    Peace of Mind

    AIG

    Overseas

    operations

    Single Point

    of Contact

    Global

    Insurance

    Tracking

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    This means faster, more responsive claims service and local claims settlement with payments

    going directly to the local company where the loss took place. It also means that AIG's clients

    can also use our network to communicate consistent Risk Management information across their

    operations. And you can use our network to deal directly with your clients in particular

    countries.

    Single point of contact

    Even if the company has operations overseas and here and worried about the insurance

    in the oversea countries, we can insure ourselves from the risk that is foreseen from our local

    office. One location of contact is more than enough to insure us all over the world. This is very

    useful for the multinational corporations as they will have only one location or person to

    contact who will take care of the transactions and details for the clients with efficiency and

    consistency. This means that AIG has superb customer service and the insured can rest assured

    that all else will be properly taken care of within AIG's business units.

    Peace of mind

    The top management or the owner is worried of how the risk is going to be taken care

    and what measures are needed to be taken and all sort of complex questions comes into mind

    with respect to the businesses they hold. With the enhancements of technology this procedure

    of predicting risk and actually covering enough premiums for the loss is simplified by AIG and

    brings peace of mind to the insured as they are consistent in providing coverage and they also

    have the security of knowing which licensed AIG company is providing the insurance at each

    location.

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    Global premium tracking

    As regulations increases all around the world the countries also bring in increased

    regulations and it becomes difficult for tracking an accurate rate for insurance. Since AIG is an

    international insurance company, one is able to track the premiums globally and make their

    strategies and coverage of insurance accordingly. It also helps to avoid the clients from

    unknown regulations and compliance obligations as AIG takes care of all those things since they

    have in-depth knowledge and experience of local insurance and local regulations in the other

    countries.

    Competitors

    According to Yahoo Finance, Reuters, Forbes, and Market Watch; AIG's top direct

    competitors are in the Property and Casualty line of business. Their top three competitors are

    Allianz SE, AXA Group, and Zurich Insurance Group AG. Zurich Insurance Group was founded in

    1872. The company is one of the largest property and casualty and life insurance companies in

    the world. They are currently providing services in approximately 170 countries; predominately

    in North America and European markets. Allianz SE was founded in 1891 Munich Germany.

    According to Forbes 2013, Allianz is ranked top eleven largest financial services company and

    the largest insurance company in the world. Allianz provides services in over seventy countries

    and has about seventy six million customers around the world. The company provides property

    and casualty, life and health insurance services. AXA S.A. is an insurance company

    headquartered in Paris France. AXA provides investment management, Health, and Life

    insurance services. AXA was founded in 1817 and predominantly operates in Europe, North

    America, Middle East and Asia.

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    In terms of revenue, AIG $67.50 Billion is ranked fourth in comparison to its competitors

    behind Zurich Insurance Group $70.41 Billion, Allianz SE $143.45 Billion, and AXA Group

    $160.81 Billion. In terms of Net Income, AIG $9 Billion is ranked first in comparison to the

    company's top competitors. Allianz SE is ranked second behind AIG with a net income of $7.76

    Billion followed by AXA Group $5.75 Billion, and Zurich Insurance Group $3.88 Billion. In terms

    of Market Capitalization, AIG $74.48 Billion is ranked second in comparison to their direct

    competition. Allianz SE is ranked first with $77.22 Billion in Market Capitalization followed by

    AXA Group $62.67 Billion. In terms of Stock price, AIG is ranked first compared to their

    competitors as the stock is currently trading at $51.02. AXA Group is ranked second as their

    stock price is currently trading for $25.97 per share. Allianz SE is currently trading for $17.13

    cents per share which rank the company behind AXA Group and AIG. Below is a chart of direct

    competitor comparisons to show more transparency of where the Industry is compared to AIG,

    Allianz SE, Zurich Insurance Group, and AXA Group.

    Direct Competitor Comparison

    This table is intended to compare AIG, and its top three competitors against the rest of

    the market. This will give you a better idea of how AIG is doing financially compared to their

    competitors and the rest of the market. The data below was put together by researching

    financial information provided by ( Source: yahoo finance;

    http://finance.yahoo.com/q/co?s=AIG+Competitors)

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    AIG AZSEY AXAHY Zurich Industry

    Market Cap: 74.48B 77.22B 62.67B N/A 7.47B

    Employees: 63,000 171,340 201,960 60,000 4.29K

    Qtrly Rev Growth (yoy): -0.05 0.03 0.06 N/A 0.00

    Revenue (ttm): 67.50B 143.45B 160.81B 70.41B 4.32B

    Gross Margin (ttm): 0.23 0.09 0.13 N/A 0.31

    EBITDA (ttm): 15.74B 14.43B 10.33B N/A 740.95M

    Operating Margin (ttm): 0.16 0.09 0.06 N/A 0.15

    Net Income (ttm): 9.00B 7.76B 5.75B 3.88B N/A

    EPS (ttm): 6.14 1.69 2.27 N/A 3.67

    P/E (ttm): 8.29 10.08 11.46 N/A 9.68

    PEG (5 yr. expected): 1.03 0.12 0.77 N/A 1.28

    P/S (ttm): 1.11 0.55 0.39 N/A 1.12

    Note -

    AZSEY = Allianz SE 17.13

    AXAHY = AXA Group 25.97

    Pvt1 = Zurich Insurance Group AG

    Industry = Property & Casualty Insurance

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    Recent Events of Interest

    1) AIG sues NY regulator over probe of insurance marketing

    According to the news (Samachar news; http://www.samachar.com/AIG-sues-

    NY-regulator-over-probe-of-insurance-marketing-oeefNLfihjj.html) AIG sued one of the

    top financial regulators in New York Benjamin Lawsky. According to law360.com;

    Benjamin Lawsky claimed that AIG is over marketing abroad without a state license and

    it is unconstitutional. American International Group therefore, counter argued this

    statement and claimed that the state wide license is for specific states and not for all

    around the world where it does apply. American International Group also claimed that

    the New York state license was only for New York customers and New York does not

    have the authority or any right to control the insurance business outside the jurisdiction

    of New York State. This case is still going on and according to Bloomberg, the court

    stated that AIG may not want to cooperate with the review but it is not above the law.

    2) U.S. Senator Collins says bill would tweak capital rules for insurers

    This article is intended to provide more flexibility and understanding in

    regulating life and property casualty insurance. According to the press report;

    (http://www.press-report.us.com/clanek-13517980-us-senator-collins-says-bill-would-

    tweak-capital-rules-for-insurers) Senator Collin made amendments to the Dodd-Frank

    law for the banking and insurance sectors by raising the minimum capital requirements

    in 2010. Many insurance companies as well as American International Group also

    criticized and counter argued by saying that their work of operations and structure were

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    different from banking. American International group also stated that they were

    meeting the state required minimum capital requirements for running their business.

    Currently the Federal Reserve regulates insurance giants American International Group

    and Prudential. Senator Collins also reported to the banking committee that the Federal

    Reserve is ready to make the rules more flexible to help clear the confusion of Banking

    and Non-Banking firms with respect to the minimum requirements.

    References

    http://www.aig.com/our-90-year-history_3171_437854.html

    http://www.aig.com/Chartis/internet

    http://www.voicesofseptember11.org

    http://www.theguardian.com/business/2008/sep/17

    http://seekingalpha.com/article

    http://finance.yahoo.com/q

    http://finance.yahoo.com

    http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=AIG

    http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/02/27

    http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=AIG

    http://finance.yahoo.com/q/co?s=AIG+Competitors

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-04-03/aig-sues-regulator-lawsky-over-probe-into-

    unlicensed-insurance.html

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    http://www.samachar.com/AIG-sues-NY-regulator-over-probe-of-insurance-marketing-

    oeefNLfihjj.html

    http://www.law360.com/articles/525083/aig-sues-ny-insurance-regulator-over-high-stakes-probe

    https://www.tvs.vn/en/press-release/aig-sues-ny-regulator-over-probe-of-insurance-

    marketing.html

    http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/04/03/us-aig-dfs-idUSBREA322CZ20140403

    http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304020104579433370630613890

    http://www.press-report.us.com/clanek-13517980-us-senator-collins-says-bill-would-tweak-capital-

    rules-for-insurers

    http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/03/11/financial-regulation-insurance-

    idUSL2N0M80WS20140311

    http://www.aig.com/chartis/internet/uk/eni/AI432394-Multinational-Online-0113_tcm2538-

    468314.pdf