1. Background Sustainable Development Assessment of Northern Tehran Suburbs 2006-2011 Case Study of Shemiranat County 10 2 nd International Seminar and Workshop on New Approaches and Advanced Methodology of Research in Urbanism & Architecture October, 4-5, 2015 10 Iran University of Science and Technology School of Architecture Dep. of Urbanism – EASAF Université François- Rabelais Ecole Polytechnique d’Aménagement CITERES-IPAPE • The world is becoming to an urban place rapidly. The world urbanization prospects report, explicitly declares that more than 69 percent of world population will reside in urban areas till 2050 which of course the rate is higher in developed countries (United Nations, 2007). Urbanization process will lead to variety of problems such as population concentration, environmental pollutions, and resource shortage. • Application of sustainable development indicators plays a pivotal role in order to monitor the extent of urban development (Feng, et al., 2009). •Asian Green City Index 2011 •China Urban Sustainability Index 2013 1 Tuesday, June 28, 2022
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1. Background
Sustainable Development Assessment of Northern Tehran Suburbs 2006-2011Case Study of Shemiranat County 10
2nd International Seminar and Workshop onNew Approaches and Advanced Methodology of Research in Urbanism & Architecture October, 4-5, 2015
10Iran University of Science and Technology School of
ArchitectureDep. of Urbanism – EASAF
Université François -Rabelais Ecole Polytechnique
d’AménagementCITERES-IPAPE
• The world is becoming to an urban place rapidly. The world urbanization prospects report, explicitly declares that more than
69 percent of world population will reside in urban areas till 2050 which of course the rate is higher in developed countries (United
Nations, 2007). Urbanization process will lead to variety of problems such as population concentration, environmental
pollutions, and resource shortage. • Application of sustainable development indicators plays a pivotal role in order to monitor the extent of urban development (Feng, et
al., 2009).• Asian Green City Index 2011• China Urban Sustainability Index 2013
1Tuesday, May 2, 2023
10
2nd International Seminar and Workshop onNew Approaches and Advanced Methodology of Research in Urbanism & Architecture October, 4-5, 2015
10Iran University of Science and Technology School of
ArchitectureDep. of Urbanism – EASAF
Université François -Rabelais Ecole Polytechnique
d’AménagementCITERES-IPAPE2. Problem statement and Research Justification
Sustainable Development Assessment of Northern Tehran Suburbs 2006-2011Case Study of Shemiranat County
• Tehran Metropolitan Area (TMA)12 million population, 14 CountiesCity Population Growth : 7 %City Growth of Labor force: (-10%)!
• Northern Suburbs: Shemiranat CountyPopulation Growth: 15 %Growth of Labor force: 5%
Tuesday, May 2, 2023 2
10
2nd International Seminar and Workshop onNew Approaches and Advanced Methodology of Research in Urbanism & Architecture October, 4-5, 2015
10Iran University of Science and Technology School of
ArchitectureDep. of Urbanism – EASAF
Université François -Rabelais Ecole Polytechnique
d’AménagementCITERES-IPAPE3. Goal, Objectives and Sub-objectives
Sustainable Development Assessment of Northern Tehran Suburbs 2006-2011Case Study of Shemiranat County
• Redefine the qualitative concept of Sustainable Development into a measurable quantity at regional level
• Define the local Sustainable Development framework to measure Sustainable Development in Shemiranat County
• Measure the level of sustainability in Shemiranat County 2006-2011• Measure the level of sustainability at settlement’s level within the County 2006-
2011• Explore the spatial pattern of settlements regarding to their Final Sustainable
Development Index• Assessment the trend of Sustainable development in Shemiranat
County between 2006-2011• Assessment the trend of Sustainable development at settlement’s level within the
County between 2006-20113Tuesday, May 2, 2023
10
2nd International Seminar and Workshop onNew Approaches and Advanced Methodology of Research in Urbanism & Architecture October, 4-5, 2015
10Iran University of Science and Technology School of
ArchitectureDep. of Urbanism – EASAF
Université François -Rabelais Ecole Polytechnique
d’AménagementCITERES-IPAPE4. Research Questions
Sustainable Development Assessment of Northern Tehran Suburbs 2006-2011Case Study of Shemiranat County
1. What are the appropriate indicators to measure the Sustainable Development for county considering its context?
2. What is Sustainable Development Final Index for the county between 2006-2011?
3. What is Sustainable Development Final Index for each settlement within the county for year 2006 and 2011?
4. Can any spatial pattern be inferred regarding the final indices for settlements?
5. How the sustainable development has been changed in county between 2006-2011?
6. How the sustainable development has been changed at each of the settlements between 2006-2011?
4Tuesday, May 2, 2023
10
2nd International Seminar and Workshop onNew Approaches and Advanced Methodology of Research in Urbanism & Architecture October, 4-5, 2015
10Iran University of Science and Technology School of
ArchitectureDep. of Urbanism – EASAF
Université François -Rabelais Ecole Polytechnique
d’AménagementCITERES-IPAPE5. Research Methodology
• Methods and Techniques
• Define the local indicator set considering spatial-temporal scale
• Calculation of each indicator and application of Standardized-Weighting
• Calculation of Sustainable Development Composite Index for year 2006 and 2011
• Hot Spot Analysis for 2006 and 2011• Calculation of absolute and relative changes
Sustainable Development Assessment of Northern Tehran Suburbs 2006-2011Case Study of Shemiranat County
5Tuesday, May 2, 2023
10
2nd International Seminar and Workshop onNew Approaches and Advanced Methodology of Research in Urbanism & Architecture October, 4-5, 2015
10Iran University of Science and Technology School of
ArchitectureDep. of Urbanism – EASAF
Université François -Rabelais Ecole Polytechnique
d’AménagementCITERES-IPAPE5. Research Methodology
• Data and Resources• Spatial Data at settlement’s levelDigitizing border of built-up areas in county Google Earth 2006-
2010Digitizing agricultural changes within settlements Google Earth
2006-2010
• Non-Spatial Data (National Statistical Center of Iran) County and settlement level
National Population and Housing Census 2006, 2011Statistical yearbook of Tehran Province 2006, 2011
Sustainable Development Assessment of Northern Tehran Suburbs 2006-2011Case Study of Shemiranat County
6Tuesday, May 2, 2023
10
2nd International Seminar and Workshop onNew Approaches and Advanced Methodology of Research in Urbanism & Architecture October, 4-5, 2015
10Iran University of Science and Technology School of
ArchitectureDep. of Urbanism – EASAF
Université François -Rabelais Ecole Polytechnique
d’AménagementCITERES-IPAPE6. Study Area 2011
Sustainable Development Assessment of Northern Tehran Suburbs 2006-2011Case Study of Shemiranat County
• Population and area 44000 people: 23700 Cities, 20312 Villages1188 sq km• Administrative divisionsTwo Districts: Roodbar-Qasran and Lavasanat46 villagesTwo cities: Fasham and Lavasan
7Tuesday, May 2, 2023
10
2nd International Seminar and Workshop onNew Approaches and Advanced Methodology of Research in Urbanism & Architecture October, 4-5, 2015
10Iran University of Science and Technology School of
ArchitectureDep. of Urbanism – EASAF
Université François -Rabelais Ecole Polytechnique
d’AménagementCITERES-IPAPE6. Study Area
Sustainable Development Assessment of Northern Tehran Suburbs 2006-2011Case Study of Shemiranat County
• Natural Resources
94% of mountainous area60 % of protected areasJajrood River and Latian Lake
8Tuesday, May 2, 2023
10
2nd International Seminar and Workshop onNew Approaches and Advanced Methodology of Research in Urbanism & Architecture October, 4-5, 2015
10Iran University of Science and Technology School of
ArchitectureDep. of Urbanism – EASAF
Université François -Rabelais Ecole Polytechnique
d’AménagementCITERES-IPAPE7. Results and Discussion
Sustainable Development Assessment of Northern Tehran Suburbs 2006-2011Case Study of Shemiranat County
• Sustainable Development Assessment Framework
9Tuesday, May 2, 2023
10
2nd International Seminar and Workshop onNew Approaches and Advanced Methodology of Research in Urbanism & Architecture October, 4-5, 2015
10Iran University of Science and Technology School of
ArchitectureDep. of Urbanism – EASAF
Université François -Rabelais Ecole Polytechnique
d’AménagementCITERES-IPAPE7. Results and Discussion
Sustainable Development Assessment of Northern Tehran Suburbs 2006-2011Case Study of Shemiranat County
• Trend of Sustainable Development in Shemiranat county 2006-2011
County Composite Index Score 2006-2011: Total Shrinkage of 4%
Social Economic Shrinkage 9 %Employment shrinkage 24% Population shrinkage 11%
Family size shrinkage 26 %Share of employment 24 % 10Tuesday, May 2, 2023
10
2nd International Seminar and Workshop onNew Approaches and Advanced Methodology of Research in Urbanism & Architecture October, 4-5, 2015
10Iran University of Science and Technology School of
ArchitectureDep. of Urbanism – EASAF
Université François -Rabelais Ecole Polytechnique
d’AménagementCITERES-IPAPE7. Results and Discussion
Sustainable Development Assessment of Northern Tehran Suburbs 2006-2011Case Study of Shemiranat County
Trend of Sustainable Development in 47 settlements 2006-2011•Sub-Series of Indicator set with data availabilitySettlement’s Composite Index Score 2006Settlement’s Composite Index Score 2011
11Tuesday, May 2, 2023
10
2nd International Seminar and Workshop onNew Approaches and Advanced Methodology of Research in Urbanism & Architecture October, 4-5, 2015
10Iran University of Science and Technology School of
ArchitectureDep. of Urbanism – EASAF
Université François -Rabelais Ecole Polytechnique
d’AménagementCITERES-IPAPE7. Results and Discussion
Sustainable Development Assessment of Northern Tehran Suburbs 2006-2011Case Study of Shemiranat County
Trend of Sustainable Development in 47 settlements 2006-2011•Spatial Pattern of Final Index Cold spot 2006: 90% probableCold spot 2011: 95% probable
12Tuesday, May 2, 2023
10
2nd International Seminar and Workshop onNew Approaches and Advanced Methodology of Research in Urbanism & Architecture October, 4-5, 2015
10Iran University of Science and Technology School of
ArchitectureDep. of Urbanism – EASAF
Université François -Rabelais Ecole Polytechnique
d’AménagementCITERES-IPAPE7. Results and Discussion
Sustainable Development Assessment of Northern Tehran Suburbs 2006-2011Case Study of Shemiranat County
Trend of Sustainable Development in 47 settlements 2006-2011
Relative Changes of Final Index for settlements 2006-2011
13Tuesday, May 2, 2023
10
2nd International Seminar and Workshop onNew Approaches and Advanced Methodology of Research in Urbanism & Architecture October, 4-5, 2015
10Iran University of Science and Technology School of
ArchitectureDep. of Urbanism – EASAF
Université François -Rabelais Ecole Polytechnique
d’AménagementCITERES-IPAPE8. Recommendations
Sustainable Development Assessment of Northern Tehran Suburbs 2006-2011Case Study of Shemiranat County
• Adapt a Sustainable Development Framework based on the region’s problem analysis
• Update the results with cycles of National population and housing Census: upcoming 2016
• Trend Assessment of Sustainable Development at different spatial scale such as Roodbar-Qasran and Lavasanat Division
• Explore the reason of significant variations for different indicators
Tuesday, May 2, 2023 14