Advocacy Outlook Presented to RKL’s 2016 Credit Union Seminar October 2016
AdvocacyOutlook
PresentedtoRKL’s2016CreditUnionSeminar
October2016
OurAdvocacyGoalTocreateamorefavorableoperatingenvironmentforcreditunionstoservetheirmembersthroughtheremovalofregulatorybarriersandexpansionofcreditunionpowersandopportunities.
3
TrendsImpactingCreditUnions
CreditUnionTrends• Verystrongmembershipgrowth• Highandincreasingloangrowth• Vastlyimprovedassetquality• Highearnings• Continuingconsolidation
PublicPolicyTrends• Post-CrisisRegulatoryShockContinues• HistoricLevelofCongressionalGridlock• AnElectionUnlikelytoChangeDynamics• ChangingCreditUnionSystemRequiresChangeinAdvocacyApproach
Whatdoesthismeanforcreditunionadvocacy?• AhealthycreditunionsystemkeepsCongressfromexercisingtoomuch scrutinyoverthesystem,theshareinsurancefund,andtheregulator.• Agrowingcreditunionsystemenhancesourvaluetoconsumersandsmallbusinesses,increasingourrelevanceintheeyesofpolicymakers.• Aconsolidatingcreditunionsystemmeansthatwehavemore“large”creditunionsandfewer“small”creditunions,requiringustomanagethepotentiallyimpactonourgrassrootscapability.
OurAdvocacyAgenda
Reduce regulatory
burden facing credit
unions
Expandconsumer and small business
access to credit unions
Engage in public
policy developments on payments
and data security
Preserve favorable tax treatment of credit unions
Fierce CUNA/League360° advocacy
NationalCreditUnionAdministration
Congress and State Legislatures
Consumer F inanc i a l P ro tec t i on Bu reau
Regulatory Changes
FederalReserve
Since2007…200+
DepartmentofLabor
Federa l Communicat ions Commiss ion
RemoveBarrierssoyoucanbetterserveyourmembers
SampleofRegulatoryChangesSince2014RiskBasedCapital
HomeMortgageDisclosureAct
Truth-in-LendingAct/RealEstateSettlementProceduresActIntegratedDisclosures
Remittances
MilitaryLendingActArbitration
IncentiveBasedCompensation CyberSecurityFramework
MemberBusinessLending
OccupancyRule
FieldofMembership
CustomerDueDiligence
StudentLoanServicing
IOLTA
SameDayACHSmallEntityDefinition
FixedAssets
RuralandUnderservedDefinitions
PrePaidAccounts
FHLBMembership
FloodInsurance
CorporateCreditUnions
TelephoneConsumerProtectionAct
AssetSecuritizationandSafeHarbor
AssociationalCommonBondFOMRequirements
QualifiedMortgageRule
CheckCollectionandReturns
Impact of Regulatory Burden on Credit Unionsin 2014
9
Buildingon2015Accomplishments…FieldofMembershipandMBLRelief
Privacy Notification Modernization
Pr i va te l y i n su red c red i t un ions e l i g i b l e to j o in FHLBs
Bi l l s approved by HFSC
Advocatedincourton
TaxStatusPreserved20+
Risk-BasedCapitalImprovements
Data breach, Interchange, and TCPA
Kept S ta te Treasu re rs o f f ha rmfu l Ch ip & P IN Mandate Le t te r
Enac ted new de f in i t i on o f ru ra l a rea fo r CFPB mor tgage ru l e s
WeAreMakingProgressin2016…Calendar-YearExamRequirementEliminated
Overhead Transfer Rate Methodology Published
F ina l F i duc i a r y Ru le I n c luded CUNA- sought changes
House and Senate Members Wrote CFPB on Exemption Authori ty
StateCreditUnionActImprovementsin:
TaxStatusPreserved399
FHLBMembershipRuleImproved
Alabama, Co lorado, F lor ida , Georg ia , Ind iana, V i rg in ia and Wiscons in
TRIDReopened
RegZSmallCreditorExemptionInterchangeVictoryin
TexasCourt
CongressionalGridlock:LegislationEnactedAsaPercentageofLegislationIntroduced80th- 112thCongresses
7.49%
2.20%
4.20%
6.32%
4.31%
3.49%
4.67%
3.28%2.80%
1.95%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
9.00%
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
80thCongress
(1947-1948)
83thCongress
(1953-1954)
86thCongress
(1959-1960)
89thCongress
(1965-1966)
92ndCongress
(1971-1972)
95thCongress
(1977-1978)
98thCongress
(1983-1984)
101stCongress
(1989-1990)
104thCongress
(1995-1996)
107thCongress
(2001-2002)
110thCongress
(2007-2008)
Do-NothingCongressDoesNotMeanNothingWillBeDoneinWashington
FinalYearRegulatoryPush
There is an average of 25% more regulatory activity in the 8th year of a presidency than the average of the first seven years.
14
CurrentAdvocacyIssuesCreditUnionPowers
• FieldofMembership• MemberBusinessLending• SupplementalCapital/Risk-Based
Capital• PublicDeposits• PrizeLinkedSavings• FederalCreditUnionActUpdate• StateCreditUnionActUpdates
ExaminationandSupervision• ExaminationFrequencyandFairness• SupervisoryModernization• TransportationNetworkCompany
Issues• PatentReform• IOLTA/PrepaidCardInsurance
Coverage• OperationChokepoint
ConsumerProtection• OverdraftProtection• PaydayLending• TelephoneConsumerProtection• PrivacyNotification• DOLFiduciaryDefinition• CFPBStructuralReform• TILA/RESPA• HMDA• QualifiedMortgageRule• DebtCollection• StudentLending• MilitaryLending• DOLOvertimeProposal
TaxandBudgetPolicy• FederalTaxExemption• StateTaxExemptions• LocalTaxIssues• UBIT• FATCA• IRSDisclosures• NCUABudgetTransparency• CongressionalBudget• Appropriations
Housing• FederalHomeLoanBankParity• GSEReform• FloodInsurance
Payments• Interchange/SurchargingAmicusBriefs
• Data/CyberSecurity• FasterPayments/SameDayACH
15
Our Advocacy Strategy• Our goal is to influence public
policy to create the best possible operating environment for credit unions.• Regulators are ultimately
responsible to Congress.• During gridlock, our ask is for
Congress to influence CFPB, NCUA and others.
16
UsingCongresstoReduceRegulatoryBurden• CFPBExemptionAuthority
• Stivers-SchiffLetter• Donnelly-Sasse Letter• AppropriationsReportLanguage
• ShelbyandHensarling RegulatoryReliefBills• CFPBStructuralReform• CFPBMortgageRuleMakings• NCUABudgetAct• FHLBAccess• OperationChokepoint
CFPBExemptionAuthority– Section1022(a)(3)(A)TheBureau,byrule,mayconditionallyorunconditionallyexemptanyclassofcoveredpersons,serviceproviders,orconsumerfinancialproductsorservices,fromanyprovisionofthistitle,orfromanyruleissuedunderthistitle,astheBureaudeterminesnecessaryorappropriatetocarryoutthepurposesandobjectivesofthistitle,takingintoconsiderationthefactorsinsubparagraph(B).
PendingandAnticipatedRegulatoryChanges
NCUA• FieldofMembership(NearFinal)• CallReportModernization/ExaminationEfficiency(InProgress)CFPB• Arbitration(Proposed)• SmallDollar,ShortTerm(Payday)Loans(Proposed)• ThirdPartyDebtCollection(Proposed)• TRIDAmendments(Proposed)• FirstPartyDebtCollection(Anticipated)• OverdraftProtection(Anticipated)
Whataretheprospectsnextyear?
FutureOpportunitiesØPushCongressFurtheronDataSecurityConcernsØAggressivelyaddressCFPBRegulatoryBurden
ØPotentialmoratoriumonnewregulationsandCFPBStructuralReformsØStructuralchangestotheCFPBØTargetedstatutoryrelief
ØPursueaFederalCreditUnionActupdateØBuildoffworkoftheCharterEnhancementgroupandfeedbackandinputfromallstakeholders
ØLaythegroundwork|BuildSystemSupport|SetExpectations|CreateFavorablePoliticalEnvironment
ØViewthisasathreeyearplan.
21
FourPlausibleElectionScenarios
Scenario#1– StatusQuo• ClintonwinsWhiteHouse• GOPRetainSenate• GOPRetainHouse
Scenario#3– DemocraticTrifecta• ClintonwinsWhiteHouse• DemsretakeSenate• DemsretakeHouse
Scenario#2– ConventionalWisdom• ClintonwinsWhiteHouse• DemsRetakeSenate• GOPRetainHouse
Scenario#4– MakeAmericaGreatAgain• TrumpwinsWhiteHouse• GOPRetainSenate• GOPRetainHouse
22
Scenario#1– StatusQuo
WhyItWillHappen• ElectorateuncomfortablewithTrumpgivesClintonthekeystotheWhiteHouse,buttasksGOPwithprovidingchecksandbalances.
WhatMeansforCreditUnions• Gridlockensues– andmayworsen.• ContinuedopportunityforpressurefromCongressonCFPB.• Dooropensslightlyforreformsbecauseof2018Senateelections.• Taxreformispossible.
23
Scenario#2– ConventionalWisdomWhyItWillHappen• Electorateactsrationallytothechoicesontheballot.• Clintonsolidifiessupportinswingstates.• Demcandidatesmakefewmistakes.• LowerthannormalGOPturnouthurtsincumbentGOPSenators.
WhatitMeansforCreditUnions• Doormayopenabittodiscusscharterenhancements.• IncreasedattentiontocommunityfinancialinstitutionissuesinSenateBankingCommittee.• SlightpossibilitytobeginmovingsomeCFPBreforms.• ContinuedpressurefromCongressontheCFPBexemptionauthority.• Taxreformremainspossiblebutslightlymorecomplicated
24
Scenario#2– ConventionalWisdom
SlightpossibilitytobeginmovingsomeCFPBReforms?• Democratswilldefend25seatsin2018,includingfourindeepredstates.• Democratswillhavemoreinfluenceoverpotentialchanges.• ClintonadministrationmayfeellessownershiptothestructureoftheCFPB.
DemocraticSenatorsonBankingCommitteeUpforReelectionin2018• Brown• Donnelly• Heitkamp• Tester• Warren
25
Scenario#3– DemocraticTrifectaWhyItWillHappen• AnelectoratescaredtodeathofDonaldTrumpmakesdown-ballotGOPcandidatespayfornominatinghim.• DeeplysuppressedGOPvoterturn-outhurtsotherwisesafeGOPcandidatesinsuburbandistricts.• OpenseatsgotheDemocratsway.
WhatItMeansforCreditUnions• Charterenhancementconversationaccelerates.• Dodd-Franktechnicalchangespossible,butstructuralreformcanalmostcertainlyberuledout.• SteadyregulatorystreamfromCFPB.• Taxreformbecomesslightlyeasier/moreprobable.• PotentialforHouseGOPleadershipshake-up.
26
Scenario#4– MakeAmericaGreatAgainWhyItWillHappen• Electorateisfedupwithestablishment,doesnotwantfourmoreyearsofObamaorClinton.• TrumpunitestheGOPandvotersrewardhimwithmajoritiesinbothchambers.
WhatItMeansforCreditUnions• PossibilityofDodd-Frankreformsincreases.• CFPBmoratoriumentersrealmofthepossible.• Hardtoseetherebeingoxygenintheroomforcharterenhancements.• SlowerregulatorystreamafterCordray’s termexpiresin2018.• ButwhoreallyknowswhataTrumpadministrationwouldbelike?
27
Lookingaheadto2018
Senate• Demsmustdefend25seats,includingseveralinredstates.• Cordray’s termexpiresin2018;nominationcouldbecampaignissueandcouldspurreform.• SupremeCourtVacanciescouldloomlargein2018.
House• TermlimitsmeananewHouseFinancialServicesCommitteeChairmanwillbeinstalledafterelections.• Partyofthepresidenttendstoloseseatsinfirsttermmid-termelections.
TheBottomLine
• 2016isanelectionyearlikenoneother,butcreditunionsaresetuptowinnomatterwhattheoutcomeoftheelectionis.• The2018electionscouldhavegreaterconsequencesoncreditunionsthanthe2016elections.
Whatdoweneedtodoinordertobewell-positionedin2017andbeyond?
30
TwoKeystoImprovingOperatingEnvironmentforCreditUnions
CreditUnionSystemMustContinuetoProjectaStrong,UnifiedVoice:• Whowillspeakforcreditunions?
CreditUnionPerformanceMustRemainStrong:• Membershipgrowth• Loangrowth• Assetquality• Earnings• ServiceExcellence
31
BringingitHome• Sign-upforMAP• SubscribetotheAdvocacyUpdate• FollowtheRemovingBarriersBlog• RespondtoCommentCalls• ParticipateinyourLeague’sHike-the-HillProgram
• Inviteelectedofficialstoyourcreditunion
• AttendGAC• Begoodcitizens
32
CUNA’sMemberActivationProgram
Ease the Burden• 20+ CUs contacted 600,000 members
• 20,000 messages sent to Capitol Hill
• 85% of those who visited campaign website took action
Overall Reach• 300 credit unions enrolled
• 47 states represented
• Potential reach of more than 13.5 million members CUNA.org/MAP
Imagine a reach of more than 100 million members
33
BringingitHome• Sign-upforMAP• SubscribetotheAdvocacyUpdate• FollowtheRemovingBarriersBlog• RespondtoCommentCalls• ParticipateinyourLeague’sHike-the-HillProgram
• Inviteelectedofficialstoyourcreditunion
• AttendGAC• Begoodcitizens
Thank you!
Formoreinformationregardingtheseandotherlegislativeissues,pleasevisittheCUNAwebsite(www.CUNA.org)andclickonLegislativeandRegulatoryAdvocacy.
Ifyouwouldliketofollow-upwithanyquestionsorcomments,[email protected].