Advances in Tools for Water Resources Management Anju Gaur and C.R. Singh The World Bank, [email protected]
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Advances in Tools for Water Resources
Management
Anju Gaur and C.R. Singh
The World Bank,
Water Availability by Basin
2
Basin SW Resource (BCM)
Indus 73
Ganga 525
Brahmaputra/Barak 585
Godavari 110
Krishna 78
Mahanadi 67
Narmada 46
Brahmani/Baitarni 28
Cauvery 21
Others 336
TOTAL 1869
From: IWMI – Spatial Variation in Water Supply and Demand Source: http://www.history.upenn.edu/coursepages/hist086/material/IndiaRiverBasins.gif
Climate extremes
Source: IndiaWRIS
• Drought Prone: 68 percent area
• Flood affected: 12 percent (USD 1 Billion loss and affecting more than 30 million people)
Linking Water availability to Agriculture Development PMKSY (central irrigation scheme) targets to develop and manage irrigation Out of Net Sown area of 141 M Ha, Irrigated area is 55.1 M Ha (16 M Ha Canal irrigated) and Rainfed area is > 60%
Canal Irrigated area Groundwater potential Irrigated area
http://www.indiawaterportal.org/articles/images-and-facts-ground-water-situation-india, IWMI
Water Resources Development Potential is Spatio-temporal Sensitive
Major Basins in South excepting Godavari are closed
storage: the number
of days of average flow
In Southern basins, further
development will be at the cost of
downstream
In east, potential for substantial development
excepting some hotspots
Tank /Irrigation: 4
Water Sector Restructuring Project: 3
Watershed/Agriculture: 3
Dam rehabilitation: 5
State Projects
India Water Resources Projects (>5 Billion USD)
National Projects • National Hydrology Project (NHP) • Watershed Project
Source :http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/971731467998752846/pdf/100115-WP-PUBLIC-Box393225B-India-country-snapshot.pdf
World Bank projects in IWRM
Irrigation Management
River basin Management
Dam Safety
Proposed National Hydrology Project (USD 350 million)
• Real time Hydromet system
with access to the users • Standardizing Water
Resources Data and Information System for the country (India-WRIS)
• Setup River basin planning tools for improved planning and real time flood forecasting (Dynamic water availability and forecast)
• Institutional Capacity enhancement
IndiaWRIS: Web enabled information system
Riv
er
Bas
in
Dat
a
River Basin Data
SOI
NRSC
CGWB
IMD
Centralized Data India WRIS
Water Resources Agencies and other Water Allied Stakeholders
for Application and R&D
NWIC
River Basin Data
State WRIS State WRIS
State WRIS
Hyd
ro-m
et
data
NIH
Elevation Model
Met & Forecast Data
Remote Sense Data
Training
River Basin Data River Basin Data
Ground Water Data
CPCB
River Basin Data
Water Quality Data
http://www.india-wris.nrsc.gov.in/wris.html
Flood Management: Linking with climate forecast
Bhakra and Krishna Basins • Regulated basin • First time streamflow forecast linked
with the weather forecast and real time data acquisition systems
* Existing forecast system in CWC is based on upstream water level in the streams
Floods are minimized and saved lives and damages
Forecast Trigger: ECMWF forecast files
Updated TRMM-
CMORPH-CPC
precipitation estimates
Updated distributed
model parameters
Updated outlet
discharge estimates
Above-critical-level
forecast probabilities
transferred to Bangladesh
Lumped Model Hindcast/Forecast
Discharge Generation
Distributed Model Hindcast/Forecast
Discharge Generation
Multi-Model Hindcast/Forecast Discharge Generation
Discharge Forecast PDF Generation
Calibrate model
Statistically correct
downscaled forecasts
Generate forecasts Generate hindcasts Generate forecasts Generate hindcasts
Update soil moisture
states and in-stream flows
Generate hindcasts
Calibrate AR error model
Calibrate multi-model
Generate forecasts Generate hindcasts
Generate model error PDF
Convolute multi-model forecast
PDF with model error PDF
E O
F
M
Q P
B D
L
F
C
Generate forecasts
NCAR: Ensemble forecast
7 day 8 day
9 day 10 day
Brahmaputra Discharge
Forecast Ensembles
Flood Management: Ensemble
Flood Management: Satellite based
Hydrological forecast: Role of time and space
Ganga-Brahmaputra • Flood management in unregulated and
data scarce basins • Priority of area assessed with flood
damage
Hydrological forecasts: Role of time and space in Ganga and Brahmaputra basin
28 Catchments
4696 Catchments
Spatial: Temporal:
Flood Management
• Iscochrones for water travel time through the G-B Basins
• The contour shows the approximate number of days that water takes to travel
Yamuna Manas Ghagra Middle Ganges
Chambal
---- ECMWF ---- NCEP ---- CMC ---- UKMET ---- OBS
Sone Meghna
Middle Brahmaputra
Dam Break Analysis : Inundation Mapping
Remote Sensing Technology for targeting Irrigation
Investment
Focus on rainfed area
Prioritize watersheds (Green/Yellow watersheds are comparatively water scarce)
Brining transparency and accountability in selection of area for irrigation development and management using remote sensing based land use in West Bengal (www.wbadmip.org)
Watershed based Water Budgeting and Planning for
irrigation developement
2013-2014 2014- 2015
GIS based Project Monitoring through Mapping of Project Impacts
ValueHigh
Low
Paddy production (t) Pre project 2013-14
Post project 2014-15
Crop stages Area (Ha) Yield (t/Ha)
Production (tons)
Area (Ha) Yield (t/Ha) Production (tons)
Change in production
Post monsoon (Rabi) 10 5.20 50.54 34.6 5.10 176.26 249%
Cropping intensity improved from 30% to 100%, Paddy
Production increased by 250%
Project Investment
Farmer entrepreneurs
Summary
• Spatio-temporal system has crucial role in
– flood management with real time and ensemble forecast in the river basins.
– Identification of the “right” beneficiaries for irrigation development and management.
– Evidence based Impact assessment.
– Finally contributing to transparency and governance in the system.
“Accessibility, capacity building in analytical solutions”
Spatial Agent: Mobile app
http://www.appsolutelydigital.com/SpatialAgent/
We do hope you like this first release of this product (download from http://apps.worldbank.org/ or the Apple Appstore at https://itunes.apple.com/us/app/spatial-agent/id890565166?mt=8 for iOS devices or the Google Play Store at https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=org.worldbank.spatialagent&hl=en for android devices.
Some Resources
1. India Snapshots: www.worldbank.org; http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/971731467998752846/pdf/100115-WP-PUBLIC-Box393225B-India-country-snapshot.pdf
2. Spatial agent: http://www.appsolutelydigital.com/SpatialAgent/
3. National Hydrology Project: www.indiawrm.org 4. India WRIS: http://www.india-wris.nrsc.gov.in/wris.html 5. West Bengal Accelerated Development Project: www.wbadmip.org
Contact: Anju Gaur ([email protected])
Please note, maps used in this presentation are not to scale
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