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Addition Rule Larson/Farber 4th ed 1 Objectives Determine if two events are mutually exclusive Use the Addition Rule to find the probability of two events
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Addition Rule Larson/Farber 4th ed 1 Objectives Determine if two events are mutually exclusive Use the Addition Rule to find the probability of two events.

Dec 30, 2015

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Page 1: Addition Rule Larson/Farber 4th ed 1 Objectives Determine if two events are mutually exclusive Use the Addition Rule to find the probability of two events.

Addition Rule

Larson/Farber 4th ed 1

Objectives

Determine if two events are mutually exclusive

Use the Addition Rule to find the probability of two events

Page 2: Addition Rule Larson/Farber 4th ed 1 Objectives Determine if two events are mutually exclusive Use the Addition Rule to find the probability of two events.

Mutually Exclusive Events

Mutually exclusive

• Two events A and B cannot occur at the same time

Larson/Farber 4th ed 2

AB A B

A and B are mutually exclusive

A and B are not mutually exclusive

Page 3: Addition Rule Larson/Farber 4th ed 1 Objectives Determine if two events are mutually exclusive Use the Addition Rule to find the probability of two events.

Example: Mutually Exclusive Events

Decide if the events are mutually exclusive.

Event A: Roll a 3 on a die.

Event B: Roll a 4 on a die.

Larson/Farber 4th ed 3

Solution:Mutually exclusive (The first event has one outcome, a 3. The second event also has one outcome, a 4. These outcomes cannot occur at the same time.)

Page 4: Addition Rule Larson/Farber 4th ed 1 Objectives Determine if two events are mutually exclusive Use the Addition Rule to find the probability of two events.

Example: Mutually Exclusive Events

Decide if the events are mutually exclusive.

Event A: Randomly select a male student.

Event B: Randomly select a nursing major.

Larson/Farber 4th ed 4

Solution:Not mutually exclusive (The student can be a male nursing major.)

Page 5: Addition Rule Larson/Farber 4th ed 1 Objectives Determine if two events are mutually exclusive Use the Addition Rule to find the probability of two events.

The Addition Rule

Addition rule for the probability of A or B

• The probability that events A or B will occur is P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B)

• For mutually exclusive events A and B, the rule can be simplified to P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) Can be extended to any number of mutually

exclusive events

Larson/Farber 4th ed 5

Page 6: Addition Rule Larson/Farber 4th ed 1 Objectives Determine if two events are mutually exclusive Use the Addition Rule to find the probability of two events.

Example: Using the Addition Rule

You select a card from a standard deck. Find the probability that the card is a 4 or an ace.

Larson/Farber 4th ed 6

Solution:The events are mutually exclusive (if the card is a 4, it cannot be an ace)

(4 ) (4) ( )

4 4

52 528

0.15452

P or ace P P ace

4♣4♥

4♦4♠ A♣

A♥

A♦

A♠

44 other cards

Deck of 52 Cards

Page 7: Addition Rule Larson/Farber 4th ed 1 Objectives Determine if two events are mutually exclusive Use the Addition Rule to find the probability of two events.

Example: Using the Addition Rule

You roll a die. Find the probability of rolling a number less than 3 or rolling an odd number.

Larson/Farber 4th ed 7

Solution:The events are not mutually exclusive (1 is an outcome of both events)

Odd

5

3 1

2

4 6

Less than three

Roll a Die

Page 8: Addition Rule Larson/Farber 4th ed 1 Objectives Determine if two events are mutually exclusive Use the Addition Rule to find the probability of two events.

Solution: Using the Addition Rule

Larson/Farber 4th ed 8

( 3 )

( 3) ( ) ( 3 )

2 3 1 40.667

6 6 6 6

P less than or odd

P less than P odd P less than and odd

Odd

5

3 1

2

4 6

Less than three

Roll a Die

Page 9: Addition Rule Larson/Farber 4th ed 1 Objectives Determine if two events are mutually exclusive Use the Addition Rule to find the probability of two events.

Example: Using the Addition Rule

The frequency distribution shows the volume of sales (in dollars) and the number of months a sales representative reached each sales level during the past three years. If this sales pattern continues, what is the probability that the sales representative will sell between $75,000 and $124,999 next month?

Larson/Farber 4th ed 9

Sales volume ($) Months

0–24,999 3

25,000–49,999 5

50,000–74,999 6

75,000–99,999 7

100,000–124,999 9

125,000–149,999 2

150,000–174,999 3

175,000–199,999 1

Page 10: Addition Rule Larson/Farber 4th ed 1 Objectives Determine if two events are mutually exclusive Use the Addition Rule to find the probability of two events.

Solution: Using the Addition Rule

• A = monthly sales between $75,000 and $99,999

• B = monthly sales between $100,000 and $124,999

• A and B are mutually exclusive

Larson/Farber 4th ed 10

Sales volume ($) Months

0–24,999 3

25,000–49,999 5

50,000–74,999 6

75,000–99,999 7

100,000–124,999 9

125,000–149,999 2

150,000–174,999 3

175,000–199,999 1

( ) ( ) ( )

7 9

36 3616

0.44436

P A or B P A P B

Page 11: Addition Rule Larson/Farber 4th ed 1 Objectives Determine if two events are mutually exclusive Use the Addition Rule to find the probability of two events.

Example: Using the Addition Rule

A blood bank catalogs the types of blood given by donors during the last five days. A donor is selected at random. Find the probability the donor has type O or type A blood.

Larson/Farber 4th ed 11

Type O Type A Type B Type AB Total

Rh-Positive 156 139 37 12 344

Rh-Negative 28 25 8 4 65

Total 184 164 45 16 409

Page 12: Addition Rule Larson/Farber 4th ed 1 Objectives Determine if two events are mutually exclusive Use the Addition Rule to find the probability of two events.

Solution: Using the Addition Rule

Larson/Farber 4th ed 12

The events are mutually exclusive (a donor cannot have type O blood and type A blood)

Type O Type A Type B Type AB Total

Rh-Positive 156 139 37 12 344

Rh-Negative 28 25 8 4 65

Total 184 164 45 16 409

( ) ( ) ( )

184 164

409 409348

0.851409

P type O or type A P type O P type A

Page 13: Addition Rule Larson/Farber 4th ed 1 Objectives Determine if two events are mutually exclusive Use the Addition Rule to find the probability of two events.

Example: Using the Addition Rule

Find the probability the donor has type B or is Rh-negative.

Larson/Farber 4th ed 13

Solution:

The events are not mutually exclusive (a donor can have type B blood and be Rh-negative)

Type O Type A Type B Type AB Total

Rh-Positive 156 139 37 12 344

Rh-Negative 28 25 8 4 65

Total 184 164 45 16 409

Page 14: Addition Rule Larson/Farber 4th ed 1 Objectives Determine if two events are mutually exclusive Use the Addition Rule to find the probability of two events.

Solution: Using the Addition Rule

Larson/Farber 4th ed 14

Type O Type A Type B Type AB Total

Rh-Positive 156 139 37 12 344

Rh-Negative 28 25 8 4 65

Total 184 164 45 16 409

( )

( ) ( ) ( )

45 65 8 1020.249

409 409 409 409

P type B or Rh neg

P type B P Rh neg P type B and Rh neg

Page 15: Addition Rule Larson/Farber 4th ed 1 Objectives Determine if two events are mutually exclusive Use the Addition Rule to find the probability of two events.

Summary

• Determined if two events are mutually exclusive

• Used the Addition Rule to find the probability of two events

Larson/Farber 4th ed 15