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AD & AS aggreate demand and aggreate supply

Aug 08, 2018

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Deepak Gulwani
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    Aggregate Demand/AggregateSupply

    The basic model of

    short-run economic

    fluctuations

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    Aggregate Demand and Supply

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    The basic model of economic

    fluctuations

    The basic model of aggregate demand

    and aggregate supply Economists use the model of aggregate

    demand and aggregate supplyto explain

    short-run fluctuations in economic activity

    around its long run trend.

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    The basic model of economic

    fluctuations

    The Basic Model of Aggregate Demand

    and Aggregate Supply The aggregate-demand curveshows the

    quantity of goods and services that

    households, firms, and the government want

    to buy at each price level.

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    The basic model of economic

    fluctuations

    The Basic Model of Aggregate Demand

    and Aggregate Supply The aggregate-supply curveshows the

    quantity of goods and services that firms

    choose to produce and sell at each price

    level.

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    Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply...

    Quantity ofOutput

    PriceLevel

    0

    Aggregatesupply

    Aggregatedemand

    Equilibriumoutput

    Equilibriumprice level

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    Aggregate Demand (AD)

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    THE AGGREGATE-DEMAND

    CURVE

    The four components of GDP (Y)

    contribute to the aggregate demand forgoods and services.

    Y = C + I + G + NX

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    The Aggregate-Demand Curve...

    Quantity ofOutput

    PriceLevel

    0

    Aggregatedemand

    P

    Y Y2

    P21. A decreasein the pricelevel . . .

    2. . . . increases the quantity ofgoods and services demanded.

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    Why the Aggregate-Demand Curve IsDownward Sloping The Price Level and Consumption: The

    Wealth Effect The Price Level and Investment: The

    Interest Rate Effect

    The Price Level and Net Exports: TheExchange-Rate Effect

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    Why the Aggregate-Demand Curve IsDownward Sloping The Price Level and Consumption: The

    Wealth Effect

    A decrease in the price level makes

    consumers feel more wealthy, which in turn

    encourages them to spend more.

    This increase in consumer spending means

    larger quantities of goods and services

    demanded.

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    Why the Aggregate-Demand Curve IsDownward Sloping The Price Level and Investment: The

    Interest Rate Effect

    A lower price level reduces the interest rate,

    which encourages greater spending on

    investment goods.

    This increase in investment spending means

    a larger quantity of goods and services

    demanded.

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    Why the Aggregate-Demand Curve IsDownward Sloping The Price Level and Net Exports: The

    Exchange-Rate Effect

    When a fall in the U.S. price level causes

    U.S. interest rates to fall, the real exchange

    rate depreciates, which stimulates U.S. net

    exports. The increase in net export spending means

    a larger quantity of goods and services

    demanded.

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    Why the Aggregate-Demand CurveMight Shift The downward slope of the aggregate demand

    curve shows that a fall in the price level raises

    the overall quantity of goods and servicesdemanded.

    Many other factors, however, affect the quantity

    of goods and services demanded at any givenprice level.

    When one of these other factors changes, the

    aggregate demand curve shifts.

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    Why the Aggregate-Demand CurveMight Shift Shifts arising from

    Consumption Investment

    Government Purchases

    Net Exports

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    Consumption Expenditure

    Exogenous factors affecting consumption: Tax rates

    Incomes short term and expected income over lifetime

    Wage increases

    Credit Interest rates

    Wealth

    Property

    Shares

    Savings

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    Investment Expenditure Spending on:

    Machinery

    Equipment

    Buildings

    Infrastructure

    Influenced by:

    Expected rates of return

    Interest rates

    Expectations of future sales

    Expectations of future inflation rates

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    Government Spending

    Defence Health

    Social Welfare

    Education

    Foreign Aid

    Regions

    Industry

    Law and Order

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    Import Spending (negative)

    Goods and services bought from abroad

    represents an outflow of funds from

    the country (reduces AD)

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    Export Earnings (Positive)

    Goods and services sold abroad

    represents a flow of funds into the

    country (raises AD)

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    Key Variables

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    Macroeconomic Policy

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    Shifts in the Aggregate

    Demand Curve

    Quantity of

    Output

    PriceLevel

    0

    Aggregatedemand, D1

    P1

    Y1

    D2

    Y2

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    Aggregate Supply (AS)

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    The Aggregate Supply Curve

    Aggregate supply is the total supply of all

    goods and services in the economy.

    The agg regate supp ly(AS) curveis a

    graph that shows the relationship

    between the aggregate quantity of outputsupplied by all firms in an economy and

    the overall price level.

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    Keynesian & Classical AggregateSupply Functions

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    THE AGGREGATE-SUPPLY

    CURVE

    In the long run, the aggregate-supply

    curve is vertical.

    In the short run, the aggregate-supply

    curve is upward sloping.

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    THE AGGREGATE-SUPPLY

    CURVE

    The Long-Run Aggregate-Supply Curve In the long run, an economys production of

    goods and services depends on its supplies

    of labor, capital, and natural resources and

    on the available technology used to turn

    these factors of production into goods andservices.

    The price level does not affect these

    variables in the long run.

    Th L R A t S l C

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    The Long-Run Aggregate-Supply Curve

    Quantity ofOutput

    PriceLevel

    0

    Long-runaggregate

    supply

    P21. A changein the pricelevel . . .

    2. . . . does not affect

    the quantity of goodsand services supplied

    in the long run.

    P

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    Shifts in the LR-Aggregate Supply

    Any change in the economy that alters thenatural rate of output shifts the long-run

    aggregate-supply curve. The shifts may be categorized according to

    long-run changes in

    Labor

    Capital Natural resources

    Technological knowledge

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    Why the Aggregate-Supply CurveSlopes Upward in the Short Run In the short run, an increase in the overall

    level of prices in the economy tends to

    raise the quantity of goods and services

    supplied.

    A decrease in the level of prices tends toreduce the quantity of goods and

    services supplied.

    Th Sh t R A t S l C

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    The Short-Run Aggregate-Supply Curve

    Quantity ofOutput

    Price

    Level

    0

    Short-runaggregate

    supply

    1. A decreasein the pricelevel . . .

    2. . . . reduces the quantityof goods and servicessupplied in the short run.

    Y

    P

    Y2

    P2

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    Why the Aggregate-Supply CurveSlopes Upward in the Short Run Macroeconomists focus on whether or

    not the economy as a whole is operating

    at full capacity.

    Even if firms are not holding excess labor

    and capital, the economy may beoperating below its capacity if there is

    cyclical unemployment.

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    Shifts of the Short-RunAggregate Supply Curve

    A leftward shift of the

    AS curve could be

    caused by cost

    shocks.

    A decrease in costs,

    economic growth, or public

    policy, can cause a rightward

    shift of theAS curve.

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    deregulation

    Bad weather, natural

    disasters, destruction

    from wars

    Good weather

    Public policyPublic policy waste and inefficiency supply-side policies over-regulation tax cuts

    Capital deterioration more capital more labor

    higher input prices lower input prices higher wage rates lower wage rates

    Factors That Shift the Aggregate Supply Curve

    Shifts to the LeftDecreases in Aggregate Supply

    Shifts to the RightIncreases in Aggregate Supply

    technological change

    StagnationEconomic growth

    Higher costsLower costs

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    The Equilibrium

    The equ i l ibr ium price level and

    agg regate ou tpu tis the point at which

    the aggregate demand and aggregate

    supply curves intersect.

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    TWO CAUSES OF

    ECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS

    Shifts in Aggregate Demand In the short run, shifts in aggregate demandcause fluctuations in the economys output of

    goods and services.

    In the long run, shifts in aggregate demand

    affect the overall price level but do not affectoutput.

    I i AD D d P ll

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    Increase in AD Demand-PullInflation

    An increase in

    aggregate demand

    when the economy is

    operating at low levels

    of output is likely to

    result in an increase in

    output with little or no

    increase in the overall

    price level.

    As the economy approaches maximum capacity, firms

    respond to further increases in demand only by

    raising prices.

    D i AD R i d

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    Decreases in AD: Recession andUnemployment

    Price

    Real National Income

    AS

    Yf

    AD1

    P1

    Y1

    AD0

    Y0

    P0

    In the short-run,

    decreases in AD will

    reduce equilibrium

    GDP and cause

    unemployment

    LR D i AD i t

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    LR Decrease in AD: no impact onoutput

    Price

    Real National Income

    AS

    Yf

    AD1

    P1 AD0

    P0

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    Short Run Adverse Shift in AS

    Price

    Real National Income

    AS0

    AD1

    P1

    Y1

    AD0

    Y

    0

    P0

    In the short-run,

    decreases in AS will

    reduce equilibrium

    GDP and cause

    prices to rise.

    AS1

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    The Effects of a Shift in AggregateSupply

    StagflationAdverse shifts in aggregate supply causestagflationa period of recession and

    inflation.

    Output falls and prices rise.

    Policymakers who can influence aggregatedemand cannot offset both of these adverseeffects simultaneously.

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    Long Run Adverse Shift in AS

    Price

    Real National Income

    AS0

    AD1

    P1

    Y1

    AD0

    Y

    0

    P0

    In the long-run,

    decreases in AS will

    also reduce

    equilibrium GDP and

    cause prices to rise.

    AS1

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    END..