Accounts Chamber of the Russian Federation

Accounts Chamber of the Russian Federation

Dynamics of key indicators of national resources

use efficiency: a comparative analysis

Anton Kosyanenko

Estimation of HDI under assumption that policy targets are successfully met

Estimation of HDI based on Russian policy targetsCountry HDI-2013

ValueRank

Brunei 0,855 30Russia-2018 0,853 31Cyprus 0,848 31Malta 0,847 32Andorra 0,846 33Estonia 0,846 34Slovak Republic 0,840 35Qatar 0,834 36Hungary 0,831 37Barbados 0,825 38Poland 0,821 39Chile 0,819 40Lithuania 0,818 41United Arab Emirates 0,818 42Portugal 0,816 43Latvia 0,814 44Argentina 0,811 45Seychelles 0,806 46Croatia 0,805 47Bahrain 0,796 48Bahamas 0,794 49Belorussia 0,793 50Uruguay 0,792 51Montenegro 0,791 52Palau 0,791 53Kuwait 0,790 54Russia 0,788 55Romania 0,786 56

Estimated HDI value based on policy targets in

2018

Values provided within Forecast-2030

Policy target in President of Russian Federation Decree №598

Education attainment

Estimation based on Rosstat data

Indicators of Human Development Index

(HDI)

EducationHealth

Actual HDI value in 2012

IncomeSuccessful attainment of policy targets would result in substantional increase of HDI and will Improve

Russia rank from 55 to 31

Life Expectancy

Gross National Income

Semantic analysis and terms interconnections patterns

Households income

Employment and jobs

Health and Demography

Education

Housing

Economy

Friendly and Safe Environment

Comparison of development indicators groups used in Russian and international indicators sets

Groups of key national indicators in decrees of President of Russian Federation and Government of Russian Federation

Housing services and utilities

Interrelations of inputs, outputs and outcomes in domain estimates

Recommended scope of indicators according to Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi Comission report

Not included into recommended scope

of indicators by Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi

Comission

Data availability for Наличие данных необходимых для оценки ключевых показателей СЭР

Groups of key national indicators in decrees of President of Russian Federation and Government

of Russian Federation

Economy

Housholds income

Employment

and Job

s

Health and demograph

y

Education

Housing

Friendly and safe

environment

Numerical values of outcome indicators as policy targets

Planned amounts of national resources use

Утвержденные государственные программы (по состоянию на 1 марта 2013 года)

Statistics needed for comprehensive international comparisons

Time series of subjective indicators

Enough data available for comprehensive analysis of indicators dynamics

Importance of progress metrics choice

Nominal sex-age structure

Cardiovascular mortality (data by Rosstat)

Standardized sex-age structure (WHO European

standard)

801,0 2009 год 423,5

806,4 2010 год 421,2 Mor

talit

y de

crea

sed

Mor

talit

y in

crea

sed

Outcomes indicators interrelations

Dynamics of objective and subjective indicators of outcomes

Life expectancy

Infant mortality 2020

National resources used by source (public and private healthcare expenditure)

United States

Japan

Poland

China

Russia

Outcomes and national resources usedLife expectancy at birth, years

Total health expenditure per capita, 2005 PPP US Dollars

United StatesJapan

Poland

China

Russia

Outcomes and national resources used

Life expectancy at birth, years

Total health expenditure per capita, 2005 PPP US Dollars

Policy targets attainability assessment

Compared to global average dynamics of indicators policy targets set for Russian Federation are planned to be achieved with use of 1,75 times

less resources with 2 times shorter time horizon

Life expectancy at birth, years

Total health expenditure per capita, 2005 PPP US Dollars

Accounts Chamber of the Russian Federation

Thank you!

Anton [email protected]

[email protected]