trade in coping with world’s water scarcity” Alberto Garrido CEIGRAM (Research for the Management of Agricultural and Environmental Risks) Universidad Politecnica de Madrid, Spain Water Observatory, Botin Foundation 2015 UN-Water Annual International Zaragoza Conference. Water and Sustainable Development: From Vision to Action. 15-17 January 2015 Side event. The influence of recent technological advances in Spanish and Global Water Policy
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Abengoa-FB Side Event – Alberto Garrido, OA-FB/Ceigram, 14th January, 2015 UN Water Conference Zaragoza
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“The role of virtual water trade in copingwith world’s water scarcity”
Alberto GarridoCEIGRAM (Research for the Management of Agricultural and Environmental Risks)
Universidad Politecnica de Madrid, Spain
Water Observatory, Botin Foundation
2015 UN-Water Annual International Zaragoza Conference. Water andSustainable Development: From Vision to Action. 15-17 January 2015
Side event. The influence of recent technological advances in Spanish andGlobal Water Policy
Main issues
1. Increase of food demand2. Countries’ Water and Land Scarcity3. The Role of Trade to Meet Food Countries Food
Demand4. WTO’s trade regime5. Outlook
1. Increases of food demand
Urbanisation Income growth Changes in food demad Population growthWhich can be met with
Increases of food production Productivity increases Expansion of land and water uses
1. Increases of food demand
Source: UN, World Population Assessment 2014
Source: UN, World Population Assessment 2002
Urbanization to accelerate
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1
2
3
4
5
6
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Bill
ion
peo
ple
Urban
Rural
expectedactual
1. Increases of food demand
Source: UN, World Population Assessment 2014
2. Current status of world water resources1. Increases of food demand
2. Countries’ Water and Land Scarcity
Source: Novo et al 2011 (based on Lannerstad and Falkenmark, 2010)
3.The Role of Trade to Meet Food Countries Food Demand
Source: Prakash and Christopher L. Gilbert. Chap. 3., FAO (2010)
Source: Dalin y et al (PNAS, 109:16, 2012)
3.The Role of Trade to Meet Food Countries Food Demand
Food security cannot be achieved without strong globalisation and stable global food systems
We urgently need a strong Global Food and Agriculture Governance
Very little progress of the Doha Round,commenced in Nov 2001 (Bali Agreement)
4.WTO’s trade regime
« No single country solution: Only joint actions »B. MunierMarch 2014, ULYSSES, International Seminar
Focus on yield gaps and intensification (better than expansion)
Focus on Food wasteChange of diets
ButA new Trade Regime (not forthcoming) Bilateralism / Trade blocksFocus on Food Security, Sovereinty and