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Aalborg Universitet Initiation of domiciliary care and nursing home admission following first hospitalization of heart failure patients a nationwide cohort study Rørth, Rasmus; Fosbøl, Emil L; Kragholm, Kristian; Mogensen, Ulrik M; Jhund, Pardeep S; Petrie, Mark C; Torp-Pedersen, Christian; Gislason, Gunnar H; McMurray, John J V; Køber, Lars; Kristensen, Søren L Published in: Clinical Epidemiology DOI (link to publication from Publisher): 10.2147/CLEP.S164795 Creative Commons License CC BY-NC 4.0 Publication date: 2018 Document Version Publisher's PDF, also known as Version of record Link to publication from Aalborg University Citation for published version (APA): Rørth, R., Fosbøl, E. L., Kragholm, K., Mogensen, U. M., Jhund, P. S., Petrie, M. C., Torp-Pedersen, C., Gislason, G. H., McMurray, J. J. V., Køber, L., & Kristensen, S. L. (2018). Initiation of domiciliary care and nursing home admission following first hospitalization of heart failure patients: a nationwide cohort study. Clinical Epidemiology, 10, 917-930. https://doi.org/10.2147/CLEP.S164795 General rights Copyright and moral rights for the publications made accessible in the public portal are retained by the authors and/or other copyright owners and it is a condition of accessing publications that users recognise and abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights. ? Users may download and print one copy of any publication from the public portal for the purpose of private study or research. ? You may not further distribute the material or use it for any profit-making activity or commercial gain ? You may freely distribute the URL identifying the publication in the public portal ?
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Aalborg Universitet Initiation of domiciliary care and ... · Rasmus Rørth1 Emil L Fosbøl1 Kristian Kragholm2 Ulrik M Mogensen1,3 Pardeep S Jhund3 Mark C Petrie3 Christian Torp-Pedersen

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Page 1: Aalborg Universitet Initiation of domiciliary care and ... · Rasmus Rørth1 Emil L Fosbøl1 Kristian Kragholm2 Ulrik M Mogensen1,3 Pardeep S Jhund3 Mark C Petrie3 Christian Torp-Pedersen

Aalborg Universitet

Initiation of domiciliary care and nursing home admission following firsthospitalization of heart failure patientsa nationwide cohort study

Rørth, Rasmus; Fosbøl, Emil L; Kragholm, Kristian; Mogensen, Ulrik M; Jhund, Pardeep S;Petrie, Mark C; Torp-Pedersen, Christian; Gislason, Gunnar H; McMurray, John J V; Køber,Lars; Kristensen, Søren LPublished in:Clinical Epidemiology

DOI (link to publication from Publisher):10.2147/CLEP.S164795

Creative Commons LicenseCC BY-NC 4.0

Publication date:2018

Document VersionPublisher's PDF, also known as Version of record

Link to publication from Aalborg University

Citation for published version (APA):Rørth, R., Fosbøl, E. L., Kragholm, K., Mogensen, U. M., Jhund, P. S., Petrie, M. C., Torp-Pedersen, C.,Gislason, G. H., McMurray, J. J. V., Køber, L., & Kristensen, S. L. (2018). Initiation of domiciliary care andnursing home admission following first hospitalization of heart failure patients: a nationwide cohort study. ClinicalEpidemiology, 10, 917-930. https://doi.org/10.2147/CLEP.S164795

General rightsCopyright and moral rights for the publications made accessible in the public portal are retained by the authors and/or other copyright ownersand it is a condition of accessing publications that users recognise and abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights.

? Users may download and print one copy of any publication from the public portal for the purpose of private study or research. ? You may not further distribute the material or use it for any profit-making activity or commercial gain ? You may freely distribute the URL identifying the publication in the public portal ?

Page 2: Aalborg Universitet Initiation of domiciliary care and ... · Rasmus Rørth1 Emil L Fosbøl1 Kristian Kragholm2 Ulrik M Mogensen1,3 Pardeep S Jhund3 Mark C Petrie3 Christian Torp-Pedersen

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Clinical Epidemiology 2018:10 917–930

Clinical Epidemiology Dovepress

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O R I G I N A L R E S E A R C H

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Open Access Full Text Article

http://dx.doi.org/10.2147/CLEP.S164795

Initiation of domiciliary care and nursing home admission following first hospitalization of heart failure patients: a nationwide cohort study

Rasmus Rørth1

Emil L Fosbøl1

Kristian Kragholm2

Ulrik M Mogensen1,3

Pardeep S Jhund3

Mark C Petrie3

Christian Torp-Pedersen4

Gunnar H Gislason5

John JV McMurray3

Lars Køber1

Søren L Kristensen1,3

1Department of Cardiology, Rigshospitalet, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark; 2Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Cardiovascular Research Centre, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg, Denmark; 3BHF Cardiovascular Research Centre, Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK; 4Department of Health, Science and Technology, Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark; 5Department of Cardiology, Gentofte/Herlev University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark

Background: Heart failure (HF) has a major impact on a patient’s quality of life and functional

status. This impact may be sufficiently profound to prevent independent living although how

often this is the case is unknown. We examined the need for domiciliary assistance and admis-

sion to a nursing home following first HF hospitalization.

Methods: In nationwide Danish registries, we identified a cohort of patients discharged alive

after a first-time HF hospitalization in the period 2008–2014 who were matched 1:5 with com-

parison subjects based on age and sex and followed for 5 years.

Results: We included 37,547 patients (69% men) discharged after a first-time HF-hospitalization

and 187,735 comparison subjects. The 5-year incidence of initiation of domiciliary care was

24.1% [23.7%–24.6%] among HF patients and 9.2% [9.1%–9.4%] among the comparison

cohort and yielded a corresponding adjusted HR of 2.02 [1.96–2.09]. Covariates associated with

initiation of domiciliary support included older age (HR 1.08 [1.07–1.08] per 1 year increase

in age), living alone (HR 2.09 [2.04–2.15]) and comorbidities. The 5-year incidence of nursing

home admission was 3.9% [3.7%–4.0%] among HF patients and 1.7% [1.7%–1.8%] among the

comparison cohort and this resulted in an adjusted HR of 1.91 [1.77–2.06]. Covariates associ-

ated with nursing home admission included older age (HR 1.10 [1.10–1.11]), living alone (HR

2.15 [2.02–2.28]) and history of stroke (HR 2.71 [2.53–2.90]).

Conclusion: Hospitalization for HF is associated with increased need for domiciliary support

and nursing home admissions. Older age, living alone, and comorbidities were associated with

higher risk of both outcomes.

Keywords: domiciliary care, nursing home admission, heart failure, epidemiology

Plain language summaryWhat is already known about this subject? One of the consequences of heart failure may be

the inability to carry out activities of daily living and live independently. How often support for

patients with heart failure is needed is unknown and it represents an important measure of the

personal, family and societal burden of heart failure.

What does this study add? In our nationwide study, we demonstrate a markedly higher risk of

future need for domiciliary support and nursing home admission in patients with heart failure,

compared to age and sex matched comparison cohorts.

How might this impact on clinical practice? On a personal level, the need for domiciliary

support and nursing home admission reflects a loss of autonomy and possible separation from

a spouse or family that may cause low self-esteem and potentially depression and other mental

health problems. The importance of a disease beyond the usual clinical parameters such as mortal-

ity and hospitalization are increasingly recognized in medicine and we believe that domiciliary

Correspondence: Rasmus RørthDepartment of Cardiology, Rigshospitalet, Blegdamsvej 9, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen 2100, Denmark Tel +45 3022915 Email [email protected]

Journal name: Clinical EpidemiologyArticle Designation: ORIGINAL RESEARCHYear: 2018Volume: 10Running head verso: Rørth et alRunning head recto: Domiciliary care and nursing home admissions of patients with heart failureDOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.2147/CLEP.S164795

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Rørth et al

care and nursing home admission could be used as additional

quality metrics for evaluation of the care and disease trajectory of

heart failure patients and as such provide a novel perspective on

the consequences and impact of heart failure.

IntroductionThe prognosis for patients with heart failure (HF) has

significantly improved during the last 30 years due to the

introduction of beneficial pharmacological treatments and

cardiac devices.1 Thus, an increasing part of the population,

and particularly elderly people are living longer with HF.

However, because HF causes limiting symptoms on exertion

and impaired functional status, patients may not be able to

carry out activities of daily living and manage independently

at home.2 Domiciliary support such as help with shopping,

meal preparation, personal care and cleaning and, in extreme

cases, institutional care such as admission to a nursing home

may be needed. How often these types of support for patients

with HF are initiated is unknown yet they reflect an impor-

tant measure of the personal, family and societal burden

of HF.3 At a personal level, loss of autonomy and possible

separation from a spouse or family not only causes loss of

self-esteem but also unhappiness, loneliness, and potentially

depression and other mental health problems. Even the need

for domiciliary support in the community can lead to loss of

independence, self-esteem, and issues in relation to privacy.

To further evaluate these important but under-researched

consequences of HF, we conducted a nationwide study in

Denmark using cross-linkage of health and administrative

registries.

MethodsData sourcesBy use of a unique personal identification number assigned

to all residents in Denmark, linkage of nationwide registries

at an individual level is possible.4 Danish nationwide reg-

istries hold information on sociodemographic characteris-

tics, including marital status, as well as information on all

hospitalizations since 1978 and all prescribed medication

since 1995.5,6 Data on nursing home admissions have been

collected since 1994 and data on domiciliary care in the

community has been documented since 2008.7 The study was

approved by the Danish Data Protection Agency and data

are available from Statistics Denmark upon application for

researchers located in Denmark. Register-based studies in

which individuals cannot be identified do not require ethical

approval in Denmark.

Study population and baseline variablesThe study population was identified among patients with

a first ever HF hospitalization in the period from 2008 to

2014. Patients were required to have a primary or a second-

ary discharge diagnosis of HF and to be alive at discharge.

Patients with a HF hospitalization before 2008 were excluded,

as were patients and comparison subjects who had received

domiciliary care or were living in a nursing home prior to

study inclusion. Each patient entered the study on their date

of discharge and was individually matched with five com-

parison subjects from the general population based on age

and sex. All comparison subjects had to be born in the same

year and were included from the same date as their matched

patient. Five comparison subjects were used to minimize

the bias introduced with the matching. Both groups were

followed until an outcome of interest occurred, death, for

a maximum of 5 years or until end of study (December 31,

2015). Comorbidities were identified by hospital discharge

codes in a 10-year period prior to first HF hospitalization.

Diabetes mellitus was additionally identified by at least one

filled prescription for a glucose lowering drug in the 6 months

prior to the first HF hospitalization. Ongoing use of medica-

tion was defined by at least one filled prescription of the drug

in the preceding 6 months or 7 days after being discharged

but was not included in the adjusted Cox regression analyses.

To assess whether it was merely the hospitalization in itself

and not necessarily the diagnosis of HF which explained the

associations with the outcomes of interest, we conducted two

sensitivity analyses in an attempt to identify potential detec-

tion bias associated with hospitalizations in general: first, we

included patients diagnosed with HF in an outpatient clinic,

with no previous hospitalization for HF, rather than at time

of first hospitalization and compared them to comparison

subjects from the general population and, secondly, we used

an active comparison group of patients undergoing knee

replacement, as these patients are hospitalized and there is

a focus on their ability to manage at home after discharge.

Outcome measuresThe outcomes of interest were initiation of domiciliary care

and admission to a nursing home. Domiciliary care was

defined as help given if there are assignments in the home

that the citizen can no longer do themselves. In Denmark,

domiciliary care covers three main areas: 1) personal care,

including bathing, dressing, and eating; 2) practical help

such as shopping, cleaning, and doing laundry; and 3) food

service.8 Residents in Denmark can freely choose between

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Domiciliary care and nursing home admissions of patients with heart failure

municipal and private care providers. Therefore, we used

information from meetings between residents and municipal

staff where the need for domiciliary care is decided, i.e.,

before the resident decides whether to use private or munici-

pal care providers, limiting the potential bias. Nursing home

is defined as an institution where citizens live if they can no

longer take care of themselves.

StatisticsBaseline characteristics for HF patients and the comparison

cohort were described by use of proportions for categorical

variables and medians/quartiles for continuous variables.

Cumulative incidence curves for initiation of domiciliary

care and nursing home admission, with death as a compet-

ing risk, were estimated using the Aalen-Johansen method

and differences between patients and the comparison cohort

were compared using Gray’s test.9,10 These methods were

used in order not to overestimate the risks in the presence

of competing risk of death. We also used cause-specific Cox

regression to compare the risk of initiation of domiciliary

care and nursing home admission between patients and

the comparison cohort. The Cox regression analyses were

adjusted for age, sex, marital status, calendar year, and

comorbidities (ischemic heart disease, hypertension, atrial

fibrillation, cancer, chronic kidney disease, COPD, diabe-

tes, and stroke). Adjusted variables were chosen before any

analyses were done and were based on clinical relevance

and known prognostic importance in HF. Medications for

HF were not included in the model to eliminate confound-

ing by indication. The variables sex, age, calendar year,

and marital status were tested for interactions with first

HF hospitalization in relation to both outcomes and, unless

stated otherwise, found absent. Interactions between marital

status and first HF hospitalization on both outcomes were

furthermore tested separately for men and women. Interac-

tions were significant if they yielded a P-value below 0.01.

Log (–log(survival)) curves were used to evaluate the pro-

portional hazard assumption. The assumption of linearity

for age was tested by including a variable of age squared.

The SAS statistical software package, version 9.4 (SAS

Institute, Cary, NC, USA) and R, version 3.3.2 (R develop-

ment Core Team) were used for all analyses.

ResultsBaseline characteristics A total of 37,547 patients with a first HF hospitalization

between 2008 and 2014 and no prior domiciliary care or nurs-

ing home admission was identified. Baseline characteristics

of the patients and the comparison cohort are shown in

Table 1. HF patients had more comorbidity, higher use of

cardiovascular pharmacotherapy, and were more likely to be

living alone than their comparison subjects.

Initiation of domiciliary careHF patients had a higher 5-year risk of receiving domicili-

ary care than the comparison cohort (24.1% [23.7%–24.6%]

versus 9.2% [9.1%–9.4%]); Figure 1. The competing risk

of death was 21.5% [21.1%–21.9%] among HF patients

and 6.0% [5.9%–6.1%] in the comparison cohort; Table 2.

The median time to initiation of domiciliary care was of

152 days (Q1–Q3 24–623) for HF patients and 646 (Q1–Q3

298–1115) days for the comparison cohort. This yielded an

unadjusted HR of 3.44 [3.35–3.53] and an adjusted HR of

2.02 [1.96–2.09], Figure 2. The increased risk associated

with being a HF patient did not differ between men and

women (men: HR 2.03 [1.93–2.13] and women: HR 2.03

[1.95–2.11]). Factors associated with initiation of domiciliary

support included older age (HR 1.08 [1.07–1.08] per 1 year

increase in age), living alone (HR 2.09 [2.04–2.15]), and

Table 1 Baseline characteristics of HF patients and the comparison cohort

HF patients Comparison cohort

No. of patients 37,547 187,735Age, median (IQR) 70 (62–78) 70 (62–78)Male 25,771 (69%) 128,855 (69%)Marital statusLiving alone 13,630 (36%) 45,739 (24%)Comorbidity (%)Ischemic heart disease 22,141 (59%) 24,414 (13%)Atrial fibrillation 17,202 (46%) 16,346 (9%)Cancer 9181 (24%) 30,694 (16%)COPD 8799 (23%) 10,558 (6%)Diabetes 9232 (25%) 16,163 (9%)Hypertension 21,388 (57%) 38,992 (21%)Chronic kidney disease 6113 (16%) 4733 (3%)Stroke 5160 (14%) 10,894 (6%)Pharmacotherapy* (%)Loop diuretics 22,897 (61%) 8086 (4%)Antiplatelets, any 21,529 (57%) 31,972 (17%)Beta blockers 25,391 (68%) 23,812 (13%)Statins 19,537 (52%) 38,987 (21%)ACE-I/ARB 27,371 (73%) 43,794 (23%)Thiazides 6472 (17%) 18,225 (10%)Ca2+ channel blockers 9454 (25%) 25,702 (14%)Digoxin 6792 (18%) 2899 (2%)MRA 7878 (21%) 2230 (1%)

Notes: *Filled in prescriptions 180 days prior to admission or 7 days after discharge.Abbreviations: HF, heart failure; IQR, interquartile range; ACE-I, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, ARB, angiotensin-II receptor blockers; MRA, mineralcorticoid receptor antagonists.

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Figure 1 Cumulative incidence of domiciliary care initiation with death as a competing risk among HF patients and the comparison cohort.Abbreviation: HF, heart failure.

50 HF patients

Initiation of domiciliary care

Comparison cohort45

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

0 1

Cum

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ive

inci

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e (%

)

2 3

YearsPopulation

Comparison cohort: 187,735 179,483 172,200 166,814 162,52427,597 24,751 22,783 21,369 20,427

159,287HF patients: 37,547

4 5

50 HF patientsDeath

Comparison cohort45

40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

0 1

Cum

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Years

PopulationComparison cohort: 187,735 179,483 172,200 166,814 162,524

27,597 24,751 22,783 21,369 20,427159,287

HF patients: 37,547

4 5

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Domiciliary care and nursing home admissions of patients with heart failure

comorbidities; Figure 2. Living alone was associated with

a greater need for domiciliary care in both women and men

(women: HR=1.98 [1.90–2.06]; men: HR=2.22 [2.15–2.30];

P for interaction=0.03). In sensitivity analyses using patients

diagnosed with HF in outpatient clinics, we found that domi-

ciliary care was initiated in a higher proportion of patients

than comparison subjects: 18.9% [18.4%–19.3%] versus

9.3% [9.1%–9.4%], respectively; Figure S1. The compet-

ing risk of death was higher among HF patients diagnosed

in outpatient clinics than in the comparison cohort (14.1%

[13.7%–14.5%] versus 8.0 [7.8%–8.1%], respectively). In the

adjusted analysis, HF outpatients had a higher risk of receiv-

ing domiciliary care than comparison subjects (HR=1.66

[1.58–1.73]). In analyses of HF patients compared with

Table 2 Risks and HRs for initiation of domiciliary care and nursing home admission

Risk of outcome (%) Competing risk of death (%) Adjusted HR* (95% CI)

Initiation of domiciliary careHF patients 24.1 21.5 2.02 (1.96–2.09)Comparison cohort 9.2 6.0 1.00 (ref.)HF outpatients 18.9 14.1 1.66 (1.58–1.73)Comparison cohort 9.3 8.0 1.00 (ref.)HF patients 18.6 18.2 2.25 (2.15–2.36)Knee replacement patients 9.7 3.6 1.00 (ref.)Nursing home admissionHF patients 3.9 31.8 1.91 (1.77–2.06)Comparison cohort 1.7 8.4 1.00 (ref.)HF outpatients 2.7 21.0 1.58 (1.41–1.76)Comparison cohort 1.4 10.0 1.00 (ref.)HF patients 2.2 25.8 4.45 (3.79–5.22)Knee replacement patients 0.6 5.1 1.00 (ref.)

Notes: *Adjusted for age, sex, marital status, calendar year, and comorbidities (ischemic heart disease, hypertension, atrial fibrillation, cancer, chronic kidney disease, COPD, diabetes, and stroke).Abbreviations: HF, heart failure; HR, hazard ratio.

Figure 2 Multivariable cox regression model of factors associated with initiation of domiciliary care among HF patients and the comparison cohort.Abbreviation: HF, heart failure.

Comparison cohortHF patients

Age (1 year increase)

Male sex

Living alone

Comorbidities

Ischemic heart diseaseAtrial fibrillation

HypertensionCOPDDiabetesChronic kidney diseaseStrokeCancer

0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6

Higher likelihood of domiciliary care

Hazard ratio1.00 (ref.)2.02 (1.96–2.09)

1.08 (1.07–1.08)

0.82 (0.80–0.85)

2.09 (2.04–2.15)

1.17 (1.14–1.20)1.36 (1.32–1.40)1.41 (1.37–1.45)1.88 (1.83–1.94)1.37 (1.33–1.42)1.58 (1.52–1.64)1.74 (1.69–1.80)1.70 (1.66–1.74)

Lower likelihood ofdomiciliary care

1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4

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patients undergoing knee replacement we found that domi-

ciliary care was more frequent among HF patients (18.6%

[18.2%–19.0%] versus 9.7% [9.4%–10.4%]); Figure S2. In

adjusted analyses, HF patients had a higher risk of receiv-

ing domiciliary care than patients with knee replacement

(HR=2.25 [2.15–2.36]).

Nursing home admissionDuring up to 5 years of follow-up (median time: 1237 days;

Q1–Q3: 615–1825 days), the risk of nursing home admission

was 3.9% [3.7%–4.0%] among HF patients and 1.7% [1.7%–

1.8%] in the comparison cohort; Figure 3. The competing

risk of death was almost fourfold higher among HF patients

than in the comparison cohort (31.8% [31.3%–32.3%] versus

8.4% [8.3%–8.5%]); Table 2. HF patients had a median time

to nursing home admission of 464 days (Q1–Q3 135–997)

whereas comparison subjects had a median time of 917 days

(Q1–Q3 470–1330). Unadjusted analysis yielded a HR of

2.74 (95% CI 2.58–2.92). In the adjusted analysis, the risk

of nursing home admission remained higher among HF

patients compared with the comparison cohort (HR 1.91

[1.77–2.06]; Figure 4). Other factors associated with nurs-

ing home admission included older age, living alone and all

comorbidities, except ischemic heart disease (Figure 4). In

women, the HR for nursing home admission for HF patients,

compared with comparison subjects, was 2.24 [1.99–2.52],

whereas the HR among men was 1.71 [1.55–1.89]. Living

alone was associated with a higher risk of nursing home

admission both for women and men (women: HR=2.02

[1.83–2.23]; men: HR=2.25 [2.08–2.43]; P for interac-

tion=0.07). In a cohort of patients diagnosed with HF in an

outpatient clinic the risk of nursing home admission was

higher among HF patients than among comparison subjects

(2.7% [2.6%–2.9%] versus 1.4% [1.3%–1.5%]); Figure S3.

The competing risk of death was 21.0% [20.5%–21.4%]

among HF patients and 10.0 [9.8%–10.2%] in the compari-

son cohort. Adjusted analyses of HF outpatients, compared

with comparison subjects, yielded a HR of 1.58 [1.41–1.76]

for nursing home admission. When comparing HF patients,

with patients undergoing knee replacement we found that

HF patients had a higher risk of nursing home admission

(2.2% [2.1%–2.4%] versus 0.6% [0.6%–0.7%]); Figure S4.

This increased risk for patients with HF persisted in adjusted

analyses (HR=4.45 [3.79–5.22]).

DiscussionWe found that HF patients were twice as likely as a compari-

son cohort from the general population to receive domiciliary

care or be admitted to a nursing home. Although the absolute

rate of nursing home admission was relatively low (approxi-

mately 1 in 25 patients admitted over 5 years), around 1 in

4 patients received domiciliary support, highlighting the

likely impact of HF on functional status and the ability to live

independently. Factors associated with nursing home admis-

sion included older age, living alone, and comorbidities,

particularly prior stroke. These factors were also associated

with provision of domiciliary care, along with female sex.

Living with HF is characterized by symptoms of exertion,

principally breathlessness and fatigue, which tend to worsen

over time and may significantly limit functional capacity and

the ability to carry out the activities of daily living. Disease

progression also leads to hospitalization because of worsen-

ing symptoms and premature death. The decision to initiate

domiciliary care, or to admit a patient to a nursing home, is

based, in part, on an evaluation of the individual’s functional

status, which may depend solely on the severity of HF but also

on the impact of other illnesses. In this respect, it was notable

that comorbidity was associated with need for domiciliary

and nursing home care, suggesting that the cumulative bur-

den of disease is important. Other factors such as cognitive

function, mental health, and support from a spouse or family

must also be considered. Here it was notable that living alone

was also associated with the need for domiciliary and nursing

home care, emphasizing the key role of spousal support for

patients with HF. Our finding that men were less likely to

receive domiciliary care, irrespective of having HF or not,

might have a related explanation in that more men are likely

to have a healthy spouse to look after them as women live

longer than men. Women with HF also live longer than men

with HF and women have more symptoms, which means

they may be more likely than men to need domiciliary care

or nursing home admission.11–13

Although we showed a doubling of the need for domicili-

ary and nursing home care among HF patients relative to a

comparison cohort from the general population, it is impor-

tant to keep in mind that the absolute risk of nursing home

admission was very low and that death was a major competing

risk. The uneven distribution of the competing risk of death

between HF patients and the comparison cohort might have

led to an underestimation of the real difference between the

two groups. However, the absolute risk of domiciliary care

initiation was considerable and demonstrates in a new way

the burden of HF on patients and society.

One potential concern about this interpretation might be

that the occurrence of hospital admission may have unmasked

patients’ inability to cope at home or that some other factor

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Domiciliary care and nursing home admissions of patients with heart failure

Figure 3 Cumulative incidence of nursing home admission with death as a competing risk among HF patients and the comparison cohort.Abbreviation: HF, heart failure.

HF patientsNursing home admission

Comparison cohort

HF patientsComparison cohort

0

0

5

10

1

Cum

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)

2 3 4 5

0 1 2 3 4 5

Years

Death

PopulationComparison cohort: 187,735 183,720 178,958 175,081 171,700

31,673 28,962 26,914 25,339 24,170168,825

HF patients: 37,547

YearsPopulation

Comparison cohort: 187,735 183,720 178,958 175,081 171,70031,673 28,962 26,914 25,339 24,170

168,825HF patients: 37,547

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Figure 4 Multivariable cox regression model of factors associated with nursing home admission among HF patients and the comparison cohort.Abbreviation: HF, heart failure.

Comparison cohortHF patients

Age (1 year increase)

Male sex

Living alone

Comorbidities

Ischemic heart diseaseAtrial fibrillation

HypertensionCOPDDiabetesChronic kidney diseaseStrokeCancer

0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6

Higher likelihood of nursing home admission

Hazard ratio1.00 (ref.)

1.91 (1.77–2.06)

1.10 (1.10–1.11)

0.99 (0.93–1.06)

2.15 (2.02–2.28)

0.99 (0.92–1.06)1.34 (1.25–1.44)1.34 (1.26–1.44)1.40 (1.29–1.51)1.18 (1.09–1.28)1.25 (1.14–1.38)

1.14 (1.06–1.21)2.71 (2.53–2.90)

Lower likelihood ofnursing home admission

1.8 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3

related to hospitalization, rather than HF per se, accounted for

our findings. However, in our sensitivity analyses, we found

that patients diagnosed with HF in outpatient clinics, were

more likely than comparison subjects to need domiciliary

and nursing home care (Figures S1 and S3), and similarly

when we compared HF patients with patients hospitalized in

order to undergo knee replacement, HF patients had a higher

risk of subsequent need for domiciliary and nursing home

care (Figures S2 and S4). However, to undergo knee replace-

ment surgery, patients are required to have a certain level of

physical fitness which may have confounded these analyses.

Strengths and limitationsThe main strength of our study lies in the completeness of

data, i.e., except for those who emigrated from Denmark

(less than 1% of the study population) we have complete

follow-up on all included persons. We have a nationwide

unselected cohort of patients with a first hospitalization for

HF and a comparison cohort followed in real-life settings.

Our study has several limitations. The observational nature

of the study means that we report associations that may not

be causal. The influence of unmeasured clinical parameters,

including important comorbidities such as dementia, and

other unidentified confounders cannot be excluded and thus

our comparison cohorts might differ in aspects not accounted

for in our analyses. We did not have access to some clinically

important information on patients such as left ventricular

function and New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional

class. Data on hours and kind of domiciliary care as well as

time in nursing home is not sufficiently registered and thus

not available to study. This means that the outcome of need for

care may cover a wide spectrum of care needs. Information on

all use of private care services might not be captured in our

analyses and could potentially bias our results. Our findings

were based on the Danish health care and social systems and

therefore may not be applicable to other countries.

ConclusionPatients with a first-ever hospitalization for HF had a signifi-

cantly higher risk of initiation of domiciliary care and nursing

home admission than a comparison cohort from the general

population. Older age, living alone, and comorbidities were

associated with a higher risk of these types of care. Domi-

ciliary care and nursing home admission could be additional

quality metrics for the care of HF patients and as such provide

a novel perspective on the consequences and impact of HF.

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Domiciliary care and nursing home admissions of patients with heart failure

DisclosureThe authors report no conflicts of interest in this work.

References1. Sacks CA, Jarcho JA, Curfman GD. Paradigm shifts in heart-failure

therapy – a timeline. N Engl J Med. 2014;371(11):989–991.2. Dunlay SM, Manemann SM, Chamberlain AM, et al. Activities

of daily living and outcomes in heart failure. Circ Heart Fail. 2015;8(2):261–267.

3. Wenger NK. Quality of life: can it and should it be assessed in patients with heart failure? Cardiology. 1989;76:391–398.

4. Thygesen LC, Daasnes C, Thaulow I, Brønnum-Hansen H. Introduction to Danish (nationwide) registers on health and social issues: structure, access, legislation, and archiving. Scand J Public Health. 2011;39(7 Suppl):12–16.

5. Hjollund NH, Larsen FB, Andersen JH. Register-based follow-up of social benefits and other transfer payments: accuracy and degree of completeness in a Danish interdepartmental administrative database compared with a population-based survey. Scand J Public Health. 2007;35(5):497–502.

6. Schmidt M, Schmidt SA, Sandegaard JL, Ehrenstein V, Pedersen L, Sørensen HT. The Danish National Patient Registry: a review of content, data quality, and research potential. Clin Epidemiol. 2015;7:449–490.

7. Jacobsen A. Imputering af borgere på plejehjem/-bolig [Imputation of citizens living in nursing homes/supported accomodation]. Danmarks Stat [Statistics Denmark].[in Danish]. www.dst.dk/ext/velfaerd/Imput-ering. 2014.

8. Aeldresagen [webpage on the Internet]. Available from: https://www.aeldresagen.dk/viden-og-raadgivning/hjaelp-og-stoette/hjemmehjaelp. Accessed January, 2018.

9. Gray RJ. A class of K-sample tests for comparing the cumulative incidence of a competing risk. Ann Statist. 1988;16(3):1141–1154.

10. Aalen OO, Johansen S. An empirical transition matrix for non-homoge-neous Markov chains based on censored observations. Scand J Statist. 1978;5(3):141–150.

11. Lund LH, Mancini D. Heart failure in women. Med Clin North Am. 2004;88:1321–1345, xii.

12. Gottlieb SS, Khatta M, Friedmann E, et al. The influence of age, gender, and race on the prevalence of depression in heart failure patients. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2004;43(9):1542–1549.

13. Levy D, Kenchaiah S, Larson MG, et al. Long-term trends in the incidence of and survival with heart failure. N Engl J Med. 2002;347:1397–1402.

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Supplementary materials

Figure S1 Cumulative incidence of domiciliary care initiation with death as a competing risk among patients diagnosed with HF in an outpatient clinic and the comparison cohort.Abbreviation: HF, heart failure.

50

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0

HF patientsInitiation of domiciliary care

Comparison cohort

0 1 2 3

YearsPopulation

Comparison cohort: 138,150 135,387 131,412 127,989 122,30324,293 22,278 20,656 19,375 18,504

114,356HF patients: 27,630

PopulationComparison cohort: 138,150 135,387 131,412 127,989 122,303

24,293 22,278 20,656 19,375 18,504114,356

HF patients: 27,630

4 5

50 HF patientsDeath

Comparison cohort45

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Domiciliary care and nursing home admissions of patients with heart failure

Figure S2 Cumulative incidence of domiciliary care initiation with death as a competing risk among HF patients compared with patients undergoing knee replacement.Abbreviation: HF, heart failure.

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HF patientsInitiation of domiciliary care

Knee replacement

Knee replacement

0 1 2 3

YearsPatients

Heart failure: 32,906 26,264 24,091 22,602 21,53030,981 30,273 29,642 29,044 28,522

20,789Knee repl.: 32,906

PatientsHeart failure: 32,906 26,264 24,091 22,602 21,530

30,981 30,273 29,642 29,044 28,52220,789

Knee repl.: 32,906

4 5

0 1 2 3 4 5

50 HF patientsDeath

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Figure S3 Cumulative incidence of nursing home admission with death as a competing risk among patients diagnosed with HF in an outpatient clinic and the comparison cohort.Abbreviation: HF, heart failure.

HF patientsNursing home admission

Comparison cohort

HF patientsComparison cohort

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PopulationComparison cohort: 138,150 136,774 134,374 131,983 128,387

26,098 24,600 23,181 21,980 21,060122,450

HF patients: 27,630

YearsPopulation

Comparison cohort: 138150 136,774 134,374 131,983 128,38726,098 24,600 23,181 21,980 21,060

122,450HF patients: 27630

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Domiciliary care and nursing home admissions of patients with heart failure

Figure S4 Cumulative incidence of nursing home admission with death as a competing risk among HF patients compared with patients undergoing knee replacement.Abbreviation: HF, heart failure.

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Nursing home admission

Knee replacement

Knee replacement

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Heart failure: 32,906 28,493 26,255 24,573 23,24032,335 31,787 31,179 30,611 30,084

22,229Knee repl.: 32,906

YearsPatients

Heart failure: 32,906 28,493 26,255 24,573 23,24032,335 31,787 31,179 30,611 30,084

22,229Knee repl: 32,906

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