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A mathematical model separates quantitatively the cytostatic and cytotoxic effects of a HER2 tyrosine kinase inhibitor Peter Hinow Department of Mathematics Vanderbilt University Nashville, TN 37240 [email protected] Conference on System Modelling and Optimization Cracow, Poland July 23–27, 2007 Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib
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A mathematical model separates quantitatively the ...€¦ · tyrosine kinase inhibitor Peter Hinow ... Conference on System Modelling and Optimization Cracow, Poland July 23 ...

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Page 1: A mathematical model separates quantitatively the ...€¦ · tyrosine kinase inhibitor Peter Hinow ... Conference on System Modelling and Optimization Cracow, Poland July 23 ...

A mathematical model separates quantitativelythe cytostatic and cytotoxic effects of a HER2

tyrosine kinase inhibitor

Peter Hinow

Department of Mathematics

Vanderbilt University

Nashville, TN 37240

[email protected]

Conference on System Modelling and OptimizationCracow, PolandJuly 23–27, 2007

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

Page 2: A mathematical model separates quantitatively the ...€¦ · tyrosine kinase inhibitor Peter Hinow ... Conference on System Modelling and Optimization Cracow, Poland July 23 ...

Collaborators

I Shizhen Emily Wang, PhD, Department of Cancer Biology,Vanderbilt University

I Glenn F. Webb, PhD, Department of Mathematics, VanderbiltUniversity

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

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Outline of talk

I Introduction – the role of HER2 and lapatinib

I Experimental methods

I Construction of the mathematical model and parametrization

I Results

I Conclusions

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

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Biology of the HER2 (ErbB2) receptor I

Yarden & Sliwkowski, Nat. Rev. Mol. Cell Biol. 2:127–137

Receptor tyrosine kinases play a crucial role in growth anddifferentiation of both normal and malignant mammary epithelialcells.

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

Page 5: A mathematical model separates quantitatively the ...€¦ · tyrosine kinase inhibitor Peter Hinow ... Conference on System Modelling and Optimization Cracow, Poland July 23 ...

Biology of the HER2 (ErbB2) receptor II

I HER2 is a potent signal amplifier via heterodimerizing withother HE receptors.

I HER2 is overexpressed in 20–30 % of breast cancers.

I Overexpression of HER2 is associated with shorter survival ofcancer patients (3 years vs. 6–7 years).

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

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The role of lapatinib

Yarden & Sliwkowski, Nat. Rev. Mol. Cell Biol. 2:127–137

Lapatinib binds to the ATP binding site and blocks the receptor’scatalytic activity.

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

Page 7: A mathematical model separates quantitatively the ...€¦ · tyrosine kinase inhibitor Peter Hinow ... Conference on System Modelling and Optimization Cracow, Poland July 23 ...

Cell cycle and drug action

G1

G2

G0

S

?

M

Drugs can

I slow progression of cells through specific phases of the cellcycle (cytostatic effects), and

I kill cells in specific phases of the cell cycle (cytotoxic effects).

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

Page 8: A mathematical model separates quantitatively the ...€¦ · tyrosine kinase inhibitor Peter Hinow ... Conference on System Modelling and Optimization Cracow, Poland July 23 ...

Goals of our study

We wanted to

I separate quantitatively cytostatic and cytotoxic effects oflapatinib,

I investigate the cell cycle specificity of the cytostatic action,and

I determine temporal dynamics and dose–dependence of drugeffects.

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

Page 9: A mathematical model separates quantitatively the ...€¦ · tyrosine kinase inhibitor Peter Hinow ... Conference on System Modelling and Optimization Cracow, Poland July 23 ...

Experimental procedures

I MCF10A/HER2 cells are grown in well plates over 6 days andexposed to constant concentrations of drug.

I The cell numbers are counted using a Coulter counter.

I The cell cycle distribution is analyzed using flow cytometry.

I Cells are stained for markers of proliferation and apoptosis(immunoflurescence assay).

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

Page 10: A mathematical model separates quantitatively the ...€¦ · tyrosine kinase inhibitor Peter Hinow ... Conference on System Modelling and Optimization Cracow, Poland July 23 ...

Flow cytometry

Ubezio, Discrete Contin. Dyn. Syst. Ser. B 4:323–335

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

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The mathematical model

I We introduce structured populations of proliferating andnonproliferating cells.

I Nonproliferating cells became necessary as we observed asaturation of the initially exponential growth after 5 days.

I Cells are characterized by their position in the cell cycle, avariable we call the maturity of a cell. It can be interpretedfor example as cell size or DNA–content.

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

Page 12: A mathematical model separates quantitatively the ...€¦ · tyrosine kinase inhibitor Peter Hinow ... Conference on System Modelling and Optimization Cracow, Poland July 23 ...

Variables of the model

Let t ≥ 0 denote time (since begin of experiment) and a ∈ [0, am]denote maturity. In the absence of cytostatic effects a coincideswith the time since the last mitosis.Let p(a, t) and n(a, t) denote the densities of proliferating andnonproliferating cells, respectively.

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

Page 13: A mathematical model separates quantitatively the ...€¦ · tyrosine kinase inhibitor Peter Hinow ... Conference on System Modelling and Optimization Cracow, Poland July 23 ...

Variables of the model

The total number of cells is

M(t) =

∫ am

0

(p(a, t) + n(a, t))da.

Proliferating cells become nonproliferating as the total cell numberexceeds a critical size.Nonproliferating cells do have a “maturity”, they just do notprogress anymore and do not give rise to offspring.

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

Page 14: A mathematical model separates quantitatively the ...€¦ · tyrosine kinase inhibitor Peter Hinow ... Conference on System Modelling and Optimization Cracow, Poland July 23 ...

Model equations for an exponentially growing population

∂tp(a, t) +

∂ap(a, t)

︸ ︷︷ ︸

aging of cells

= −β(a)p(a, t)︸ ︷︷ ︸

loss through mitosis

,

p(0, t) = 2

∫ am

0

β(a)p(a, t)da

︸ ︷︷ ︸

binary renewal

,

p(a, 0) = p0(a).

Mitosis occurs at a rate β that depends on maturity.

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

Page 15: A mathematical model separates quantitatively the ...€¦ · tyrosine kinase inhibitor Peter Hinow ... Conference on System Modelling and Optimization Cracow, Poland July 23 ...

Model equations for untreated cells

∂tp(a, t) +

∂ap(a, t) = −(β(a) + µ̃(a, M(t)))p(a, t),

∂tn(a, t) = µ̃(a, M(t))p(a, t),

p(0, t) = 2

∫ am

0

β(a)p(a, t)da,

p(a, 0) = p0(a),

n(a, 0) = 0.

The function µ̃ realizes the transition from the proliferating to thenonproliferating class.

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

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Model equations for treated cells

(∂

∂t+

∂a(1 − δ(a, t))

)

p(a, t) = −(β(a) + µ̃(a, M(t)) + ε(t))p(a, t),

∂tn(a, t) = µ̃(a, M(t))p(a, t) − ε(t)n(a, t),

(1 − δ(0, t))p(0, t) = 2

∫ am

0

β(a)p(a, t)da,

p(a, 0) = p0(a),

n(a, 0) = 0.

The effects of the drug are

I decreased maturation velocity 1 − δ(a, t)

I additional mortality ε(t).

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

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What are the outputs of the model?

Apart from the total population M(t) the model predicts thefractions of cells in any of the stages of the cell cycle.

G1(t) =

∫ aG1

0

(p(a, t) + n(a, t))da

/

M(t),

S(t) =

∫ aS

aG1

(p(a, t) + n(a, t))da

/

M(t),

G2(t) =

∫ am

aS

(p(a, t) + n(a, t))da

/

M(t),

Here aG1and aS are suitably chosen boundaries between the age

compartments.

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

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Parameters to choose

Fixed for all scenarios are

I the maturity space [0, am] and boundaries between phases aG1

and aS ,

I the birth rate β(a), and

I the crowding function µ̃ and threshold M0.

Depending on drug dose we choose

I delay δ, and

I death rate ε.

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

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Choice of the age space

Let

aG1= 7,

aS = 11,

am = 30.

If no cytostatic effects are present, cells age as time progresses.Then these values are hours after mitosis. The control scenariosupports our choices.

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

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Choice of the proliferation rate

0 5 10 15 20 25 300

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

a

φβ

The distribution of intermitotic times φ is a shifted Γ–distributionΓ(· − 15; 2, 2) with mean 19 h (Dibrov et al. Math. Biosci.

66:167–185).Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

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Control scenario

Phase contrast images of untreated cells on different days. Cells aregrowing in monolayer culture until they reach contact inhibition.

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

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Control scenario

0 50 100 1500

2

4

6

8

10

12x 10

5

t (h)

Lapatinib, 0 µ M

MN

0 50 100 1500

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

t (h)

Lapatinib, 0 µ M

G1

SG

2

As the number of cells exceeds M0 = 6 · 105 we see a delayedgrowth and a change in the steady–state cell cycle distribution.

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

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Control scenario

Staining of untreated cells for marker of proliferation Ki–67 (green)on days 4 to 6. The simulations predict 100 %, 40% and 4%proliferating fraction on days 4, 5 and 6, respectively.

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

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Cell–cycle specificity of delay effect

We want to test the hypothesis that lapatinib affects chiefly cellsin G1 phase. Moreover, the cytostatic effects increase with time.

δ(a, t) = δG1

t

T

{1 if 0 ≤ a ≤ aG1

0 otherwise.

A sudden onset of cytostatic effects would cause oscillations in thepercentages that are not seen in the experimental data.

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

Page 25: A mathematical model separates quantitatively the ...€¦ · tyrosine kinase inhibitor Peter Hinow ... Conference on System Modelling and Optimization Cracow, Poland July 23 ...

0.1 µM lapatinib

0 50 100 1500

2

4

6

8

10

12x 10

5

t (h)

Lapatinib, 0.1 µ M

M

0 50 100 1500

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

t (h)

Lapatinib, 0.1 µ M

G1

SG

2

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

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0.5 µM lapatinib

0 50 100 1500

2

4

6

8

10x 10

5

t (h)

Lapatinib, 0.5 µ M

M

0 50 100 1500

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

t (h)

Lapatinib, 0.5 µ M

G1

SG

2

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

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1 µM lapatinib

0 50 100 1500

2

4

6

8x 10

5

t (h)

Lapatinib, 1 µ M

M

0 50 100 1500

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

t (h)

Lapatinib, 1 µ M

G1

SG

2

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

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2 µM lapatinib

0 50 100 1500

1

2

3

4

5

6x 10

5

t (h)

Lapatinib, 2 µ M

M

0 50 100 1500

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

t (h)

Lapatinib, 2 µ M

G1

SG

2

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

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Combined growth curves

0 50 100 1500

2

4

6

8

10

12x 10

5

t (h)

00.10.512

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

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Conclusions

I In monolayer growth culture, lapatinib affects preferentiallycells in G1 phase.

I The strength of the cytostatic effects depends on the drugdosage and shows saturation kinetics.

I The cytostatic effect does not set in immediately butincreases over the course of the experiment.

I The cytotoxic effects occur in all treatment cases, howeveronly after day 5.

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

Page 31: A mathematical model separates quantitatively the ...€¦ · tyrosine kinase inhibitor Peter Hinow ... Conference on System Modelling and Optimization Cracow, Poland July 23 ...

Conclusions

0 0.5 1 1.5 20

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

dose (µ M)

δG

1

The strength of the delay in G1–phase δG1as function of dose is

well described by the equation

δG1(d) =

c1d

1 + c1d

with c1 = 3.5.Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

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Conclusions

I Our model can be applied to interpret cytostatic and cytotoxiceffects of cell cycle specific drugs.

I The fully continuous model uses few parameters and theseparameters have a straightforward biological interpretation.

I A refined model may be used to study an in vivo situation.

I It is advisable to combine lapatinib with cytotoxic therapeuticagents that kill not only proliferating cells but also quiescentcells (e.g. alkylating agents).

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib

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Reference, Acknowledgments

P. Hinow, S. E. Wang, C. Arteaga, and G. F. Webb. Amathematical model separates quantitatively the cytostaticand cytotoxic effects of a HER2 tyrosine kinase inhibitor.Theor. Biol. Med. Model. 4:14; http://www.tbiomed.com

This work was supported by the NCI Integrative Cancer BiologyProgram (U54–CA113007) and the Vanderbilt Integrative CancerBiology Center (VICBC).

Thank you for your attention.

Peter Hinow Mathematical modeling of experiments with lapatinib