Runways UK Land – June 2014 Runways UK Land – June 2014 A World Tour Chris Chalk, Deputy Chair BAG
Jan 21, 2015
Runways UK Land – June 2014 Runways UK Land – June 2014
A World Tour
Chris Chalk, Deputy Chair BAG
Runways UK Land – June 2014
• UK involved at World’s top 60 international airports
• We contribute to most of the award winning airports
• Heathrow T5 - World’s best terminal
• It’s not about the ability to deliver on the airport it’s
about everything outside the airport
Our delivery capability
Runways UK Land – June 2014
What are we looking for
• Experience from replacement airport
development
• Scale of redevelopment and distance
• Success factors
• Old airport redevelopment
Runways UK Land – June 2014
A World Tour – replacement airports
Istanbul
Munich
Hong Kong
Bangkok
Athens
Oslo
Denver
Quito
Montreal
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Relative Size
0102030405060708090
100m
pp
a o
n c
lose
Heathrow?
At Closure
Current
Growth to close
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Issue of distance (from old to new)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0 20 40 60 80 100
Dri
ve d
ista
nce
(m
iles)
Airport size (million pax)
Heathrow/Thames
Istanbul Bangkok
Hong Kong
Oslo
Berlin
Denver
Munich
Athens
Quito
Montreal
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Relative scale of move
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0 20 40 60 80 100
Heathrow /
Thames Estuary
Istanbul Bangkok
Hong Kong
Oslo
Berlin Denver
Munich
Athens
Quito
Montreal
Runways UK Land – June 2014
• Move to new airport – old airport left to market – Hong Kong
• Move to new airport – state redevelop old airport – Denver
– Munich
• Move to new airport (and back again?) – Bangkok
– Montreal
• Move to new airport – project finance – Athens
– Quito
– Istanbul
Runways UK Land – June 2014 Runways UK Land – June 2014
Move to new airport
– old airport left to market
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Hong Kong
Kai Tak to
Chek Lap Kok
30 mppa on close in 1998
22 miles
Overnight move
No cross funding
Runways UK Land – June 2014
HKG
Expanding
Expanding from 70 to 120mppa
Population build up around airport
Night-time noise limits
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Hong Kong Kai Tak Airport - 2013
15 years after opening
Little re-development
Legal challenges
Off site development first
Runways UK Land – June 2014 Runways UK Land – June 2014
State redevelopment of old airport
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Munich 12 mppa on close in 1992
20 miles
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Munich Reim Airport
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Denver 12 mppa on close in 1995
17 miles
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Denver Stapleton Airport
Runways UK Land – June 2014 Runways UK Land – June 2014
Move to the new (and back again)
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Bangkok 38 mppa on close in 2006
30 miles
Partial move back to Don Muang
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Bangkok - Don Muang International Airport 2014
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Montreal Dorval to Mirabel Airport 8 mppa on “close” in 1975
30 miles
Dorval never closed
Passenger terminal to be demolished 2014
Runways UK Land – June 2014 Runways UK Land – June 2014
Privately financed airports
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Athens 11 mppa on close in 2001
18 miles
Concession
No cross funding of land
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Athens (old) Ellinikon Airport 2014
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Quito Airport 6 mppa on close in 2013
20 miles
Concession
No cross funding of land
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Old Quito Airport
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Istanbul Airport ~ 75 mppa on close in 2017
35 miles
Concession
No cross funding
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Istanbul 3rd Airport
• 2.8m population new city to be developed
• 2 million sqm airport commercial centre
• Opening 90mppa
• Opening 2017!
• Ultimate capacity >150mppa
• 5 runways
• 7,500 Ha (5x Heathrow)
Runways UK Land – June 2014
Summary
• The market will protect the land prices and
constrain re-development
• Redevelopment by the State requires further
cash and limited return
• Unrealistic plans will backfire
• Existing airport asset values are not used in
funding replacement airports in the private
sector
Runways UK Land – June 2014
The measure of the challenge
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Heathrow /
Thames Estuary
Istanbul Bangkok
Hong Kong
Oslo
Berlin Denver
Munich
Athens
Quito
Montreal
Runways UK Land – June 2014 Runways UK Land – June 2014
Questions
Chris Chalk, Deputy Chair BAG