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A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with PERT/CPM (Section 16.3) Dealing with Uncertain Activity Durations (Section 16.4) Considering Time-Cost Tradeoffs (Section 16.5) Scheduling and Controlling Project Costs (Section 16.6) Project Management With PERT/CPM Copyright © 2011 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin
44

A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Apr 02, 2015

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Page 1: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1)

Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2)

Scheduling a Project with PERT/CPM (Section 16.3)

Dealing with Uncertain Activity Durations (Section 16.4)

Considering Time-Cost Tradeoffs (Section 16.5)

Scheduling and Controlling Project Costs (Section 16.6)

Project Management With PERT/CPM

Copyright © 2011 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill/Irwin

Page 2: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Reliable Construction Company Project The Reliable Construction Company has just made the winning bid

of $5.4 million to construct a new plant for a major manufacturer. The contract includes the following provisions:

A penalty of $300,000 if Reliable has not completed construction within 47 weeks.

A bonus of $150,000 if Reliable has completed the plant within 40 weeks.

Questions:1. How can the project be displayed graphically to better visualize the

activities?2. What is the total time required to complete the project if no delays

occur?3. When do the individual activities need to start and finish?4. What are the critical bottleneck activities?5. For other activities, how much delay can be tolerated?6. What is the probability the project can be completed in 47 weeks?7. What is the least expensive way to complete the project within 40

weeks?8. How should ongoing costs be monitored to try to keep the project

within budget?

16-2

Page 3: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Activity List for Reliable Construction

Activity Activity DescriptionImmediate

PredecessorsEstimated

Duration (Weeks)

A Excavate — 2

B Lay the foundation A 4

C Put up the rough wall B 10

D Put up the roof C 6

E Install the exterior plumbing C 4

F Install the interior plumbing E 5

G Put up the exterior siding D 7

H Do the exterior painting E, G 9

I Do the electrical work C 7

J Put up the wallboard F, I 8

K Install the flooring J 4

L Do the interior painting J 5

M Install the exterior fixtures H 2

N Install the interior fixtures K, L 6

16-3

Page 4: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Project NetworksA network used to represent a project is called a

project network.A project network consists of a number of nodes

and a number of arcs.Two types of project networks:

Activity-on-arc (AOA): each activity is represented by an arc. A node is used to separate an activity from its predecessors. The sequencing of the arcs shows the precedence relationships.

Activity-on-node (AON): each activity is represented by a node. The arcs are used to show the precedence relationships.

Advantages of AON (used in this textbook):considerably easier to constructeasier to understandeasier to revise when there are changes

16-4

Page 5: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Reliable Construction Project Network

A

START

G

H

M

F

J

K L

N

Activity Code

A. Excavate

B. Foundation

C. Rough wall

D. Roof

E. Exterior plumbing

F. Interior plumbing

G. Exterior siding

H. Exterior painting

I. Electrical work

J. Wallboard

K. Flooring

L. Interior painting

M. Exterior fixtures

N. Interior fixtures

2

4

10

746

7

9

5

8

4 5

6

2

0

0FINISH

D IE

C

B

16-5

Page 6: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

The Critical PathA path through a network is one of the routes

following the arrows (arcs) from the start node to the finish node.

The length of a path is the sum of the (estimated) durations of the activities on the path.

The (estimated) project duration equals the length of the longest path through the project network.

This longest path is called the critical path. (If more than one path tie for the longest, they all are critical paths.)

16-6

Page 7: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

The Paths for Reliable’s Project Network

Path Length (Weeks)

StartA B C D G H M Finish 2 + 4 + 10 + 6 + 7 + 9 + 2 = 40

Start A B C E H M Finish 2 + 4 + 10 + 4 + 9 + 2 = 31

Start A B C E F J K N Finish 2 + 4 + 10 + 4 + 5 + 8 + 4 + 6 = 43

Start A B C E F J L N Finish 2 + 4 + 10 + 4 + 5 + 8 + 5 + 6 = 44

Start A B C I J K N Finish 2 + 4 + 10 + 7 + 8 + 4 + 6 = 41

Start A B C I J L N Finish 2 + 4 + 10 + 7 + 8 + 5 + 6 = 42

16-7

Page 8: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Earliest Start and Earliest Finish Times The starting and finishing times of each activity if no

delays occur anywhere in the project are called the earliest start time and the earliest finish time.

ES = Earliest start time for a particular activity EF = Earliest finish time for a particular activity

Earliest Start Time Rule: ES = Largest EF of the immediate predecessors.

Procedure for obtaining earliest times for all activities:

1. For each activity that starts the project (including the start node), set its ES = 0.

2. For each activity whose ES has just been obtained, calculate EF = ES + duration.

3. For each new activity whose immediate predecessors now have EF values, obtain its ES by applying the earliest start time rule. Apply step 2 to calculate EF.

4. Repeat step 3 until ES and EF have been obtained for all activities.

16-8

Page 9: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

ES and EF Values for Reliable Constructionfor Activities that have only a Single Predecessor

A

START

G

H

M

F

J

FINISH

K L

N

D IE

C

B

2

4

10

746

7

9

5

8

4 5

6

2

ES = 0 EF = 2

ES = 2 EF = 6

ES = 16 EF = 22

ES = 16 EF = 20

ES = 16 EF = 23

ES = 20 EF = 25

ES = 22 EF = 29

ES = 6 EF = 16

0

016-9

Page 10: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

ES and EF Times for Reliable Construction

A

START

G

H

M

F

J

FINISH

K L

N

D IE

C

B

2

4

10

746

7

9

5

8

4 5

6

2

ES = 0 EF = 2

ES = 2 EF = 6

ES = 16 EF = 22

ES = 16 EF = 20

ES = 16 EF = 23

ES = 20 EF = 25

ES = 22 EF = 29

ES = 6 EF = 16

ES = 0 EF = 0

ES = 25 EF = 33

ES = 33 EF = 38

ES = 38 EF = 44

ES = 33 EF = 37

ES = 29 EF = 38

ES = 38 EF = 40

ES = 44 EF = 44

0

0

16-10

Page 11: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Latest Start and Latest Finish Times The latest start time for an activity is the latest possible

time that it can start without delaying the completion of the project (so the finish node still is reached at its earliest finish time). The latest finish time has the corresponding definition with respect to finishing the activity.

LS = Latest start time for a particular activity LF = Latest finish time for a particular activity

Latest Finish Time Rule: LF = Smallest LS of the immediate successors.

Procedure for obtaining latest times for all activities:1. For each of the activities that together complete the project

(including the finish node), set LF equal to EF of the finish node.

2. For each activity whose LF value has just been obtained, calculate LS = LF – duration.

3. For each new activity whose immediate successors now have LS values, obtain its LF by applying the latest finish time rule. Apply step 2 to calculate its LS.

4. Repeat step 3 until LF and LS have been obtained for all activities.

16-11

Page 12: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

LS and LF Times for Reliable’s Project

A

START

G

H

M

F

J

FINISH

K L

N

D IE

C

B

2

4

10

746

7

9

5

8

4 5

6

2

LS = 0 LF = 2

LS = 2 LF = 6

LS = 20 LF = 26

LS = 16 LF = 20

LS = 18 LF = 25

LS = 20 LF = 25

LS = 26 LF = 33

LS = 6 LF = 16

LS = 0 LF = 0

LS = 25 LF = 33

LS = 33 LF = 38

LS = 38 LF = 44

LS = 34 LF = 38

LS = 33 LF = 42

LS = 42 LF = 44

LS = 44 LF = 44

0

0

16-12

Page 13: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

The Complete Project Network

A

START

G

H

M

F

J

FINISH

K L

N

D IE

C

B

2

4

10

746

7

9

5

8

4 5

6

2

S = (0, 0) F = (2, 2)

S = (2, 2) F = (6, 6)

S = (16, 20) F = (22, 26)

S = (16, 16) F = (20, 20)

S = (16, 18) F = (23, 25)

S = (20, 20) F = (25, 25)

S = (22, 26) F = (29, 33)

S = (6, 6) F = (16, 16)

S = (0, 0) F = (0, 0)

S = (25, 25) F = (33, 33)

S = (33, 33) F = (38, 38)

S = (38, 38) F = (44, 44)

S = (33, 34) F = (37, 38)

S = (29, 33) F = (38, 42)

S = (38, 42) F = (40, 44)

S = (44, 44) F = (44, 44)

0

0

16-13

Page 14: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Slack for Reliable’s Activities

Activity Slack (LF–EF) On Critical Path?

A 0 Yes

B 0 Yes

C 0 Yes

D 4 No

E 0 Yes

F 0 Yes

G 4 No

H 4 No

I 2 No

J 0 Yes

K 1 No

L 0 Yes

M 4 No

N 0 Yes

16-14

Page 15: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Spreadsheet to Calculate ES, EF, LS, LF, Slack

3456789

10111213141516171819

B C D E F G H I JActivity Description Time ES EF LS LF Slack Critical?

A Excavate 2 0 2 0 2 0 YesB Foundation 4 2 6 2 6 0 YesC Rough Wall 10 6 16 6 16 0 YesD Roof 6 16 22 20 26 4 NoE Exterior Plumbing 4 16 20 16 20 0 YesF Interior Plumbing 5 20 25 20 25 0 YesG Exterior Siding 7 22 29 26 33 4 NoH Exterior Painting 9 29 38 33 42 4 NoI Electrical Work 7 16 23 18 25 2 NoJ Wallboard 8 25 33 25 33 0 YesK Flooring 4 33 37 34 38 1 NoL Interior Painting 5 33 38 33 38 0 YesM Exterior Fixtures 2 38 40 42 44 4 NoN Interior Fixtures 6 38 44 38 44 0 Yes

Project Duration 44

16-15

Page 16: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

The PERT Three Estimate Approach

Most likely estimate (m) = Estimate of most likely value of the durationOptimistic estimate (o) = Estimate of duration under most favorable conditions.Pessimistic estimate (p) = Estimate of duration under most unfavorable conditions.

Elapsed time

p0

Beta distribution

mo

16-16

Page 17: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Mean and Standard DeviationAn approximate formula for the variance (2) of an activity is

2

p o6

2

An approximate formula for the mean () of an activity is

o 4m p6

16-17

Page 18: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Time Estimates for Reliable’s Project

Activity o m p Mean Variance

A 1 2 3 2 1/9

B 2 3.5 8 4 1

C 6 9 18 10 4

D 4 5.5 10 6 1

E 1 4.5 5 4 4/9

F 4 4 10 5 1

G 5 6.5 11 7 1

H 5 8 17 9 4

I 3 7.5 9 7 1

J 3 9 9 8 1

K 4 4 4 4 0

L 1 5.5 7 5 1

M 1 2 3 2 1/9

N 5 5.5 9 6 4/9

16-18

Page 19: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Pessimistic Path Lengths for Reliable’s Project

Path Pessimistic Length (Weeks)

StartA B C D G H M Finish 3 + 8 + 18 + 10 + 11 + 17 + 3 = 70

Start A B C E H M Finish 3 + 8 + 18 + 5 + 17 + 3 = 54

Start A B C E F J K N Finish 3 + 8 + 18 + 5 + 10 + 9 + 4 + 9 = 66

Start A B C E F J L N Finish 3 + 8 + 18 + 5 + 10 + 9 + 7 + 9 = 69

Start A B C I J K N Finish 3 + 8 + 18 + 9 + 9 + 4 + 9 = 60

Start A B C I J L N Finish 3 + 8 + 18 + 9 + 9 + 7 + 9 = 63

16-19

Page 20: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Three Simplifying Approximations of PERT/CPM

1.The mean critical path will turn out to be the longest path through the project network.

2.The durations of the activities on the mean critical path are statistically independent. Thus, the three estimates of the duration of an activity would never change after learning the durations of some of the other activities.

3.The form of the probability distribution of project duration is the normal distribution. By using simplifying approximations 1 and 2, there is some statistical theory (one version of the central limit theorem) that justifies this as being a reasonable approximation if the number of activities on the mean critical path is not too small.

16-20

Page 21: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Calculation of Project Mean and Variance

Activities on Mean Critical Path Mean Variance

A 2 1/9

B 4 1

C 10 4

E 4 4/9

F 5 1

J 8 1

L 5 1

N 6 4/9

Project duration p = 44 2p = 9

16-21

Page 22: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Probability of Meeting Deadline

44 (Mean)

47 (Deadline)

Project duration (in weeks)

2 = 9p

d - = 47 - 44 = 1p 3p

16-22

Page 23: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Probability of Meeting a Deadline

P(T ≤ d) P(T ≤ d)

–3.0 0.0014 0 0.50

–2.5 0.0062 0.25 0.60

–2.0 0.023 0.5 0.69

–1.75 0.040 0.75 0.77

–1.5 0.067 1.0 0.84

–1.25 0.11 1.25 0.89

–1.0 0.16 1.5 0.933

–0.75 0.23 1.75 0.960

–0.5 0.31 2.0 0.977

–0.25 0.40 2.5 0.9938

0 0.50 3.0 0.9986

d p

p

d p

p

16-23

Page 24: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Spreadsheet for PERT Three-Estimate Approach

3

456789

101112131415161718

B C D E F G H I J KTime Estimates On Mean

Activity o m p Critical Path

A 1 2 3 * 2 0.1111 Mean CriticalB 2 3.5 8 * 4 1 PathC 6 9 18 * 10 4 44D 4 5.5 10 6 1 9E 1 4.5 5 * 4 0.4444F 4 4 10 * 5 1 P(T<=d) = 0.8413G 5 6.5 11 7 1 whereH 5 8 17 9 4 d = 47I 3 7.5 9 7 1J 3 9 9 * 8 1K 4 4 4 4 0L 1 5.5 7 * 5 1M 1 2 3 2 0.1111N 5 5.5 9 * 6 0.4444

16-24

Page 25: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Considering Time-Cost Trade-OffsQuestion: If extra money is spent to expedite the project, what is the least expensive way of attempting to meet the target completion time (40 weeks)?CPM Method of Time-Cost Trade-Offs:

Crashing an activity refers to taking special costly measures to reduce the duration of an activity below its normal value. Special measures might include overtime, hiring additional temporary help, using special time-saving materials, obtaining special equipment, etc.

Crashing the project refers to crashing a number of activities to reduce the duration of the project below its normal value.

16-25

Page 26: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Time-Cost Graph for an Activity

Activity duration

Activity cost

Crash cost

Normal cost Normal

Crash

Crash time Normal time

16-26

Page 27: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Time-Cost Trade-Off Data for Reliable’s Project

  Time (weeks)                Cost             

MaximumReduction

in Time (weeks)

Crash Costper Week

SavedActivity Normal Crash Normal Crash

A 2 1 $180,000 $280,000 1 $100,000

B 4 2 320,000 420,000 2 50,000

C 10 7 620,000 860,000 3 80,000

D 6 4 260,000 340,000 2 40,000

E 4 3 410,000 570,000 1 160,000

F 5 3 180,000 260,000 2 40,000

G 7 4 900,000 1,020,000 3 40,000

H 9 6 200,000 380,000 3 60,000

I 7 5 210,000 270,000 2 30,000

J 8 6 430,000 490,000 2 30,000

K 4 3 160,000 200,000 1 40,000

L 5 3 250,000 350,000 2 50,000

M 2 1 100,000 200,000 1 100,000

N 6 3 330,000 510,000 3 60,00016-27

Page 28: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Marginal Cost Analysis for Reliable’s ProjectInitial Table

Length of Path

Activityto

CrashCrashCost

AB

CD

GH

M

AB

CE

HM

AB

CE

FJK

N

AB

CE

FJL

N

AB

CIJK

N

AB

CIJL

N

40 31 43 44 41 42

16-28

Page 29: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Marginal Cost Analysis for Reliable’s ProjectTable After Crashing One Week

Length of Path

Activityto

CrashCrashCost

AB

CD

GH

M

AB

CE

HM

AB

CE

FJK

N

AB

CE

FJL

N

AB

CIJK

N

AB

CIJL

N

40 31 43 44 41 42

J $30,000 40 31 42 43 40 41

16-29

Page 30: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Marginal Cost Analysis for Reliable’s ProjectTable After Crashing Two Weeks

Length of Path

Activityto

CrashCrashCost

AB

CD

GH

M

AB

CE

HM

AB

CE

FJK

N

AB

CE

FJL

N

AB

CIJK

N

AB

CIJL

N

40 31 43 44 41 42

J $30,000 40 31 42 43 40 41

J $30,000 40 31 41 42 39 40

16-30

Page 31: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Marginal Cost Analysis for Reliable’s ProjectTable After Crashing Three Weeks

Length of Path

Activityto

CrashCrashCost

AB

CD

GH

M

AB

CE

HM

AB

CE

FJK

N

AB

CE

FJL

N

AB

CIJK

N

AB

CIJL

N

40 31 43 44 41 42

J $30,000 40 31 42 43 40 41

J $30,000 40 31 41 42 39 40

F $40,000 40 31 40 41 39 40

16-31

Page 32: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Marginal Cost Analysis for Reliable’s ProjectFinal Table After Crashing Four Weeks

Length of Path

Activityto

CrashCrashCost

AB

CD

GH

M

AB

CE

HM

AB

CE

FJK

N

AB

CE

FJL

N

AB

CIJK

N

AB

CIJL

N

40 31 43 44 41 42

J $30,000 40 31 42 43 40 41

J $30,000 40 31 41 42 39 40

F $40,000 40 31 40 41 39 40

F $40,000 40 31 39 40 39 40

16-32

Page 33: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Project Network After Crashing

A

START

G

H

M

F

J

FINISH

K L

N

D IE

C

B

2

4

10

746

7

9

3

6

4 5

6

2

S = (0, 0) F = (2, 2)

S = (2, 2) F = (6, 6)

S = (16, 16) F = (22, 22)

S = (16, 16) F = (20, 20)

S = (16, 16) F = (23, 23)

S = (20, 20) F = (23, 23)

S = (22, 22) F = (29, 29)

S = (6, 6) F = (16, 16)

S = (0, 0) F = (0, 0)

S = (23, 23) F = (29, 29)

S = (29, 29) F = (34, 34)

S = (34, 34) F = (40, 40)

S = (29, 30) F = (33, 34)

S = (29, 29) F = (38, 38)

S = (38, 38) F = (40, 40)

S = (40, 40) F = (40, 40)

0

0

16-33

Page 34: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Using LP to Make Crashing DecisionsRestatment of the problem: Consider the total

cost of the project, including the extra cost of crashing activities. The problem then is to minimize this total cost, subject to the constraint that project duration must be less than or equal to the time desired by the project manager.

The decisions to be made are the following:1. The start time of each activity.2. The reduction in the duration of each activity due to

crashing.3. The finish time of the project (must not exceed 40

weeks).The constraints are:

1. Time Reduction ≤ Max Reduction (for each activity).2. Project Finish Time ≤ Desired Finish Time.3. Activity Start Time ≥ Activity Finish Time of all

predecessors (for each activity).4. Project Finish Time ≥ Finish Time of all immediate

predecessors of finish node.

16-34

Page 35: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Spreadsheet Model3456789

101112131415161718192021222324

B C D E F G H I J KMaximum Crash Cost

Time Cost Time per Week Start Time FinishActivity Normal Crash Normal Crash Reduction saved Time Reduction Time

A 2 1 $180,000 $280,000 1 $100,000 0 0 2B 4 2 $320,000 $420,000 2 $50,000 2 0 6C 10 7 $620,000 $860,000 3 $80,000 6 0 16D 6 4 $260,000 $340,000 2 $40,000 16 0 22E 4 3 $410,000 $570,000 1 $160,000 16 0 20F 5 3 $180,000 $260,000 2 $40,000 20 2 23G 7 4 $900,000 $1,020,000 3 $40,000 22 0 29H 9 6 $200,000 $380,000 3 $60,000 29 0 38I 7 5 $210,000 $270,000 2 $30,000 16 0 23J 8 6 $430,000 $490,000 2 $30,000 23 2 29K 4 3 $160,000 $200,000 1 $40,000 30 0 34L 5 3 $250,000 $350,000 2 $50,000 29 0 34M 2 1 $100,000 $200,000 1 $100,000 38 0 40N 6 3 $330,000 $510,000 3 $60,000 34 0 40

Max TimeProject Finish Time 40 <= 40

Total Cost $4,690,000

16-35

Page 36: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Mr. Perty’s ConclusionsThe plan for crashing the project only provides a 50

percent chance of actually finishing the project within 40 weeks, so the extra cost of the plan ($140,000) is not justified. Therefore, Mr. Perty rejects any crashing at this stage.

The extra cost of the crashing plan can be justified if it almost certainly would earn the bonus of $150,000 for finishing the project within 40 weeks. Therefore, Mr. Perty will hold the plan in reserve to be implemented if the project is running well ahead of schedule before reaching activity F.

The extra cost of part or all of the crashing plan can be easily justified if it likely would make the difference in avoiding the penalty of $300,000 for not finishing the project within 47 weeks. Therefore, Mr. Perty will hold the crashing plan in reserve to be partially or wholly implemented if the project is running far behind schedule before reaching activity F or activity J.

16-36

Page 37: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Scheduling and Controlling Project CostsPERT/Cost is a systematic procedure

(normally computerized) to help the project manager plan, schedule, and control costs.

Assumption: A common assumption when using PERT/Cost is that the costs of performing an activity are incurred at a constant rate throughout its duration.

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Page 38: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

Budget for Reliable’s Project

ActivityEstimated

Duration (weeks)Estimated

CostCost per Weekof Its Duration

A 2 $180,000 $90,000

B 4 320,000 80,000

C 10 620,000 62,000

D 6 260,000 43,333

E 4 410,000 102,500

F 5 180,000 36,000

G 7 900,000 128,571

H 9 200,000 22,222

I 7 210,000 30,000

J 8 430,000 53,750

K 4 160,000 40,000

L 5 250,000 50,000

M 2 100,000 50,000

N 6 330,000 55,000

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Page 39: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

PERT/Cost Spreadsheet (Earliest Start Times)

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B C D E F G H I JEstimatedDuration Estimated Start Cost Per Week Week Week Week Week

Activity (weeks) Cost Time of Its Duration 1 2 3 4A 2 $180,000 0 $90,000 $90,000 $90,000 $0 $0B 4 $320,000 2 $80,000 $0 $0 $80,000 $80,000C 10 $620,000 6 $62,000 $0 $0 $0 $0D 6 $260,000 16 $43,333 $0 $0 $0 $0E 4 $410,000 16 $102,500 $0 $0 $0 $0F 5 $180,000 20 $36,000 $0 $0 $0 $0G 7 $900,000 22 $128,571 $0 $0 $0 $0H 9 $200,000 29 $22,222 $0 $0 $0 $0I 7 $210,000 16 $30,000 $0 $0 $0 $0J 8 $430,000 25 $53,750 $0 $0 $0 $0K 4 $160,000 33 $40,000 $0 $0 $0 $0L 5 $250,000 33 $50,000 $0 $0 $0 $0M 2 $100,000 38 $50,000 $0 $0 $0 $0N 6 $330,000 38 $55,000 $0 $0 $0 $0

Weekly Project Cost $90,000 $90,000 $80,000 $80,000Cumulative Project Cost $90,000 $180,000 $260,000 $340,000

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Page 40: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

PERT/Cost Spreadsheet (Earliest Start Times)

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B E W X Y Z AA AB AC AD AEStart Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week

Activity Time 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25A 0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0B 2 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0C 6 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0D 16 $43,333 $43,333 $43,333 $43,333 $43,333 $43,333 $0 $0 $0E 16 $102,500 $102,500 $102,500 $102,500 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0F 20 $0 $0 $0 $0 $36,000 $36,000 $36,000 $36,000 $36,000G 22 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $128,571 $128,571 $128,571H 29 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0I 16 $30,000 $30,000 $30,000 $30,000 $30,000 $30,000 $30,000 $0 $0J 25 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0K 33 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0L 33 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0M 38 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0N 38 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

$175,833 $175,833 $175,833 $175,833 $109,333 $109,333 $194,571 $164,571 $164,571$1,295,833 $1,471,667 $1,647,500 $1,823,333 $1,932,667 $2,042,000 $2,236,571 $2,401,143 $2,565,714

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Page 41: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

PERT/Cost Spreadsheet (Latest Start Times)

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B C D E F G H I JEstimatedDuration Estimated Start Cost Per Week Week Week Week Week

Activity (weeks) Cost Time of Its Duration 1 2 3 4A 2 $180,000 0 $90,000 $90,000 $90,000 $0 $0B 4 $320,000 2 $80,000 $0 $0 $80,000 $80,000C 10 $620,000 6 $62,000 $0 $0 $0 $0D 6 $260,000 20 $43,333 $0 $0 $0 $0E 4 $410,000 16 $102,500 $0 $0 $0 $0F 5 $180,000 20 $36,000 $0 $0 $0 $0G 7 $900,000 26 $128,571 $0 $0 $0 $0H 9 $200,000 33 $22,222 $0 $0 $0 $0I 7 $210,000 18 $30,000 $0 $0 $0 $0J 8 $430,000 25 $53,750 $0 $0 $0 $0K 4 $160,000 34 $40,000 $0 $0 $0 $0L 5 $250,000 33 $50,000 $0 $0 $0 $0M 2 $100,000 42 $50,000 $0 $0 $0 $0N 6 $330,000 38 $55,000 $0 $0 $0 $0

Weekly Project Cost $90,000 $90,000 $80,000 $80,000Cumulative Project Cost $90,000 $180,000 $260,000 $340,000

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PERT/Cost Spreadsheet (Latest Start Times)

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B E W X Y Z AA AB AC AD AEStart Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week

Activity Time 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25A 0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0B 2 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0C 6 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0D 20 $0 $0 $0 $0 $43,333 $43,333 $43,333 $43,333 $43,333E 16 $102,500 $102,500 $102,500 $102,500 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0F 20 $0 $0 $0 $0 $36,000 $36,000 $36,000 $36,000 $36,000G 26 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0H 33 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0I 18 $0 $0 $30,000 $30,000 $30,000 $30,000 $30,000 $30,000 $30,000J 25 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0K 34 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0L 33 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0M 42 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0N 38 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

$102,500 $102,500 $132,500 $132,500 $109,333 $109,333 $109,333 $109,333 $109,333$1,222,500 $1,325,000 $1,457,500 $1,590,000 $1,699,333 $1,808,667 $1,918,000 $2,027,333 $2,136,667

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Cumulative Project Costs

8 16 24 32 40

$1 million

$2 million

$3 million

$4 million

$5 million

Earliest start time project cost schedule

Feasible region for project costs

Latest start time project cost schedule

Project cost schedule for both earliest and latest start times

0Week

Cumulative Project Cost

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Page 44: A Case Study: The Reliable Construction Co. Project (Section 16.1) Using a Network to Visually Display a Project (Section 16.2) Scheduling a Project with.

PERT/Cost Report after Week 22

ActivityBudgeted

CostPercent

CompletedValue

CompletedActual Cost

to DateCost Overrun

to Date

A $180,000 100% $180,000 $200,000 $20,000

B 320,000 100 320,000 330,000 10,000

C 620,000 100 620,000 600,000 –20,000

D 260,000 75 195,000 200,000 5,000

E 410,000 100 410,000 400,000 –10,000

F 180,000 25 45,000 60,000 15,000

I 210,000 50 105,000 130,000 25,000

Total $2,180,000 $1,875,000 $1,920,000 $45,000

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