5 th Bi-Annual Border to Border Transportation Conference McAllen, Texas November 18-20, 2014 US-Mexico Cross- Border Freight Traffic Trends Geza Pesti, Ph.D., P.E. and Rafael Aldrete- Sanchez, Ph.D. Center for International Intelligent Transportation Research Texas A&M Transportation Institute
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5 th Bi-Annual Border to Border Transportation Conference McAllen, Texas November 18-20, 2014 US-Mexico Cross-Border Freight Traffic Trends Geza Pesti,
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5th Bi-Annual Border to Border Transportation ConferenceMcAllen, TexasNovember 18-20, 2014
US-Mexico Cross-Border Freight Traffic Trends
Geza Pesti, Ph.D., P.E. and Rafael Aldrete-Sanchez, Ph.D.Center for International Intelligent Transportation Research
Texas A&M Transportation Institute
Objectives• Update trends and statistics in
freight activities across the US-Mexico border
• Identify unexpected changes.
ApproachAnalyze cross-border freight by
• Mode of transport• Ports and destination states• Commodities• Average Wait Times of
Commercial Vehicles at POEs
2013
Surface Trade between U.S. and Mexico
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
0
100000000000
200000000000
300000000000
400000000000
500000000000
19% 18%11% 13%
23%
-5%-1%
0%
12%7%
13%5% 2%
-14%
28%
15%10%
1%
Early 2000s Recession
2007 GlobalFinancial Crisis
Surface Trade between U.S. and Mexico
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
0
50
100
150
200
250
Imports Exports
Billi
ons
USD
Imports56%
Exports44%
Trade by Surface Mode20
04
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
0
50
100
150
200
250
IMPORT(Billions USD)
Truck Rail
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
0
50
100
150
200
250
EXPORT(Billions USD) Truck Rail
Truck82%
Rail16%
Other2%
Truck80%
Rail15%
Other5%
Surface Trade by US States
Texas California Michigan ArizonaIllinois
Mill
ions
USD
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,00020
0520
0620
0720
0820
0920
1020
1120
1220
13
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
0.5 %
-3.5%
7.9%
8.4%22.5%
States Ranked Based on Value of Goods Traded with Mexico
Freight Flow by Commodities
Change in the freight value was evaluated based on six commodity groups:
• Group 1: Food, beverages, agricultural commodities (HS-code: 1-24)
• Group 2: Minerals, chemicals, plastic, fossil fuels (HS-code: 25-40)
• Group 3: Wood, fabrics, paper products, books (HS-code: 41-71)
• Group 4: Metals, metallic materials (HS-code: 72-81)
• Group 5: Manufactured goods (HS-code: 82-96)
• Group 6: Other goods (HS-code: 97-99)
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Food, beverages, agriculturalcommodities
Minerals, chemicals, plastic,fossil fuels
Wood, fabrics, paperproducts, books
Metals, metallic goods
Manufactured goods
Other goods
Laredo, TX
0 10
Nogales
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
0 10 20
Otay Mesa
0 10 20 30
El Paso
0 10
Hidalgo
Export by Commodity Groups
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Food, beverages, agriculturalcommodities
Minerals, chemicals, plastic,fossil fuels
Wood, fabrics, paperproducts, books
Metals, metallic goods
Manufactured goods
Other goods
Laredo, TX
0 10
Nogales
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
0 10 20
Otay Mesa
0 10 20 30
El Paso
0 10
Hidalgo
Import by Commodity Groups
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Nuclear reactors; boilers; machinery andmechanical appliances; parts thereof
Electrical machinery and equipment and partsthereof; Sound recorders and reproducers
Vehicles; other than railway or tramway rollingstock; and parts and accessories thereof
Optical; photographic; cinematographic;measuring; checking; precision; medical
instruments
Billion USD
Laredo, TX
2007200820092010201120122013
Import of Manufactured Goods
0 2 4 6 8
Mineral fuels; mineral oils and products of theirdistillation; Bituminous substances; Mineral…
Inorganic chemicals; Organic or inorganiccompounds of precious metals; of rare-earth…
Organic chemicals
Pharmaceutical products
Tanning or dyeing extracts; Tannins and theirderivatives; Dyes; pigments and other…
Essential oils and resinoids; Perfumery;cosmetic or toilet preparations
Average Waiting Times of Commercial VehiclesData Collection Period: May 2013 – April 2014Source: Border Crossing Information System (http://bcis.tamu.edu/)
minutes minutes minutes
minutes minutes minutes
Findings• Trade has quadrupled from 1995 to 2013.• Imports exceeded U.S. exports by 15-20 %. • Freight by trucks are 4-5 times higher than rail• Freight at Texas POEs is more than in the other
three states combined. • Manufactured goods are the highest value
commodity shipped across the border (both ways).
• Import of manufactured goods has significantly decreased in 2013.
• Import of minerals, chemicals, plastic, fossil fuels has significantly increased in 2013.