4th NTA Workshop Berkeley, January 2007 Population Aging and NTA in Japan Naohiro Ogawa, Maliki, Rikiya Matsuku ra and Kazuro Nemoto
4th NTA Workshop Berkeley, January 2007 Population Aging and NTA in Japan Naohiro Ogawa, Maliki, Rikiya Matsukura and Kazuro Nemoto.
Jan 14, 2016
Welcome message from author
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
-
4th NTA Workshop Berkeley, January 2007Population Aging and NTA in Japan Naohiro Ogawa, Maliki, Rikiya Matsukura and Kazuro Nemoto
-
Trend in Total Fertility Rate, Japan: 1947-2005
Graph1
4.54
4.4
4.32
3.65
3.26
2.98
2.69
2.48
2.37
2.22
2.04
2.11
2.04
2
1.96
1.98
2
2.05
2.14
1.58
2.23
2.13
2.13
2.13
2.16
2.14
2.14
2.05
1.91
1.85
1.8
1.79
1.77
1.75
1.74
1.77
1.8
1.81
1.76
1.72
1.69
1.66
1.57
1.54
1.53
1.5
1.46
1.5
1.42
1.43
1.39
1.38
1.34
1.36
1.33
1.32
1.29
1.29
1.26
Year
TFR
Sheet1
YearBirthTFR
194726787924.54
194826816244.4
194926966384.32
195023375073.65
195121376893.26
195220051622.98
195318680402.69
195417695802.48
195517306922.37
195616652782.22
195715667132.04
195816534692.11
195916260882.04
196016060412
196115893721.96
196216186161.98
196316595212
196417167612.05
196518236972.14
196613609741.58
196719356472.23
196818718392.13
196918898152.13
197019342392.13
197120009732.16
197220386822.14
197320919832.14
197420299892.05
197519014501.91
197618326171.85
197717551001.8
197817086431.79
197916425801.77
198015768891.75
198115294551.74
198215153921.77
198315086871.8
198414897801.81
198514315771.76
198613829461.72
198713466581.69
198813140061.66
198912468021.57
199012215851.54
199112232451.53
199212089891.5
199311882821.46
199412383281.5
199511870641.42
199612065551.43
199711916651.39
199812031471.38
199911776691.34
200011905471.36
200111706621.33
200211538551.32
200311238281.29
200411183501.29
200510625301.26
Sheet2
Sheet3
-
Trend in the synthetic proportion still single at age 50MaleFemaleNote: The synthetic proportion still single at age 50 is calculated from age-specific first-marriage rates in the specified calendar year.
SMAM (3)
19501950
8.84
8.54.7
8.15.3
7.55.7
6.56
8.36.2
4.85.5
4.44.7
4.24.5
3.34.2
2.93.7
2.73.1
2.23
1.92.8
1.93
23.2
2.13
2.23
2.22.9
2.22.8
23.5
2.33.4
3.23.6
4.94.2
6.24.7
8.45.3
10.26.1
11.96.7
12.96.8
13.97.2
14.27.6
14.37.5
15.68.2
179.2
17.38.1
18.610.5
19.712
19.210.1
19.813.3
19.712.2
19.912.7
2012.9
19.212.5
20.914
21.714.7
22.615.4066361874
22.217.4500609977
22.818.0699062567
25.120.0096360792
24.719.3428545622
23.919.4195294106
25.221.3821404098
25.622.2262125358
26.723.4962799307
27.323.7379265086
Men (Single at age 50)
Women (Single at age 50)
Year
%
SMAM (2)
26.227399185623.609195673519501950
195119518.84
195219528.54.7
195319538.15.3
195419547.55.7
27.046651686824.6942328446.56
195619568.36.2
195719574.85.5
195819584.44.7
195919594.24.5
27.443683919424.962417973.34.2
196119612.93.7
196219622.73.1
196319632.23
196419641.92.8
27.410686908224.81542213481.93
1966196623.2
196719672.13
196819682.23
196919692.22.9
27.464301410624.6479250252.22.8
1971197123.5
197219722.33.4
197319733.23.6
197419744.94.2
27.645539731724.47819110536.24.7
197619768.45.3
1977197710.26.1
1978197811.96.7
1979197912.96.8
28.674390512325.107914479213.97.2
1981198114.27.6
1982198214.37.5
1983198315.68.2
19841984179.2
29.568413237925.836753206117.38.1
1986198618.610.5
1987198719.712
1988198819.210.1
1989198919.813.3
30.348525057226.868750557619.712.2
1991199119.912.7
199219922012.9
1993199319.212.5
1994199420.914
30.684240003827.691624528121.714.7
1996199622.615.4066361874
1997199722.217.4500609977
1998199822.818.0699062567
1999199925.120.0096360792
30.811155786928.580116953324.719.3428545622
2001200123.919.4195294106
2002200225.221.3821404098
2003200325.622.2262125358
2004200426.723.4962799307
31.143061596129.420669038127.323.7379265086
Men (SMAM)
Women (SMAM)
Men (Single at age 50)
Women (Single at age 50)
Year
Age(SMAM)
S50
SMAM
26.227399185623.6091956735
27.046651686824.694232844
27.443683919424.96241797
27.410686908224.8154221348
27.464301410624.647925025
27.645539731724.4781911053
28.674390512325.1079144792
29.568413237925.8367532061
30.348525057226.8687505576
30.684240003827.6916245281
30.811155786928.5801169533
31.143061596129.4206690381
Male (Japan)
Female (Japan)
Year
Age
Sheet1
JapanMale
15-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-54LCRSMAM
192097.270.925.78.24.12.82.32.02.225.0
192598.272.425.07.13.42.31.91.51.725.1
193099.079.628.78.13.92.41.81.51.725.8
193599.484.034.88.94.02.41.81.51.626.4
194099.690.942.010.34.42.72.01.51.727.2
195099.582.934.58.03.21.91.51.41.526.2
195599.990.241.19.13.11.71.31.11.227.0
196099.891.646.19.93.62.01.41.11.327.4
196599.690.445.711.04.22.41.71.31.527.4
197099.390.146.511.64.72.81.91.51.727.5
197599.588.148.314.36.13.72.51.82.127.6
198099.791.855.221.58.54.73.12.12.628.7
198599.792.560.628.214.27.44.73.13.929.6
199099.793.665.132.819.111.86.84.45.630.3
199599.793.367.437.522.716.511.36.79.030.7
200099.592.969.442.926.218.714.810.312.630.8
200599.693.571.447.131.222.717.614.416.031.1
JapanFemale
15-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-54LCRSMAM
192082.331.49.24.12.72.11.91.71.821.2
192585.929.67.83.52.31.91.81.41.621.2
193089.337.78.53.72.41.81.61.41.521.8
193592.544.911.14.02.41.81.51.41.422.5
194095.753.513.55.22.92.01.61.31.523.3
195096.655.315.25.73.02.01.51.21.323.6
195598.366.520.67.93.92.31.71.21.524.7
196098.668.321.69.45.53.22.11.71.925.0
196598.668.118.99.06.84.73.02.12.524.8
197097.971.718.17.25.85.34.02.73.324.6
197598.669.320.97.75.35.04.93.84.324.5
198099.077.824.09.15.54.44.54.44.425.1
198599.181.630.610.46.64.94.34.44.325.8
199099.386.040.413.97.55.84.64.14.326.9
199599.386.848.219.710.16.85.64.65.127.7
200099.188.054.026.613.98.66.35.35.828.6
200599.288.759.132.018.712.28.36.27.329.4
TOKYO
MaleFemale15-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980+SMAMLCR
15-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-54LCRSMAMPercent of Single
192099.386.743.315.17.24.94.13.53.827.2
192599.284.839.412.35.63.42.92.12.526.8
193099.790.244.413.46.33.82.72.32.527.5
193599.992.650.914.76.33.82.82.22.528.0
194099.894.453.815.66.43.72.72.12.428.3
195099.892.654.815.35.22.72.21.82.028.2
1955100.096.361.218.35.32.41.61.31.429.0
196099.995.061.218.86.63.11.81.41.629.0
196599.792.957.818.97.74.12.51.82.128.7
197099.392.959.520.58.35.13.32.32.828.9
197599.492.061.225.711.66.64.53.13.829.3
198099.694.866.634.616.79.25.63.94.830.4
198599.795.670.840.424.614.89.05.67.331.4
199099.796.375.544.428.920.212.98.110.532.0
199599.896.477.249.232.124.818.912.615.732.1
200099.696.579.554.234.925.521.616.919.332.2
200599.796.681.357.836.528.122.519.921.232.4
TOKYO
Female15-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-54LCRSMAM
192089.144.114.76.84.43.43.32.83.022.4
192590.038.610.95.03.22.52.31.82.122.0
193093.248.312.25.53.62.72.32.02.222.8
193595.558.016.66.33.72.82.32.12.223.7
194097.163.119.48.04.22.82.11.92.024.3
195097.967.223.49.35.33.32.31.72.024.9
195599.077.131.713.56.33.92.81.82.326.2
196098.875.631.516.39.65.03.42.63.026.3
196598.474.327.815.212.28.24.73.24.026.1
197097.778.227.912.910.79.97.24.45.825.8
197598.677.932.014.410.19.49.47.18.225.6
198099.185.136.717.311.08.68.58.78.626.3
198599.287.743.519.613.49.88.28.48.327.2
199099.490.753.824.314.911.48.97.78.328.4
199599.591.660.131.118.513.210.88.69.729.2
200099.393.165.337.622.615.611.910.111.030.1
200599.393.570.243.025.418.714.011.112.630.8
Sheet2
MaleFemale
195026.227399185623.6091956735
19518.8491296094
19528.54.791595395
19538.15.391994785
19547.55.792594386
19556.5627.046651686824.69423284493594076
19568.36.291793886
19574.85.595294556
19584.44.795695345
19594.24.595895545
19603.34.227.443683919424.9624179796795834
19612.93.797196334
19622.73.197396933
19632.2397897023
19641.92.898197223
19651.9327.410686908224.815422134898197023
196623.298096823
19672.1397997023
19682.2397897023
19692.22.997897123
19702.22.827.464301410624.64792502597897223
197123.598096524
19722.33.497796623
19733.23.696896434
19744.94.295195854
19756.24.727.645539731724.478191105393895365
19768.45.391694785
197710.26.1898939106
197811.96.7881933127
197912.96.8871932137
198013.97.228.674390512325.1079144792861928147
198114.27.6858924148
198214.37.5857925148
198315.68.2844918168
1984179.2830908179
198517.38.129.568413237925.8367532061827919178
198618.610.58148951911
198719.7128038802012
198819.210.18088991910
198919.813.38028672013
199019.712.230.348525057226.86875055768038782012
199119.912.78018732013
19922012.98008712013
199319.212.58088751913
199420.9147918602114
199521.714.730.684240003827.69162452817838532215
199622.615.4066361874774845.93363812612315
199722.217.4500609977778825.49939002322217
199822.818.0699062567772819.3009374332318
199925.120.0096360792749799.90363920852520
200024.719.342854562230.811155786928.5801169533753806.57145437772519
200123.919.4195294106761805.80470589372419
200225.221.3821404098748786.17859590192521
200325.622.2262125358744777.73787464242622
200426.723.4962799307733765.03720069292723
200527.323.737926508631.143061596129.4206690381727762.62073491372724
Sheet3
-
Trend in life expectancy at birth in OECD countries, both sexes combined, 1960-2001
Sheet1
Females at birth - Years
196019611962196319641965196619671968196919701971197219731974197519761977197819791980198119821983198419851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001
Australia73.974.474.274.273.974.27474.574.274.674.274.975.475.575.476.276.376.877.277.878.178.478.278.87978.879.279.579.579.680.180.480.480.980.980.881.181.381.581.882
Austria71.972.872.572.773.27373.473.473.573.373.473.77474.674.674.77575.575.77676.176.476.676.677.277.377.778.178.678.778.979.179.279.479.780.180.280.680.980.981.2
Belgium73.573.573.574.274.274.274.274.274.274.274.274.274.274.275.175.175.575.876.176.876.876.876.877.377.87878.178.779.17979.479.679.879.980.180.280.580.680.580.8
Canada74.375.276.477.579.179.779.980.180.380.480.981.28181.181.381.481.481.581.7
Czech Republic73.473.672.973.673.773.473.873.773.473.27373.473.773.773.67474.274.274.274.373.974.374.474.374.574.774.675.175.375.475.475.776.176.476.676.677.377.578.178.178.4
Denmark74.474.975.475.675.975.976.176.376.676.876.877.177.577.477.377.277.477.577.577.577.577.877.677.777.7787877.878.177.878.278.478.879
Finland72.572.673.77574.274.975.575.475.976.376.977.677.577.678.178.678.378.878.778.878.778.778.978.979.379.479.580.180.280.580.580.881
France73.674.473.974.175.17575.275.275.275.175.975.976.276.376.776.977.277.877.978.378.478.578.978.879.379.479.780.380.580.68181.281.581.581.981.982.182.382.482.5
Germany72.472.472.472.773.573.473.573.873.473.373.673.874.274.474.674.775.175.875.976.376.176.877.177.377.978.177.778.178.378.578.478.779.279.279.679.779.980.380.680.7
Greece72.473.876.878.478.778.579.179.479.579.779.679.980.280.380.480.880.6
Hungary70.171.17071.271.871.572.27271.97272.17272.672.572.472.472.57372.77372.772.973.27373.273.173.273.77473.873.773.873.773.874.274.574.775.175.275.175.6
Iceland7576.276.377.377.579.279.279.379.379.779.779.479.480.280.280.280.48079.779.980.380.880.980.88180.680.681.381.581.481.4
Ireland71.973.574.97575.675.675.676.776.477.277.277.277.677.878.278.178.678.478.678.679.179.1
Italy72.374.975.675.87676.777.277.577.477.67878.178.278.478.77979.479.78080.280.480.580.78181.381.6
Japan70.270.871.272.372.972.973.674.274.374.774.775.675.97676.376.977.47878.378.978.879.179.779.880.280.580.981.481.381.881.982.182.282.58382.983.683.8848484.6
Korea53.766.16767.968.769.570.571.572.87475.175.976.877.478.179.2
Luxembourg72.273.474.575.175.976.777.978.577.878.778.378.579.178.579.479.780.279.979.880.581.2
Mexico59.560.160.661.161.66262.462.963.363.763.664.66565.566.266.967.568.268.969.57070.57171.57272.472.973.273.673.77474.77575.475.775.976.376.67777.377.677.9
Netherlands75.475.975.775.876.376.176.176.676.476.376.576.876.877.177.677.777.978.578.578.979.279.379.479.679.779.779.680.180.279.980.180.280.38080.380.480.480.680.780.580.6
New Zealand73.973.873.87474.174.174.374.374.474.374.674.674.874.875.175.375.475.87676.176.376.476.977.277.177.377.177.477.67878.378.778.979.179.179.579.680.180.480.8
Norway75.8767675.576.176.576.77776.876.777.377.477.577.77878.178.278.778.678.879.279.379.579.679.679.479.879.679.679.979.880.180.380.280.680.881.18181.381.181.4
Poland70.670.870.571.571.672.472.972.673.673.173.373.374.274.374.674.374.674.574.574.974.475.275.275.27574.875.175.275.775.575.575.375.77676.176.476.67777.377.578
Portugal66.869.369.77070.871.77272.67374.375.275.276.676.176.276.476.476.777.177.277.777.477.47877.978.678.678.678.878.979.1
Slovak Republic72.772.772.773.373.572.973.373.873.573.272.973.273.773.373.773.87474.27474.674.374.774.774.574.974.77575.175.575.475.475.276.276.776.576.376.876.776.77777.2
Spain72.274.876.278.679.679.880.180.180.380.480.681.181.181.481.581.781.982.282.4
Sweden74.975.475.475.675.976.176.576.576.376.577.177.377.477.777.877.977.978.578.678.778.879.179.479.679.979.78080.28080.680.480.580.880.881.481.381.581.881.981.982
Switzerland74.576.976.67777.377.877.878.178.478.678.779.67979.379.579.880.180.380.780.780.980.781.181.381.481.781.78282.182.482.5
United Kingdom73.773.6757576.276.87777.377.477.677.77878.178.178.578.77978.879.379.279.579.679.779.8
Turkey50.35151.752.35353.654.354.955.555.956.356.757.157.557.958.358.759.259.66060.360.761.161.963.164.365.566.767.56868.368.668.969.269.569.87070.370.570.770.971
United States73.173.673.573.473.773.873.974.374.174.474.77575.175.375.976.676.877.277.377.877.477.878.178.178.278.278.278.378.378.578.878.979.178.87978.979.179.479.579.4
Copyright OECD HEALTH DATA 2002
198979.6198978.7198979199080.4198975.4198977.7
199080.1199078.9199079.4199180.9199075.4199077.7
199180.4199179.1199179.6199281.2199175.7199178
199280.4199279.2199279.8199381199276.1199278
199380.9199379.4199379.9199481.1199376.4199377.8
199480.9199479.7199480.1199581.3199476.6199478.1
199580.8199580.1199580.2199681.4199576.6199577.8
199681.1199680.2199680.5199781.4199677.3199678.2
199781.3199780.6199780.6199881.5199777.5199778.4
199881.5199880.9199880.5199981.7199878.1199878.8
199981.8199980.9199980.82000n/a199978.1199979
200082200081.22000n/a2001n/a200078.42000n/a
2001n/a2001n/a2001n/a2001n/a2001n/a
Copyright OECD HEALTH DATA 2002
Copyright OECD HEALTH DATA 2002Copyright OECD HEALTH DATA 2002Copyright OECD HEALTH DATA 2002Copyright OECD HEALTH DATA 2002Copyright OECD HEALTH DATA 2002
Sheet2
Males at birth - Years
196019611962196319641965196619671968196919701971197219731974197519761977197819791980198119821983198419851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001
Australia67.96867.867.967.567.767.667.867.567.567.468.368.668.668.469.269.369.970.270.87171.471.272.172.572.472.973.173.173.373.974.474.575757575.275.675.976.276.6
Austria65.466.566.366.466.866.666.966.666.866.566.566.666.967.567.567.768.268.568.568.86969.369.469.570.170.47171.571.97272.372.472.77373.373.573.974.374.775.175.4
Belgium67.767.767.768.268.268.268.268.267.867.867.867.867.867.868.668.668.769.169.47070707070.470.871.171.471.972.272.472.772.973.17373.473.473.874.174.374.4
Canada68.468.869.370.271.97373.273.473.673.874.674.974.975.175.375.775.876.176.3
Czech Republic67.967.76767.467.667.167.367.266.666.166.166.366.966.766.967.167.167.267.367.466.867.267.367.167.467.567.567.968.168.167.668.368.569.369.569.770.470.571.171.471.7
Denmark70.470.370.670.770.770.770.770.870.871.171.171.271.571.371.271.171.471.571.571.571.871.772727272.572.672.672.772.773.173.673.974.2
Finland65.565.465.966.565.966.666.966.967.467.667.968.56969.269.670.270.270.470.170.670.770.770.970.971.371.772.172.872.87373.473.573.8
France6767.56766.867.767.567.867.867.867.468.468.368.568.768.96969.269.769.870.170.270.470.770.771.271.371.57272.372.572.772.973.273.373.773.974.174.674.875
Germany66.966.966.96767.567.667.567.767.367.167.267.467.667.868.268.168.669.269.169.669.670.270.570.771.371.571.371.771.972.17272.272.672.773.173.373.67474.574.7
Greece67.370.172.273.574.173.974.374.574.674.774.77575.27575.175.675.5
Hungary65.966.765.666.66766.767.566.966.766.766.366.166.966.766.566.366.666.766.166.165.565.565.665.165.165.165.365.766.265.465.16564.664.564.865.366.666.466.166.367.1
Iceland70.770.870.771.271.6737373.473.473.773.773.973.9747474.77575.174.675.275.775.175.776.977.176.576.276.47777.577.6
Ireland68.168.868.169.570.170.170.17170.871.671.771.772.172.372.772.67372.973.173.473.573.9
Italy67.26969.569.569.67070.470.670.670.971.371.571.87272.372.67373.373.573.673.874.174.374.67575.3
Japan65.36666.267.267.767.768.468.969.169.269.370.270.570.771.271.772.272.77373.573.473.874.274.274.574.875.275.675.575.975.976.176.176.376.676.47777.277.277.177.6
Korea51.15959.660.260.861.362.363.264.565.866.867.768.869.670.671.7
Luxembourg66.567.167.36869.17070.670.767.869.771.272.37271.972.273.27373.374.173.774.7
Mexico56.256.957.457.958.358.859.159.459.76059.760.660.861.161.561.962.462.863.263.66464.665.165.866.46767.467.868.368.468.869.67070.570.971.371.77272.472.873.173.4
Netherlands71.571.671.17171.371.17171.270.970.970.87170.871.371.671.571.572.17272.572.572.772.772.97373.173.173.573.773.773.874.174.37474.674.674.775.275.275.375.5
New Zealand68.768.468.368.468.368.268.268.168.268.168.368.668.668.768.7696969.369.469.87070.470.670.9717171.171.371.671.972.472.973.173.473.774.274.374.975.275.7
Norway71.371.27170.871.371.171.471.371.270.87171.271.371.371.771.77272.272.472.272.372.672.772.77372.672.972.873.173.373.47474.174.274.874.875.475.475.575.676
Poland64.964.964.565.465.866.666.966.46766.566.666.167.367.267.86766.966.566.466.86667.167.26766.866.566.866.867.266.866.566.166.767.467.567.668.168.568.968.869.7
Portugal61.265.36464.264.265.365.365.265.46767.768.969.169.369.469.469.870.270.170.770.470.270.770.671.671.271.171.671.772
Slovak Republic68.468.468.168.368.867.967.868.367.766.966.766.666.966.866.866.86766.866.967.166.866.86766.666.866.967.167.267.166.966.666.867.668.468.368.468.968.968.66969.1
Spain67.469.270.472.573.173.373.473.473.373.373.473.873.974.274.374.474.974.874.9
Sweden71.271.671.371.671.771.771.971.971.771.772.2727272.172.272.172.172.472.472.572.873.173.473.673.873.87474.274.274.874.874.975.475.576.175.976.576.776.97777.4
Switzerland68.770.770.170.470.871.171.471.671.87272.172.872.472.672.87373.473.773.973.974.17474.174.574.975.275.375.976.376.376.8
United Kingdom67.967.868.768.870.270.871.171.371.671.771.972.372.472.672.973.173.673.574.17474.374.774.875
Turkey46.34747.648.248.949.550.150.851.351.65252.452.853.253.553.954.254.65555.455.856.356.757.558.659.860.962.162.963.463.864.164.464.764.965.265.565.765.966.166.266.4
United States66.667.166.966.666.866.866.76766.666.867.167.467.467.668.268.869.169.569.6707070.470.87171.171.171.271.471.471.771.87272.372.272.472.573.173.673.873.9
Copyright OECD HEALTH DATA 2002
Graph1
67.7570.968.6570.6196070.6572.46970.369.6569.8572.8570196069.3573.4573.556470.5569.873.0571.670.848.366.6
68.471.269.6570.671.3570.651961196170.9569.6519611961196169.75196173.7573.6196170.55196173.5196170.74967.1
68.77169.470.6196269.951962196270.4569.651962196219621962196273.473.5196270.4196273.351962196249.6566.9
69.7571.0569.5571.2196370.519636970.4569.85196373.519631963196373.473.15196370.8196373.61963196350.2566.6
70.370.77071.2196470.651964196471.470.51964196419641964196473.873.7196471.15196473.81964196450.9566.8
70.370.9569.871.2196570.251965196571.2570.51965196519651965196573.673.867.370.4196573.91965196551.5566.8
7170.870.1571.27270.551966196671.570.51966196619661966196673.5574.05196670.55196674.21966196652.266.7
71.5571.157071.2196770.4572.6196771.570.751967196719671967196773.974.1566.8571.05196774.21967196752.8567
71.770.8570.15711968707369.871.570.35196873.519681968196873.6574196870.61968741968196853.466.6
71.9571.0569.971196969.6573.15196971.2570.21969196919691969196973.673.7567.170.05196974.11969196953.7566.8
7270.869.9571197069.5573.370.7572.1570.471.9574.2571.15197070.2573.6574.1567.569.87274.6573.871.8554.1567.1
72.971.670.157172.8569.8573.370.0572.170.619711971197171.95197173.974.3197169.9197174.6573.3571.954.5567.4
73.27270.4571197270.373.470.7572.3570.91972197219721972197273.874.468.570.3197274.773.7197254.9567.4
73.3572.0571.0571197370.273.5571.272.571.1197374.551973197370.974.274.5197370.05197374.974.05197355.3567.6
73.7571.971.0571.85197470.2573.771.1572.871.419741974197472.55197474.674.8568.6570.2519747574.45197455.768.2
74.372.771.271.85197570.5573.9571.6572.9571.4197576.1197572.65197574.674.968.970.373.37574.6197556.168.8
74.872.871.672.173.8570.6573.9571.9573.271.85197676.1197672.8197674.775.169.270.519767574.85197656.4569.1
75.3573.357272.45197770.774.1572.473.7572.5197776.35197773.3571.5575.375.45197770.5197775.4575.1197756.969.5
75.6573.772.172.75197870.7574.573.0573.8572.5197876.3571.573.8197875.2575.5197870.45197875.575.3197857.369.6
76.274.372.473.4197970.8574.3573.2574.272.95197976.772.2574.05197975.775.5197970.85197975.675.4197957.770
76.174.5572.5573.4198070.3574.2573.474.372.8574.576.772.857472.575.8575.7571.4570.5575.5575.876.273.258.0570
76.4574.972.8573.475.570.7574.1573.8574.4573.5198176.6572.8574.2573.357675.9572.7570.75198176.175.773.858.570.4
76.9574.77373.4198270.8574.474.474.873.8198276.6572.8574.65198276.0576.172.670.85198276.475.9574.0558.970.8
7775.4573.0573.85198370.774.574.2574.7574198377.1198374.8198376.2576.1572.7570.55198376.676.1574.359.771
77.3575.7573.6574.3198470.9574.574.675.2574.6198477.1198475198476.3576.372.970.85198476.8576.474.560.8571.1
77.6575.673.8574.55198571.174.574.475.3574.875.9577.4573.8575.274.2576.47672.970.876.3576.7576.7574.6562.0571.1
78.0576.0574.3574.7576.3571.0574.6574.775.674.576.477.773.675.574.676.3576.3573.2571.0576.55777774.863.271.2
78.576.374.875.376.5571.574.7574.776.1574.976.277.5574.475.872.876.876.273.6571.1576.7577.277.375.1564.471.4
78.476.375.2575.6576.7571.774.874.776.475.176.777.1574.4576.274.276.9576.3573.6571.376.7577.177.375.2565.271.4
78.8576.4575.3575.776.9571.7574.8574.976.5575.376.9577.5574.4576.574.7576.876.674.271.1576.877.777.575.3565.771.7
78.97775.676.0577.171.574.8574.976.8575.277.057874.8576.7575.476.9576.673.97176.8577.677.3575.766.0571.8
79.177.475.7576.2577.757275.2575.377.0575.4577.277.9575.0576.975.5577.1577.0573.8717777.777.675.966.3572
79.1577.4575.9576.4578.0572.375.375.5577.3575.977.1578.375.4577.175.277.377.274.3571.977.4578.177.976.366.6572.3
79.477.9576.276.4577.9572.8575.275.877.475.9577.4578.8575.3577.375.87777.274.2572.5577.578.1578.1576.1566.9572.2
79.877.9576.576.7578.173.0575.476.4577.876.3577.779.0575.877.576.4577.4577.775.172.477.878.7578.4576.767.272.4
79.6577.976.876.878.373.1575.2576.577.976.577.6578.5575.6577.876.677.577.874.972.3577.978.678.576.667.572.5
80.378.1577.0577.1578.5573.8575.6576.7578.176.7577.7578.475.8578.1576.677.5578.2574.8572.8578.057978.9576.967.7573.1
80.578.4577.4577.3578.6747676.9578.4577.1578.278.857678.4576.9577.978.275.272.878.479.2579.277.156873.6
80.678.777.877.478.874.676.3577.1578.677.5578.0579.2576.3199877.177.9578.475.372.6578.579.479.3577.2568.273.8
80.55797877.67974.7576.677.478.7577.7199979.4576.5199977.9577.978.3575.557378.6579.4579.6577.468.473.9
81.179.378.32000200075.052000200020002000200079.520002000200078.0578.7200073.15200079.72000200068.552000
2001200120012001200120012001200120012001200120012001200120012001200120012001200120012001200168.72001
Japan
Australia
Austria
Belgium
Canada
Czech Republic
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Iceland
Ireland
Italy
Luxembourg
Netherlands
Norway
Portugal
Slovak Republic
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
United Kingdom
Turkey
United States
Sheet3
Males at birth - Years
196019611962196319641965196619671968196919701971197219731974197519761977197819791980198119821983198419851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001
Australia70.971.27171.0570.770.9570.871.1570.8571.0570.871.67272.0571.972.772.873.3573.774.374.5574.974.775.4575.7575.676.0576.376.376.457777.477.4577.9577.9577.978.1578.4578.77979.3
Austria68.6569.6569.469.557069.870.157070.1569.969.9570.1570.4571.0571.0571.271.67272.172.472.5572.857373.0573.6573.8574.3574.875.2575.3575.675.7575.9576.276.576.877.0577.4577.87878.3
Belgium70.670.670.671.271.271.271.271.271717171717171.8571.8572.172.4572.7573.473.473.473.473.8574.374.5574.7575.375.6575.776.0576.2576.4576.4576.7576.877.1577.3577.477.6
Canada71.357272.8573.8575.576.3576.5576.7576.9577.177.7578.0577.9578.178.378.5578.678.879
Czech Republic70.6570.6569.9570.570.6570.2570.5570.457069.6569.5569.8570.370.270.2570.5570.6570.770.7570.8570.3570.7570.8570.770.9571.171.0571.571.771.7571.57272.372.8573.0573.1573.857474.674.7575.05
Denmark72.472.67373.1573.373.373.473.5573.773.9573.9574.1574.574.3574.2574.1574.474.574.574.574.6574.7574.874.8574.8575.2575.375.275.475.2575.657676.3576.6
Finland696969.870.7570.0570.7571.271.1571.6571.9572.473.0573.2573.473.8574.474.2574.674.474.774.774.774.974.975.375.5575.876.4576.576.7576.9577.1577.4
France70.370.9570.4570.4571.471.2571.571.571.571.2572.1572.172.3572.572.872.9573.273.7573.8574.274.374.4574.874.7575.2575.3575.676.1576.476.5576.8577.0577.3577.477.877.978.178.4578.678.75
Germany69.6569.6569.6569.8570.570.570.570.7570.3570.270.470.670.971.171.471.471.8572.572.572.9572.8573.573.87474.674.874.574.975.175.375.275.4575.975.9576.3576.576.7577.1577.5577.7
Greece69.8571.9574.575.9576.476.276.776.9577.0577.277.1577.4577.777.6577.7578.278.05
Hungary6868.967.868.969.469.169.8569.4569.369.3569.269.0569.7569.669.4569.3569.5569.8569.469.5569.169.269.469.0569.1569.169.2569.770.169.669.469.469.1569.1569.569.970.6570.7570.6570.771.35
Iceland72.8573.573.574.2574.5576.176.176.3576.3576.776.776.6576.6577.177.177.4577.777.5577.1577.557877.9578.378.8579.0578.5578.478.8579.2579.4579.5
Ireland7071.1571.572.2572.8572.8572.8573.8573.674.474.4574.4574.8575.0575.4575.3575.875.6575.857676.376.5
Italy69.7571.9572.5572.6572.873.3573.874.057474.2574.6574.87575.275.575.876.276.576.7576.977.177.377.577.878.1578.45
Japan67.7568.468.769.7570.370.37171.5571.771.957272.973.273.3573.7574.374.875.3575.6576.276.176.4576.957777.3577.6578.0578.578.478.8578.979.179.1579.479.879.6580.380.580.680.5581.1
Korea52.462.5563.364.0564.7565.466.467.3568.6569.970.9571.872.873.574.3575.45
Luxembourg69.3570.2570.971.5572.573.3574.2574.672.874.274.7575.475.5575.275.876.4576.676.676.9577.177.95
Mexico57.8558.55959.559.9560.460.7561.1561.561.8561.6562.662.963.363.8564.464.9565.566.0566.556767.5568.0568.6569.269.770.1570.570.9571.0571.472.1572.572.9573.373.67474.374.775.0575.3575.65
Netherlands73.4573.7573.473.473.873.673.5573.973.6573.673.6573.973.874.274.674.674.775.375.2575.775.857676.0576.2576.3576.476.3576.876.9576.876.9577.1577.37777.4577.577.5577.977.9577.978.05
New Zealand71.371.171.0571.271.271.1571.2571.271.371.271.4571.671.771.7571.972.1572.272.5572.772.9573.1573.473.7574.0574.0574.1574.174.3574.674.9575.3575.87676.2576.476.8576.9577.577.878.25
Norway73.5573.673.573.1573.773.874.0574.157473.7574.1574.374.474.574.8574.975.175.4575.575.575.7575.9576.176.1576.37676.3576.276.3576.676.677.0577.277.277.777.878.2578.278.478.3578.7
Poland67.7567.8567.568.4568.769.569.969.570.369.869.9569.770.7570.7571.270.6570.7570.570.4570.8570.271.1571.271.170.970.6570.957171.4571.157170.771.271.771.87272.3572.7573.173.1573.85
Portugal6467.366.8567.167.568.568.6568.969.271.4572.7572.672.7572.972.973.2573.6573.6574.273.973.874.3574.2575.174.974.8575.275.375.55
Slovak Republic70.5570.5570.470.871.1570.470.5571.0570.670.0569.869.970.370.0570.2570.370.570.570.4570.8570.5570.7570.8570.5570.8570.871.0571.1571.371.15717171.972.5572.472.3572.8572.872.657373.15
Spain69.87273.375.5576.3576.5576.7576.7576.876.857777.4577.577.877.978.0578.478.578.65
Sweden73.0573.573.3573.673.873.974.274.27474.174.6574.6574.774.975757575.4575.575.675.876.176.476.676.8576.757777.277.177.777.677.778.178.1578.7578.67979.2579.479.4579.7
Switzerland71.673.873.3573.774.0574.4574.674.8575.175.375.476.275.775.9576.1576.476.757777.377.377.577.3577.677.978.1578.4578.578.9579.279.3579.65
United Kingdom70.870.771.8571.973.273.874.0574.374.574.6574.875.1575.2575.3575.775.976.376.1576.776.676.977.1577.2577.4
Turkey48.34949.6550.2550.9551.5552.252.8553.453.7554.1554.5554.9555.3555.756.156.4556.957.357.758.0558.558.959.760.8562.0563.264.465.265.766.0566.3566.6566.9567.267.567.756868.268.468.5568.7
United States66.667.166.966.666.866.866.76766.666.867.167.467.467.668.268.869.169.569.6707070.470.87171.171.171.271.471.471.771.87272.372.272.472.573.173.673.873.9
Copyright OECD HEALTH DATA 2002
-
Proportion 65 and over:1884-2006
Graph1
5.72
1885
1886
1887
5.49
1889
1890
1891
1892
1893
1894
1895
1896
1897
5.5
1899
1900
1901
1902
1903
1904
1905
1906
1907
5.25
5.2508333333
5.2516666667
5.2525
5.2533333333
5.2541666667
5.255
5.2558333333
5.2566666667
5.2575
5.2583333333
5.2591666667
5.2558890953
5.2443609076
5.2096136978
5.1766924526
5.1285264922
5.0572877814
1926
1927
1928
1929
4.7538786071
4.7231457689
4.7123858638
4.7599674182
4.7254032204
4.656701574
4.6045819987
4.7215717431
4.7944362102
4.8000590756
4.801645387
1941
1942
1943
6.2160439578
5.7202089655
5.8709262461
4.7946803769
4.8046954651
4.8523678936
4.9389241927
4.9393109562
5.0161747197
5.0873994327
5.2099161468
5.3175725231
5.3661813077
5.4216144421
5.5049661821
5.6025836775
5.7267125277
5.8365133939
5.9283237346
6.0693889892
6.1902335734
6.2893181916
6.4814638237
6.649642586
6.8033829212
6.9251950862
7.0680531808
7.1647581034
7.340877252
7.5059386382
7.684630228
7.9198296175
8.136288056
8.3751320362
8.6139939156
8.8765364352
9.0956090735
9.3389948628
9.5626341835
9.7685254236
9.9435774957
10.3002510811
10.5777907131
10.8958972994
11.2267690631
11.6095056552
12.049554552
12.5619716477
13.0511804485
13.5458384441
14.0638949507
14.5423160197
15.1090150289
15.6604338923
16.2133123688
16.7233923371
17.3370146535
17.9655844432
18.5410837731
19.05
19.48
20
20.5
Year
%
Sheet1
18845.725.72
1885
1886
1887
18885.495.49
1889
1890
1891
1892
1893
1894
1895
1896
1897
18985.55.5
1899
1900
1901
1902
1903
1904
1905
1906
1907
19085.255.25
19095.25083333335.2508333333
19105.25166666675.2516666667
19115.25255.2525
19125.25333333335.2533333333
19135.25416666675.2541666667
19145.2555.255
19155.25583333335.2558333333
19165.25666666675.2566666667
19175.25755.2575
19185.25833333335.2583333333
19195.25916666675.2591666667
19205.25588909535.2558890953
19215.24436090765.2443609076
19225.20961369785.2096136978
19235.17669245265.1766924526
19245.12852649225.1285264922
19255.05728778145.0572877814
1926
1927
1928
1929
19304.75387860714.7538786071
19314.72314576894.7231457689
19324.71238586384.7123858638
19334.75996741824.7599674182
19344.72540322044.7254032204
19354.6567015744.656701574
19364.60458199874.6045819987
19374.72157174314.7215717431
19384.79443621024.7944362102
19394.80005907564.8000590756
19404.8016453874.801645387
1941
1942
1943
19446.21604395786.2160439578
19455.72020896555.7202089655
19465.87092624615.8709262461
19474.79468037694.7946803769
19484.80469546514.8046954651
19494.85236789364.8523678936
19504.93892419274.9389241927
19514.93931095624.9393109562
19525.01617471975.0161747197
19535.08739943275.0873994327
19545.20991614685.2099161468
19555.31757252315.3175725231
19565.36618130775.3661813077
19575.42161444215.4216144421
19585.50496618215.5049661821
19595.60258367755.6025836775
19605.72671252775.7267125277
19615.83651339395.8365133939
19625.92832373465.9283237346
19636.06938898926.0693889892
19646.19023357346.1902335734
19656.28931819166.2893181916
19666.48146382376.4814638237
19676.6496425866.649642586
19686.80338292126.8033829212
19696.92519508626.9251950862
19707.06805318087.0680531808
19717.16475810347.1647581034
19727.3408772527.340877252
19737.50593863827.5059386382
19747.6846302287.684630228
19757.91982961757.9198296175
19768.1362880568.136288056
19778.37513203628.3751320362
19788.61399391568.6139939156
19798.87653643528.8765364352
19809.09560907359.0956090735
19819.33899486289.3389948628
19829.56263418359.5626341835
19839.76852542369.7685254236
19849.94357749579.9435774957
198510.300251081110.3002510811
198610.577790713110.5777907131
198710.895897299410.8958972994
198811.226769063111.2267690631
198911.609505655211.6095056552
199012.04955455212.049554552
199112.561971647712.5619716477
199213.051180448513.0511804485
199313.545838444113.5458384441
199414.063894950714.0638949507
199514.542316019714.5423160197
199615.109015028915.1090150289
199715.660433892315.6604338923
199816.213312368816.2133123688
199916.723392337116.7233923371
200017.337014653517.3370146535
200117.965584443217.9655844432
200218.541083773118.5410837731
200319.0519.05
200419.4819.48
20052020
200620.520.5
Sheet2
Sheet3
-
UNGovernmentForecast numbers of female centenarians
Graph5 (2)
200012.2734712.37487812.162186
200115.27279115.77989214.725805
200218.78332420.16591817.332169
200322.61466525.44868219.741969
200426.48859631.3741221.726784
200531.20668138.98761923.933766
200635.56851946.83064225.48976
200743.36879460.11712229.002922
200851.76252275.35412632.381257
200960.87946192.85090635.706233
201069.759225111.2846738.435289
201179.038936131.4667441.070829
201288.824821153.696743.651753
201398.772409177.1935646.131466
2014108.54224201.5724448.262698
2015118.20682226.3719850.350065
2016129.56957254.2940353.322416
2017140.29415281.8136555.870919
2018149.88695308.4260257.631127
2019159.24126335.9839759.240673
2020176.32722378.701963.823246
2021191.6048418.7218167.246887
2022208.93285462.3537271.472409
2023227.42975507.5036175.589686
2024247.43232557.3428480.409274
2025271.36571614.7311886.143847
2026296.77279678.3416391.873243
2027322.0776741.185399.617273
2028348.11712806.24986106.20395
2029375.35735874.55633112.73802
2030402.73131947.73222119.59385
2031433.57511028.1587128.12552
2032465.118571114.1863136.34731
2033496.306981203.2317144.63316
2034529.150661287.7781147.74638
2035565.510771380.8485156.75817
2036604.597151473.7124168.83788
2037641.14411563.1576178.28412
2038669.672331645.8594180.44059
2039693.414971721.7826186.32097
2040740.388781829.0266201.89052
2041799.542221960.8907220.9255
2042859.201612097.0311236.09293
2043913.010352227.578242.20504
2044958.716762348.4231248.93046
2045969.240592415.4593239.31516
2046998.460332511.0966237.78371
20471107.40682748.5293272.60699
20481220.5892994.3168309.52536
20491322.89913225.4492338.48295
20501391.11753405.0258352.5998
Median forecasts
95% Cl
Year
Number of centenarians (x10 3 )
Graph3 (2)
36.36764417.052294
57.81957115.644611
22.22313714.76067
-22.22313713.146188
193.4948612.552116
80.04270811.964762
09.6278131
-61.6935698.1822399
61.6935699.7592908
58.1076319.2830628
-66.6913749.0308702
66.6913749.5783906
-66.6913749.6479152
58.59416410.479988
150.730210.846614
161.1684611.053983
107.239487.1712626
10.79481912.658061
230.3634211.596073
99.90140711.572262
18.79138712.013376
142.3942615.067244
270.492115.287227
96.41599915.241277
24.36066214.299531
28.04506812.570459
178.7981510.024588
78.6595729.4151511
95.6240748.9605731
118.274448.2319122
68.0319747.3752299
88.980747.2063222
108.554567.1666752
105.255646.8187403
97.7207296.5833721
101.107145.7705948
146.363074.4984503
174.515344.5036406
129.453473.867346
159.357433.2986051
73.6295973.0096553
94.3580523.7183579
156.960593.3800609
144.527053.0516804
139.834423.356983
145.219032.5392572
161.122433.158033
172.831112.643112
184.831012.7323877
133.450111.4018996
Female centenarian
Female population
Year
per 1000
Figure 3b. Annual increase rates of centenarian and population: Japan, 1950-2000
Graph1
0.030.081
0.0380.084
0.0420.089
0.0430.091
0.0330.089
0.0280.108
0.0310.117
0.0330.117
0.030.11
0.040.117
0.0320.124
0.0320.116
0.0340.124
0.0280.116
0.0250.123
0.0330.14301
0.038010.16802
0.040020.18704
0.055040.18907
0.068050.23805
0.079050.26306
0.095080.26805
0.115080.30907
0.12410.40507
0.128110.44607
0.133120.45707
0.106070.47007
0.114090.5621
0.120080.6081
0.13810.66912
0.174130.75313
0.167120.80615
0.213180.88117
0.251210.98221
0.284241.09123
0.341331.20325
0.334351.33127
0.377371.5411
0.483451.83494
0.56252.08854
0.615552.44935
0.657412.6365
0.734372.89739
0.846593.3898
0.963393.91689
1.128284.50475
1.297635.20881
1.420996.11946
1.592527.27399
1.882748.75072
2.0550410.00001
Male
Female
Year
Number of centenarians (in thousand)
Figure 1. Observed numbers of centenarians: Japan, 1950-2000
Graph2
0.00075207420.0019491288
0.00093518980.0019871428
0.00101659460.0020727429
0.00102457170.0020882685
0.00077550830.0020156988
0.00064950090.0024155058
0.0007103450.0025856751
0.0007488620.0025609002
0.00067530270.002388064
0.00089174080.0025153634
0.00070690590.0026412224
0.00070071960.0024486078
0.00073737110.0025925258
0.00060140570.0024019798
0.00053144040.0025203744
0.00069404220.0028987832
0.00079093080.0033682912
0.0008268890.0037227914
0.00112279150.0037158614
0.00137186940.0046245444
0.0015752790.00505161
0.00187195070.0050859662
0.00222927610.0057765813
0.00236507640.0074559839
0.0024020980.0080864647
0.00245818880.0081682343
0.00193320460.0082956176
0.00205843040.0098207838
0.00214624990.010524916
0.00244677030.011477733
0.0030604050.012812886
0.00291645620.013614129
0.00369389110.014774202
0.0043226780.016350696
0.00485918470.01804209
0.00579917580.019763656
0.0056512040.021740595
0.00635248150.02505431
0.00810800910.029697343
0.00940501660.033671228
0.0102676960.039358128
0.0109416820.042238092
0.0121787710.046245407
0.0139951650.053922222
0.0158818640.062116897
0.0185434580.07120019
0.0212835550.08211948
0.0232419260.096172135
0.0260073570.11401473
0.0307011590.13678718
0.0334928420.15609651
Male
Female
Year
Fraction of centenarian (per thousand)
Figure 2. Fraction of centenarians in the population: Japan, 1950-2000
Graph3
236.3887818.4743
100.0834616.61923
23.53049715.714314
-264.6925513.818675
-164.3030513.011408
101.7826912.236169
62.5203579.7164253
-95.310188.0834746
287.682079.6675253
-223.143559.1344552
08.7896981
60.6246229.6411445
-194.156019.6655547
-113.3286910.350042
277.6317410.690051
141.3417210.663994
51.5300467.0700305
318.6808612.778041
212.1825411.826241
149.8378311.579764
184.6380812.089421
190.908916.213009
75.46015416.326763
31.80157816.269388
38.36170715.279386
-227.1517213.094083
72.88835710.123627
51.1705779.3922641
139.819878.773026
231.824098.0457368
-41.0900297.0879989
243.424767.1135909
164.152366.9576515
123.529716.5341517
183.03086.1856608
-20.6614035.1857803
121.037794.0609017
247.721763.7149243
151.443243.0523625
90.1250432.3656575
65.7916952.214768
110.705123.5902869
142.203533.1859757
129.24182.7758894
157.991313.0520834
139.845172.0275203
90.8142882.7911888
113.963861.5422145
167.41051.4895544
87.567150.53579365
Male centenarian
Male population
Year
per 1000
Figure 3a. Annual increase rates of centenarian and population: Japan, 1950-1999
Graph4
0.0882228020.11711914
0.095133160.11994765
0.0930943110.11725039
0.0917360880.11741536
0.0984464860.12397039
0.094822940.11919873
0.0879318080.11308086
0.0895212680.11688004
0.0933451460.12115362
0.090272210.11775952
0.0872564080.1148653
0.0838833040.11104488
0.0835521080.11176963
0.0863489630.11594529
0.0828542290.11155877
0.0824469650.1092289
0.0847417590.11175125
0.0828913790.1114817
0.0829594220.11151333
0.0839082490.11015396
0.0839044030.11019892
0.0859547960.1122983
0.0854177860.10980352
0.0838607230.10591877
0.0841373040.10517302
0.0842614970.10672786
0.0875080220.10941989
0.0914355990.11065148
0.0930886610.11046985
0.0914264090.10873389
0.0894096310.10765886
Male
Female
Year
r(c)
Figure 4. The estimated values of r(c)
Graph5
0.03195019501950
0.038195119511951
0.042195219521952
0.043195319531953
0.033195419541954
0.028195519551955
0.031195619561956
0.033195719571957
0.03195819581958
0.04195919591959
0.032196019601960
0.032196119611961
0.034196219621962
0.028196319631963
0.025196419641964
0.033196519651965
0.03801196619661966
0.04002196719671967
0.05504196819681968
0.06805196919691969
0.07905197019701970
0.09508197119711971
0.11508197219721972
0.1241197319731973
0.12811197419741974
0.13312197519751975
0.10607197619761976
0.11409197719771977
0.12008197819781978
0.1381197919791979
0.17413198019801980
0.16712198119811981
0.21318198219821982
0.25121198319831983
0.28424198419841984
0.34133198519851985
0.33435198619861986
0.37737198719871987
0.48345198819881988
0.5625198919891989
0.61555199019901990
0.65741199119911991
0.73437199219921992
0.84659199319931993
0.96339199419941994
1.12828199519951995
1.29763199619961996
1.42099199719971997
1.59252199819981998
1.88274199919991999
20002.30122512.33154372.2675117
20012.67799292.82884262.5173329
20023.0877713.47698862.695017
20033.52553344.28493732.8064441
20043.90920115.15050642.8122567
20054.38161386.26693332.8319917
20064.93329417.63621742.8664939
20075.80500159.70468353.0307497
20086.770568812.1638213.1948256
20097.75969214.9314763.3201766
20108.830276318.129213.4432518
20119.974910221.7319563.5703309
201211.22735125.8683993.7039195
201312.5703830.4290333.8611384
201413.89522535.2884243.975591
201515.31947240.4755874.1431093
201617.1310446.5968234.4412309
201718.84328252.706724.6851378
201820.20586258.3770754.7722736
201921.42982964.1226424.8247722
202023.86527973.2800325.1528655
202126.05992281.7468975.3841308
202228.96881891.874565.8053222
202332.844858104.148246.36687
202438.358393121.246797.3370194
202545.219635142.347358.4181345
202652.86502167.495899.5596253
202760.522477192.7435311.153416
202868.508991219.2824112.370261
202976.888627247.5941613.522081
203085.179198278.9723814.776587
203194.8699313.2159816.273578
2032104.90876350.4660117.78863
2033114.72794390.1287119.442762
2034125.82759428.5808219.926699
2035138.19199471.3660421.788212
2036152.0354513.8154624.561628
2037165.55454555.8404726.754741
2038176.49921596.7278227.319045
2039186.62994636.2561329.244946
2040205.57506688.8857533.233486
2041229.25095758.1995537.829621
2042254.05039829.3466741.394231
2043275.74529900.5907142.18418
2044295.61343967.2581244.023784
2045301.731141009.722841.465249
2046317.864821070.199341.435619
2047367.419541213.825651.378402
2048417.83251359.196161.445413
2049464.559861498.137569.633215
2050496.329711605.786673.60561
95%
Year
Number of centenarians
Figure 7. Historical and forecasted numbers of male centenarians
Graph6
2.30122512.300385612.2734712.270936
2.67799292.651729715.27279115.180323
3.0877713.008892618.78332418.482967
3.52553343.363836422.61466521.962917
3.90920113.61859226.48859625.25148
4.38161383.911357831.20668129.086612
4.93329414.206236235.56851932.227956
5.80500154.755467543.36879438.283142
6.77056885.313631351.76252244.46217
7.7596925.821616460.87946150.792157
8.83027636.357088869.75922556.615109
9.97491026.847830579.03893662.187113
11.2273517.389005588.82482167.902944
12.570387.854909798.77240973.048123
13.8952258.2939185108.5422477.821053
15.3194728.5998837118.2068281.604836
17.131048.861979129.5695785.18022
18.8432829.0002031140.2941587.803038
20.2058629.083079149.8869590.02838
21.4298299.2175069159.2412692.625852
23.8652799.7763048176.3272299.320674
26.05992210.024512191.6048103.77849
28.96881810.431432208.93285108.58443
32.84485811.043117227.42975113.03908
38.35839312.020382247.43232117.42906
45.21963513.207332271.36571122.9594
52.8650214.288934296.77279128.20091
60.52247715.142491322.0776132.38269
68.50899115.85233348.11712136.12273
76.88862716.422272375.35735139.62885
85.17919816.909626402.73131142.92062
94.869917.466845433.5751146.78646
104.9087617.938248465.11857150.31224
114.7279418.248908496.30698153.11131
125.8275918.446404529.15066155.02521
138.1919918.857845565.51077158.074
152.035419.296459604.59715161.30855
165.5545419.419164641.1441162.6527
176.4992119.131927669.67233161.36187
186.6299418.787547693.41497159.15834
205.5750619.455752740.38878163.10856
229.2509520.458349799.54222169.60381
254.0503921.130421859.20161174.73446
275.7452921.369117913.01035177.4153
295.6134321.254988958.71676177.7278
301.7311419.868421969.24059169.34601
317.8648219.588285998.46033166.44866
367.4195422.4248261107.4068182.99236
417.832524.5943691220.589197.68707
464.5598625.7577881322.8991207.16544
496.3297125.4719271391.1175207.79391
Medium forecasts of males
Scenario of no mortality decline for males
Medium forecasts of females
Scenario of no mortality decline for females
Year
Number of centenarian (in thousand)
Figure 9. Forecasted numbers of coentenarians
Graph7
1111
0.585397170.865295550.606150870.93243658
0.318886820.673197140.38194740.7857399
0.173873970.500907280.20633480.63050034
0.0865169140.265620650.111516220.36421623
0.0485698950.175908730.0639933550.26647593
0.0238150920.145125680.0318962650.24510579
0.00756349410.104747910.0158371630.19447806
0.00328459360.0703791460.00759738320.14609592
0.00143636020.0432268290.00366234020.10355047
0.00040291340.0236310080.00205239820.065468715
00.0126603320.0011548650.040194482
00.007246030800.027362245
00.004272872600.018829007
00.002234444500.011936573
00.001040531600.0069161237
00.000516081300.0041556012
00.000236484100.0024373163
00.000098322200.0013326518
00.000045017300.0007689864
00.000016754400.0003890026
00.000006571100.0002102135
00.000002408600.0001053536
00.000000902900.0000560494
00.000000312900.0000280075
00.000000109100.0000142749
00.000000033100.0000065965
00.000000010400.0000033195
00.000000002600.0000014746
00.000000000800.0000006943
00.000000000300.0000003375
Males at 2000
Males at 2050
Females at 2000
Females at 2050
Age
Ratio
Figure 10. Age structure of centenarians
Graph8
1
2
8
4
16
20
29
32
78
84
68
95
83
73
84
81
78
60
36
19
50
Maximum age
Frequency of male
Figure 11a. The life span at year 2050
Graph9
109
110.05
111.1
112.15
113.2
1
2
2
2
8
15
16
32
36
56
79
82
88
87
95
400
Maximum age
Frequency of female
Figure 11b. The life span at year 2050
fig1
Figure1Figure 2Figure 3Figure 4FIG7FIG8FIG9Fig 10Fig 11
YearMaleFemaleYearMaleFemaleYearM centM popF centF popYearMaleFemale5509555095Medium forecasts of malesScenario of no mortality decline for malesMedium forecasts of femalesScenario of no mortality decline for femalesAgeMales at 2000Males at 2050Females at 2000Females at 2050
19500.030.08119500.00075207420.00194912881950236.3887818.474336.36764417.05229419500.0882228020.1171191419500.0319500.08120002.30122512.300385612.2734712.27093610011111091109
19510.0380.08419510.00093518980.00198714281951100.0834616.6192357.81957115.64461119510.095133160.1199476519510.03819510.08420012.67799292.651729715.27279115.1803231010.585397170.865295550.606150870.932436581102110
19520.0420.08919520.00101659460.0020727429195223.53049715.71431422.22313714.7606719520.0930943110.1172503919520.04219520.08920023.0877713.008892618.78332418.4829671020.318886820.673197140.38194740.78573991118111
19530.0430.09119530.00102457170.00208826851953-264.6925513.818675-22.22313713.14618819530.0917360880.1174153619530.04319530.09120033.52553343.363836422.61466521.9629171030.173873970.500907280.20633480.630500341124112
19540.0330.08919540.00077550830.00201569881954-164.3030513.011408193.4948612.55211619540.0984464860.1239703919540.03319540.08920043.90920113.61859226.48859625.251481040.0865169140.265620650.111516220.3642162311316113
19550.0280.10819550.00064950090.00241550581955101.7826912.23616980.04270811.96476219550.094822940.1191987319550.02819550.10820054.38161383.911357831.20668129.0866121050.0485698950.175908730.0639933550.26647593114201141
19560.0310.11719560.0007103450.0025856751195662.5203579.716425309.627813119560.0879318080.1130808619560.03119560.11720064.93329414.206236235.56851932.2279561060.0238150920.145125680.0318962650.24510579115291152
19570.0330.11719570.0007488620.00256090021957-95.310188.0834746-61.6935698.182239919570.0895212680.1168800419570.03319570.11720075.80500154.755467543.36879438.2831421070.00756349410.104747910.0158371630.19447806116321162
19580.030.1119580.00067530270.0023880641958287.682079.667525361.6935699.759290819580.0933451460.1211536219580.0319580.1120086.77056885.313631351.76252244.462171080.00328459360.0703791460.00759738320.14609592117781172
19590.040.11719590.00089174080.00251536341959-223.143559.134455258.1076319.283062819590.090272210.1177595219590.0419590.11720097.7596925.821616460.87946150.7921571090.00143636020.0432268290.00366234020.10355047118841188
19600.0320.12419600.00070690590.0026412224196008.7896981-66.6913749.030870219600.0872564080.114865319600.03219600.12420108.83027636.357088869.75922556.6151091100.00040291340.0236310080.00205239820.0654687151206811915
19610.0320.11619610.00070071960.0024486078196160.6246229.641144566.6913749.578390619610.0838833040.1110448819610.03219610.11620119.97491026.847830579.03893662.18711311100.0126603320.0011548650.0401944821219512016
19620.0340.12419620.00073737110.00259252581962-194.156019.6655547-66.6913749.647915219620.0835521080.1117696319620.03419620.124201211.2273517.389005588.82482167.90294411200.007246030800.0273622451228312132
19630.0280.11619630.00060140570.00240197981963-113.3286910.35004258.59416410.47998819630.0863489630.1159452919630.02819630.116201312.570387.854909798.77240973.04812311300.004272872600.0188290071237312336
19640.0250.12319640.00053144040.00252037441964277.6317410.690051150.730210.84661419640.0828542290.1115587719640.02519640.123201413.8952258.2939185108.5422477.82105311400.002234444500.0119365731248412456
19650.0330.1430119650.00069404220.00289878321965141.3417210.663994161.1684611.05398319650.0824469650.109228919650.03319650.14301201515.3194728.5998837118.2068281.60483611500.001040531600.00691612371258112579
19660.038010.1680219660.00079093080.0033682912196651.5300467.0700305107.239487.171262619660.0847417590.1117512519660.0380119660.16802201617.131048.861979129.5695785.1802211600.000516081300.00415560121267812682
19670.040020.1870419670.0008268890.00372279141967318.6808612.77804110.79481912.65806119670.0828913790.111481719670.0400219670.18704201718.8432829.0002031140.2941587.80303811700.000236484100.00243731631276012788
19680.055040.1890719680.00112279150.00371586141968212.1825411.826241230.3634211.59607319680.0829594220.1115133319680.0550419680.18907201820.2058629.083079149.8869590.0283811800.000098322200.00133265181283612887
19690.068050.2380519690.00137186940.00462454441969149.8378311.57976499.90140711.57226219690.0839082490.1101539619690.0680519690.23805201921.4298299.2175069159.2412692.62585211900.000045017300.00076898641291912995
19700.079050.2630619700.0015752790.005051611970184.6380812.08942118.79138712.01337619700.0839044030.1101989219700.0790519700.26306202023.8652799.7763048176.3272299.32067412000.000016754400.000389002613050130400
19710.095080.2680519710.00187195070.00508596621971190.908916.213009142.3942615.06724419710.0859547960.112298319710.0950819710.26805202126.05992210.024512191.6048103.7784912100.000006571100.0002102135
19720.115080.3090719720.00222927610.0057765813197275.46015416.326763270.492115.28722719720.0854177860.1098035219720.1150819720.30907202228.96881810.431432208.93285108.5844312200.000002408600.0001053536
19730.12410.4050719730.00236507640.0074559839197331.80157816.26938896.41599915.24127719730.0838607230.1059187719730.124119730.40507202332.84485811.043117227.42975113.0390812300.000000902900.0000560494
19740.128110.4460719740.0024020980.0080864647197438.36170715.27938624.36066214.29953119740.0841373040.1051730219740.1281119740.44607202438.35839312.020382247.43232117.4290612400.000000312900.0000280075
19750.133120.4570719750.00245818880.00816823431975-227.1517213.09408328.04506812.57045919750.0842614970.1067278619750.1331219750.45707202545.21963513.207332271.36571122.959412500.000000109100.0000142749
19760.106070.4700719760.00193320460.0082956176197672.88835710.123627178.7981510.02458819760.0875080220.1094198919760.1060719760.47007202652.8650214.288934296.77279128.2009112600.000000033100.0000065965
19770.114090.562119770.00205843040.0098207838197751.1705779.392264178.6595729.415151119770.0914355990.1106514819770.1140919770.5621202760.52247715.142491322.0776132.3826912700.000000010400.0000033195
19780.120080.608119780.00214624990.0105249161978139.819878.77302695.6240748.960573119780.0930886610.1104698519780.1200819780.6081202868.50899115.85233348.11712136.1227312800.000000002600.0000014746
19790.13810.6691219790.00244677030.0114777331979231.824098.0457368118.274448.231912219790.0914264090.1087338919790.138119790.66912202976.88862716.422272375.35735139.6288512900.000000000800.0000006943
19800.174130.7531319800.0030604050.0128128861980-41.0900297.087998968.0319747.375229919800.0894096310.1076588619800.1741319800.75313203085.17919816.909626402.73131142.9206213000.000000000300.0000003375
19810.167120.8061519810.00291645620.0136141291981243.424767.113590988.980747.206322219810.1671219810.80615203194.869917.466845433.5751146.78646
19820.213180.8811719820.00369389110.0147742021982164.152366.9576515108.554567.166675219820.2131819820.881172032104.9087617.938248465.11857150.31224
19830.251210.9822119830.0043226780.0163506961983123.529716.5341517105.255646.818740319830.2512119830.982212033114.7279418.248908496.30698153.11131
19840.284241.0912319840.00485918470.018042091984183.03086.185660897.7207296.583372119840.2842419841.091232034125.8275918.446404529.15066155.02521
19850.341331.2032519850.00579917580.0197636561985-20.6614035.1857803101.107145.770594819850.3413319851.203252035138.1919918.857845565.51077158.074
19860.334351.3312719860.0056512040.0217405951986121.037794.0609017146.363074.498450319860.3343519861.331272036152.035419.296459604.59715161.30855
19870.377371.541119870.00635248150.025054311987247.721763.7149243174.515344.503640619870.3773719871.54112037165.5545419.419164641.1441162.6527
19880.483451.8349419880.00810800910.0296973431988151.443243.0523625129.453473.86734619880.4834519881.834942038176.4992119.131927669.67233161.36187
19890.56252.0885419890.00940501660.033671228198990.1250432.3656575159.357433.298605119890.562519892.088542039186.6299418.787547693.41497159.15834
19900.615552.4493519900.0102676960.039358128199065.7916952.21476873.6295973.009655319900.6155519902.449352040205.5750619.455752740.38878163.10856
19910.657412.636519910.0109416820.0422380921991110.705123.590286994.3580523.718357919910.6574119912.63652041229.2509520.458349799.54222169.60381
19920.734372.8973919920.0121787710.0462454071992142.203533.1859757156.960593.380060919920.7343719922.897392042254.0503921.130421859.20161174.73446
19930.846593.389819930.0139951650.0539222221993129.24182.7758894144.527053.051680419930.8465919933.38982043275.7452921.369117913.01035177.4153
19940.963393.9168919940.0158818640.0621168971994157.991313.0520834139.834423.35698319940.9633919943.916892044295.6134321.254988958.71676177.7278
19951.128284.5047519950.0185434580.071200191995139.845172.0275203145.219032.539257219951.1282819954.504752045301.7311419.868421969.24059169.34601
19961.297635.2088119960.0212835550.08211948199690.8142882.7911888161.122433.15803319961.2976319965.208812046317.8648219.588285998.46033166.44866
19971.420996.1194619970.0232419260.0961721351997113.963861.5422145172.831112.64311219971.4209919976.119462047367.4195422.4248261107.4068182.99236
19981.592527.2739919980.0260073570.114014731998167.41051.4895544184.831012.732387719981.5925219987.273992048417.832524.5943691220.589197.68707
19991.882748.7507219990.0307011590.13678718199987.567150.53579365133.450111.401899619991.8827419998.750722049464.5598625.7577881322.8991207.16544
20002.0550410.0000120000.0334928420.1560965120002.30122512.33154372.2675117200012.2734712.37487812.1621862050496.3297125.4719271391.1175207.79391
20012.67799292.82884262.5173329200115.27279115.77989214.725805
20023.0877713.47698862.695017200218.78332420.16591817.332169
20033.52553344.28493732.8064441200322.61466525.44868219.741969
20043.90920115.15050642.8122567200426.48859631.3741221.726784
20054.38161386.26693332.8319917200531.20668138.98761923.933766
20064.93329417.63621742.8664939200635.56851946.83064225.48976
20075.80500159.70468353.0307497200743.36879460.11712229.002922
20086.770568812.1638213.1948256200851.76252275.35412632.381257
20097.75969214.9314763.3201766200960.87946192.85090635.706233
20108.830276318.129213.4432518201069.759225111.2846738.435289
20119.974910221.7319563.5703309201179.038936131.4667441.070829
201211.22735125.8683993.7039195201288.824821153.696743.651753
201312.5703830.4290333.8611384201398.772409177.1935646.131466
201413.89522535.2884243.9755912014108.54224201.5724448.262698
201515.31947240.4755874.14310932015118.20682226.3719850.350065
201617.1310446.5968234.44123092016129.56957254.2940353.322416
201718.84328252.706724.68513782017140.29415281.8136555.870919
201820.20586258.3770754.77227362018149.88695308.4260257.631127
201921.42982964.1226424.82477222019159.24126335.9839759.240673
202023.86527973.2800325.15286552020176.32722378.701963.823246
202126.05992281.7468975.38413082021191.6048418.7218167.246887
202228.96881891.874565.80532222022208.93285462.3537271.472409
202332.844858104.148246.366872023227.42975507.5036175.589686
202438.358393121.246797.33701942024247.43232557.3428480.409274
202545.219635142.347358.41813452025271.36571614.7311886.143847
202652.86502167.495899.55962532026296.77279678.3416391.873243
202760.522477192.7435311.1534162027322.0776741.185399.617273
202868.508991219.2824112.3702612028348.11712806.24986106.20395
202976.888627247.5941613.5220812029375.35735874.55633112.73802
203085.179198278.9723814.7765872030402.73131947.73222119.59385
203194.8699313.2159816.2735782031433.57511028.1587128.12552
2032104.90876350.4660117.788632032465.118571114.1863136.34731
2033114.72794390.1287119.4427622033496.306981203.2317144.63316
2034125.82759428.5808219.9266992034529.150661287.7781147.74638
2035138.19199471.3660421.7882122035565.510771380.8485156.75817
2036152.0354513.8154624.5616282036604.597151473.7124168.83788
2037165.55454555.8404726.7547412037641.14411563.1576178.28412
2038176.49921596.7278227.3190452038669.672331645.8594180.44059
2039186.62994636.2561329.2449462039693.414971721.7826186.32097
2040205.57506688.8857533.2334862040740.388781829.0266201.89052
2041229.25095758.1995537.8296212041799.542221960.8907220.9255
2042254.05039829.3466741.3942312042859.201612097.0311236.09293
2043275.74529900.5907142.184182043913.010352227.578242.20504
2044295.61343967.2581244.0237842044958.716762348.4231248.93046
2045301.731141009.722841.4652492045969.240592415.4593239.31516
2046317.864821070.199341.4356192046998.460332511.0966237.78371
2047367.419541213.825651.37840220471107.40682748.5293272.60699
2048417.83251359.196161.44541320481220.5892994.3168309.52536
2049464.559861498.137569.63321520491322.89913225.4492338.48295
2050496.329711605.786673.6056120501391.11753405.0258352.5998
-
The Japanese population has just become the oldest in the world and has started to decline!
-
200020052010201520202025Year1.191.21.211.221.231.241.251.261.271.28BillionProjected total population, 2000-2025
-
And massive age structural shifts!
-
Age structural change: 1950-202565+/15-640-14/15-64
Graph1 (2)
59.26171137688.274974379167.5366857559
58.46655297758.233851334266.7004043117
57.28641593558.306426289465.5928422248
56.29030412758.377298691764.6676028192
55.54751091398.549306591764.0968175056
54.44648170578.674138917563.1206206232
52.52296593548.648767429261.1717333646
50.50471297978.627537049659.1322500294
48.79580218918.668348229457.4641504185
47.11782326878.731594014255.849417283
46.77605041938.916038352455.6920887717
46.2270244069.063555495555.2905799015
43.80661787239.062580999752.869198872
41.33757648919.13262163750.4701981261
39.02169801239.173637407348.1953354196
37.60189949939.235042505646.8369420048
36.00091125739.425778271845.426689529
35.30225981289.63800989944.9402697117
34.84565284989.843775883244.689428733
34.680471678710.021058509744.7015301884
34.686290821210.243731018644.9300218398
34.802437660910.403666084845.2061037457
35.342330539410.722435158346.0647656977
35.688536127411.011191541246.6997276686
35.923846338111.314740988947.238587327
35.907736980111.694687730547.6024247105
35.987048215412.04425308748.0313013024
35.934471161412.425329166148.3598003275
35.73232723312.794053389948.5263806228
35.393004420813.188929500748.5819339215
34.892139173613.505942993448.3980821669
34.820301114113.887846242248.7081473562
34.029462522414.17195987948.2014224014
33.258070068714.426616116847.6846861855
32.41050780214.620102697547.0306104995
31.553114866215.11204104246.6651559081
30.507853195815.437828795845.9456819916
29.400945695215.823507246145.2244529413
28.213764470516.214643865444.4284083359
27.057885601516.688211242143.7460968437
26.176016579317.338656129343.5146727085
25.306284692318.002395813943.3086805062
24.600055086418.702701327243.3027564135
23.9483366519.420512714143.3688493641
23.456138129920.204245429643.6603835595
22.960814616720.949785406943.9106000236
22.585687799221.817970423144.4036582223
22.248672625822.6995151244.9481877458
21.926500743323.593634006445.5201347498
21.602862706924.419971459446.0228341663
21.424933957325.522206189946.9471401472
21.225568363926.548469570247.7740379342
21.123287333927.571854388748.6951417227
Year
Per cent
Age structural change: 1950-2002
Graph1
59.26171137688.274974379167.5366857559
58.46655297758.233851334266.7004043117
57.28641593558.306426289465.5928422248
56.29030412758.377298691764.6676028192
55.54751091398.549306591764.0968175056
54.44648170578.674138917563.1206206232
52.52296593548.648767429261.1717333646
50.50471297978.627537049659.1322500294
48.79580218918.668348229457.4641504185
47.11782326878.731594014255.849417283
46.77605041938.916038352455.6920887717
46.2270244069.063555495555.2905799015
43.80661787239.062580999752.869198872
41.33757648919.13262163750.4701981261
39.02169801239.173637407348.1953354196
37.60189949939.235042505646.8369420048
36.00091125739.425778271845.426689529
35.30225981289.63800989944.9402697117
34.84565284989.843775883244.689428733
34.680471678710.021058509744.7015301884
34.686290821210.243731018644.9300218398
34.802437660910.403666084845.2061037457
35.342330539410.722435158346.0647656977
35.688536127411.011191541246.6997276686
35.923846338111.314740988947.238587327
35.907736980111.694687730547.6024247105
35.987048215412.04425308748.0313013024
35.934471161412.425329166148.3598003275
35.73232723312.794053389948.5263806228
35.393004420813.188929500748.5819339215
34.892139173613.505942993448.3980821669
34.820301114113.887846242248.7081473562
34.029462522414.17195987948.2014224014
33.258070068714.426616116847.6846861855
32.41050780214.620102697547.0306104995
31.553114866215.11204104246.6651559081
30.507853195815.437828795845.9456819916
29.400945695215.823507246145.2244529413
28.213764470516.214643865444.4284083359
27.057885601516.688211242143.7460968437
26.176016579317.338656129343.5146727085
25.306284692318.002395813943.3086805062
24.600055086418.702701327243.3027564135
23.9483366519.420512714143.3688493641
23.456138129920.204245429643.6603835595
22.960814616720.949785406943.9106000236
22.585687799221.817970423144.4036582223
22.248672625822.6995151244.9481877458
21.926500743323.593634006445.5201347498
21.602862706924.419971459446.0228341663
21.424933957325.522206189946.9471401472
21.225568363926.548469570247.7740379342
21.123287333927.571854388748.6951417227
20.9828.4549.43
20.8629.1950.05
20.7930.2151
20.7731.4452.22
20.7332.7353.46
20.6833.9254.6
20.5835.1855.76
20.3735.956.27
20.1436.4356.57
20.0738.2658.33
19.9940.2860.27
19.9242.3562.27
19.7644.0863.84
19.5445.5365.07
19.346.7666.06
19.0447.8166.85
18.7648.6667.41
18.4949.567.99
18.2250.2368.45
17.9650.868.75
17.7151.4369.15
17.552.1569.64
17.352.7970.09
Year
Per cent
Graph2
35.44.9
35.14.9
34.65
34.25.1
33.95.2
33.45.3
32.65.4
31.75.4
315.5
30.25.6
305.7
29.85.8
28.75.9
27.56.1
26.36.2
25.66.3
24.86.5
24.46.6
24.16.8
246.9
23.97.1
247.2
24.27.3
24.37.5
24.47.7
24.37.9
24.38.1
24.28.4
24.18.6
23.88.9
23.59.1
23.49.3
239.6
22.59.8
229.9
21.510.3
20.910.6
20.210.9
19.511.2
18.811.6
18.212.1
17.712.6
17.213.1
16.713.5
16.314.1
1614.6
15.615.1
15.315.7
15.116.2
14.816.7
14.617.4
14.418
14.218.5
14.0719.04
13.9419.45
13.8120.01
13.6920.66
13.5621.33
13.4321.94
13.2722.59
13.122.97
12.9323.27
12.7424.16
12.5325.13
12.3426.1
12.1226.9
11.8927.58
11.6728.16
11.4628.65
11.2429.06
11.0429.46
10.8529.82
10.6630.1
10.4930.41
10.3330.74
10.1831.04
Graph3
1.82
1.8
1.79
1.79
1.78
1.81
1.82
1.83
1.82
1.8
1.8
1.79
1.79
1.77
1.77
1.77
1.76
1.74
1.72
1.71
1.69
1.69
1.67
1.65
1.63
1.6
1.58
1.56
1.53
1.5
1.48
1.47
1.46
1.45
1.45
1.4
1.36
1.35
1.34
1.33
1.3
1.26
1.22
1.18
1.14
1.1
1.05
1.01
0.98
0.95
0.91
0.87
0.84
0.809
0.787
0.772
0.749
0.718
0.69
0.663
0.652
0.649
0.63
0.613
0.599
0.588
0.582
0.578
0.576
0.573
0.572
0.572
0.572
0.571
0.566
0.563
Year
Family support ratio
Sheet1
YearProportion aged 0-14 (%)Proportion aged 65+ (%)Total dependency ratioIndex of agingFamilial support ratio0-1415-6465+
195035.44.967.53714.01.8259.26171137688.274974379119502540137596.4206822030.6753668576195025294280394965776141091670.140
195135.14.966.70014.11.858.46655297758.233851334219512641773324.50309390540.667004043119512629662207507336344177332
195234.6565.59314.51.7957.28641593558.306426289419522743064800.655928422219522729700234518451604306480
195334.25.164.66814.91.7956.29030412758.377298691719532844277314.13207810260.646676028219532829751634528539234427731
195433.95.264.09715.41.7855.54751091398.549306591719542945999814.04725695650.640968175119542929887511538053114599981
195533.45.363.12115.91.8154.44648170578.674138917519553046131695.20668789560.631206206219553029798150547292484747291
195632.65.461.17216.51.8252.52296593548.648767429219563147013324.87776884030.611717333619563129413664560015294843442
195731.75.459.13217.11.8350.50471297978.627537049619573247879484.79882725460.591322500319573228909277572407514938467
1958315.557.46417.81.8248.79580218918.668348229419583348997224.60663530240.574641504219583328512632584325515065137
195930.25.655.84918.51.847.11782326878.731594014219593450296354.43878991710.558494172819593428108513596557975208902
1960305.755.69219.11.846.77605041938.916038352419603551618094.47357664230.556920887719603528066606600020865349809
196129.85.855.29119.61.7946.2270244069.063555495519613653001614.55929281870.55290579919613628066724607149705502935
196228.75.952.86920.71.7943.80661787239.062580999719623754299224.65220752590.528691988719623727274455622610385642457
196327.56.150.47022.11.7741.33757648919.13262163719633856097184.70692290510.504701981319633826416109639033815836054
196426.36.248.19523.51.7739.02169801239.173637407319643957748394.73094677250.481953354219643925590364655798326016056
196525.66.346.83724.61.7737.60189949939.235042505619654059309024.85179581760.4683694219654025166182669279546180825
196624.86.545.42726.21.7636.00091125739.425778271819664161559945.02203545770.454266895319664124521116681124876420132
196724.46.644.94027.31.7435.30225981289.63800989919674263905355.02272234630.449402697119674224415535691613946665782
196824.16.844.68928.21.7234.84565284989.843775883219684366163464.96670371260.446894287319684324422095700864906899157
1969246.944.70228.91.7134.680471678710.021058509719694468148024.75320591660.447015301919694424600998709361697108555
197023.97.144.93029.51.6934.686290821210.243731018619704570353784.59378459140.449300218419704524823457715656147330989
1971247.245.20629.91.6934.802437660910.403666084819714672198214.4352805510.452061037519714625169346723206417523998
197224.27.346.06530.31.6735.342330539410.722435158319724775515384.32616976160.46064765719724725970486734826647879131
197324.37.546.70030.91.6535.688536127411.011191541219734878130614.28724782880.466997276719734826446570741038248159714
197424.47.747.23931.51.6335.923846338111.314740988919744980884404.33032975640.472385873319744926850272747421978456886
197524.37.947.60232.61.635.907736980111.694687730519755084746294.26489947480.476024247119755027220692758073178865429
197624.38.148.03133.51.5835.987048215412.04425308719765187952194.19951960210.48031301319765127492317763950329201211
197724.28.448.36034.61.5635.934471161412.425329166119775291284124.06995904130.483598003319775227649491769441999560570
197824.18.648.52635.81.5335.73232723312.794053389919785394597093.90323344830.485263806219785327708472775445499921091
197923.88.948.58237.31.535.393004420813.188929500719795498101933.7926742580.4858193392197954276635237816099110308598
198023.59.148.39838.71.4834.892139173613.5059429934198055101179863.62520584870.4839808217198055275070787883459910647356
198123.49.348.70839.91.4734.820301114113.8878462422198156104397503.45534062250.4870814736198156276027787927208311009185
1982239.648.20141.61.4634.029462522414.171959879198257107327033.26282084780.482014224198257272539268008920511350210
198322.59.847.68543.41.4533.258070068714.4266161168198358110017023.09582824750.4768468619198358269072608090445411671775
1984229.947.03145.11.4532.41050780214.6201026975198459112385032.94391172570.470306105198459265039308177573211955696
198521.510.346.66547.91.431.553114866215.112041042198560116830962.92645036030.4666515591198560260332188250601612468343
198620.910.645.94650.61.3630.507853195815.4378287958198661120157742.93347601990.4594568199198661254338568336822612870244
198720.210.945.22453.81.3529.400945695215.8235072461198762123888532.86437306840.4522445294198762247525088418949613321731
198819.511.244.42857.51.3428.213764470516.2146438654198863127784902.84700004560.4442840834198863239853698501300513784556
198918.811.643.74661.71.3327.057885601516.68821124211989132415292.83163801440.43746096841989232007058574470814309258
199018.212.143.51566.21.326.176016579317.33865612931990137721812.78449066980.43514672711990224862398590397614894595
199117.712.643.30971.11.2625.306284692318.00239581391991144013712.77171334450.43308680511991219043128655680715582299
199217.213.143.30376.01.2224.600055086418.70270132721992149681982.78048161730.43302756411992213640318684546016242447
199316.713.543.36981.11.1823.9483366519.42051271411993155349652.78518632130.43368849361993208406188702323816900359
199416.314.143.66086.11.1423.456138129920.20424542961994161100582.77440284640.43660383561994204148428703411417584586
19951614.643.91191.21.122.960814616720.94978540691995166810772.77997883310.43910600021995200137308716472118260822
199615.615.144.40496.61.0522.585687799221.81797042311996173119042.75353458380.44403658221996196859668716124219016814
199715.315.744.948102.01.0122.248672625822.699515121997179203332.7666498350.44948187751997193657238704215019758146
199815.116.245.520107.60.9821.926500743323.5936340064199810185332062.77610214360.4552013475199810190585648692022620507640
199914.816.746.023113.00.9521.602862706924.4199714594199911190820932.81658234650.4602283417199911187421878675788621186251
200014.617.446.947119.10.9121.424933957325.5222061899200012197718042.71769950460.4694714015200012184724998621963122005152
200114.41847.774125.10.8721.225568363926.5484695702200113204876132.67485196580.4777403793200113182834458613877722868527
200214.218.548.695130.50.8421.123287333927.5718543887200214211133392.58222838380.4869514172200214181017508569570523627895
200314.0719.0449.4135.60.8121.028.5
200413.9419.4550.1139.90.7920.929.2
200513.8120.0151.0145.30.7720.830.2
200613.6920.6652.2151.40.7520.831.4
200713.5621.3353.5157.90.7220.732.7
200813.4321.9454.6164.10.6920.733.9
200913.2722.5955.8170.90.6620.635.2
201013.122.9756.3176.20.6520.435.9
201112.9323.2756.6180.80.6520.136.4
201212.7424.1658.3190.60.6320.138.3
201312.5325.1360.3201.50.6120.040.3
201412.3426.162.3212.60.6019.942.4
201512.1226.963.8223.10.5919.844.1
201611.8927.5865.1233.00.5819.545.5
201711.6728.1666.1242.30.5819.346.8
201811.4628.6566.9251.10.5819.047.8
201911.2429.0667.4259.40.5718.848.7
202011.0429.4668.0267.70.5718.549.5
202110.8529.8268.5275.60.5718.250.2
202210.6630.168.8282.90.5718.050.8
202310.4930.4169.2290.40.5717.751.4
202410.3330.7469.6298.00.5717.552.2
202510.1831.0470.1305.20.5617.352.8
Sheet2
Sheet3
Graph1 (2)
59.26171137688.274974379167.5366857559
58.46655297758.233851334266.7004043117
57.28641593558.306426289465.5928422248
56.29030412758.377298691764.6676028192
55.54751091398.549306591764.0968175056
54.44648170578.674138917563.1206206232
52.52296593548.648767429261.1717333646
50.50471297978.627537049659.1322500294
48.79580218918.668348229457.4641504185
47.11782326878.731594014255.849417283
46.77605041938.916038352455.6920887717
46.2270244069.063555495555.2905799015
43.80661787239.062580999752.869198872
41.33757648919.13262163750.4701981261
39.02169801239.173637407348.1953354196
37.60189949939.235042505646.8369420048
36.00091125739.425778271845.426689529
35.30225981289.63800989944.9402697117
34.84565284989.843775883244.689428733
34.680471678710.021058509744.7015301884
34.686290821210.243731018644.9300218398
34.802437660910.403666084845.2061037457
35.342330539410.722435158346.0647656977
35.688536127411.011191541246.6997276686
35.923846338111.314740988947.238587327
35.907736980111.694687730547.6024247105
35.987048215412.04425308748.0313013024
35.934471161412.425329166148.3598003275
35.73232723312.794053389948.5263806228
35.393004420813.188929500748.5819339215
34.892139173613.505942993448.3980821669
34.820301114113.887846242248.7081473562
34.029462522414.17195987948.2014224014
33.258070068714.426616116847.6846861855
32.41050780214.620102697547.0306104995
31.553114866215.11204104246.6651559081
30.507853195815.437828795845.9456819916
29.400945695215.823507246145.2244529413
28.213764470516.214643865444.4284083359
27.057885601516.688211242143.7460968437
26.176016579317.338656129343.5146727085
25.306284692318.002395813943.3086805062
24.600055086418.702701327243.3027564135
23.9483366519.420512714143.3688493641
23.456138129920.204245429643.6603835595
22.960814616720.949785406943.9106000236
22.585687799221.817970423144.4036582223
22.248672625822.6995151244.9481877458
21.926500743323.593634006445.5201347498
21.602862706924.419971459446.0228341663
21.424933957325.522206189946.9471401472
21.225568363926.548469570247.7740379342
21.123287333927.571854388748.6951417227
Year
Per cent
Age structural change: 1950-2002
Graph1
59.26171137688.274974379167.5366857559
58.46655297758.233851334266.7004043117
57.28641593558.306426289465.5928422248
56.29030412758.377298691764.6676028192
55.54751091398.549306591764.0968175056
54.44648170578.674138917563.1206206232
52.52296593548.648767429261.1717333646
50.50471297978.627537049659.1322500294
48.79580218918.668348229457.4641504185
47.11782326878.731594014255.849417283
46.77605041938.916038352455.6920887717
46.2270244069.063555495555.2905799015
43.80661787239.062580999752.869198872
41.33757648919.13262163750.4701981261
39.02169801239.173637407348.1953354196
37.60189949939.235042505646.8369420048
36.00091125739.425778271845.426689529
35.30225981289.63800989944.9402697117
34.84565284989.843775883244.689428733
34.680471678710.021058509744.7015301884
34.686290821210.243731018644.9300218398
34.802437660910.403666084845.2061037457
35.342330539410.722435158346.0647656977
35.688536127411.011191541246.6997276686
35.923846338111.314740988947.238587327
35.907736980111.694687730547.6024247105
35.987048215412.04425308748.0313013024
35.934471161412.425329166148.3598003275
35.73232723312.794053389948.5263806228
35.393004420813.188929500748.5819339215
34.892139173613.505942993448.3980821669
34.820301114113.887846242248.7081473562
34.029462522414.17195987948.2014224014
33.258070068714.426616116847.6846861855
32.41050780214.620102697547.0306104995
31.553114866215.11204104246.6651559081
30.507853195815.437828795845.9456819916
29.400945695215.823507246145.2244529413
28.213764470516.214643865444.4284083359
27.057885601516.688211242143.7460968437
26.176016579317.338656129343.5146727085
25.306284692318.002395813943.3086805062
24.600055086418.702701327243.3027564135
23.9483366519.420512714143.3688493641
23.456138129920.204245429643.6603835595
22.960814616720.949785406943.9106000236
22.585687799221.817970423144.4036582223
22.248672625822.6995151244.9481877458
21.926500743323.593634006445.5201347498
21.602862706924.419971459446.0228341663
21.424933957325.522206189946.9471401472
21.225568363926.548469570247.7740379342
21.123287333927.571854388748.6951417227
20.9828.4549.43
20.8629.1950.05
20.7930.2151
20.7731.4452.22
20.7332.7353.46
20.6833.9254.6
20.5835.1855.76
20.3735.956.27
20.1436.4356.57
20.0738.2658.33
19.9940.2860.27
19.9242.3562.27
19.7644.0863.84
19.5445.5365.07
19.346.7666.06
19.0447.8166.85
18.7648.6667.41
18.4949.567.99
18.2250.2368.45
17.9650.868.75
17.7151.4369.15
17.552.1569.64
17.352.7970.09
Year
Per cent
Graph2
35.44.9
35.14.9
34.65
34.25.1
33.95.2
33.45.3
32.65.4
31.75.4
315.5
30.25.6
305.7
29.85.8
28.75.9
27.56.1
26.36.2
25.66.3
24.86.5
24.46.6
24.16.8
246.9
23.97.1
247.2
24.27.3
24.37.5
24.47.7
24.37.9
24.38.1
24.28.4
24.18.6
23.88.9
23.59.1
23.49.3
239.6
22.59.8
229.9
21.510.3
20.910.6
20.210.9
19.511.2
18.811.6
18.212.1
17.712.6
17.213.1
16.713.5
16.314.1
1614.6
15.615.1
15.315.7
15.116.2
14.816.7
14.617.4
14.418
14.218.5
14.0719.04
13.9419.45
13.8120.01
13.6920.66
13.5621.33
13.4321.94
13.2722.59
13.122.97
12.9323.27
12.7424.16
12.5325.13
12.3426.1
12.1226.9
11.8927.58
11.6728.16
11.4628.65
11.2429.06
11.0429.46
10.8529.82
10.6630.1
10.4930.41
10.3330.74
10.1831.04
Graph3
1.82
1.8
1.79
1.79
1.78
1.81
1.82
1.83
1.82
1.8
1.8
1.79
1.79
1.77
1.77
1.77
1.76
1.74
1.72
1.71
1.69
1.69
1.67
1.65
1.63
1.6
1.58
1.56
1.53
1.5
1.48
1.47
1.46
1.45
1.45
1.4
1.36
1.35
1.34
1.33
1.3
1.26
1.22
1.18
1.14
1.1
1.05
1.01
0.98
0.95
0.91
0.87
0.84
0.809
0.787
0.772
0.749
0.718
0.69
0.663
0.652
0.649
0.63
0.613
0.599
0.588
0.582
0.578
0.576
0.573
0.572
0.572
0.572
0.571
0.566
0.563
Year
Family support ratio
Sheet1
YearProportion aged 0-14 (%)Proportion aged 65+ (%)Total dependency ratioIndex
Related Documents
