2030 Land Use Alternatives

2030 Land Use Alternatives

REVIEW SCHEDULE

Council:

March 12, 2007

April 9, 2007

TSPTSP

#1

#2

#3

#4

#5

Review of Memo #5

• Today– Overview of Memo #5

• Tomorrow – Send to ODOT, DLCD, Linn Co, Benton Co,

Albany Chamber of Commerce, & AMEDC.

• April 9, 2007– Inform Council of other input received, – Make changes as directed, and – Seek acceptance of Memorandum #5

Review Memorandum #4

A Base Case look at the 2030 transportation deficiencies using the Comprehensive Plan map

Households Employment

2006 2030 2006 2030

Within UGB

18,875 24,765 19,060 25,235

Outside UGB

2,050 2,980 3,645 4,670

Review Memorandum #4Year Total Percent of

TotalExcluding External-External

Traffic

Land Use Performance Measures

Total Households within UGB 2006 18,875

2030 25,150

Households within ¼ mile of retail uses 2006 10,950 58%

2030 13,330 53%

Household within ½ mile of Major Activity Center 2006 7,170 38%

2030 8,050 32%

Network Performance Measures

Vehicle Miles Traveled within UGB (Peak-hour) 2006 64,040 43,760

2030 96,160 65,060

Hours of Travel within UGB (Peak-hour) 2006 1,570 1,180

2030 2,790 2,070

Peak-Hour Average Travel Speed within UGB (mph) 2006 40.8 37.1

2030 34.5 31.4

Peak-hour Delay within UGB (Hours) 2006 30

2030 480

Lane-miles of Study Roadway over Capacity 2006* n/a n/a

2030 20.3 13%

Average Peak-hour Vehicle Trip Length in miles (all trips with an origin and/or destination within the UGB)

2006 3.4

2030 3.5

• Bicyclists

• Pedestrians

• Rail Passengers

• Pilots

Memo #5 – Land Use Alternatives

• Apply community land use activities• Test land use alternatives

– Performance measures– Roadway demand to capacity ratios– Transit supportive areas

• Most likely scenario– Did not solve our future transportation

problems– Use it to test transportation solutions

Land Use Alternatives

• East – potential school and medical facility

• South – draft Oak Creek Refinement Plan

• North – congestion and growth

• Outside UGB - growth in Millersburg & expansion to the south

• Other model assumptions

Constraints

• DLCD– Based on Comp Plan Designations

• County-coordinated Population– Forecast to 2020– Projected to 2030

Household Growth 2006 - 2030

District Change

Central 0

North -36

East -80

South 224

Outside -158

Original D/C This D/C

Knox Butte 0.98 1.00

14th 1.14 1.29

Waverly 1.28 1.29

Original D/C This D/C

Springhill 1.15 1.13

US 20 1.09 1.08

Lyon St Bridge

1.23 1.18

Employee Growth 2006 - 2030

District Change

Central -400

North 100

East 646

South 392

Outside 0

Original D/C This D/C

Hwy 99E 0.72 0.71

Ellingson Rd 0.60 0.63

Waverly 0.97 1.00

Memo #5 Summary

• Apply current community activities to Comp Plan

• Most Likely Land Use base map – School & medical facility – Oak Creek Refinement

Plan– Minor adjustments in North

Albany & Central Albany– Revise persons per

household and group quarters

Original D/C Most Likely D/C

NORTH

Springhill Rd 1.15 1.14

Lyon St Bridge 1.23 1.21

SOUTH

Ellingson Rd 0.60 0.63

Waverly Dr 0.86 to 0.97 0.88 to 1.00

EAST

Knox Butte Rd 1.11 1.14

Goldfish Farm Rd 0.42 0.70

CENTRAL

Elm St 0.50 0.37

Next Steps• Alternative Land Uses

– Return April 9, 2007

• Transportation Solutions– All Modes– Roadways:

• Model large components first• Model corridor & evaluate intersections next

• Financial Plan– TSP project list + O&M plan

2030 Land Use Alternatives

REVIEW SCHEDULE

Council:

March 12, 2007

April 9, 2007

TSPTSP

#1

#2

#3

#4

#5