Top Banner
2018 Asiamoney Poll: Please Vote for DBS Bank / DBS Vickers Research (Regional) June 2018
13

2018 Asiamoney Poll: Please Vote for DBS Bank / DBS ...

Feb 03, 2022

Download

Documents

dariahiddleston
Welcome message from author
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
Page 1: 2018 Asiamoney Poll: Please Vote for DBS Bank / DBS ...

2018 Asiamoney Poll:

Please Vote for

DBS Bank / DBS Vickers

Research (Regional)

June 2018

Page 2: 2018 Asiamoney Poll: Please Vote for DBS Bank / DBS ...

2

Strategy

Joanna Goh

Macro Economics

Taimur Baig (Chief Economist)

Small Mid Cap

Andy Sim

Paul Yong

Sachin Mittal

Sue Lin Lim

Suvro Sarkar

Patricia Yeung

Banks / Diversified Financials

Sue Lin Lim

Consumer Discretionary

Andy Sim

Alfie Yeo

Consumer Staples

Andy Sim

Alfie Yeo

William Simadiputra

Marvin Khor

Rui Wen Lim

Energy

Ho Pei Hwa

Suvro Sarkar

Healthcare

Andy Sim

Industrial Conglomerates /

Infrastructure

Suvro Sarkar

Tjen San Chong

Tiesha N Putri

Materials

Eun Young Lee

Telecom /

Sachin Mittal

Transport (Regional)

Paul Yong

Utilities

Patricia Yeung

DBS RESEARCH – SINGAPORE TEAM

Page 3: 2018 Asiamoney Poll: Please Vote for DBS Bank / DBS ...

3

Our Asiamoney Record 2017

In the Region, DBS has achieved the following:

#2 Research Coverage: Real Estate

#3 Research Coverage: Consumer Discretionary

#3 Research Coverage: Energy

#3 Research Coverage: Utilities

#5 for Best Overall Research

#6 for Best Overall Combined Research & Sales

#7 for Best Overall Sales

Page 4: 2018 Asiamoney Poll: Please Vote for DBS Bank / DBS ...

4

Our Awards2017 Greenwich Asia awards

Singapore:

Ranked 1st for Penetration in Asian Equity

Regional:

Ranked 2nd for SMC Asian Corporate Access for Asian Institutions

Page 5: 2018 Asiamoney Poll: Please Vote for DBS Bank / DBS ...

5

Category:

Overall Country Research

2017 Asiamoney: 1st for Overall

Country Research

in 2016 and 2017VOTE!

✓ Best for Overall Country Research Ranked TOP 3 since 2008

✓ Experienced & Stable Team ALL our senior analysts have > 10 yrs of experience

✓ Extensive, on the ground and In-Depth Coverage Most extensive coverage over 100 stocks in

Singapore.

✓ Discovery of hidden gems – first to highlight and promote several new undervalued stocks

✓ Model portfolio – outperformed STI by 4.7% since its launch in January 2017

✓ DBS Asian Insights SparX - A deep dive into thematic angles with a differentiated view on a

sector, country or the region

WHY VOTE FOR DBS?

Our signature reports ….

Page 6: 2018 Asiamoney Poll: Please Vote for DBS Bank / DBS ...

6

“Strong on-ground coverage on consumer sub-sectors – Grocery retail, Food

Service, F&B; Asiamoney Singapore’s best consumer discretionary team for four

years running...”

Andy Sim Alfie Yeo

Top 3 Notable Calls (2017-2018):

#1 Grocery retail/ Sheng Siong & DFI: Indepth study and report on ASEAN Grocery retail, and reiterated positive view of brick-

and-mortar players despite concerns from online players, particularly Amazon’s entry into Singapore. Stayed positive on

Dairy Farm and Sheng Siong and price up c.18% & 10% post sell-down in Aug’17.

#2 BreadTalk Group: Continued to remain positive on back of earnings recovery; share price up >30% in past 1 year

#3 Jumbo: Continued to remained neutral on Jumbo since early 2017 despite excitement on new franchises signed overseas, given concerns on start up costs. Initiated coverage in Jun'16 on back of potential of overseas expansion; share price +36% when we downgraded. Price underperform and down by -18% in past 1 year.

Industry:

Consumer Staple,

Consumer Discretionary

2014 - 2017 Asiamoney: Vote for

Asiamoney’s no.1 consumer

discretionary team in Singapore and

no. 3 in Regional.

VOTE!

Page 7: 2018 Asiamoney Poll: Please Vote for DBS Bank / DBS ...

7

“We do not expect strong rally on CPO price but we can still pick selectively over the listed CPO stocks.” Feb 2018

“Steady demand will continue to buffer CPO price – limiting structural downside risk for CPO price.” Nov 2017

“Volume growth and yield expansion will be the earnings growth and profitability driver – critical factor for plantation

stocks.” July 2017

Top Notable Calls (2017-2018):

• #1 Our most notable pick so far was Wilmar International – we upgraded this counter to BUY back in February 2018 after its

pro longed share price correction since 2016. Our BUY rating yielded 9% gain from its peak this year.

• #2 Maintained Hold recommendations on large cap Malaysian plantation names like KL Kepong, IOI Corp and Sime Darby

Plantation reflecting flattish share price performance over the past year

• Organised DBS Palm Oil Corporate Day in March 2018 which facilitated >80 client meetings with regional plantation companies

Industry (Regional):

Consumer Staples

(Plantations)

VOTE!William

SimadiputraMarvin Khor Rui Wen Lim

Page 8: 2018 Asiamoney Poll: Please Vote for DBS Bank / DBS ...

8

Suvro Sarkar

Most Notable Calls (2017-2018):#1 Stock: We pushed Medco since Mid 2016 and last year, we reiterated our BUY and positive view on this stock on its internal operational turnaround. The stock price surged by +551% (Jan 2017- March 2018) to Rp1,600 in March 2018, before pulling back to Rp1,130 in May 2018. We were one of the earliest starting to cover, and upgrading this stock back then. .

#2 Stock: One of the earliest to upgrade Sembcorp Marine in Feb-2017. Stock soared over 80% from S$1.535 to nearly S$2.80 in a year before pullback.

#3 Stock: Serba Dinamik has risen c.60% since our initiation in May-2017.

#4 Stock: Initiated CNOOC when stock price was HK$9.49 in Apr-2017. It has surged 53% to hit a high of HK$14.52 in May-2018.

Thematic Research Issued in last 12 months1) 09 May 2018 - Regional Oil & Gas: A shot in the arm for oil

2) 20 Jul 2017 - Shipyards: Creating Global Champions

3) 18 Jul 2017 - Regional Oil & Gas: Market rebalancing underway, despite shale

Industry: Energy

2017 Asiamoney:

3rd for Regional Energy

VOTE!

Ho Pei Hwa

Correctly called the strong oil price recovery since 2H-2017, and turned overweight on oil & gas/

offshore marine sector early

Page 9: 2018 Asiamoney Poll: Please Vote for DBS Bank / DBS ...

9

Tiesha N PutriChong Tjen San

Most Notable Calls (2017-2018):

#1 Malaysian Construction Sector Report December 2017: Turned more cautious on the sector citing higher foreign participation from Chinese contractors and higher risk premium for the sector with the impending General Elections. This proved to be correct where construction stocks corrected significantly post elections.

#2 Indonesian Construction Sector Report July 2017 – Adjusting expectations. This was a non-consensus view report where we highlighted decelerating new contract growth and rising capital needs. We downgraded the sector to Neutral.

#3 Muhibbah Engineering : Stock has returned 39% since January 2017 where we continued to hiohlight the company’s unique positioning in various parts of the construction value chain and the fast growing Cambodian Airport concession which the market is assigning negligible value to

#4 PTPP: Our top pick PTPP outperformed JCI by 6% YTD

Industry: Regional

Construction/Infrastructure

Infrastructure

VOTE!

Page 10: 2018 Asiamoney Poll: Please Vote for DBS Bank / DBS ...

10

Eun Young Lee

Industry:

Materials & Industrials

VOTE!

Trade war overshadows the sector’s outlook in near term, but we maintain positive long-

term view on some commodities. Hence, we believe share prices’ pullback may offer a

good entry point. We are bullish on long-term growth in copper consumption, while steel

sector would be well-disciplined thanks to China’s supply reform.

Top 2 Notable Calls (2H17-1H18):

#1 POSCO: Raised TP on 27 Oct 2017 and recommended as our top pick. The stock gained 21% for 3 month since then.

#2 Hyundai Steel : Recommended to accumulate it at the dip of share prices on 2 Apr as a key beneficiary of improving relations between two Koreas. The stock gained 36% for 1.5 month since our recommendation.

Page 11: 2018 Asiamoney Poll: Please Vote for DBS Bank / DBS ...

11

“Unique Reports on (a) Digital Prism – An innovative framework to identify digital winners in the

Asian telecom sector” (b). Singapore Digital Transformation : Cherry-picking Pro-active Leaders and

Fast-Followers (c) Data Centre: M&As to accelerate in 2018 – Highlighting the ROIC of data centres

Sachin Mittal

Top 3 Notable Calls (2017-2018):

#1 Creative Technology: The stock rose over 100% on our note with revenue potential of new technology and a TP.

#2 StarHub : We highlighted Singtel BUY-Starhub SELL on 25 Jan 2018 and StarHub has declined 40% since then versus 10%decline at Singtel.

#3 M1 : M1 has remained stable since we upgraded the counter to a HOLD in April 2018 due to revenue share gains on the back ofCircles. Life!. The counter declined 8% from July 2017 to April 2018 throughout which we maintained a FULLY VALUED call.

Industry: Telecom &

Technology

(Software / Hardware)

VOTE!

Page 12: 2018 Asiamoney Poll: Please Vote for DBS Bank / DBS ...

12

Patricia Yeung

Most Notable Calls (2017-2018):

#1 Stock: Initiated coverage on ENN Energy (2688 HK) as one of our top picks in Sept 2017. Share price rose 51% in

eight months, significantly outperformed the broad market

#2 Stock: Initiated coverage on China Gas (384 HK) with BUY rating in Sept 2017 and share price rose 37% in eight

months, better than the Hang Seng Index.

#3 Stock: Initiated coverage on Tian Lun Gas (1600 HK) with BUY rating in Feb 2018 and share price rose as much as 42% in five months, outperformed the broad market

Thematic Research Issued in last 12 months

1) 29 Jul 2017 - China Gas Utilities Sector: More upside in the re-rating cycle

Industry: Utilities

2017 Asiamoney:

3rd for Regional Utilities

VOTE!

Quah He WeiTony Wu

Page 13: 2018 Asiamoney Poll: Please Vote for DBS Bank / DBS ...

13

DisclaimerDisclaimers and Important Notices

The information published by DBS Bank Ltd. (company registration no.: 196800306E) (“DBS”) is for information only. It is based on information or opinions obtained from sources believed to be reliable

(but which have not been independently verified by DBS, its related companies and affiliates (“DBS Group”)) and to the maximum extent permitted by law, DBS Group does not make any representation

or warranty (express or implied) as to its accuracy, completeness, timeliness or correctness for any particular purpose. Opinions and estimates are subject to change without notice. The publication and

distribution of the information does not constitute nor does it imply any form of endorsement by DBS Group of any person, entity, services or products described or appearing in the information. Any

past performance, projection, forecast or simulation of results is not necessarily indicative of the future or likely performance of any investment or securities. Foreign exchange transactions involve risks.

You should note that fluctuations in foreign exchange rates may result in losses. You may wish to seek your own independent financial, tax, or legal advice or make such independent investigations as

you consider necessary or appropriate.

The information published is not and does not constitute or form part of any offer, recommendation, invitation or solicitation to subscribe to or to enter into any transaction; nor is it calculated to invite,

nor does it permit the making of offers to the public to subscribe to or enter into any transaction in any jurisdiction or country in which such offer, recommendation, invitation or solicitation is not

authorised or to any person to whom it is unlawful to make such offer, recommendation, invitation or solicitation or where such offer, recommendation, invitation or solicitation would be contrary to law

or regulation or which would subject DBS Group to any registration requirement within such jurisdiction or country, and should not be viewed as such. Without prejudice to the generality of the

foregoing, the information, services or products described or appearing in the information are not specifically intended for or specifically targeted at the public in any specific jurisdiction.

The information is the property of DBS and is protected by applicable intellectual property laws. No reproduction, transmission, sale, distribution, publication, broadcast, circulation, modification,

dissemination, or commercial exploitation such information in any manner (including electronic, print or other media now known or hereafter developed) is permitted.

DBS Group and its respective directors, officers and/or employees may have positions or other interests in, and may effect transactions in securities mentioned and may also perform or seek to perform

broking, investment banking and other banking or financial services to any persons or entities mentioned.

To the maximum extent permitted by law, DBS Group accepts no liability for any losses or damages (including direct, special, indirect, consequential, incidental or loss of profits) of any kind arising from

or in connection with any reliance and/or use of the information (including any error, omission or misstatement, negligent or otherwise) or further communication, even if DBS Group has been advised of

the possibility thereof.

The information is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to law or regulation. The information is

distributed (a) in Australia by DBS Bank Ltd. or DBS Vickers Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd.; (b) in Singapore, by DBS Bank Ltd.; (c) in Hong Kong, DBS Bank Ltd, DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited and DBS

Vickers (Hong Kong) Limited.; (d) in Malaysia, by AllianceDBS Research Sdn Bhd ("ADBSR").; (e) in Thailand by DBS Vickers Securities (Thailand) Co Ltd.; (f) in Indonesia, by PT DBS Vickers Sekuritas

Indonesia.; (g) in the United Kingdom by DBS Vickers Securities (UK) Ltd.; (h) in Dubai International Financial Centre by DBS Bank Ltd.; (h) United Arab Emirates by DBS Bank Ltd.; (i) United States by DBS

Bank Ltd.

In any other jurisdictions, except if otherwise restricted by laws or regulations, this report is intended only for qualified, professional, institutional or sophisticated investors as defined in the laws and

regulations of such jurisdictions.

* Where reference is made to any published research report mentioned in this document, please refer to important disclosures at the end of each report