2013 Economic Impact Study 2013 Economic Impact Study San Francisco International San Francisco International Airport Airport SFO Connects the Bay Area to the World May, 2013 In Association with: ICF SH&E, Inc. and Polaris Research and Development, Inc. Prepared by: Economic Development Research Group, Inc. 155 Federal Street, Suite 600, Boston, MA 02110
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2013 Economic Impact Study San Francisco International Airport SFO Connects the Bay Area to the World May, 2013 In Association with: ICF SH&E, Inc. and.
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2013 Economic Impact Study2013 Economic Impact StudySan Francisco International San Francisco International AirportAirportSFO Connects the Bay Area to the WorldMay, 2013
In Association with:
ICF SH&E, Inc. and Polaris Research and Development, Inc.
Prepared by:
Economic Development Research Group, Inc.155 Federal Street, Suite 600, Boston, MA 02110
Executive Executive Summary Summary
II
Findings
3
Direct Impacts– On Airport – 33,600 jobs, $5.5 billion in business activity– Off Airport – 82,800 jobs from $9.1 billion in visitor
spending – Off Airport – 36,400 jobs from cargo valued at $17
billion, originating in the Bay Area and shipped from SFO
Spin-off “ripple” effects of 135,500 jobs and $24.6 billion in business revenues
$2.5 billion in state and local tax revenues
Total Economic Impact
4
How We Got There
5
Verified on-airport direct employment
Conducted a 1,500 person visitor intercept survey in 4 languages
Collected and analyzed freight data
Applied the IMPLAN Modeling Package
Identified aviation and major state and local tax impacts
OverviewOverview
IIII
SFO Plays an Important Role in the Bay SFO Plays an Important Role in the Bay AreaArea
7
A jobs center and economic engine
An enabler of business and travel tourism– Enhancing the regional economy and hospitality
industries
A freight gateway– Supporting goods producing industries throughout the
Bay Area
A generator of tax revenues for California and the Bay Area
What are the impacts?
8
Jobs– Direct Jobs – generated by SFO and would not exist without SFO. – Indirect Jobs – generated when SFO or SFO-dependent firms buy
goods and services from businesses located in the area. – Induced Jobs – generated by spending of wages that are earned
by workers of SFO or SFO - dependent firms, and by employees of suppliers, for items such as food, clothing and housing.
Business Revenue– Sales to airlines and service companies directly dependent on
SFO.– Reported in terms of direct, indirect (local purchases) and
induced (labor re-spending) categories.
Personal Income– Wages and salaries received by individuals employed due to SFO
activity. – Reported in terms of direct, indirect (local purchases) and
induced (labor re-spending) categories.
Categories and Measures of Impacts
Jobs, business revenues, personal income and taxes are shown by airport-generated, visitor industry, and air cargo related categories
9
Contribution to the Bay Area Economy
10
Jobs Center and Jobs Center and Economic EngineEconomic Engine
IIIIII
Jobs at SFO include: Airlines – passenger and cargo
activities
Aviation Support Services – catering, in-flight entertainment, aircraft handling,
fueling and maintenance
Freight Transport – courier, delivery, customs broker and trucking
Concessions – restaurants, retail stores and passenger services
Ground Transportation Services – rental car, taxi, limousine service, and bus companies
Air Terminal Operations Staff – security, building maintenance and facility management
Public Agencies – FAA, other Federal Agencies and Airport Administration (including Police and Fire Departments)
33,580 People Work at SFO
12
Distribution of On-Airport Jobs
Concessions15%
Construction
3%
Passenger Airlines
47%Freight
Transport2%
Aviation Support Services
7%
Passenger Ground Trans.
17%
Admin., Gov’t
& Security9%
Jobs and Business Revenues by County
13
Jobs Across the Bay Area
(1) By place of residence(2) By location of job(3) Includes direct, indirect, and induced impacts
Note: Jobs rounded to the nearest 100.
$675
$394
$103
$35
$804
$6,663
$932
$90
$162
Airport Generated Business Impacts
(3)
($ millions)
Airport Generated Business Impacts
(3)
($ millions)
Subtotal Direct:33,600
Subtotal Indirect & Induced: 26,400
Total: 60,000
Subtotal Direct:33,600
Subtotal Indirect & Induced: 26,400
Total: 60,000
Visitor Industry Visitor Industry ImpactsImpacts
IVIV
The Airport Supports Tourism
15
Sources: SFO Traffic Statistics; U.S. DOT O&D Survey, YE 2Q 2012; U.S. DOT, T-100 Database; IATA, PaxIS Database; U.S. DOC, International Air Travel Statistics, 2011.
51.6% 55.4%
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.
SFO Binds the Bay Area to the Nation
16
Source: OAG, July 2013.
525 Daily Departures to 72 Domestic Markets (non-stop)
SFO is the Bay Area’s International Gateway
17
Source: OAG, July 2013.
546 Weekly Departures to 33 International Markets (non-stop)
Visitors spend on hotels, restaurants, retail purchases, recreation, and local travel (taxis, car rental, and public transportation)
International business travelers on average spend close to $2,000 per trip while domestic leisure travelers spend more than $800 per trip
The Airport Supports Tourism
18* direct, indirect and induced
Individual Spending per Trip
Total Impacts of Visitor Spending By County*
19*direct, indirect and induced
Jobs in CountyBusiness Sales($Millions)
Solano $93
San Mateo$1,416
San Francisco
$9,556
Napa$1,016
Marin $192Contra Costa
$239
Sonoma $725
Santa Clara$1,521
Alameda$1,524
Solano 834
San Mateo10,994
San Francisco
70,710
Napa8,670
Marin 1,582Contra Costa
1,968
Sonoma 6,481
Santa Clara11,283
Alameda12,671
Impacts of Air Impacts of Air Reliant Users Reliant Users (Freight shippers)(Freight shippers)
VV
Air Freight at SFO Supports the Bay Area Economy
21
Enables transport of goods from Bay Area to customers in both long-distance domestic and international markets. – Cargo services at SFO support Bay Area firms’ efforts to sell
products across the U.S. and the world, and thereby maximize shares of national and international trade.
Without the freight services offered at SFO (and if the similar scale of services are not assumed by another regional airport)– Companies in the Bay Area that produce and ship products
would find markets limited and market shares curtailed. – In turn, economic activity in the Bay Area that is associated
with production of goods shipped through SFO would be reduced.
Value of Air Freight
22
Represent sales of Bay Area companies in international and long distance US markets
The sales bring income into the Bay Area from these markets to support jobs in the region.
“Multiplier” effects (supplier sales and worker spending) generate additional jobs in the Bay Area.– Parts of the sales revenue are paid as wages & profits that
are spent in the region; and – parts of the sales revenue is paid to supplier firms in the
region for purchase of good and services that support additional jobs and wages
Goods produced in the Bay Area and shipped from SFO
Exports from SFO Exceed Imports (by value)
Value of Exports by Air – Value of Imports by Air = Surplus or DeficitComparison of SFO and U.S. Air Exports by Value
Source: US Census Bureau Foreign Trade Division, provided by WISERTrade. Dollars are in nominal value.
Shipments by Bay Area Firms through SFO
24
Top Domestic Shipments
Top International Exports
Trans. Equip4%
Computer &
Electronics
67%
Elec. Equip. &
Appliances2%
Machinery8%
Chemicals7%
Economic Value
Jobs – 103,144 Labor Income (payroll) – nearly $9.9
Billion Business Revenue – over $29 Billion
$8.64B $7.99B
All Other12%
Computer &
Electronics
75%
Machinery19%
Textile / Mill Prod.2%
All Other 2%
Leather & Allied Prod.
2%
State & Local Tax State & Local Tax ImpactsImpacts
VIVI
State & Local Tax Revenues Generated by SFO
26
$409M65.0%
$3M33.3%
$603M65.1%
$309M32.8%
$1.32B52.8%
$220M35.0%
$6M66.7%
$323M34.9%
$633M67.2%
$1.2B47.2%
$2.5B$942M$927M$9M$629M
2012 SFO State & Local Tax Revenues
State & Local Taxes Generated On-Airport and from Visitor Spending
27* Direct tax revenues from on-airport employees are based on place of residence
Subtotal Direct:
$1.01B
Subtotal Indirect & Induced:
$544M
Total:
$1.56B
Subtotal Direct:
$1.01B
Subtotal Indirect & Induced:
$544M
Total:
$1.56B
$ millions
Summary of Summary of ImpactsImpacts
VIIVII
SFO- Economic Engine for the Bay Area*
29
288,000 jobs
$55.8 billion in business revenues, of which $19.6 billion is personal income
$68,000 average income per employee
* direct, indirect and induced
Many Roles of SFO Create an Economic Engine for the Bay Area and its Counties
30
AppendixAppendix
VIIIVIII
Elements of Economic Impacts and Interrelationships
32
Spending by Visitors to Bay Area via SFO
Direct Payroll at SFO
Purchases of Goods & Services
Visitor Purchases of Goods & Services
(Meals, Hotels, Transportation, Retail)
Induced Effect (Off-Site)Spending of Direct + Indirect Worker Income
on Consumer Purchases:Sales at Other Businesses Jobs & Income to Workers
Total Economic ImpactsSum of Direct + Indirect + Induced Jobs & Income
Fiscal Impacts: Government Tax Revenues
Business and GovernmentAgencies Located at SFO
Direct EffectJobs at the Airport Income to Workers
Direct EffectJobs in Retail & Services
Income to Workers
Indirect Effects (Off-Site)Sales at Supplier Businesses:
Jobs and Income to their Workers
Flow of Causation
Calculation of Total Ef fect
Classification of Impacts
33
Direct (Initial Economic Activities)– Airport-based economic activities (airport terminal-related
and tenants)– Off-airport businesses serving airport travelers– Off-airport businesses dependent on the airport for cargo
movement
Indirect– Suppliers of goods and services to the airport and air-
dependent business
Induced– Personal income spent by households in the Bay Area and
re-circulated in the economy (earned by jobs in airport-based activities, visitor spending, air-dependent businesses, and suppliers of goods and services).
Direct Visitor Spending Ripples Through the Bay Area
34* direct, indirect and induced
$9 billion of visitor
spending in the Bay Area generated:
125,000 jobs $6 billion in labor income $7 billion in additional indirect and
induced output ($16 billion in total output)
Visitor Destinations Also Reach Beyond the Bay Area