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2013-04-23-Economic Report to the Board of Governors

Oct 20, 2014

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Economy & Finance

 
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-5.1%

-0.6%

2.3% 3.3%

4.0%

-6.0%

-4.0%

-2.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (f)

Utah Job Growth Rate

Source: Utah Department of Workforce Services, Governors Office of Management and Budget and Salt Lake Chamber

Year-over percent change

(63,837)

(7,217)

27,030 39,031

48,700

(80,000)

(60,000)

(40,000)

(20,000)

-

20,000

40,000

60,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (f)

Utah Job Creation

Source: Utah Department of Workforce Services, Governors Office of Management and Budget and Salt Lake Chamber

36,766

51,100

105,645 109,041

90,062 76,998

67,900

-

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013(f)

Utah Number of Unemployed

Source: Utah Department of Workforce Services, Governors Office of Management and Budget and Salt Lake Chamber

7.6% 8.0%

6.7% 5.7%

4.9%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (f)

Utah Unemployment Rate

Source: Utah Department of Workforce Services, Governors Office of Management and Budget and Salt Lake Chamber

19,600

4,500

2,300 5,000

10,400

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013(f)

Utah Net Migration

Source: Utah Governors Office of Management and Budget

-4.5%

3.0% 4.6% 5.0%

4.2%

-6.0%

-4.0%

-2.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013(f)

Utah Personal Income Growth Rate

Source: Utah Governors Office of Management and Budget

Year-over percent change

$10.3

$13.8 $19.0 $19.1

$21.0

-

5

10

15

20

25

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013(f)

Utah Exports

Source: World Trade Center Utah

(in billions)

10.5 9.3 8.8

12.7

16.0

-

5

10

15

20

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013(f)

Utah Dwelling Unit Permits

Source: Utah Governors Office of Management and Budget, Revenue Assumptions Working Group

(in thousands)

-8.8% -7.3%

6.7% 6.9%

4.0%

-10.0%

-5.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013(f)

Utah Retail Sales Growth Rate

Source: Utah State Tax Commission and Utah Governors Office of Management and Budget

Year-over percent change

Top Five Job Growth States

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

March 2012 March 2013

0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0%

Idaho

Colorado

Texas

Utah

North Dakota

2.4%

2.6%

3.1%

4.2%

4.4%

Year-Over Percent Change

U.S. average = 1.5%

Utah Job Growth by Industry March 2013

-2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0

Government

Other Services

Leisure and Hospitality

Education and Health

Prof. and Business

Financial Activities

Information

Trade, Trans, Utilities

Manufacturing

Construction

Natural Resources

Total

-0.1 3.8

7.9 2.9

4.8 5.6

7.2

4.6 3.2

8.6 -0.8

4.0

Year-Over Percent Change

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Focus Areas Immigration

Rio Tinto

Foreign Labor Force

Hourly Workers

High-Skilled Workers

Skill level

Num

ber o

f wor

kers

Conceptual Example

Native Labor Force

Hourly Workers

High-Skilled Workers

Skill level

Num

ber o

f wor

kers

Conceptual Example

Americas foreign labor force does not impede economic growth, it propels it.

Immigrants and natives are not perfect substitutes. They are complements

Efficient labor markets are important because productivity is a key determinant of living standards.

When the immigrant labor force grows, domestic jobs increase.

Kennecott Landslide

Photo credit: Deseret News

Rio Tinto/Kennecott Economic Impact: 2011

Total in-state spending = $1.2 billion $270 million in wages, salaries, benefits and pensions $765 million in purchases with Utah firms $140 million in payments to state and local government (including taxes)

Direct employment = 2,810

Indirect and induced employment = 14,971 people

Total jobs = 17,781 jobs

Source: Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah

Slide Number 1Utah Job Growth RateUtah Job CreationUtah Number of UnemployedUtah Unemployment RateUtah Net MigrationUtah Personal Income Growth RateUtah ExportsUtah Dwelling Unit PermitsUtah Retail Sales Growth RateTop Five Job Growth StatesUtah Job Growth by IndustryMarch 2013Focus AreasForeign Labor ForceNative Labor ForceAmericas foreign labor force does not impede economic growth, it propels it.Kennecott LandslideRio Tinto/Kennecott Economic Impact: 2011Slide Number 19