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2011 ERP
Examination
AIM Statements
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2011 Energy Risk Professional (ERP) Examination AIM Statements
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INTRODUCTION
The Study Guide sets forth primary and secondary topics covering physical energy assets,operations, and financial energy markets; as well as the techniques used to manage risk in
each. New for 2011 is the Current Issues in Energy Section. Recognizing the dynamic nature
of the energy markets we added the current issues section to familiarize ERP candidates
with new developments and issues that are likely to have a long-term impact on the global
energy markets. The topics selected in conjunction with the Energy Oversight Committee
(EOC) reflect those that practicing energy risk professionals should master. All topics are
reviewed annually to ensure the ERP Examination remains timely and relevant.
The Applying Instructional Materials Statements (AIMS) are designed to serve as an addi-
tional study resource only and will not in and of themselves fully prepare a candidate for the
ERP Examination. They should be used as guidance and support for the readings outlined
in the Study Guide to help identify key learning objectives for each core reading.
Recognizing the dynamicnature of the energy markets
we added the current issues
section to familiarize ERP
candidates with new devel-
opments and issues that are
likely to have a long-term
impact on the global energy
markets.
Test Weights and Question Allocation for the 2011 ERP Examination
Physical Energy Markets
Petroleum 15% 27 questions
Gas 10% 18 questions
Electricity Production and Distribution 10% 18 questions
Renewables and Carbon Emissions 5% 9 questions
Section Total 40% 72 questions
Financial Markets
Financial Products and Valuation 20% 36 questions
Modeling and Valuing Energy Transactions 15% 27 questions
Risk Management Techniques 15% 27 questions
Section Total 50% 90 questions
Current Issues in Energy 10% 18 questions
Exam Total 100% 180 questions
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PHYSICAL ENERGY ASSETSExam Weight | 40%
Petroleum27 Questions
1.1 Exploration and Production
1. Charles F. Conaway. The Petroleum Industry: A Nontechnical Guide (Tulsa, OK: PennWell Books, 1999).
Chapter 2..................... ..Petroleum Origins and Accumulation
2. Institut Franais du Petrol Publications. Oil, Gas Exploration, and Production: Reserves, Costs, Contracts
(Paris: Editions Technip, 2007).
Chapter 3... ....................Hydrocarbon Reserves
3. Charlotte Wright & Rebecca Gallun. Fundamentals of Oil & Gas Accounting, 5th Edition (Tulsa, OK: PennWell, 2008).
Chapter 1. ..................... ..Upstream Oil & Gas Operations
AIMS:Charles F. Conaway. The Petroleum Industry: A Nontechnical Guide
Chapter 2...........................Petroleum Origins and Accumulation
Understand the fundamentals of petroleum chemistry
Understand how petroleum accumulates in reservoirs
Understand reservoir properties
Be able to describe migration and entrapment
Institut Franais du Petrol Publications. Oil, Gas Exploration, and Production: Reserves, Costs, Contracts
Chapter 3 ..........................Hydrocarbon Reserves
Understand concepts related to reserves and how probabilities are used in discussing reserves
Discuss the difference between conventional and nonconventional hydrocarbons
Discuss Hubberts theory of decline (a.k.a. peak theory)
Discuss the impact of technical progress on the production profile
Charlotte Wright & Rebecca Gallun. Fundamentals of Oil & Gas Accounting
Chapter 1 ...........................Upstream Oil & Gas Operations
Know the difference between integrated and independent oil companies
Understand exploration methods, particularly geological and geophysical (G&G) techniques
Discuss mineral rights and interests, particularly hydrocarbon ownership regimes
Explain the difference between the acquisition and leasing of rights for exploration and production
Understand the technical aspects of drilling operations
Know the stages in the recovery process for hydrocarbons
Demonstrate understanding of the offset clause, royalty payments and other lease provisions
1.2 Crude Oil
1. Norman J. Hyne. Nontechnical Guide to Petroleum Geology, Exploration, Drilling, and Production, 2nd Edition
(Tulsa, OK: PennWell Books, 2001).
Chapter 1 ..................... ...Nature of Gas and Oil (sections titled: Petroleum, Chemical Composition, and Crude Oil)
2. Thomas O. Miesner and William L. Leffler. Oil and Gas Pipelines in Nontechnical Language (Tulsa, OK: PennWell Books, 2006).
Chapter 1. ..................... ..How Pipelines Differ
Chapter 10................... ..Investment Decisions
Chapter 12 ................... ..Engineering and DesignStorage
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3. Samuel Van Vactor. Introduction to the Global Oil and Gas Business (Tulsa, OK: PennWell Books, 2010).
Chapter 3... ....................Oil Pricing
4. Purvin & Gertz, Inc. The Role of WTI as a Crude Oil Benchmark. Section Three............. ..The Role of WTI
Available online: http://www.purvingertz.com/userfiles/products/PurvinGertz_WTI_Benchmark_Study.pdf
AIMS:
Norman J. Hyne. Nontechnical Guide to Petroleum Geology, Exploration, Drilling, and Production
Chapter 1 ...........................Nature of Gas and Oil, sections titled Petroleum, Chemical Composition, and Crude Oil
List the general chemical composition of crude oil and natural gas
Understand the relationship of American Petroleum Institute (API) ratings and sulfur content in determining
the grade of crude oil
Discuss the characteristics of benchmark crude oils
Understand the refining process, including cracking
List the percent yield of byproducts from crude oil refining
Discuss the different units of measure for crude oil and natural gas
Understand differences between the reservoir classifications of: black oil, volatile oil, retrograde gas, wet gas,
and dry gas
Thomas O. Miesner and William L. Leffler. Oil and Gas Pipelines in Nontechnical Language
Chapter 1 ...........................How Pipelines Differ
List the different types of crude oil and natural gas pipelines
Distinguish differences between crude oil and refined products pipelines
Discuss the process for moving natural gas from the well-head to pipeline customers
Discuss the types of pipeline customers for crude oil and natural gas
Chapter 10.........................Investment Decisions
Understand the history associated with the pipeline construction
Explain the decision process for building a pipeline
Define: demand-driven, supply-driven, and market-driven scenarios for developing pipelines
Discuss the economics of approving and building a pipeline
Explain the common methods of setting pipeline rates (the cost paid by shippers per unit of transport)
Discuss reasons why a party may want to sell or acquire a pipeline
Chapter 12 .........................Engineering and DesignPipelines and Storage
Understand the basics of and key considerations for building a pipeline:
Safety
Route
Line size, wall thickness, looping Pumps, compressors and prime mover
Flow and pressure control
Number of and location of stations
Storage
Understand the need for station locations along pipeline routes
Discuss the importance of different types of storage, including factors like location, seasonality
Understand barriers to pipeline design and construction
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Samuel Van Vactor. Introduction to the Global Oil and Gas Business
Chapter 3 ..........................Oil Pricing
Discuss OPECs role in setting global oil prices Know the history of the spot market and its impact on setting oil prices
Be able to discuss the role of benchmark crudes; know the differences between major benchmark crudes and
how they are used around the world
Understand the linkage between the physical product and futures trading
Purvin & Gertz, Inc. The Role of WTI as a Crude Oil Benchmark, Section III
Understand the major historical events that shaped the crude oil market and the establishment of a global
pricing mechanism for crude oil
Discuss the Cushing Hubits role and its limitations
Explain the function of netback pricing and its market impact
Understand the relationship between futures and physical markets
Define the term parity pricing, understand parity relationships
Know the role geography plays in establishing a price for oil
1.3 Refined Petroleum Products
1. James H. Gary, Glenn E. Handwerk and Mark. J Kaiser. Petroleum Refining: Technology and Economics,
5th Edition (New York: CRC Press, 2007).
Chapter 1. ..................... ..Introduction (through section 1.8)
Chapter 14.3..................Economics and Planning Applications
2. William L. Leffler. Petroleum Refining in Nontechnical Language, 3rd Edition (Tulsa, OK: PennWell, 2000).
Chapter 20....................Simple and Complex Refineries
AIMS:
James H. Gary, Glenn E. Handwerk and Mark J Kaiser. Petroleum Refining: Technology and Economics, 5th Edition
Chapter 1 ...........................Introduction (thru 1.8)
Describe refinery processes and operations; list the commodities produced through the refining process
Understand determinants in the pricing structure of refined petroleum products (commodities); highlight the
supply and demand for refined petroleum products worldwide
Describe the technology behind each oil refining process; understand global industry structure and key players
Discuss global statistics relating to refinery output, configuration, and investment patterns
Understand the concept of refinery complexity; outline key oil refinery economics factors
Chapter 14.3 .....................Economics and Planning Applications
Understand the use of linear programming in solving refinery production problems
Describe the use of the reference oil method to evaluate crude oil purchases Describe the planning process for operations, shutdown, and environmental issues
William L. Leffler. Petroleum Refining in Nontechnical Language, 3rd Edition
Chapter 20........................Simple and Complex Refineries
Discuss the operating characteristics of a simple and complex refinery
Outline how supply and demand impacts prices of varies qualities of crude oil
Describe how crude oil prices are established; including how complex refineries increase their operating
margin by refining heavy crude oil
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1.4 Synthetics
1. Michael Toman, Aimee E. Curtright, David S. Ortiz, Joel Darmstadter, Brian Shannon. Unconventional Fossil-
Based Fuels: Economic and Environmental Trade-Offs. (Santa Monica, CA: Rand, 2008).Available online: http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/2008/RAND_TR580.pdf
Chapter 4................. ......Oil Sands and Synthetic Crude Oil
2. James T. Bartis, Frank A. Camm and David S. Ortiz. Producing Liquid Fuels from Coal: Prospects and Policy
Issues (Santa Monica, CA: Rand, 2008). Available online: http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG754
Chapter 3... ....................Coal-to-Liquids Technologies
Chapter 6.......... .............Critical Policy Issues for Coal-to-Liquids Development
AIMS:
Michael Toman, Aimee E. Curtright, David S. Ortiz, Joel Darmstadter, Brian Shannon. Unconventional
Fossil-Based Fuels: Economic and Environmental Trade-Offs
Chapter 4 ..........................Oil Sands and Synthetic Crude Oil
Describe the products that bitumen is used to produce
Describe the geographical locations and production estimates of bitumen
Discuss methods of extraction from oil sands including potential constraints on the various extraction
methods, production, and uses of oil sands (e.g., competition and environmental)
Understand the economic relationships between synthetics, conventional oil and natural gas
James T. Bartis, Frank A. Camm and David S. Ortiz. Producing Liquid Fuels from Coal: Prospects and Policy Issues
Chapter 3 ..........................Coal-to-Liquids Technologies
Explain the Fischer-Tropsch process and products produced from the conversion of coal to liquids (i.e., diesel,
jet fuel, naphtha)
Explain environmental issues associated with coal-derived liquid fuels as well as solutions (i.e., sequestration
and other methods)
Discuss potential commercial development of coal-to-liquid technologies
Chapter 6 ..........................Critical Policy Issues for Coal-to-Liquids Development
Discuss the environmental impacts of coal-to-liquids production
Describe the commercial development potential and limitations of CTL
Natural Gas and LNG18 Questions
2.1 Natural Gas
1. Davis W. Edwards. Energy Trading and Investing (New York: McGraw-Hill, 2010).
Chapter 2.1.....................Natural Gas2. Rebecca L. Busby. Natural Gas in Nontechnical Language (Tulsa, OK: PennWell Books, 1999).
Chapter 8...... .................Regulatory History of the Gas Industry
3. Arthur J. Kidnay and William R. Parrish. Fundamentals of Natural Gas Processing (Boca Raton, FL: Taylor
and Francis, 2006).
Chapter 12 .................. ...Transportation and Storage
4 Frank Fabozzi (ed.): The Handbook of Commodity Investing (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2008).
Chapter 36 ....................The Natural Gas Market in the United Kingdom
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AIMS:
Davis W. Edwards. Energy Trading and Investing
Chapter 2.1 ........................Natural Gas
Know the standard heat/volumetric measurements for natural gas
Define the terms hub, citygate, basis price
Know how natural gas is traded; understand common types of natural gas trades including various spread trades
Explain the term basis price and know the factors used to set the basis price
Understand the Henry Hubs role in setting the basis price for natural gas trades
Discuss the spot/forward price relationship in the natural gas market
Rebecca L. Busby. Natural Gas in Nontechnical Language
Chapter 8 ..........................Regulatory History of the Gas Industry
List the basic missions of a public utility
Discuss the various United States Federal Legislative Acts that impacted gas and electric utility development Discuss the responsibilities of state regulatory commissions
Arthur J. Kidnay and William R. Parrish. Fundamentals of Natural Gas Processing
Chapter 12 .........................Transportation and Storage
Understand market choices that affect the transportation and storage of natural gas
Discuss the three types of underground storage (aquifers, depleted fields, and salt caverns) and their operation
Describe the transportation of various liquid products; including the difference between transporting natural
gas and petroleum liquids
Frank Fabozzi (ed.). The Handbook of Commodity Investing
Chapter 36........................The Natural Gas Market in the United Kingdom
Understand the relationship between natural gas and other commodities, including cross-commodity correlations
Define the national balancing point and how it is used
Explain the basics of the physical natural gas market
Explain the basics of the financial natural gas market in the UK
Understand how gas is traded in the UK
Define the role risk and volatility play in the natural gas market
Identify the price drivers in the UK natural gas market
2.2 LNG
1. Department of Energy Publication: Liquefied Natural Gas: Understanding the Basic Facts.
Available online: http://fossil.energy.gov/programs/oilgas/publications/lng/LNG_primerupd.pdf
2. Michael D. Tusiani and Gordon Shearer. LNG: A Nontechnical Guide (Tulsa, OK: PennWell Books, 1999).
Chapter 1........................The Liquefied Natural Gas Industry
Chapter 3.......................The LNG Chain: The Project Nature of the LNG Business
Chapter 11 ......................The Economics of an LNG Project
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AIMS:
Department of Energy. Liquefied Natural Gas: Understanding the Basic Facts
Be familiar with global flows in the LNG market and the main LNG exporting countries Understand the role of regulation in the LNG industry and be prepared to explain the citing process for an
LNG facility
Know how an LNG train operates
Explain how LNG is used for peak shaving
Know standard LNG units of measure and heating values
Explain the role of the LNG spot market in setting global prices and how it has developed
Michael D. Tusiani and Gordon Shearer. LNG: A Nontechnical Guide
Chapter 1 ...........................The Liquefied Natural Gas Industry
Describe the history of natural gas and LNG and the importance of the development of the LNG market
Describe the advantages of natural gas as compared to coal Discuss how the general types of pipelines are used
List and describe the essential facets of an LNG project, contrast methods of monetizing natural gas resources
(local market, LNG, pipeline, gas-to-liquids, and compressed natural gas)
Chapter 3 ..........................The LNG Chain: The Project Nature of the LNG Business
Discuss the LNG Value Chain: upstream, liquefaction, transportation, and re-gasification and the typical costs
associated with each element
Discuss how the costs for each element in the value chain have changed over time, various methods of cost
reduction, and value generation
Understand the sources of value along the LNG value chain
Chapter 11..........................The Economics of an LNG Project
Discuss the cost differences between an LNG project and a typical crude oil project
Discuss the range of costs in upstream production and pipeline construction and their dependence on
wellhead location
Discuss the role of liquids in the economics of an LNG project
Understand the determinants of shipping costs
Electricity Production and Distribution18 Questions
3.1 Electric
1. Davis W. Edwards. Energy Trading and Investing (New York: McGraw-Hill, 2010).
Chapter 2.2 ...................Electricity
2. Chris Harris. Electricity Markets: Pricing, Structures and Economics (West Sussex, England: John Wiley &
Sons, 2006).
Chapter 6.......... .............Power Capacity
Chapter 7..................... ..Location
3. Sally Hunt. Making Competition Work in Electricity(New York: John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 2002).
Chapter 2..................... ..The Essential Aspects of Electricity
Chapter 8...... .................Details of the Integrated Trading Model
4. Richard Baxter. Energy Storage: A Nontechnical Guide (Tulsa, OK: PennWell Books, 2006).
Chapter 4................. ......Applications
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AIMS:
Davis W. Edwards. Energy Trading and Investing
Chapter 2.2.......................Electricity
Discuss standard market design
Describe how the marginal producer sets rates
Understand how regional electricity markets operate and the role of the TSO/RTO/ISO in market operations
Explain when a generator would be activated out-of-merit-order
Define the terms nodes, zones and, hubs
Discuss how congestion affects price
Explain how a day-ahead market operates
Define heat rate and spark spread and explain how each is used to set market prices
Understand base-load and its impact on market pricing
Chris Harris. Electricity Markets: Pricing, Structures and EconomicsChapter 6 ..........................Power Capacity
Understand elements of electric generation capacity
Understand basic economics of power generationthe power stack
Discuss modeling of generation capacity (fixed cost and marginal cost, etc.)
Describe the effect of the capacity option on power plant optimization
Describe how price caps impact capacity and prices
Chapter 7...........................Location
Describe why locational issues are important for electrical systems; list the requirements for locational charging
Understand losses and how losses are modeled
Define constraint
Understand nodal pricing and the role of financial transmission rights
Sally Hunt. Making Competition Work in Electricity
Chapter 2...........................The Essential Aspects of Electricity
Describe generation, transmission, wholesale and distribution and their interconnectedness
Describe the concept of competition and list the main associated risks
State the four technical truths of electricity
Define daily load curve and state why it is important
Chapter 8 ..........................Details of the Integrated Trading Model
Discuss how supply and demand factors set the spot price
Contrast demand bidding, capacity payments, and capacity obligations
Describe the impact of demand response
Understand the role forward contracts play in risk management
Define congestion management and calculate congestion costs
Discuss how day-ahead markets operate and how contracts are scheduled in the PJM (Pennsylvania,
New Jersey, Maryland) market
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Richard Baxter. Energy Storage: A Nontechnical Guide
Chapter 4 ..........................Applications
Explain how each term of energy storage (short/medium/long) affects market prices Understand how energy storage systems can be used for commodity arbitrage
Understand the principles of energy management, including peak shaving
Know the major types of energy storage devices
Understand the operation of a pumped hydro storage facility
Explain the factors that affect the ownership costs of storage devices
3.2 Coal
1. James T. Bartis, Frank A. Camm and David S. Ortiz. Producing Liquid Fuels from Coal: Prospects and Policy
Issues (Santa Monica, CA: Rand, 2008). Available online: http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/MG754
Chapter 2..................... ..The Coal Resource Base
AIMS:
James T. Bartis, Frank A. Camm and David S. Ortiz. Producing Liquid Fuels from Coal: Prospects and Policy Issues
Chapter 2...........................The Coal Resource Base
State the countries with the most significant coal reserves
List the three key factors impacting production
Describe the different types of coal
Compare the worlds coal reserves to that of petroleum reserves
3.3 Nuclear and Hydroelectric
1. Roy L. Nersesian. Energy for the 21st Century: A Comprehensive Guide to Conventional and Alternative Sources
(Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, Inc., 2007).
Chapter 8....... ................Nuclear and Hydropower
2. Ann Chambers. Renewable Energy in Nontechnical Language (Tulsa, OK: PennWell Books, 2006).
Chapter 6.......... .............Hydroelectric
AIMS:
Roy L. Nersesian. Energy for the 21st Century: A Comprehensive Guide to Conventional and Alternative Sources
Chapter 8 ..........................Nuclear and Hydropower
Discuss the advantages of nuclear power generation
Be familiar with the different types of nuclear reactor design, their usage and advantages/disadvantages
Discuss the advantages and disadvantages of hydropower
List the nations with the greatest reliance on hydropower
Ann Chambers. Renewable Energy in Nontechnical Language
Chapter 6 ..........................Hydroelectric
Know hydropowers share of the worlds energy markets, identify major hydro installations around the world
Be able to explain the basic mechanics of a hydropower plant
Understand the major regulations regarding hydropower
Discuss the environmental issues surrounding the construction and operation of hydropower plants
Be familiar with the two case studies cited in the chapter (Hawaii and Brazil) and understand their impact
on the market
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Renewables and Carbon Emissions9 Questions
4.1 Renewables
1. Fisher Investments. Fisher Investments on Energy(Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2009).
Chapter 6.......... .............Alternative Energy
2. Roy L. Nersesian. Energy for the 21st Century: A Comprehensive Guide to Conventional and Alternative Sources
(Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, Inc., 2007).
Chapter 3... ....................Biomass
Chapter 9.......... .............Sustainable Energy
AIMS:
Fisher Investments. Fisher Investments on Energy
Chapter 6 ..........................Alternative Energy
Define alternative energy Discuss the sources of renewable energy
Discuss the investment drivers behind renewable energy investments
Roy L. Nersesian. Energy for the 21st Century: A Comprehensive Guide to Conventional and Alternative Sources
Chapter 3 ..........................Biomass
Define biomass and understand its uses and limitations
Discuss where biomass is generally used
Discuss and compare ethanol production in Brazil and the United States and ethanols use as a vehicle fuel
in Brazil
Define biogas and discuss its uses
Chapter 9 ..........................Sustainable Energy
Compare conventional energy production to sustainable energy production
List and discuss the pros and cons of the major types of sustainable energy
Explain how financial incentives impact renewable (sustainable) energy
Discuss the relationship between sustainable energy and economic development
4.2 Carbon Finance and Emissions
1. Tom James and Peter Fusaro. Energy and Emissions Markets: Collision or Convergence?(Singapore. John Wiley
& Sons (Asia) Pte Ltd., 2006).
Chapter 3... ....................Green Trading Schemes
2. Frank Fabozzi (ed.): The Handbook of Commodity Investing (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2008).
Chapter 37.....................Emissions Trading in the European Union
AIMS:
Tom James and Peter Fusaro. Energy and Emissions Markets: Collision or Convergence?
Chapter 3 ..........................Green Trading Schemes
Understand the major sources of greenhouse gases in the European Union
Calculate a simple example of how emission trading can save money for participants
Discuss SO2, NOx, and CO2 emissions
Define negawatts
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Frank Fabozzi (ed.). The Handbook of Commodity Investing
Chapter 37 ........................Emissions Trading in the European Union
Understand what a National Allocation Plan (NAP) is and how it affects emissions trading Explain the objectives of the Kyoto Protocol
Describe how price and volume risk interact to impact the EU emissions market
Understand how emissions allowances work and how they reduce greenhouse gas emissions
Discuss the economics of emissions allowances, how they are priced, traded and how products are used
Describe how the forward price is established in the EU emissions market
FINANCIAL MARKETSExam Weight | 50%
Financial Products and Valuation36 Questions
5.1 Commodity Forwards and Futures
1. Steven Errera and Stewart L. Brown. Fundamentals of Trading Energy Futures & Options, 2nd Edition
(Tulsa, OK: PennWell Books, 2002).
Chapter 3... ....................Behavior of Commodity Futures Prices
2. Robert McDonald. Derivatives Markets (Boston: Addison-Wesley, 2003).
Chapter 6.......... .............Commodity Forwards and Futures
3. Frank Fabozzi (ed.): The Handbook of Commodity Investing (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2008).
Chapter 5... ....................Relationship Between Risk Premium and Convenience Yield Models
AIMS:
Steven Errera and Stewart L. Brown. Fundamentals of Trading Energy Futures & Options, 2nd Edition
Chapter 3 ..........................Behavior of Commodity Futures Prices
Explain the principles of parallelism and convergence
Discuss full carry
Explain the terms backwardation and contango
Explain cash management arbitrage, calculate an example of cash/futures arbitrage
Understand the concept of and calculate an example of basis
Robert McDonald. Derivatives Markets
Chapter 6 ..........................Commodity Forwards and Futures
Describe how to create a synthetic commodity position and use it to explain the relationship between the
forward price and the expected future spot price
Explain the effect non-storability has on electric prices Derive the basic equilibrium formula for pricing commodity forwards and futures
Describe an arbitrage transaction in commodity forwards and futures, compute the potential arbitrage profit
Explain the impact storage costs and convenience yields have on commodity forward pricing and
no-arbitrage bounds
Compute the forward price of a commodity with storage costs
Compare the lease rate with the convenience yield
Explain how basis risk can occur when hedging commodity price exposure
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Frank Fabozzi (ed.). The Handbook of Commodity Investing
Chapter 5 ..........................Relationship Between Risk Premium and Convenience Yield Models
Understand the difference between commodities and financial assets Explain the role of arbitrage in setting futures prices of financial assets
Define and differentiate risk premium and convenience yield models
Understand the relationship and interpret the term structure of commodity prices, risk premium and
convenience yield models
Calculate futures returns using the risk premium and convenience yield models
Understand the relationship between roll yield and risk premium
5.2 Energy Derivatives
1. Markus Burger, Bernhard Graeber, and Gero Schindlmayr. Managing Energy Risk: An Integrated View on Power
and Other Energy Markets (West Sussex, England: John Wiley & Sons, 2007).
Chapter 2..................... ..Energy Derivatives
2. Vincent Kaminski (ed). Managing Energy Price Risk(London: Risk Books, 2004).
Chapter 1. ..................... ..Energy Swaps
Chapter 2..................... ..Energy Options
Chapter 3... ....................Energy Exotic Options
3. Alexander Eydeland and Krzysztof Wolyniec. Energy and Power Risk Management: New Developments in
Modeling, Pricing, and Hedging (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2003).
Chapter 8....... ................Structured Products: Fuels and Other Commodities
4. Steven Errera and Stewart L. Brown. Fundamentals of Trading Energy Futures & Options, 2nd Edition
(Tulsa, OK: PennWell Books, 2002).
Chapter 4................. ......Speculation and Spread Trading
Chapter 7..................... ..Energy Options Strategies
AIMS:
Markus Burger, Bernhard Graeber, and Gero Schindlmayr. Managing Energy Risk: An Integrated View on Power
and Other Energy Markets
Chapter 2...........................Energy Derivatives
Explain how to use a forward contract for hedging
Calculate the fair value of a forward contract and the fair value of a commodity swap
Understand and calculate the profit and payoff profiles for plain vanilla options
Understand differences between European, American, and Asian options
Know how to price spot price options
Understand, describe, and calculate put-call parity
Vincent Kaminski (ed). Managing Energy Price Risk
Chapter 1 ...........................Energy Swaps
Understand how swap positions are impacted by price changes
Describe the pricing and profit/loss profiles of different types of swaps
Discuss the major users of swaps and their objectives in using swaps for project finance and risk mitigation
Understand issues surrounding liquidity
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Chapter 2...........................Energy Options
Explain the relationship between options and swaps
Define, discuss and list applications of the Greeks Work through a delta hedge example
Understand and discuss the volatility smile
Compare and contrast standard options, participation collars and swap participations, bull and bear spreads,
and swaptions
Chapter 3 ..........................Energy Exotic Options
Define exotic options and differentiate them from plain vanilla options
Differentiate the following option valuation methods: Monte Carlo (simulation), bi-/multi-nomial trees,
finite-difference/numerical integration
Discuss how commodity prices differ from stock prices
Calculate an option premium using a binomial tree
Discuss these option structures and their application: Asian, barrier, spread, exchange, basket, compound, digital
Alexander Eydeland and Krzysztof Wolyniec. Energy and Power Risk Management: New Developments in
Modeling, Pricing, and Hedging
Chapter 8 ..........................Structured Products: Fuels and Other Commodities
Construct a zero cost collar based on calls and puts
Discuss the impact on structured product pricing of storage, convenience yield and transmission constraints
Calculate the forward value of storage
Discuss and contrast load-serving contracts (i.e., full requirements, interruptible, banded hourly shaped energy,
block power, and fixed shape)
Steven Errera and Stewart L. Brown. Fundamentals of Trading Energy Futures & Options, 2nd Edition
Chapter 4 ..........................Speculation and Spread Trading
Explain the beneficial role of speculation in establishing derivative prices
Calculate the position a trader would take when they believe that the spread on two commodities is too wide
Understand the concept of inter-market spreads and how they are used
Discuss the role of the crack spread in trading commodities, explain why a trader would take a particular
position in a crack spread
Discuss the spark spread and its role in power markets
Chapter 7...........................Energy Options Strategies
Calculate the payoff on at-the-money/out ofthemoney call and put options
Understand the use and calculation of a payoff on a bull spread, bear spread, butterfly spread, long straddle,
and short straddle
Explain the use of caps, floors, and collars in hedging transactions Understand the structure and calculate the cash flows associated with commodity price hedging strategies
Discuss the use of bull, bear, and crack spread options
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5.3 Electricity Products
1. Vincent Kaminski (ed). Energy Modeling: Advances in the Management of Uncertainty, 2nd Edition
(Incisive Media Investments Limited, 2005). Chapter 2..................... ..Fundamentals of Electricity Derivatives
2. Davis W. Edwards. Energy Trading and Investing (New York: McGraw-Hill, 2010).
Chapter 4.3 ...................Tolling Agreements
Chapter 4.4...... .............Wheeling Power
AIMS:
Vincent Kaminski (ed). Energy Modeling: Advances in the Management of Uncertainty, 2nd Edition
Chapter 2...........................Fundamentals of Electricity Derivatives
Discuss the implication of the non-storage of electricity on pricing spot price power options
Describe how the use of futures and forwards is a solution for valuing power options
Explain the risk in using daily forwards to hedge daily positions
Davis W. Edwards. Energy Trading and Investing
Chapter 4.3 .......................Tolling Agreements
What is the role of a power marketer?
Understand why deregulation has made tolling agreements more popular
Perform a net profit calculation
Explain the risk management exposure of a tolling agreement
Discuss the pricing of tolling agreements / Explain the impact of volatility on tolling agreements
Define dispatch rate
Understand the risks in using options to approximate physical behaviors
Chapter 4.4.......................Wheeling Power
Explain the purpose of wheeling power and the various types of wheeling trades
Understand the nature of electricity and how it flows over a network
Discuss the technical issues associated with the long-distance transmission of electricity
Understand the difference between spread trades and wheeling trades
5.4 Natural Gas Products
1. Fletcher J. Sturm. Trading Natural Gas: A Nontechnical Guide (Tulsa, OK: PennWell Books, 1997).
Chapter 4................. ......Hedging and Trading Instruments
AIMS:
Fletcher J. Sturm. Trading Natural Gas: A Nontechnical Guide
Chapter 4 ..........................Hedging and Trading Instruments Discuss the buying and selling of natural gas, its related terms and specifications
Understand the process of hedging a natural gas swap with futures contracts
Describe and calculate the profitability of a futures position at settlement
Understand the role of indexes in pricing
For index swaps, calculate payoffs for sale and purchase positions
Discuss trading applications for fixed-floating index swaps
Discuss the use of swing swaps and provide examples of payoffs given different spot price scenarios
Define exchange of futures for physical (EFP) and discuss how EFPs are used
Discuss triggers and contrast with EFPs
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Modeling and Valuing Energy Transactions27 Questions
6.1 Intro to Energy Modeling
1. Dragana Pilipovic. Energy Risk: Valuing and Managing Energy Derivatives, 2nd Edition (New York: McGraw-Hill, 2007).
Chapter 2..................... ..What Makes Energies So Different?
Chapter 3... ....................Modeling Principles and Market Behavior
AIMS:
Dragana Pilipovic. Energy Risk: Valuing and Managing Energy Derivatives, 2nd Edition
Chapter 2...........................What Makes Energies So Different?
Discuss why energy products are harder to model than financial products
Describe the impact of supply and demand drivers on energy prices
State why regulation, illiquidity, and decentralized markets make energy and financial markets different
Provide an example of energy basis risk
Dragana Pilipovic. Energy Risk: Valuing and Managing Energy Derivatives, 2nd Edition
Chapter 3 ..........................Modeling Principles and Market Behavior
Describe the ideal modeling process
Know the role assumptions play in market models
Understand market variables vs. modeling parameters
Know how the price of an underlying asset is established
Understand modeling terms, issues and their usage
Define the cost of risk
Understand the difference between lognormal and mean-reverting markets
Be familiar with lessons learned from the money markets
6.2 Essential Statistics
1. Dragana Pilipovic. Energy Risk: Valuing and Managing Energy Derivatives, 2nd Edition (New York: McGraw-Hill, 2007).
Chapter 4................. ......Essential Statistical Tools
AIMS:
Dragana Pilipovic. Energy Risk: Valuing and Managing Energy Derivatives, 2nd Edition
Chapter 4 ..........................Essential Statistical Tools
Explain the importance of and tools used in time series analysis, distribution analysis
Understand the moments of a distribution
Discuss and contrast the normal and lognormal distributions
Explain the use of the Q-Q plot, the autocorrelation test, mean-squared and R-squared error
6.3 Spot Price Modeling
1. Dragana Pilipovic. Energy Risk: Valuing and Managing Energy Derivatives, 2nd Edition (New York: McGraw-Hill, 2007).
Chapter 5... ....................Spot Price Behavior
2. Les Clewlow and Chris Strickland. Energy Derivatives: Pricing and Risk Management(London: Lacima
Publications, 2000).
Chapter 6.......... .............Spot Price Models and Pricing Standard Instruments
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AIMS:
Dragana Pilipovic. Energy Risk: Valuing and Managing Energy Derivatives, 2nd Edition
Chapter 5 ..........................Spot Price Behavior
Describe the difference between single-factor and mean-reverting models
Understand the role of volatility in single-factor models
Calculate the Black-equivalent volatility over time
Calibrate parameters using time series analysis
Discuss how locational marginal pricing works in electricity markets
Les Clewlow and Chris Strickland. Energy Derivatives: Pricing and Risk Management
Chapter 6 ..........................Spot Price Models and Pricing Standard Instruments
Compare and contrast single factor, two factor, and three factor models
Discuss two factor model curves and the deficiencies of a single factor model
Explain the different volatility assumptions used in the single factor and two factor models Discuss the key considerations in selection of a pricing model for pricing standard derivative instruments
6.4 Forward Price Modeling
1. Dragana Pilipovic. Energy Risk: Valuing and Managing Energy Derivatives, 2nd Edition (New York: McGraw-Hill, 2007).
Chapter 6.......... .............The Forward Price Curve
Chapter 7..................... ..Building Marked-to-Market Forward Price Curves
2. Helyette Geman (ed). Risk Management in Commodity Markets: From Shipping to Agriculturals and Energy
(West Sussex, England: John Wiley & Sons, 2008).
Chapter 2..................... ..Forward Curve Modeling in Commodity Markets
AIMS:
Dragana Pilipovic. Energy Risk: Valuing and Managing Energy Derivatives, 2nd Edition
Chapter 6 ..........................The Forward Price Curve
Explain the characteristics of contango and backwardation
Explain the role of seasonality in electricity, oil, and natural gas forward curves
Discuss and explain the concepts of the arbitrage-free condition and convenience yield as they relate to the
electricity markets
Model a forward price based on spot price and other general assumptions
Chapter 7...........................Building Marked-to-Market Forward Price Curves: Implementing Forward Price Models
Define a marked-to-market forward price curve
Understand the fundamentals of forward price contracts and valuation
Understand the assumptions used in the construction of a forward price curve for a single delivery date versus
a price curve for delivery over a period of time
Calculate a future month forward price based on the current months forward price
Explain the step-function process for adjusting annual forward prices to monthly forward prices
Contrast the various methodologies used to estimate seasonality
Discuss the process used to build forward price curves in basis markets
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Helyette Geman (ed). Risk Management in Commodity Markets: From Shipping to Agriculturals and Energy
Chapter 2...........................Forward Curve Modeling in Commodity Markets
Discuss the factors that shape commodity forward curves Contrast the forward curve for seasonal and nonseasonal commodities
State the purpose of Principal Components Analysis (PCA)
Provide an interpretation of a change in level, slope, and curvature in a PCA
6.5 Volatility Estimation
1. Les Clewlow and Chris Strickland. Energy Derivatives: Pricing and Risk Management(London: Lacima
Publications, 2000).
Chapter 3... ....................Volatility Estimation in Energy Markets
2. Dragana Pilipovic. Energy Risk: Valuing and Managing Energy Derivatives, 2nd Edition (New York: McGraw-Hill, 2007).
Chapter 8....... ................Volatilities
AIMS:
Les Clewlow and Chris Strickland. Energy Derivatives: Pricing and Risk Management
Chapter 3 ..........................Volatility Estimation in Energy Markets
Discuss the weaknesses in using Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) to forecast commodity prices
Calculate volatility from historical data and understand the advantages of natural logs
Calculate the scaling of volatility for different time periods
Understand how the volatility assumption for a mean-reverting process is different than a non-mean-
reverting process
Understand and apply the terms: volatility smile, homoskedastic, heteroskedastic, leptokurtic, ARCH and GARCH
Dragana Pilipovic. Energy Risk: Valuing and Managing Energy Derivatives, 2nd Edition
Chapter 8 ..........................Volatilities
Define volatility as it relates to variance
Calculate the average long-term volatility from shorter-term volatilities
Derive market-implied volatilities for one option or a series of options
Understand how volatility smiles are created
Discuss the relationship between volatility and time-to-delivery for forward contracts assuming a single-factor
mean-reverting model
6.6 Modeling Energy Price Behavior
1. Alexander Eydeland and Krzysztof Wolyniec. Energy and Power Risk Management: New Developments in
Modeling, Pricing, and Hedging (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2003).
Chapter 4................. ......Reduced-form Processes
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AIMS:
Alexander Eydeland and Krzysztof Wolyniec. Energy and Power Risk Management: New Developments in
Modeling, Pricing, and HedgingChapter 4 ..........................Reduced-form Processes
Discuss the steps required for determining a price process
Explain potential problems and solutions for model parameters
Discuss the challenges associated with mean-reversion when developing spot and forward prices
Explain the role of convenience yield and storage with regard to pricing commodity contracts
Understand the necessary volatility adjustments for use in option pricing models
Describe how to modify Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) models for mean reversion and seasonality;
discuss the pros and cons of using GBM
Discuss modeling price spikes with jump-diffusion models, including pros and cons
6.7 Modeling Electricity Price Behavior1. Markus Burger, Bernhard Graeber, and Gero Schindlmayr. Managing Energy Risk: An Integrated View on Power
and Other Energy Markets (West Sussex, England: John Wiley & Sons, 2007).
Chapter 4.......................Fundamental Market Models
2. Davis W. Edwards. Energy Trading and Investing (New York: McGraw-Hill, 2010).
Chapter 4.1 ....................Spatial Load Forecasting
AIMS:
Markus Burger, Bernhard Graeber, and Gero Schindlmayr. Managing Energy Risk: An Integrated View on Power
and Other Energy Markets.
Chapter 4 ..........................Fundamental Market Models
Discuss and understand the fundamental supply and demand factors that drive prices in the electricity markets
Discuss the economics that drive dispatch decisions in the power markets
Understand the role of variable operating costs in plant dispatch, including idle time, start-up costs,
constraints, and ways to model these variables
Discuss merit order dispatch curves and the major considerations for bidding a plant for next day commitment
Compare and contrast how single and multiple region market models function
Understand the information required to develop a model for the electricity markets (supply, demand, and
transmission)
Explain the supply and demand assumptions associated with natural gas market models
Davis W. Edwards. Energy Trading and Investing
Chapter 4.1........................Spatial Load Forecasting
Know the factors that go into producing a load forecast
Define base load power
Understand the relationship between weather and electricity consumption
Know the steps in creating and testing a load forecasting model
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Risk Management Techniques27 Questions
7.1 Overview of Energy Risks
1. Peter C. Beutel.Surviving Energy Prices (Tulsa, OK: PennWell Books, 2005).
Chapter 3.......................Different Kinds of Risk
2. John Wengler. Managing Energy Risk: A Nontechnical Guide to Markets and Trading (Tulsa, OK: PennWell Books, 2001).
Chapter 6.......... .............Energy Risk Boot Camp: Must Know Concepts for Managers and Directors
3. Tom James and Peter Fusaro. Energy and Emissions Markets: Collision or Convergence?(Singapore.
John Wiley & Sons (Asia) Pte Ltd., 2006).
Chapter 10................... ..What Risk? An Introduction to Managing Risk
4. Steve Leppard. Energy Risk Management: A Non-technical Introduction to Energy Derivatives (London: Risk Books, 2005).
Chapter 8.......................Wider Risk Management Questions
AIMS:Peter C. Beutel. Surviving Energy Prices
Chapter 3 ..........................Different Kinds of Risk
Define the following : Price Risk, Basis Risk, Supply Risk, Volume Risk
Provide examples of each type of risk and strategies for mitigating them
Understand how to hedge a customer contract using puts, calls, or futures
John Wengler. Managing Energy Risk: A Nontechnical Guide to Markets and Trading
Chapter 6 ..........................Energy Risk Boot Camp: Must Know Concepts for Managers and Directors
Discuss the tenets of the five minute risk manager
Describe the pricerisk pyramid
Discuss the difference between a forward price and an expected spot price
Explain the key elements in constructing a forward price curve
Discuss the difference between historical and implied volatility
Explain the role of correlation in modeling energy prices
Tom James and Peter Fusaro. Energy and Emissions Markets: Collision or Convergence?
Chapter 10.........................What Risk? An Introduction to Managing Risk
Discuss the structure of a risk matrix
Discuss each major type of risk
Identify and assess the major types of basis risk
Steve Leppard. Energy Risk Management: A Non-technical Introduction to Energy Derivatives
Chapter 8 ..........................Wider Risk Management Questions
Calculate the cost of unwinding a hedge
Discuss mark-to-market and market risk techniques
Calculate an example of MVaR (Market Value-at-Risk) and Delta-Gamma approximation
Describe physical risk management
Discuss the risk matrix approach to risk analysis
Discuss some key risks (market, accounting, credit, force majeure, data, reputational)
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7.2 Operational Risk
1. Tom James. Energy Markets: Price Risk Management and Trading (Singapore: John Wiley & Sons, 2008).
Chapter 15 .....................Operational Risk and its Management
AIMS:
Tom James. Energy Markets: Price Risk Management and Trading
Chapter 15 .........................Operational Risk and its Management
Describe a typical derivatives transaction
List and discuss the five steps for assessing and controlling risk
Understand the differences between: risk reduction, risk control, risk containment and risk transfer
7.3 Risk Management Controls
1. Tom James. Energy Markets: Price Risk Management and Trading (Singapore: John Wiley & Sons, 2008).
Chapter 10.....................Management Controls
2. Tom James and Peter Fusaro. Energy and Emissions Markets: Collision or Convergence?(Singapore.
John Wiley & Sons (Asia) Pte Ltd., 2006).
Chapter 11 ......................Risk-Policy Guidelines
AIMS:
Tom James. Energy Markets: Price Risk Management and Trading
Chapter 10.........................Management Controls
Understand the five broad categories of control breakdowns
Describe the key components of a sound risk management or trading policy
Discuss the key contents in a risk policy document
Describe the role of a back-office system; understand the role of external and internal auditors
Tom James and Peter Fusaro. Energy and Emissions Markets: Collision or Convergence?
Chapter 11 ..........................Risk-Policy Guidelines
State the key steps in developing a risk-policy statement
Understand the general types of hedging positions
Discuss a framework for monitoring and managing energy-market risks, including trading controls and
position limits
7.4 Value-at-Risk (VaR)
1. Markus Burger, Bernhard Graeber, and Gero Schindlmayr. Managing Energy Risk: An Integrated View on Power
and Other Energy Markets (West Sussex, England: John Wiley & Sons, 2007).
Chapter 6.2 ...................Value-at-Risk and Further Risk Measures2. Alessandro Mauro. Price Risk Management in the Energy Industry: The Value at Risk Approach, Proceedings
of the XXII Annual International Conference of the International Association for Energy Economics
(June 9-12, 1999). Available online: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1020917
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AIMS:
Markus Burger, Bernhard Graeber, and Gero Schindlmayr. Managing Energy Risk: An Integrated View on Power
and Other Energy MarketsChapter 6.2 .......................Value-at-Risk and Further Risk Measures
Understand Value-at-Risk (VaR), including the strengths and weaknesses in its application
Contrast the following methods used to calculate VaR: historical simulation, analytical, and structured Monte
Carlo method
Calculate volatility and correlation required to use the analytic method of VaR measurement
Understand the role of backtesting in relation to VaR models
Compare and discuss: cashflow-at-risk, earnings-at-risk, and profit-at-risk
Describe settlement risk and replacement risk
Alessandro Mauro. Price Risk Management in the Energy Industry: The Value at Risk Approach, Proceedings of
the XXII Annual International Conference of the International Association for Energy Economics (June 9-12, 1999) Calculate the VaR for a single asset and for a portfolio of assets
Use VaR to understand the potential maximum downside risk for a portfolio of commodity positions
Understand the conditions in various commodity markets that lead to logical use of VaR as a risk measure
7.5 Hedging Physical Assets
1. Tom James. Energy Markets: Price Risk Management and Trading (Singapore: John Wiley & Sons, 2008).
Chapter 13 ................... ..Energy-Market Hedging Scenarios
2. Steve Leppard. Energy Risk Management: A Non-technical Introduction to Energy Derivatives (London:
Risk Books, 2005).
Chapter 4................. ......Physical Transactions and Basic Hedging Instruments
AIMS:
Tom James. Energy Markets: Price Risk Management and Trading
Chapter 13 .........................Energy-Market Hedging Scenarios
Compare the use of fixed-price swap with a collar structure for end-use hedging
Calculate the settlement of a monthly fixed-price swap and a collar structure
Understand the challenges faced by an electric power generator when hedging in the coal and natural
gas markets
Compare and contrast the various hedging strategies used to mitigate risk in long and short energy
market positions.
Steve Leppard. Energy Risk Management: A Non-technical Introduction to Energy Derivatives
Chapter 4 ..........................Physical Transactions and Basic Hedging Instruments
Explain the roles and risk exposures confronted by producers, transformers, and off-takers
Evaluate the mark to market value of a swap over time
Calculate the cash and physical commodity flows associated with various energy swap structures
Understand the application of fixed-for-floating swaps
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7.6 Hedging Financial Assets
1. Tom James. Energy Markets: Price Risk Management and Trading (Singapore: John Wiley & Sons, 2008).
Chapter 6.......... .............Options Trading and Hedging Application Strategies2. Les Clewlow and Chris Strickland. Energy Derivatives: Pricing and Risk Management(London: Lacima
Publications, 2000).
Chapter 9.......... .............Risk Management of Energy Derivatives
AIMS:
Tom James. Energy Markets: Price Risk Management and Trading
Chapter 6 ..........................Options Trading and Hedging Application Strategies
Discuss option contract terminology
Demonstrate the use of simple option strategies to offset underlying price movements
Use payoff charts to demonstrate strategies for hedging long and short energy positions
Understand various volatility trading strategies
Les Clewlow and Chris Strickland. Energy Derivatives: Pricing and Risk Management
Chapter 9 ..........................Risk Management of Energy Derivatives
Understand why a delta hedge becomes less effective as the price of the underlying asset changes from its
original value
Calculate the profiles of delta, gamma, and vega hedges
Describe hedging strategies for call and put positions using long or short trading strategies
Understand volatility risk and discuss hedging techniques to manage its impact on portfolio returns
7.7 Hedge Accounting
1. Tom James. Energy Markets: Price Risk Management and Trading (Singapore: John Wiley & Sons, 2008).
Chapter 17 ................... ..Accounting for Energy Derivatives Trades
AIMS:
Tom James. Energy Markets: Price Risk Management and Trading
Chapter 17 .........................Accounting for Energy Derivatives Trades
Discuss the key aspects of FAS 133
Define effectiveness test, highly effective hedge, and financial instrument according to IAS 32
Define what a hedge is under IAS 39
Explain the steps for establishing hedge accounting
7.8 Managing Credit Risk
1. Markus Burger, Bernhard Graeber, and Gero Schindlmayr. Managing Energy Risk: An Integrated View on Powerand Other Energy Markets (West Sussex, England: John Wiley & Sons, 2007).
Chapter 6.3 ...................Risk Management (Credit Risk)
2. Tom James. Energy Markets: Price Risk Management and Trading (Singapore: John Wiley & Sons, 2008).
Chapter 16 .................. ...A Practical Guide to Credit Control and Risk-Mitigation Methods
3. Vincent Kaminski (ed). Energy Modeling: Advances in the Management of Uncertainty(London: Risk Books, 2005).
Chapter 12 .................. ...Credit Risk Management for the Energy IndustrySome Perspectives
4. Eduardo Canabarro and Darrell Duffie.ALM of Financial Institutions, ed. Leo Tilman (London: Euromoney, 2003).
Chapter 9.......... .............Measuring and Marking Counterparty Risk
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AIMS:
Markus Burger, Bernhard Graeber, and Gero Schindlmayr. Managing Energy Risk: An Integrated View on Power
and Other Energy MarketsChapter 6.3 .......................Risk Management (Credit Risk)
Describe methods for quantifying and managing (reducing) credit risk exposure
Understand external credit ratings and interpret related default probabilities
Discuss internal rating factors
Tom James. Energy Markets: Price Risk Management and Trading
Chapter 16.........................A Practical Guide to Credit Control and Risk-Mitigation Methods
Compare methods for managing credit-risk exposure
Understand the use of collateralization
Explain how credit default swaps can be used to manage credit risk
Vincent Kaminski (ed). Energy Modeling: Advances in the Management of Uncertainty
Chapter 12 .........................Credit Risk Management for the Energy IndustrySome Perspectives
Explain the advantages of a clearing house and related margining arrangements
Understand the high-level steps for measuring credit risk
Canabarro and Duffie. ALM of Financial Institutions
Chapter 9 ..........................Measuring and Marking Counterparty Risk
Define terms related to counterparty risk
Explain the process for using a Monte Carlo simulation to model potential counterparty exposure and discuss
considerations for applying such a model
Describe how a credit valuation adjustment is made to an over-the-counter derivatives portfolio
Define a risk-neutral mean loss rate
Describe the procedures for computing the market value of credit risk when one or both counterparties in the
derivatives transaction has credit exposure
Current Issues in EnergyExam Weight | 10%
NOTE ON THE CURRENT ISSUES IN ENERGY SECTION: GARP recognizes that energy markets are dynamic and are often affected
by regulation, newly discovered reserves and technology breakthroughs. Global energy risk managers must remain abreast of these
developments to effectively manage risk in their businesses. With this goal in mind, GARP is introducing a new Current Issues in
Energy section for the 2011 ERP Examination. The Current Issues section is designed to familiarize ERP candidates with new devel-
opments and issues that are likely to have a long-term impact on the global energy markets. Topics included in the Current Issues
section of the 2011 ERP Examination include Dodd-Frank regulation and its potential impact on energy firms, an introduction to the
Smart Grid, analysis of the 2008 oil price shock and an overview of modern shale gas development. While three of the four topics
focus specifically on the United States, they address topics that will affect energy markets globally; ERP Candidates should consider
this impact when reviewing the material and preparing for the exam. Each reading is current as of November 15, 2010 and candidates
can expect to be tested on the information throughout 2011. Subsequent developments in these topics, or any new areas of focus, will
be captured on the 2012 ERP Examination.
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2011 Energy Risk Professional (ERP) Examination AIM Statements
Readings for Current Issues in Energy18 Questions
1. Skadden, Energy Derivatives Under the Dodd-Frank Act, (July 2010).
Available online: http://www.skadden.com/Index.cfm?contentID=51&itemID=2171
2. Sidley Austin, The Dodd-Frank Acts Effect on Hedging Activities of Energy Companies and Large Energy Consumers
Available online: http://www.sidley.com/SidleyUpdates/Detail.aspx?news=4622
Be able to identify and discuss the potential impacts that implementation of Dodd-Frank will have on the energy
industry
3. US Department of Energy, The Smart Grid: An Introduction
Available online: http://www.oe.energy.gov/DocumentsandMedia/DOE_SG_Book_Single_Pages(1).pdf
Be able to define the basic elements of a Smart Grid
Understand the impact the development of the smart grid will have on electricity supplies and pricingmethodologies
Define real time pricing
Discuss the role of decentralization in creating the Smart Grid
4. Global Public Policy Institute, The 2008 Oil Price Shock
Available online: http://www.gppi.net/fileadmin/gppi/GPPiPP1_Oil_Prices_2009.pdf
Be knowledgeable about the price swings in the oil market in 2008 and the arguments for why they occurred
Understand the factors that led to a tightening of supply in the oil market in 2008
Discuss the role speculation played in the price spike; contrast market speculation with hedging for risk mitigation
purposes
Understand the effect the price shock had in influencing legislation and regulation of the commodity sector
5. ALL Consulting Report, An Overview of Modern Shale Gas Development in the United States
Available online: http://www.all-llc.com/publicdownloads/ALLShaleOverviewFINAL.pdf
Define shale gas, understand how shale gas deposits are different from conventional natural gas reserves
Explain how shale gas is becoming a price driver within the natural gas industry
Understand the concept of hydraulic fracturing (fracking); know the environmental concerns associated with
this technique
Be familiar with the development and history of the shale gas sector
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2011 Energy Oversight Committee (EOC) Members
Ken Abbott ...................... ............Managing Director, Morgan Stanley & Company
Richard Apostolik ................... ..President and CEO, Global Association of Risk Professionals
Mark Galicia ..................... ............Commercial Manager, BP North America, Inc.
Gordon E. Goodman ................Trading Control Officer, Occidental Petroleum Corporation
James Brown................... ............Managing Director, Morgan Stanley & Company
Mark Jenner ..................... ............Director, Credit Risk, BG Group
Jeff Jewell .................... ................Chief Risk Officer, DTE Energy
Glenn Labhart, EOC Chair .....Partner, Labhart Risk Advisors, Inc.
Spyros Maragos ............................VP, Refined Products Analytics, Louis Dreyfus Energy Services, LP
Alessandro Mauro ................... ..Director of Risk Management, Litasco SA
Mark D. May ......................................Manager, Regional Risk Supply & Trading, Americas, ConocoPhillips
Jeff Parke ..................... ................Senior Director, Risk Management, Koch Industries, Inc.
Jonathan C. Stein .................... ..Chief Risk Officer, Vice President, Hess Corporation
Andrew D. Sunderman ............Managing Director, JP Morgan
Glen Swindle ................... ............Managing Director, Energy Trade & Marketing, Credit Suisse
John Wengler .................... .........Vice President and Chief Risk Officer, BlueStar Energy Services
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About GARP | The Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP) is a not-for-profit global membership organization dedicated to
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ment practitioners and researchers from banks, investment management firms, government agencies, academic institutions, and
corporations from more than 195 countries. GARP administers the Financial Risk Manager (FRM) and the Energy Risk Professional
(ERP) exams; certifications recognized by risk professionals worldwide. GARP also helps advance the role of risk management via
comprehensive professional education and training for professionals of all levels. www.garp.org.