2010/11 2010/11 ENROLLMENT ENROLLMENT ESTIMATES ESTIMATES Board Meeting Board Meeting January 12, 2010 January 12, 2010 LODI UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT Business Services Prepared by: Douglas Barge & Staff Y: Business Services/Budget/2010-11/Adopted/Enrollment Projections/B1-12-10 Enrollment Projections
LODI UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT Business Services. 2010/11 ENROLLMENT ESTIMATES. Board Meeting January 12, 2010. Prepared by: Douglas Barge & Staff. Y: Business Services/Budget/2010-11/Adopted/Enrollment Projections/B1-12-10 Enrollment Projections. Executive Summary. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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2010/112010/11ENROLLMENT ENROLLMENT
ESTIMATESESTIMATESBoard MeetingBoard Meeting
January 12, 2010January 12, 2010
LODI UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICTBusiness Services
Prepared by: Douglas Barge & Staff
Y: Business Services/Budget/2010-11/Adopted/Enrollment Projections/B1-12-10 Enrollment Projections
Executive SummaryExecutive Summary• Enrollment projections are one of the very first steps in Enrollment projections are one of the very first steps in
building the budget for the coming yearbuilding the budget for the coming year
• Our student population continued to drop in 2009/10 as was Our student population continued to drop in 2009/10 as was projectedprojected
• This trend is expected to continue into next year:This trend is expected to continue into next year: 149 fewer elementary students 37 less middle school students 99 less senior high school students For a total of 285 fewer students overall and loss of 266 Average Daily
Attendance (ADA)
• The District still needs to be mind-full of when this declining The District still needs to be mind-full of when this declining ends because it could be an abrupt turnaroundends because it could be an abrupt turnaround
Opening CommentsOpening Comments• Projected enrollments are the key building block Projected enrollments are the key building block
for developing and administering a school budgetfor developing and administering a school budget
They are used to estimate:
• District income available to pay its bills
• The greatest cost elements of the budget – Staff; Supplies and Equipment
• The projected enrollments can help warn the The projected enrollments can help warn the District of financial concerns and pressures that District of financial concerns and pressures that need to be addressedneed to be addressed
• Projected enrollments can provide a tool for the Projected enrollments can provide a tool for the District to predict opportunities for making District to predict opportunities for making improvements improvements
2010/11 Projected Enrollment by 2010/11 Projected Enrollment by Grade LevelGrade Level
5
10/6/2006 10/3/2007 10/2/2008 Projected 10/7/2009 Projected Projected for 2010/11GRADE Enrolled % Inc. Enrolled % Inc. Enrolled % Inc. Enrolled % Inc. Cohort Class Grade Growth Committed
10/6/2006 10/3/2007 10/2/2008 Projected 10/7/2009 Projected Projected for 2010/11GRADE Enrolled % Inc. Enrolled % Inc. Enrolled % Inc. Enrolled % Inc. Cohort Class Grade Growth Committed
10/6/2006 10/3/2007 10/2/2008 Projected 10/7/2009 Projected Projected for 2010/11GRADE Enrolled % Inc. Enrolled % Inc. Enrolled % Inc. Enrolled % Inc. Cohort Class Grade Growth Committed
Special Educationand Other ProgramsSp Ed K-6 436 93.35% 407 97.54% 397 98.01% 405 97.08% 393 404 397 405 405Sp Ed 7-8 146 108.22% 158 105.06% 166 104.72% 156 105.42% 164 161 159 156 156Sp Ed 9-12 352 82.95% 292 85.96% 251 91.07% 289 88.01% 254 277 273 289 289Sp Ed All Other 44 90.91% 40 202.50% 81 151.37% 113 158.34% 179 128 130 113 113