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Symbols .. Nil or rounded to zero * Sitting MP in the previous parliament. Notes indicate where an MP is contesting a different
electorate. .... 'Ghost' candidate, where a party contesting the previous election did not nominate for the
current election. Party Abbreviations ALP Australian Labor Party DEM Australian Democrats DLP Democratic Labor Party DSQ Daylight Saving for South East Queensland FFP Family First IND Independents GRN The Greens LIB Liberal Party LNP Liberal National Party NAT The Nationals ONP One Nation OTH Others Important Dates Legislative Assembly dissolved Monday 23 February 2009 Issue of Writs Monday 23 February 2009 Close of Rolls 5pm Saturday 28 February 2009 Close of Nominations Noon, Tuesday 3 March 2009 Polling Day Saturday 21 March 2009 Return of Writ Tuesday 7 April 2009 Amendment Log 11 Sep 2011 First published 20 Sep 2011 p36, four seats were won by the LNP in the Wide Bay-Burnett region and none by
Labor, not the reverse as originally published. 22 Sep 2011 p3 and p4, two incorrect references to Cunningham corrected to read Condamine.
2009 Queensland Election
Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 1
INTRODUCTION This paper provides an analysis of the results of the 2009 Queensland election. The election followed a major redistribution that re-drew the state's electoral boundaries. The number of electorates remained unchanged at 89, but the new boundaries effectively moved three electorates to the state's populated south-east. A summary of the redistribution is provided on page 3. More details of the redistribution can be found in the publication "2008 Queensland Redistribution: Analysis of Redistributed Boundaries based on 2006 Election Results", Antony Green, Queensland Parliamentary Library Research Brief No 2008/43 It was also the first election following the merger of the Liberal Party and the National Party to form the Liberal National Party or LNP. There were no contests between the two parties in 2006, but redistribution calculations meant that many of the new seats had historical votes for both parties based on 2006 results. This has been dealt with by simply merging the 2006 vote for the two parties as the historic vote for the LNP at the 2009 election. Any seat with an LNP majority of the 2-candidate preferred vote has been classed as LNP-held. Format for Electorate Results For each Legislative Assembly electorate, full details of primary and two-candidate preferred votes are provided along with change of vote compared to adjusted results for the 2006 election. The format and calculations used in the electorate results are as follows. First Count: The votes shown for each candidate are the total of first preference votes received. Percentage votes for each candidate are calculated as a percentage of the formal vote. Swing is calculated by subtracting the adjusted percentage vote received by each party at the 2006 election from the percentage received at the 2009 election. Where the parties contesting the district differ from the previous election, ‘ghost’ candidates (indicated by "....") have been included representing candidates not contesting the current election. LNP candidate swings are measured against the combined support for Liberal and National candidates in 2006. Final Count: Represents the two-candidate preferred count after the distribution of preferences in an electorate. All ballot papers that did not indicate a preference for one of the final two candidates in the contest are included in the 'Exhausted' total. Two-candidate preferred percentages are calculated by dividing the two-candidate preferred vote for each candidate by the total of votes remaining in the count, or the formal minus the exhausted total. Two-candidate preferred swings are shown compared to the final candidates from the previous election adjusted for the redistribution. Where the party composition of the final two candidates differs from the previous election, ghost candidates appear and more than two swing figures are shown. Two-Candidate versus Two-Party Preferred results Two-candidate Preferred Count: To win an electorate a candidate must receive more than 50% of the vote after the distribution of preferences. The distribution of preferences is performed by successively excluding candidates with the lowest primary vote and transferring that candidate’s ballot papers to other candidates remaining in the count according to the voter's preferences on the ballot paper. At the end of the count, the vote for the two final candidates is referred to as the 'two-candidate preferred vote'. Two-Party Preferred Count: Most Australian elections finish as a contest between candidates representing the Labor Party and the Liberal-National Party Coalition, or the LNP in the modern case of Queensland. At the 2009 election, 83 of the 89 finished with the final two candidates representing Labor and the LNP. Four electorates finished as contests between the LNP and Independents (Condamine, Maryborough, Nanango, Nicklin), while Dalrymple finished as a contest between LNP and One Nation candidates. There was no LNP candidate in Gladstone and the contest was between Labor and an Independent. In the first five of these electorates an estimate of two-party preferred vote has been calculated based on distributing the Independent or One Nation candidate at the final stage of the distribution of
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2 Antony Green – ABC Election Unit
preferences. The estimate used has been that 60% of preferences would exhaust, 30% flow to the LNP and 10% to Labor, Similar preference estimates were used to calculate corresponding two-party preferred margins for the adjusted 2006 results. Note that it was impossible to estimate a margin in Charters Towers between the LNP and One Nation so an estimates two-party preferred vote has been used as the historic figure. In Gladstone the two-candidate preferred result between Labor and sitting Independent MP Liz Cunningham has been used as the two-party preferred result for both the 2006 and 2009 elections. Redistribution Calculations As noted earlier, all redistribution calculations are drawn from "2008 Queensland Redistribution: Analysis of Redistributed Boundaries based on 2006 Election Results", Antony Green, Queensland Parliamentary Library Research Brief No 2008/43. These details are summarised on page 3. Disclaimer All results are based on details made available by the Electoral Commission Queensland. However, responsibility for all calculations and omissions is taken by the author. The author also takes responsibility for estimated two-party preferred results in the six seats where two-party results are not available. Antony Green September 2011
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Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 3
SUMMARY OF REDISTRIBUTION Party Composition Following 2006 Election and Based on New Electoral Boundaries
S e a t s H e l d b y P a r t y Labor Liberal National Other Total
Old Boundaries 59 8 17 5 89 New Boundaries 62 ---- 23 ---- 4 89
Note: Analysis of the new boundaries takes account of the newly amalgamated Liberal National Party. The
analysis does not take account of by-elections or members who have resigned from their party since being elected at the 2006 election.
Explaining the Change in Party Numbers The redistribution effectively moved three seats to the state's south-east corner. In the north Fitzroy was abolished while Charters Towers and Tablelands were largely amalgamated as the new seat of Dalrymple. In the south Cunningham and Darling Downs were abolished and the seat of Condamine created in their place. The new seats were Buderim on the Sunshine Coast, Morayfield in the Brisbane-Sunshine Coast corridor, and Coomera in the Brisbane-Gold Coast corridor. Labor lost Fitzroy (abolished) but notionally gained the new seats of Coomera and Morayfield. The LNP seats of Charters Towers, Cunningham and Darling Downs were abolished but the party notionally held the new seats of Buderim, Condamine and Dalrymple. Four seats changed notional party status, the Labor seat of Glass House becoming a notional LNP seat, while sitting LNP members in Burdekin, Clayfield and Mirani re-contested seats that had become notional Labor seats. Swing for Change of Government
Old Boundaries New Boundaries Seats Swing Seats Swing
For Labor to lose majority 15 7.2 18 7.6 For Liberal National majority 20 8.3 22 8.3
Re-named Electorates (3)
Electorate Old Margin New Margin Comments
Mermaid Beach LIB 2.5 LNP 2.8 New name for the abolished electorate of Robina
Pine Rivers ALP 12.4 ALP 13.3 Largely replaces the abolished electorate of Kurwongbah. Labor MP Linda Lavarch retired and seat was contested by Glass House Labor MP Carolyn Male.
Sunnybank ALP 12.9 ALP 15.1 Included much of the abolished electorate of Mount Gravatt. Re-contested by Labor MP Judy Spence.
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Abolished and Created Electorates (5)
Electorate % Margin Comments
Abolished (5) Charters Towers NAT 11.0 Largely absorbed into the new electorate of Dalrymple which
LNP MP Shane Knuth contested.
Cunningham NAT 16.4 Divided between Toowoomba South and the new electorate of Condamine. MP Stuart Copeland contested Condamine as an Independent.
Darling Downs NAT 19.1 Largely absorbed into the new electorate of Condamine which sitting MP Ray Hopper contested.
Fitzroy ALP 16.4 Abolished and divided between surrounding electorates. Labor MP Jim Pearce retired.
Tablelands ONP 19.8 Largely absorbed into the new electorate of Dalrymple which One Nation MP Rosa Lee Long contested.
Created (5) Buderim LNP 9.3 New electorate created from parts of Kawana, Maroochydore
and Nicklin. Contested by Kawana MP Steve Dickson.
Condamine LNP 18.6 Created by the amalgamation of the abolished electorates of Cunningham and Darling Downs, Contested by respective sitting MPs Stuart Copeland and Ray Hopper.
Coomera ALP 8.3 Created from parts of Albert, Broadwater and Gaven. No sitting member.
Dalrymple LNP 7.7 Created from the abolished electorates of Charters Towers and Tablelands. Contested by respective sitting MPs Shane Knuth and Rosa Lee Long.
Morayfield ALP 10.7 New electorate created from parts of Kallangur, Kurwongbah and Pumicestone. No sitting member.
Continuing Electorates (81)
Electorate Old Margin New Margin Comments
Albert ALP 17.0 ALP 13.8 Large parts of Albert were transferred into the new electorate of Coomera.
Algester ALP 17.8 ALP 17.8 Ashgrove ALP 8.1 ALP 8.5 Aspley ALP 4.6 ALP 3.1 Weakened for Labor by the loss of areas around Bald
Hills and Strathpine.
Barron River ALP 5.1 ALP 4.8 Beaudesert NAT 4.5 LNP 5.9 A stronger Liberal National Party seat with the transfer
of urban areas around Logan Village and Flagstone to Logan. Sitting LNP member Kev Lingard retired.
Brisbane Central ALP 14.8 ALP 14.4 Broadwater ALP 5.2 ALP 6.6 Strengthened for Labor with the transfer of Hope Island
to the new electorate of Coomera.
Bulimba ALP 16.2 ALP 16.1 Labor MP Pat Purcell retired.
Bundaberg NAT 1.0 LNP 1.0 Bundamba ALP 24.8 ALP 25.2 Burdekin NAT 2.4 ALP 0.9 Became a notionally Labor held seat following the
transfer of Bowen from Whitsunday. Re-contested by LNP member Rosemary Menkens.
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Continuing Electorates (81)
Electorate Old Margin New Margin Comments
Burleigh ALP 8.3 ALP 8.8
Burnett NAT 7.6 LNP 7.4 Cairns ALP 8.1 ALP 8.0 Callide NAT 22.3 NAT 20.4 Caloundra LIB 4.4 LNP 1.9 Weaker for the Liberal National Party following the
transfer of areas from Labor-held Glass House.
Capalaba ALP 16.2 ALP 14.8 Chatsworth ALP 0.8 ALP 0.1 Labor MP Chris Bombolas retired.
Clayfield LIB 1.7 ALP 0.2 Become a notional Labor seat following the transfer of booths from Stafford. Sitting LNP member Tim Nicholls re-contested.
Cleveland ALP 0.5 ALP 1.3 Cook ALP 15.1 ALP 11.4 Weakened for the Labor Party by the inclusion of areas
from the abolished seat of Tablelands.
Currumbin LIB 2.2 LNP 2.2 Everton ALP 10.1 ALP 10.6 Labor MP Rod Welford retired.
Ferny Grove ALP 12.1 ALP 12.1 Gaven ALP 3.1 ALP 3.2 Gladstone IND 2.0 IND 2.0 Independent margin versus Labor.
Glass House ALP 7.7 LNP 0.1 Became a notional Liberal National seat with the loss of Labor voting booths to Pumicestone and Caloundra and the inclusion of booths from Nanango and Nicklin. Labor MP Carolyn Male contested Pine Rivers.
Greenslopes ALP 10.1 ALP 11.3 Labor MP Gary Fenlon retired.
Gregory NAT 18.0 LNP 12.0 The Liberal National margin was cut by the inclusion of strong Labor voting booths from Fitzroy.
Gympie NAT 21.8 LNP 22.0 Hervey Bay ALP 1.8 ALP 2.1 Hinchinbrook NAT 3.7 LNP 2.0 The Liberal National position is weakened by the
inclusion of areas previously in Thuringowa.
Inala ALP 26.3 ALP 26.0
Indooroopilly ALP 2.4 ALP 2.7 Sitting Labor MP Ronan Lee resigned from the Labor Party and contested the 2009 election as a Green MP.
Ipswich ALP 21.6 ALP 21.4 Ipswich West ALP 13.1 ALP 12.7 Kallangur ALP 10.3 ALP 11.0 Labor MP Ken Hayward retired.
Kawana LIB 5.7 LNP 2.6 Weakened for the Liberal National Party by the creation of the new seat of Buderim. Sitting LNP member Steve Dickson contested Buderim.
Keppel ALP 7.2 ALP 8.1 Lockyer NAT 1.7 LNP 3.4 Strengthened for the Liberal National Party by the
transfer of areas around Jimboomba to Logan.
Logan ALP 23.9 ALP 21.1 Lytton ALP 16.8 ALP 16.3 Mackay ALP 17.6 ALP 17.3 Mansfield ALP 7.7 ALP 8.4 Maroochydore NAT 10.7 LNP 8.4 Maryborough IND 32.7 IND 30.5 Margin versus Labor
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Continuing Electorates (81)
Electorate Old Margin New Margin Comments
Mirani NAT 6.5 ALP 1.2 Becomes a notional Labor seat following the inclusion of Labor voting mining towns from the abolished electorate of Fitzroy. Re-contested by LNP member Ted Malone.
Moggill LIB 8.0 LNP 8.0 Mount Coot-tha ALP 10.5 ALP 10.4 Mount Isa ALP 12.3 ALP 8.5 Mount Ommaney ALP 10.2 ALP 11.3 Mudgeeraba ALP 2.9 ALP 2.7 Mulgrave ALP 9.9 ALP 9.8 Labor MP Warren Pitt retired. His son Curtis was the
new Labor candidate.
Mundingburra ALP 10.5 ALP 11.1 Murrumba ALP 11.6 ALP 12.1 Nanango IND 4.2 IND 2.8 Margin versus National/LNP Nicklin IND 25.1 IND 24.5 Margin versus National/LNP Noosa LIB 5.7 LNP 7.4 Nudgee ALP 18.3 ALP 18.2 Pumicestone ALP 5.4 ALP 5.4 Redcliffe ALP 5.4 ALP 6.0 Redlands ALP 6.9 ALP 6.8 Rockhampton ALP 20.5 ALP 19.8 Sandgate ALP 15.2 ALP 15.3 South Brisbane ALP 18.4 ALP 18.4 Southern Downs NAT 20.3 LNP 20.4 Southport ALP 9.1 ALP 8.0 Springwood ALP 5.2 ALP 5.7 Stafford ALP 14.9 ALP 14.2 Stretton ALP 14.2 ALP 14.5 Surfers Paradise LIB 12.0 LNP 12.1 Thuringowa ALP 17.0 ALP 16.8 Toowoomba North ALP 10.4 ALP 7.6 Weakened for Labor by the inclusion of areas
previously in Toowoomba South.
Toowoomba South NAT 9.8 LNP 11.3 Townsville ALP 9.1 ALP 9.4 Labor MP Mike Reynolds retired.
Warrego NAT 23.3 LNP 22.7 Waterford ALP 15.8 ALP 16.2 Whitsunday ALP 4.4 ALP 0.4 Weakened for Labor by the transfer of Bowen to
Burdekin.
Woodridge ALP 29.0 ALP 27.2 Yeerongpilly ALP 13.7 ALP 12.9
Underlining indicates seats that notionally changed party status on the new boundaries.
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Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 7
LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY
STATE-WIDE RESULTS ROLL 2,660,940
Candi Seats Party dates Won Change Votes % Votes Swing
Labor 89 51 -8 1,002,415 42.25 -4.67 Liberal National 88 34 +9 987,018 41.60 +3.68 Greens 89 .. .. 198,475 8.37 +0.38 Independent 72 4 .. 134,156 5.65 +0.97 Daylight Saving Party 32 .. .. 22,170 0.93 +0.93 Family First 25 .. .. 19,379 0.82 -1.08 One Nation 2 .. -1 9,038 0.38 -0.22
Note: Seat change column is compared to the actual result of the 2006 election, but list of seats changing party
below based on notional party status. Using notional party status, the figures in the Change column would read Labor (-11), Liberal National (+11) and One Nation no change. Separate Liberal and National Party totals from 2006 have been amalgamated and used as the historic figure for the LNP. At the 2006 election the National Party polled 17.82% and won 17 seats, the Liberal Party polled 20.10% and won eight seats
Seats Changing Party Liberal National gains from Labor (11) Aspley
Burdekin (re-gained following redistribution) Clayfield (re-gained following redistribution) Cleveland Coomera (newly created seat) Gaven Hervey Bay Indooroopilly Mirani (re-gained following redistribution) Mudgeeraba Redlands
Note: See summary of redistribution page 3. Note that sitting LNP members were re-elected contesting the notional Labor seats of Burdekin, Clayfield and Mirani. The LNP also won Glass House, a seat held by Labor in the last parliament but notionally LNP held on the new electoral boundaries.
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LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: SUMMARY OF FIRST PREFERENCE VOTE BY ELECTORATE
Electoral First Preference Votes Informal Total District ALP LNP GRN DSQ FFP OTH Votes Votes Turnout
Cunningham and Darling Downs. Hopper was the sitting LNP member for Darling Downs while Copeland had been the LNP member for Cunningham before being passed over for LNP endorsement.
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Cook Roll 26940
Candidate Party Votes % Swing
First Count Newie IND 1111 4.9 +4.9 St John-Wood GRN 1510 6.7 -0.3 Batchelor LNP 9629 42.4 +12.7 O'Brien * ALP 10456 46.0 -4.3 .... FFP 0.0 -0.9 .... OTH 0.0 -12.1
Final Count Batchelor LNP 10253 47.8 +9.2 O'Brien * ALP 11217 52.2 -9.2 Exhausted 1236 5.4
Mount Isa 8092 6430 55.7 44.3 2.8 to LNP Mount Ommaney 14476 11944 54.8 45.2 6.5 to LNP Mudgeeraba 10868 12717 46.1 53.9 6.6 to LNP Mulgrave 12876 9293 58.1 41.9 1.7 to LNP Mundingburra 13636 10460 56.6 43.4 4.5 to LNP Murrumba 12745 10280 55.4 44.6 6.8 to LNP Nanango (est) 5843 15280 27.7 72.3 0.4 to Labor Nicklin (est) 5703 11798 32.6 67.4 0.7 to LNP Noosa 7174 16618 30.2 69.8 12.4 to LNP Nudgee 17318 9633 64.3 35.7 3.9 to LNP Pine Rivers 13433 11163 54.6 45.4 8.7 to LNP Pumicestone 14939 12229 55.0 45.0 0.5 to LNP Redcliffe 13943 11146 55.6 44.4 0.5 to LNP Redlands 11950 11984 49.9 50.1 6.8 to LNP Rockhampton 17672 8348 67.9 32.1 1.9 to LNP Sandgate 15880 9581 62.4 37.6 2.9 to LNP South Brisbane 14697 7911 65.0 35.0 3.4 to LNP Southern Downs 8266 20315 28.9 71.1 0.7 to LNP Southport 13013 11319 53.5 46.5 4.6 to LNP Springwood 14518 12326 54.1 45.9 1.6 to LNP Stafford 14460 10778 57.3 42.7 6.9 to LNP Stretton 15293 10418 59.5 40.5 5.0 to LNP Sunnybank 15261 9845 60.8 39.2 4.4 to LNP Surfers Paradise 7958 15808 33.5 66.5 4.4 to LNP Thuringowa 13574 9641 58.5 41.5 8.4 to LNP Toowoomba North 14651 12876 53.2 46.8 4.4 to LNP Toowoomba South 11699 16300 41.8 58.2 3.0 to Labor Townsville 12405 10560 54.0 46.0 5.4 to LNP Warrego 5138 14884 25.7 74.3 1.7 to LNP Waterford 17223 8693 66.5 33.5 0.2 to Labor Whitsunday 13881 12192 53.2 46.8 2.8 to Labor Woodridge 18047 5896 75.4 24.6 1.8 to LNP Yeerongpilly 15236 10705 58.7 41.3 4.1 to LNP
Total 1106381 1082800 50.5 49.5 4.3 to LNP
(est) – estimated two-party preferred totals. See actual two-candidate preferred totals below. Gladstone based on Labor versus Independent margin at both elections.
LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: ACTUAL TWO-CANDIDATE PREFERRED RESULTS
Winning Candidate Defeated Candidate Electorate Party Vote % Party Vote %
Condamine LNP 15200 61.6 IND 9491 38.4 Dalrymple LNP 11517 55.2 ONP 9355 44.8 Gladstone IND 15458 56.1 ALP 12084 43.9 Maryborough IND 16586 66.8 LNP 8232 33.2 Nanango IND 13599 52.9 LNP 12108 47.1 Nicklin IND 15588 66.3 LNP 7921 33.7
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Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 29
LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: ELECTORATES RANKED BY NEW MARGINS
Electoral Margin Electorate Margin
Labor (51) Woodridge 25.4 Inala 21.5 Bundamba 21.2 Rockhampton 17.9 Mackay 16.7 Ipswich 16.7 Waterford 16.5 South Brisbane 15.0 Nudgee 14.3 Logan 13.9 Sandgate 12.4 Lytton 12.2 Sunnybank 10.8 Capalaba 9.7 Ipswich West 9.5 Stretton 9.5 Algester 9.2 Morayfield 9.1 Yeerongpilly 8.7 Thuringowa 8.5 Mulgrave 8.1 Bulimba 7.8 Keppel 7.6 Stafford 7.3 Ashgrove 7.1 Greenslopes 6.9 Mundingburra 6.6 Albert 6.5 Brisbane Central 6.0 Mount Isa 5.7 Redcliffe 5.6 Murrumba 5.4 Mount Coot-tha 5.2 Pumicestone 5.0 Burleigh 4.9 Mount Ommaney 4.8 Kallangur 4.6 Pine Rivers 4.6 Ferny Grove 4.5 Mansfield 4.4 Cairns 4.2 Springwood 4.1 Townsville 4.0 Southport 3.5 Whitsunday 3.2 Toowoomba North 3.2 Barron River 2.3 Cook 2.2 Broadwater 2.0 Everton 1.4 Chatsworth 0.1
Liberal National (34) Gympie 27.2 Warrego 24.3 Southern Downs 21.1 Condamine (11.6 v IND) 20.5 Noosa 19.8 Callide 19.4 Surfers Paradise 16.5 Dalrymple (5.2 v ONP) 15.8 Hinchinbrook 14.7 Buderim 14.3 Gregory 14.3 Maroochydore 12.8 Moggill 11.3 Burnett 11.1 Mermaid Beach 10.8 Beaudesert 8.3 Toowoomba South 8.2 Lockyer 7.6 Kawana 6.9 Currumbin 6.9 Hervey Bay 6.5 Caloundra 6.2 Bundaberg 6.0 Indooroopilly 5.9 Clayfield 5.8 Glass House 5.8 Aspley 4.5 Mudgeeraba 3.9 Burdekin 3.1 Coomera 1.9 Gaven 0.7 Mirani 0.6 Cleveland 0.3 Redlands 0.1 Independents (4) Maryborough (v LNP) 16.8 Nicklin (v LNP) 16.3 Gladstone (v ALP) 6.1 Nanango (v LNP) 2.9
Underlining indicates seats that changed party status at the 2009 election. See explanation of party status on
page 7. Estimated LNP two-party preferred margins for Independent held seats are Maryborough 9.0%, Nicklin
17.4% and Nanango 22.3%.
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LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY: ELECTORATES RANKED BY TWO-PARTY PREFERRED SWING
Marginal Labor (14) 177938 185955 48.9 51.1 3.5 to LNP Safe Labor (22) 289231 241511 54.5 45.5 4.6 to LNP Very Safe Labor (26) 402009 246556 62.0 38.0 5.1 to LNP Labor (62) 869178 674022 56.3 43.7 4.5 to LNP Marginal Liberal National (9)92395 128022 41.9 58.1 5.6 to LNP Safe Liberal National (7) 63353 108356 36.9 63.1 4.5 to LNP Very Safe Liberal National (7)49455 117798 29.6 70.4 2.0 to LNP Liberal National (23) 205203 354176 36.7 63.3 4.0 to LNP Marginal Others (2) 17927 30738 36.8 63.2 1.9 to LNP Very Safe Others (2) 14073 23864 37.1 62.9 0.7 to LNP Others (4) 32000 54602 37.0 63.0 1.4 to LNP
Note All electorates have been classified by party and by safety margin. Electorates held with margins below 6% are classified as Marginal, from 6% to 12% as Safe, while electorates with margins above 12% are classified as Very Safe.
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Antony Green – ABC Election Unit 33
Regional Summaries
The following tables summarise the election result for different regions of the state. The state has been broadly divided into the urban South-East and the rest of the state. Each of these broad regions has been subdivided, electorates classified as listed below. The party that won each electorate at the 2009 election is indicated. Underlining indicates seats that changed party status at the 2009 election. See explanation of party status on page 7 and summary of redistribution on page 3.
South East Queensland (57) Gold Coast (10) Albert (ALP), Broadwater (ALP), Burleigh (ALP), Coomera (LNP),
Average (71) 37.8 18.1 44.1 Total Preferences (71) 39.4 17.8 42.8
Note: Total preferences are calculated by totalling all preference distributions before calculating percentages.
Average is calculated by averaging the percentage preference flows in each electorate. The totalling method gives greater weight to preference flows in electorates with a high Green first preference vote.
Distribution of Labor Preferences (LNP / IND contests)
Donkey % Preferences Flowing to Primary % Vote of Electorate Vote to LNP IND Exhaust % Vote Other Candidate
Changes In Parliamentary Membership The following table summarise members who retired, were defeated, were newly elected or changed seat at the 2009 election. A total of nine members were defeated, 10 did not re-contest the election while six members were elected to different electorates. There were 19 new members, nine succeeding a member of their own party following retirement, seven elected after gaining a seat for their party, while three members were elected to new or vacant seats. Legislative Assembly: Members Retiring, Defeated or Changing Seat at the 2009 Election
MLA (Party) Old Electorate Change in Status
Bonny Barry (ALP) Aspley Defeated Chris Bombolas (ALP) Chatsworth Did not contest election Stuart Copeland (IND) Cunningham Defeated contesting Condamine Steve Dickson (LNP) Kawana Elected for Buderim John English (ALP) Redlands Defeated Gary Fenlon (ALP) Greenslopes Did not contest election Phil Gray (ALP) Gaven Defeated Ken Hayward (ALP) Kallangur Did not contest election Ray Hopper (LNP) Darling Downs Elected for Condamine Shane Knuth (LNP) Charters Towers Elected for Dalrymple Linda Lavarch (ALP) Kurwongbah Seat re-named Pine Rivers, did not contest Ronan Lee (GRN) Indooroopilly Defeated Rosa Lee Long (ONP) Tablelands Defeated contesting Dalrymple Kev Lingard (LNP) Beaudesert Did not contest election Carolyn Male (ALP) Glass House Elected for Pine Rivers Andrew McNamara (ALP) Hervey Bay Defeated Jim Pearce (ALP) Fitzroy Seat abolished, did not contest election Warren Pitt (ALP) Mulgrave Did not contest election Pat Purcell (ALP) Bulimba Did not contest election Dianne Reilly (ALP) Mudgeeraba Defeated Mike Reynolds (ALP) Townsville Did not contest election Judy Spence (ALP) Mount Gravatt Elected for Sunnybank Ray Stevens (LNP) Robina Elected for Mermaid beach Phil Weightman (ALP) Cleveland Defeated Rod Welford (ALP) Everton Did not contest election
Legislative Assembly: New Members
MLA (Party) New Electorate Change in Status
Ros Bates (LNP) Mudgeeraba Defeated Dianne Reilly (ALP) Jarrod Bleijie (LNP) Kawana Succeeded Steve Dickson (LNP) Michael Crandon (LNP) Coomera Gained new notionally Labor seat Tracy Davis (LNP) Aspley Defeated Bonny Barry (ALP) Cameron Dick (ALP) Greenslopes Succeeded Gary Fenlon (ALP) Alex Douglas (LNP) Gaven Defeated Phil Gray (ALP) Peter Dowling (LNP) Redlands Defeated John English (ALP) Scott Emerson (LNP) Indooroopilly Defeated Ronan Lee (GRN) Di Farmer (ALP) Bulimba Succeeded Pat Purcell (ALP) Mandy Johnstone (ALP) Townsville Succeeded Mike Reynolds (ALP) Steve Kilburn (ALP) Chatsworth Succeeded Chris Bombolas (ALP) Aidan McLindon (LNP) Beaudesert Succeeded Kev Lingard (LNP) Mary-Anne O'Neill (ALP) Kallangur Succeeded Ken Hayward (ALP) Curtis Pitt (ALP) Mulgrave Succeeded his father Warren Pitt (ALP) Andrew Powell (LNP) Glass House Won notionally LNP seat succeeding Carolyn
Male (ALP) Mark Robinson (LNP) Cleveland Defeated Phil Weightman (ALP) Mark Ryan (ALP) Morayfield Won new notionally Labor seat Ted Sorensen (LNP) Hervey Bay Defeated Andrew McNamara (ALP) Murray Watt (ALP) Everton Succeeded Rod Welford (ALP)
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Queensland Election Results 1950-2006 Percentage Vote By Party Two-Party Election ALP LIB NAT DLP DEM GRN ONP OTH ALP LNP
Note: Underlining indicates the party that formed government after each election. Results as at date of general
election. 1989 result became NAT 27 LIB 8 following a Court of Disputed Returns decision. Court ordered Mundingburra by-election saw Borbidge Coalition government formed in February 1996. National Party known as Country Party until 1975. DLP known as Queensland Labor Party until 1962. Liberal and National Parties merged in 2008 as the Liberal National Party. Sources: First preference votes and seats won 1950-83 from Clement Macintyre, Political Australia: A Handbook
of facts, Oxford University Press 1991. Subsequent results taken from Queensland Parliamentary Handbook and Electoral Commission returns. Two-party results from Colin Hughes ANU datasets.