PJM©2009 1 www.pjm.com Locational Marginal Pricing (LMP) Overview PJM Member Training Dept. Generation 101
PJM©20091www.pjm.com
Locational Marginal Pricing (LMP) Overview
PJM Member Training Dept. Generation 101
PJM©20092www.pjm.com
Objectives
Student will identify the components and
uses of the pricing mechanism used by the
PJM energy market.
Student will illustrate the associations
between market sellers, market buyers and
Locational Marginal Pricing.
Student will explain the calculation of LMP
through the use of a 5 bus model diagram.
PJM©20093www.pjm.com
Agenda
Locational Marginal Pricing - LMP
Definition of LMP
5-bus Example
LMP Verification & Posting process
LMP Statistics
What is LMP?
www.pjm.com
Pricing method PJM uses to:
price energy purchases and sales in PJM Market
price transmission congestion costs to move energy within PJM RTO
Physical, flow-based pricing system:
how energy actually flows, NOT contract paths
4 10/22/2009
LMP Analogy
LMP is analogous to a taxi ride for MWs!Light traffic = Consistent, predictable fare
www.pjm.com 5 10/22/2009
LMP Analogy
LMP is analogous to a taxi ride for MWs!Heavy traffic = Higher fare
www.pjm.com 6 10/22/2009
How is LMP Used?
www.pjm.com
Generators get paid at generation bus LMP
Loads pay at load bus LMP
Typically at zone LMP
Option exists for nodal LMP
Transactions pay differential in source and sink LMP
Congestion
Losses
7 10/22/2009
Locational Marginal Price
www.pjm.com
System
Energy
Price
Transmission
Congestion
Cost
Cost of
Marginal
Losses
Cost to serve the next MW of load at a specific location,
using the lowest production cost of all available generation,
while observing all transmission limits
8 10/22/2009
Locational Marginal Price
www.pjm.com 9
System
Energy
Price
Transmission
Congestion
Cost
Cost of
Marginal
Losses
System Energy Price
Represents optimal dispatch ignoring congestion and losses
Same price for every bus in PJM
Used to price Spot Market Interchange
Spot Market buyer pays system energy price
Spot Market seller is paid system energy price
Calculated both in day ahead and real time
10/22/2009
Locational Marginal Price
www.pjm.com
System
Energy
Price
Transmission
Congestion
Cost
Cost of
Marginal
Losses
Congestion Price
Represents price of congestion for binding constraints
Calculated using cost of marginal units controlling constraints and sensitivity factors on each bus
No change in this calculation
Will be zero if no constraints
Will vary by location if system is constrained
Used to price explicit and implicit congestion (Locational Net Congestion Bill)
Load pays Congestion Price
Generation is paid Congestion Price
Congestion revenues allocated as hourly credits to FTR holders
Calculated both in day ahead and real time
10 10/22/2009
Locational Marginal Price
www.pjm.com
System
Energy
Price
Transmission
Congestion
Cost
Cost of
Marginal
Losses
Loss Price
Represents price of marginal losses
Calculated using penalty factors as previously described
Will vary by location
Used to price explicit and implicit losses (Locational Net Loss Bill)
Load pays the Loss Price
Generation is paid the Loss Price
Loss revenues are allocated based on load + exports ratio share
Calculated both in day-ahead and real-time
11 10/22/2009
Transmission Losses
Real Power (MW) Losses
– Power flow converted to heat in transmission equipment
– Heat produced by current (I) flowing through resistance (R)
– Losses equal to I2R
– Heat loss sets the “thermal rating” of equipment
www.pjm.com 12 10/22/2009
Dispatch Rate
www.pjm.com
Definition: The Dispatch Rate is expressed in dollars per
MWh, calculated and transmitted to each generator to direct
the output level of all generation resources dispatched by
PJM based on the incremental offer data which was
previously received from the Generators.
13 10/22/2009
Dispatch Rate
www.pjm.com
The Dispatch Rate is determined by the PJM economic
dispatch solution as calculated by PJM’s Unit Dispatch
System (UDS)
Offer Price
MW
200150100500
$35
$30
$25
$20
Economic Basepoint
The Economic Basepoint is the MW value sent to the generating unit
that indicates to what level the unit should be loaded based on the
economic dispatch solution and the units incremental price curve
Dispatch Rate = $25
14 10/22/2009
Penalty Factors Effect on Dispatch
The Incremental Loss for bus i is used to calculate a factor that can be used to include the effect of losses in the dispatch
This factor is called the Loss Penalty Factor, or Penalty Factor
www.pjm.com
i
L
i
P
PPf
1
1
The Penalty Factors adjust the incremental cost of each generator
so as to include the effects of losses
Penalty factors applied to each and every location
Including generation, load, virtual transaction
Change in Losses
Change in Unit’s MW Output
15 10/22/2009
Penalty Factors Effect on Dispatch
If an increase in generation results in an increase in system losses then:
Penalty factor is greater than 1
Units offer curve is adjusted higher
Unit offer curve is multiplied by penalty factor
Unit looks less attractive to dispatch
www.pjm.com
0.1
1
1
i
L
i
P
PPf
10
i
L
P
P
16 10/22/2009
Penalty Factors Effect on Dispatch
If an increase in generation results in a decrease in system losses then:
Penalty factor is less than 1
Units offer curve is adjusted lower
Unit offer curve is multiplied by penalty factor
Unit looks more attractive to dispatch
Total LMP would still at least equal unit’s original offer
www.pjm.com
10
i
L
P
P 0.1
1
1
i
L
i
P
PPf
17 10/22/2009
Penalty Factors Effect on Dispatch - Example # 1
Generating Unit # 1 Generating Unit # 2
Offer Price = $ 10.00 ----- 200 MW
$ 20.00 ----- 300 MW
$ 30.00 ----- 400 MW
$ 40.00 ----- 500 MW
Offer Price = $ 10.00 ----- 200 MW
$ 20.00 ----- 300 MW
$ 30.00 ----- 400 MW
$ 40.00 ----- 500 MW
Generating 300 MW Generating 300 MW
Penalty Factor = 1.00
$20 * 1.00 = $20.00 (Unit
offer price stays the same)
Penalty Factor = .97
$20 * 0.97 = $19.60
(Unit offer price adjusted lower)www.pjm.com
Penalty Factors Effect on Dispatch - Example # 2
Generating Unit # 1 Generating Unit # 2
Offer Price = $ 10.00 ----- 200 MW
$ 20.00 ----- 300 MW
$ 30.00 ----- 400 MW
$ 40.00 ----- 500 MW
$ 50.00 ----- 600 MW
Offer Price = $ 10.00 ----- 200 MW
$ 20.00 ----- 300 MW
$ 30.00 ----- 400 MW
$ 40.00 ----- 500 MW
$ 50.00 ----- 600 MW
Generating 500 MW Generating 500 MW
Penalty Factor = 1.05
$40 * 1.05 = $42.00
(Unit offer price adjusted higher)
Penalty Factor = 1.00
$40 * 1.00 = $40.00
(Unit offer price stays the same)www.pjm.com
LMP & Economic Dispatch
www.pjm.com
Dispatch Rate DirectiveWhere PJM wants
The units to be
loaded economically
LMP Based on actual
loading of each unitResult
If unit’s don’t move to follow dispatch rate, LMP will not change!
20 10/22/2009
LMP Model
Siemens
State
Estimator
Real-Time
Data
(EMS) LPA
Unit
Dispatch
System (UDS)
LMP’s for
all locations
Dispatcher
InputBinding Transmission
Constraints
Energy Demand
Generator MW
System Topology
LPA
Preprocessor
Generator Offers
Flexible Generating
Units & Offers
Dispatch Rates
Dispatchable Transactions
*
*
* Manual Dispatcher Input LPA = Locational Pricing Algorithm
www.pjm.com
LMP Execution Steps
www.pjm.com
Determine current system conditions energy demand generator MW values system topology
Process generator offers & dispatch rates to determine flexible generators
Collect current system constraint data
Execute Locational Price Algorithm
22 10/22/2009
High & Low LMPs
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Highest LMP at immediate receiving end of constraint
Lowest LMP at immediate sending end of constraint
Two marginal units control one constraint; three marginal units two constraints, etc...
Sending End Receiving End
Thermal Limit
23 10/22/2009
PJM©200924www.pjm.com
Agenda
Locational Marginal Pricing - LMP
Definition of LMP
5-bus Example
LMP Verification and Posting process
LMP Statistics
System
Overview
E
A
B C
D230 MW Thermal Limit
Sundance
SolitudeAlta
Park City
Brighton
Legend
BusLoad
Generators
Transmission
Line
25
XCD = 2.97%
XED = 2.97%
XAB = 2.81%
XEA = 0.64%
Impedances as shown –
R = 0 for all lines
XBC = 1.08%
XAD = 3.04%
Example # 1 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
25www.pjm.com 10/22/2009
Example # 1 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
www.pjm.com
E
A
B C
D230 MW Thermal Limit
SolitudeAlta
Park City
Brighton
Sundance
Loads = 223 MW each
Load =
223 MW
Unconstrained System
Loads = 669
26 10/22/2009
27www.pjm.com
E
A
B C
D230 MW Thermal Limit
SolitudeAlta
Park City
Brighton
600 MW
$10/MWh
110 MW
$14/MWh100 MW
$15/MWh
520 MW
$30/MWh
200 MW
$40/MWh
Generator Offers
223 MW 223 MW
223 MW
Sundance
Example # 1 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
10/22/2009
Example # 1 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
www.pjm.com
E
A
B C
D230 MW Thermal Limit
SolitudeAlta
Park City
Brighton
600 MW
$10/MWh
110 MW
$14/MWh100 MW
$15/MWh
520 MW
$30/MWh
200 MW
$40/MWh
Sundance
223 MW 223 MW
223 MW
600 MW
69 MW
Dispatch & Energy Flow
229
147
153
293 70
371
Total Load 669
28 10/22/2009
Example # 1 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
www.pjm.com
E
A
B C
D230 MW Thermal Limit
SolitudeAlta
Park City
Brighton
600 MW
$10/MWh
110 MW
$14/MWh100 MW
$15/MWh
520 MW
$30/MWh
200 MW
$40/MWh
Sundance
223 MW 223 MW
223 MW
600 MW69
MW
229
147
153
293 70
371
LMPs - No Loss Component Included
$14
$14$14
$14
$14
Alta - Marginal Unit
Alta
29 10/22/2009
Example # 1 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
www.pjm.com
E
A
B C
D230 MW
Thermal Limit
Solitude
Alta
Park City
Brighton
600 MW
$10/MWh
110 MW
$14/MWh
100 MW
$15/MWh
520 MW
$30/MWh
200 MW
$40/MWh
Sundance
223 MW 223 MW
223 MW
600 MW
86 M
W
229
147
153
293 70
371
LMP = $13.83PF = 1.0624
LMPs - Loss Component Included
LMP = $14.00PF = 1.0492
LMP = $14.61PF = 1.0053
LMP = $14.69PF = 1.00
LMP = $14.33PF = 1.0247
Area Load = 669
Area Losses = 17 MW
Area Generation = 686
Brighton - 600 MW
Alta - 86 MW
Marginal Unit
Reference Bus30 10/22/2009
Example # 1 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
Unit Penalty Factor
(PF)
Total
LMP
Solitude 1.00 14.69
Park City 1.0053 $14.61
Sundance 1.0247 $14.33
Alta 1.0492 $14.00
Brighton 1.0624 $13.83
www.pjm.com
Marginal Unit
Reference Bus
A higher PF results in a
lower LMP (LMP gets
lower
“Disincentive” to
generation since
increased generation
contributes to losses
31 10/22/2009
Example # 1 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
Unit Offer Price Adjusted Offer Total LMP
Alta $14.00 $14.689 $14.00
Brighton $10.00 $10.624 $13.83
Park City $15.00 $15.738 $14.61*Unit Not Running
Solitude $30.00 $30.00 $14.69*Unit Not Running
Sundance $40.00 $40.988 $14.33*Unit Not Running
www.pjm.com
Adjusted Offer =
Offer X Penalty Factor
Higher PF = Offer
Marginal Unit
Reference Bus32 10/22/2009
Example # 2 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
www.pjm.com
E
A
B C
D230 MW Thermal Limit
SolitudeAlta
Park City
Brighton
Sundance
Constrained System
Loads = 900
600 MW
$10/MWh
110 MW
$14/MWh100 MW
$15/MWh
520 MW
$30/MWh
200 MW
$40/MWh
Loads = 300 MW
Load = 300 MW
33 10/22/2009
Example # 2 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
www.pjm.com
E
A
B C
D230 MW Thermal Limit
SolitudeAlta
Park City
Brighton
600 MW
$10/MWh
110 MW
$14/MWh100 MW
$15/MWh
520 MW
$30/MWh
200 MW
$40/MWh
300 MW 300 MW
300 MW
Dispatched
at 600 MW
Dispatched
100 MW
Dispatched
at 110 MW
Dispatch Solution Ignoring Thermal Limit
Dispatched
90 MW
Total Dispatched
900 MW
253
174
216
384 84
348
Sundance
34 10/22/2009
www.pjm.com
E
A
B C
D230 MW Thermal Limit
SolitudeAlta
Park City
Brighton
600 MW
$10/MWh
110 MW
$14/MWh100 MW
$15/MWh
520 MW
$30/MWh
200 MW
$40/MWh
Sundance
300 MW 300 MW
300 MW
Actual Dispatched Generation
Dispatched
at 510 MW
Dispatched
at 180 MW
Dispatched
at 100 MW
Dispatched
at 110 MW Total Dispatched
900 MW
Example # 2 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
35 10/22/2009
www.pjm.com
E
A
B C
D230 MW Thermal Limit
SolitudeAlta
Park City
Brighton
600 MW
$10/MWh
110 MW
$14/MWh100 MW
$15/MWh
520 MW
$30/MWh
200 MW
$40/MWh
Sundance
300 MW 300 MW
300 MW
510 MW11
0 M
W
230
178
102
309 4
279
Energy Flow
100
MW
Example # 2 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
195 MW
225
180
101
280
36 10/22/2009
www.pjm.com
E
A
B C
D230 MW Thermal Limit
Solitude
Alta
Park City
Brighton
600 MW
$10/MWh
110 MW
$14/MWh100 MW
$15/MWh
520 MW
$30/MWh
200 MW
$40/MWh
Sundance
300 MW 300 MW
300 MW
510 MW11
0 M
W
230
178
102
309 304
279
$10.00
$30.00$26.40
$17.00
$40.00
100
MW
Example # 2 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
LMPs - No Loss Component Included
195 MW
225
280
10118
0
37
Brighton & Solitude - Marginal Generators
10/22/2009
Example # 2 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
www.pjm.com
279
E
A
B C
D
Alta
Park City
Brighton
600 MW
$10/MWh
110 MW
$14/MWh
100 MW
$15/MWh
520 MW
$30/MWh
200 MW
$40/MWh
Sundance
300 MW 300 MW
300 MW
510 MW
110
MW
230
178
102
309 304
LMP = $10.00PF = 1.0555
LMPs - Loss Component Included
LMP = $16.76PF = 1.0450 LMP = $26.61
PF = 1.0024
LMP = $30.00PF = 1.00
LMP = $39.35PF = 1.0162
Area Load = 900
Area Losses = 15 MW
Area Generation = 915
Brighton - 510 MW
Alta - 110 MW
Park City - 100 MW
Solitude - 195
100
MW
195 MW
225
280
180
Marginal Unit
Reference Bus
Solitude
38 10/22/2009
LMP & Sensitivity Factors
www.pjm.com
Solitude & Brighton supply the next increment of load on the system
(Marginal generators)
Attempt to serve an additional increment of load (1 MW)
Resulting Sensitivity Factors determine LMP
Least Cost Security Constrained Dispatch Algorithm
Calculates least expensive way to serve load while respecting
transmission limit
Power flow analysis calculates Sensitivity Factors
39 10/22/2009
Sensitivity Factors
www.pjm.com
Sensitivity Factors calculate the price to deliver power to
every location in PJM in the least expensive way
Based on System impedance
“Big pipe” = lower impedance = more power flow
“Garden hose” = high impedance = less power flow
Based on impact of marginal generators on transmission
constraint and generator price
40 10/22/2009
www.pjm.com
How would 1 MW of energy be supplied to each bus from the two
“marginal” units without violating the transmission constraint?
Example # 2 - LMP Calculations
The sensitivity factors reflect the amount of cost effective generation required to supply 1 MW of load at each bus, without increasing the flow on the contingency
LMP Calculations - No Loss Component
Sensitivity Factors
(for 1 MWh of Load Supplied from)
Bus Brighton
@ $10/MWh
Solitude
@ $30/MWh
Calculation(MWh) (Brighton Unit Price) +
(MWh) (Solitude Unit Price) +LMP
A 0.65 MWh 0.35 MWh 0.65 ($10) + 0.35 ($30) $17.00
B 0.18 MWh 0.82 MWh 0.18 ($10) + 0.82 ($30) $26.40
C 0.00 MWh 1.00 MWh 0.00 ($10) + .1.00 ($30) $30.00
D -0.50 MWh 1.50 MWh -0.50 ($10) + 1.50 ($30) $40.00
E 1.00 MWh -0.00 MWh 1.00 ($10) + 0.00 ($30) $10.00
41 10/22/2009
Example # 2 - LMP Calculations
System Energy Price = LMP at the Reference Bus (where Congestion & Losses = 0)
Reference or “Slack” Bus is the “electrical load center” of the system
Losses are calculated using the System Energy Price & the Penalty Factor (Pf)
www.pjm.com
Solitude
520 MW
$30/MWh
Energy LMP = $ 30.00
Congestion LMP = $0.00
Losses LMP = $ 0.00
Total LMP = $30.00
PF = 1.00
System
Energy
Price
1Pf
1*
42 10/22/2009
Example # 2 - Losses Calculation
Bus Penalty
Factor
Calculation Total Losses
A 1.0450 $-1.29
B 1.0024 $-0.07
C 1.00 $0.00
D 1.0162 $-0.48
E 1.0555 $-1.58
www.pjm.com
System
Energy
Price
1Pf
1*
1
1.0450- 130.00 *
1
1.0024- 130.00 *
1
1.00- 130.00 *
1
1.0162- 130.00 *
1
1.0555- 130.00 *
43 10/22/2009
www.pjm.com
Example # 2 - LMP Calculations
Bus System Energy
Price
Congestion Losses
Calculation
(Using Sensitivity Factors for 1 MW of Load
Supplied From Marginal Generators:
Brighton & Solitude)
LMP
A $30.00 $ -11.95 $ -1.29 0.65 ($10) + 0.342 ($30) $16.76
B $30.00 $ -3.32 $ -0.07 0.171 ($10) + 0.83 ($30) $26.61
C $30.00 $ 0.00 $ 0.00 0.00 ($10) + 1.00 ($30) $30.00
D $30.00 $ 9.82 $ -0.48 -0.535 ($10) + 1.45 ($30) $39.35
E $30.00 $ -18.42 $ -1.58 1.00 ($10) + -0.00 ($30) $10.00
LMP Calculations - Loss Component Included
How would 1 MW of energy be supplied to each bus from the two
“marginal” units without violating the transmission constraint?
3 LMP Components
PJM©200945www.pjm.com
Agenda
Locational Marginal Pricing - LMP
Definition of LMP
5-bus Example
LMP Verification & Posting process
LMP Statistics
Calculated & posted on PJM website at 5-minute intervals
Based on actual operating conditions, as described by State Estimator
Integrated at end of each hour (five-minute real-time LMPs) & posted on PJM website
Market settlements performed based on hourly integrated LMPs (after LMP Verification Process!!!)
Real-Time LMPs
www.pjm.com 46 10/22/2009
Operational Data Page
www.pjm.com
http://www.pjm.com/pub/account/lmpgen/lmppost.html
47 10/22/2009
Operational Data Page
www.pjm.com
Zonal LMPs are Load-weighted LMPs
Correspond to PJM Transmission zones
Hub LMPs use equal weighting at each bus included in the Hub
Western Hub most popular
Interface LMPs are dynamically weighted based on flow on
each tie-line of the interface
More accurately reflects physical flow
Aggregate LMPs can be generation or load weighted
Can be requested by LSE or Generation owner
Detailed definitions of Zones, Hubs, Interfaces, and Aggregates can be
found at pjm.com by accessing > Markets > Energy > LMP Model
48 10/22/2009
Reviews following logs: Dispatcher logs Program error logs LMP results for each interval
Recalculates or replaces LMPs, as required
Notifies Market Settlements LMPs are verified & ready to use in accounting
Posts verified hourly LMPs for previous operating day on PJM website
Daily LMP Verification Process
www.pjm.com 49 10/22/2009
LMP Summary
www.pjm.com
LMP is the pricing mechanism for wholesale power in the
PJM energy market
LMPs components include System Energy Price,
Congestion (if it exists) and Losses (when applicable)
Only units following PJM dispatch instructions can set LMP
Although all units get paid LMP for their MW output
Real-time LMPs are posted on the PJM home page and on
internet tools such as eDATA
Verified hourly integrated LMPs are used for Market Settlements
50 10/22/2009
PJM©200951www.pjm.com
Questions?
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Contact Information
PJM©200953www.pjm.com
Agenda
Locational Marginal Pricing - LMP
Definition of LMP
5-bus Example
LMP Verification & Posting process
LMP Statistics
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
$900
$1,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000
110,000
120,000
130,000
140,000
150,000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Rea
l-tim
e LM
P ($
/MW
h)
Dem
and
(MW
)
Hour ending (EPT)
08-Aug-07 PJM load
09-Jun-08 PJM load
08-Aug-07 PJM average real-time LMP
09-Jun-08 PJM average real-time LMP
08-Aug-07 1600 EPT - PJM 139,428 MW
09-Jun-08 1700 EPT - PJM 130,100 MW
PJM summer peak-load comparison:
Monday, June 9, 2008, and Wednesday, August 8, 2007
Summer Peak Load Comparison
54www.pjm.com 10/22/2009
www.pjm.com
Day-Ahead Real-Time
Simple Average
LMP
$66.12 $66.40
Load-Weighted
Average LMP
$70.25 $71.13
2008 LMP Update
(Dollars MWH)
PJM real-time, simple average LMP components (Dollars per MWh):
Calendar years 2006 to 2008
www.pjm.com
2006 $49.27 $47.19 $2.08 $0.00
2007 $57.58 $56.56 $1.00 $0.02
2008 $66.40 $66.29 $0.06 $0.04
Loss
ComponentReal-Time LMP
Energy
Component
Congestion
Component
2006-2008 Real-time Simple Average LMP Components
10/22/200956
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
LMP
($/M
Wh)
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
PJM real-time, monthly, load-weighted, average LMP: Calendar years 2004 to 2008
www.pjm.com
2004-2008 Real-time Monthly Load-Weighted Average LMP
10/22/200957
www.pjm.com 58
Fuel-Cost Adjusted LMP
10/22/2009
PJM real-time, simple average LMP
(Dollars per MWh): Calendar years 1998 to 2008
www.pjm.com 59
Average Median
Standard
Deviation Average Median
Standard
Deviation
1998 $21.72 $16.60 $31.45 NA NA NA
1999 $28.32 $17.88 $72.42 30.4% 7.7% 130.3%
2000 $28.14 $19.11 $25.69 (0.6%) 6.9% (64.5%)
2001 $32.38 $22.98 $45.03 15.1% 20.3% 75.3%
2002 $28.30 $21.08 $22.41 (12.6%) (8.3%) (50.2%)
2003 $38.28 $30.79 $24.71 35.3% 46.1% 10.3%
2004 $42.40 $38.30 $21.12 10.8% 24.4% (14.5%)
2005 $58.08 $47.18 $35.91 37.0% 23.2% 70.0%
2006 $49.27 $41.45 $32.71 (15.2%) (12.1%) (8.9%)
2007 $57.58 $49.92 $34.60 16.9% 20.4% 5.8%
2008 $66.40 $55.53 $38.62 15.3% 11.2% 11.6%
Year-to-Year ChangeReal-Time LMP
1998-2008 PJM Real-time Simple Average LMP
10/22/2009
PJM real-time, annual, load-weighted, average LMP (Dollars per MWh):
Calendar years 1998 to 2008
www.pjm.com 60
Average Median
Standard
Deviation Average Median
Standard
Deviation
1998 $24.16 $17.60 $39.29 NA NA NA
1999 $34.07 $19.02 $91.49 41.0% 8.1% 132.9%
2000 $30.72 $20.51 $28.38 (9.8%) 7.8% (69.0%)
2001 $36.65 $25.08 $57.26 19.3% 22.3% 101.8%
2002 $31.60 $23.40 $26.75 (13.8%) (6.7%) (53.3%)
2003 $41.23 $34.96 $25.40 30.5% 49.4% (5.0%)
2004 $44.34 $40.16 $21.25 7.5% 14.9% (16.3%)
2005 $63.46 $52.93 $38.10 43.1% 31.8% 79.3%
2006 $53.35 $44.40 $37.81 (15.9%) (16.1%) (0.8%)
2007 $61.66 $54.66 $36.94 15.6% 23.1% (2.3%)
2008 $71.13 $59.54 $40.97 15.4% 8.9% 10.9%
Real-Time, Load-Weighted, Average LMP Year-to-Year Change
1998-2008 PJM Real-time Load Weighted Average LMP
10/22/2009
PJM day-ahead, simple average LMP (Dollars per MWh): Calendar years
2004 to 2008
www.pjm.com 61
Average Median
Standard
Deviation Average Median
Standard
Deviation
2004 $41.43 $40.36 $16.60 NA NA NA
2005 $57.89 $50.08 $30.04 39.7% 24.1% 81.0%
2006 $48.10 $44.21 $23.42 (16.9%) (11.7%) (22.0%)
2007 $54.67 $52.34 $23.99 13.7% 18.4% 2.4%
2008 $66.12 $58.93 $30.87 20.9% 12.6% 28.7%
Year-to-Year ChangeDay-Ahead LMP
2004-2008 PJM Day-ahead Simple Average LMP
10/22/2009
PJM day-ahead, load-weighted, average LMP (Dollars per MWh): Calendar
years 2004 to 2008
www.pjm.com 62
Average Median
Standard
Deviation Average Median
Standard
Deviation
2004 $42.87 $41.96 $16.32 NA NA NA
2005 $62.50 $54.74 $31.72 45.8% 30.5% 94.4%
2006 $51.33 $46.72 $26.45 (17.9%) (14.7%) (16.6%)
2007 $57.88 $55.91 $25.02 12.8% 19.7% (5.4%)
2008 $70.25 $62.91 $33.14 21.4% 12.5% 32.5%
Day-Ahead, Load-Weighted, Average LMP Year-to-Year Change
2004-2008 PJM Day-ahead Load-Weighted Average LMP
10/22/2009