2 Methodology Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion, which started in 2002. This years survey, commissioned to TNS Opinion, consists.
Mar 27, 2015
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MethodologyTransatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion, which started in 2002. This year’s survey, commissioned to TNS Opinion, consists of a random sample of approximately 1,000 phone or face-to-face interviews in each country (1,500 in Russia) conducted between June 2 and June 27, 2012. For results based on national samples, the maximum margin of error is +/- 3%, for results based on the total European sample the margin of error is +/-1%, at a 95% confidence level. Total sample size is 15,547.
Year Total Coverage European Coverage
2002 U.S. + E6 France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, the United Kingdom2003 U.S. + E7 France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, the United Kingdom, Portugal
2004-2005 U.S. + E10France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, the United Kingdom, Portugal, Turkey, Slovakia, Spain
2006-2010 U.S. + E12France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, the United Kingdom, Portugal, Turkey, Slovakia, Spain, Bulgaria, Romania
2011 U.S. + E13France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, the United Kingdom, Portugal, Turkey, Slovakia, Spain, Bulgaria, Romania, Sweden
2012 U.S. + E13 + RussiaFrance, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, the United Kingdom, Portugal, Turkey, Slovakia, Spain, Bulgaria, Romania, Sweden
EU12 includes all EU member countries in our sample
Key Findings• Transatlantic majorities approve of U.S. President Barack Obama‘s
foreign policy, but Mitt Romney is largely unknown in Europe• Americans and Europeans feel transatlantic relationship is more
important than Asia• Growing numbers on both sides of the Atlantic say they are
personally affected by the economic crisis• Two-in-three Europeans say EU membership was good for their
economy — but 57% say the Euro‘s impact has been negative• Americans and Europeans agree intervention in Libya was right
— but want to stay out of Syria• Majorities in U.S. and Europe hold unfavorable views of Russia• Turks warm slightly to U.S. and Europe — but still hold unfavorable
views
Overview
1.Transatlantic Relations and Global Views
2.Economy and Eurocrisis
3.Obama’s First Term and the 2012 Elections
4.Transatlantic Security
5. Russia
EU12 U.S.0
10
20
30
40
50
464445
43
57
State of EU-U.S. Relations Seen As Good or Mixed
Good
Mixed
Bad
Perc
ent
Q2.1: Now I would like to ask you some questions about the relations between different countries and organizations. For each, can you tell me if the relations between those countries and organizations are good, bad, or mixed that is, good in some respects and bad in others? How about the United States and European Union?
7
EU12 U.S. U.K.0
10
20
30
40
50
60
4644
35
4543
56
57
5
State of EU-U.S. Relations Seen as Good or Mixed
Good Mixed Bad
Perc
ent
Q2.1: Now I would like to ask you some questions about the relations between different countries and organizations. For each, can you tell me if the relations between those countries and organizations are good, bad, or mixed that is, good in some respects and bad in others? How about the United States and European Union?
Q1a/1b: How desirable is it that the United States/European Union exert strong leadership in world affairs? Very desirable, somewhat desirable, somewhat undesirable, or very undesirable?
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
79 80 7973
7673
6872 72
696364
45
3639 37 36 36
55 55 54 52
Majorities on Both Sides of the Atlantic Want Strong U.S. and EU Leadership in World Affairs
U.S. desire for EU leadership in world affairsEU desire for U.S. leadership in world affairs
Perc
ent (
App
rova
l)
9
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
64
45
3639 37 36 36
55 55 5452
79 80 79
7376
73
6872 72
69
6372
55 54 5348 50 48
64
74
66
6267 65
71
6061
73
63
55
Majorities on Both Sides of the Atlantic Want Strong U.S. and EU Leadership in World Affairs
EU desire for U.S. leadership in world affairs U.S. desire for EU leadership in world affairs
U.K. desire for U.S. leadership in world affairs U.K. desire for EU leadership in world affairs
Perc
ent
Q1a/1b: How desirable is it that the United States/European Union exert strong leadership in world affairs? Very desirable, somewhat desirable, somewhat undesirable, or very undesirable?
10
Q13a/b: Generally, in terms of [COUNTRY’s/U.S.] national interests today, which of the following is more important to [COUNTRY/U.S.]: the United States/the European Union, or the countries of Asia, such as China, Japan and South Korea?
U.S. is More Important
Asia is More Important
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
61
30
EU12 Attitudes
Perc
ent
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
55
34
U.S. Attitudes
Perc
ent
Transatlantic Relationship is More Important Than Asia
Q13a/b: Generally, in terms of [COUNTRY’s] national interests today, which of the following is more important to [COUNTRY]: the United States, or the countries of Asia, such as China, Japan and South Korea?
Germany
RomaniaU.K.
France
EU12
Netherla
ndsSpain
Italy
Portugal
Bulgaria
Poland
Slovakia
Sweden
Turkey
Russia
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
7068 67
64 6361
59 58 5755 54
5249
45
29
2425
21
27
31 30 31
38
33
38
23
2725
4346
40
Transatlantic Relationship and Asia—by Country
The United States is more importantThe countries of Asia are more important
Perc
ent
Q14: There are different views about the rise of China. In economic terms, some people see China as more of an opportunity for new markets and investment, while others see it as a threat to our jobs and economic security. Which view is closer to your own?
France U.S.
Portugal
SpainIta
lyEU12
Poland
Slovakia
Germany
Turkey
U.K.
Russia
Bulgaria
Sweden
Romania
Netherla
nds0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
24
30
34
42
38
42
36
29
50
32
56
39
43
5856
58
65
59
5451
4745
43 4340 39
36
3027 27
2523
Mixed Views on China as Economic Opportunity or Threat…
China is more of an economic opportunity China is more of an economic threat
Perc
ent
13
U.S.
France U.K.
Sweden
Portugal
Spain
Germany
EU12
PolandIta
lyRussi
a
Slovakia
Netherla
nds
Turkey
Romania
Bulgaria0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
51
44 44 42 41 41 40 39 3835 33
28 2724 22
14
43 51 49 50 5256 56
53
46
56
46 50
62
5561
65
6 5 7 8 7 3 4 8 17 10 21 22 11 21 17 21
… and on China as Military Threat
Don't know/ Refuse to answerChina is not a military threatChina is a military threat
Perc
ent
Q15: There are also different views about China’s military power. Some people see China as a military threat, while others do not. Which view is closer to your own?
Overview
1.Transatlantic Relations and Global Views
2.Economy and Eurocrisis
3.Obama’s First Term and the 2012 Elections
4.Transatlantic Security
5. Russia
Bulgaria
Portugal
Romania
SlovakiaSpain U.S.
Italy
U.K.
Turkey
EU12Russi
a
Netherla
nds
France
Poland
Germany
Sweden
20
40
60
80
89
80
86
78
71
82
6770
55
61
49
5652
45
31
89 89 88
8380 79
7573
6965
5854 53 53
45
36
Large and Growing Majorities Affected by Economic Crisis
2011 2012
Perc
ent A
ffect
ed
Q44: And regarding the extent to which you or your family has been personally affected by the current economic crisis, would you say that your family’s financial situation has been… greatly affected, somewhat affected, not really affected, or not affected at all?
Spain
Bulgaria
RomaniaIta
ly
Portugal
PolandU.K.
France
EU12
SlovakiaU.S.
Netherla
nds
Russia
Turkey
Germany
Sweden0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
73 72 7166 65 65
58 57 56 5652 52
46
38
31
24
2523 24
33 3430
40 42 42 40 4643
46 55
68 74
Widespread Disapproval of Governments’ Economic Policies
Approve
Disapprove
Perc
ent
Q4a.4/Q4b.2: Do you approve or disapprove of the way [COUNTRY´S] government has been handling the following issues? Dealing with [COUNTRY´S] economy
Sweden
Netherla
ndsU.S.
Germany
U.K.
France
EU12Spain
Turkey
Russia
Poland
Romania
Portugal
Italy
Bulgaria
Slovakia0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
37 3530
23 23 2118 16 16 14 14 13
8 8 6 6
5450
64 73 7177
7682
72 7572 74
90 8986 85
Large Majorities Say Economic System is Unfair
Most of the benefits of our system go to a few
The economic system works fairly for everybody
Perc
ent
Q42: Some people say that our economic system works fairly for everybody; other people say that most of the benefits of our system go to a few. Which view is closer to your own?
Portugal
France
Italy
U.S.Spain
Slovakia
RomaniaEU12
Germany
Bulgaria
Poland
Netherla
nds
Turkey
U.K.
SwedenRussi
a0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
7065 65
5855 55 53
5047
42 40 39
28 2621 20
18 25
16 2323
3331
3139
3736
3145
38
56
44
8 7 14 14 196 9
15 12
11 1223
11
29 17
18
Broad Support for Decreasing Government Spending
Increase spending
Keep current levels of spending
Decrease spending
Perc
ent
Q35: These days, some governments are cutting spending to reduce their debt. Other governments are maintaining or increasing their spending to stimulate economic growth. What is your view? Should the [COUNTRY] government…
19
Germany
France
Portugal
Poland
Romania
Netherla
ndsEU12
Spain
SlovakiaIta
ly
Sweden
Bulgaria
Turkey
U.K.0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
7369 69 67 67
62 6158 56
5350
4744
40
2425 25
17 1728 31
38
21
40
34
26
37
52
Effect of EU Membership on the Economy Seen as Mostly Good …
Bad
Good
Perc
ent
Q37: Generally speaking, do you think that [COUNTRY]’s membership in the European Union [IN EU COUNTRIES: has been / TURKEY: would be] a good thing or a bad thing for the [COUNTRY] economy?
Q38a: And how about the euro? Generally speaking, do you think that using the euro in [COUNTRY] [WITHIN THE EUROZONE: has been/ OUTSIDE THE EUROZONE: would be] a good thing or a bad thing for the [COUNTRY] economy?
U.K.
Sweden
Poland
Spain (€)
EU12
Portugal (€
)
Turkey
France
(€)
Italy (€
)
Germany (€
)
Netherla
nds (€)
Bulgaria
Romania
Slovakia (€)
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
77
67
52 54 5358
46
54
4649 47 46
30 31
8984
71
57 57 55 53 52 51
45 45 45
3531
… But Effect of Euro on National Economy Seen as Negative
2011 2012
Perc
ent s
ayin
g eff
ect i
s/w
ould
be
nega
tive
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
54 53
4744 43 42 42 41
37
2623
149 7
31
45 45
5155
52
35
57 57
45
53
71
8489
Chart 2D (1): Effect of the Euro on the National Economy
Good Bad
Perc
ent
Q38a: And how about the euro? Generally speaking, do you think that using the euro in [COUNTRY] [WITHIN THE EUROZONE: has been/ OUTSIDE THE EUROZONE: would be] a good thing or a bad thing for the [COUNTRY]
Q38b: [SPLIT – was asked only to those who thought the euro had been bad for the economy in Q38a] Some people say that [COUNTRY] should leave the euro-zone and return to using our previous currency while others say that [COUNTRY] should continue using the euro? Which one is closer to your own opinion? NOTE: This slide reports absolute country percentages.
Portugal France Spain Italy Netherlands Germany Slovakia0
10
20
30
40
3433
30 30
26
19
14
2019
27
2119
26
17
Still, Euro Critics Prefer to Stay in the Eurozone
The Euro has been bad for the economy but want to continue using the EuroThe Euro has been bad for the economy and want to return to using previous currency
Perc
ent o
f tot
al c
ount
ry s
ampl
e
Q4b.2/Q40.1/Q40.2: Do you approve or disapprove of the way [German Chancellor Angela Merkel/the European Union/[COUNTRY]] have been handling the economic crisis in Europe?
Netherla
nds
Bulgaria
France
Germany
Sweden
Romania
PolandEU12
SlovakiaU.K.
Portugal
SpainIta
ly
Turkey
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
74
6664 63
6158 57
52 52
47
35 3432
26
55
63
52
57 5861
49 4852
35
54
32
46
27
43
23
42
68
74
24
30
4240 40
34
25
33
55
Germany’s Merkel Gets Top Marks for Handling of Economic Crisis
German Chancellor Angela MerkelThe European UnionOwn country
Perc
ent (
App
rova
l)
23
U.K.
Sweden
Poland
Portugal (€
)
France
(€)
Netherla
nds (€)
EU12
Bulgaria
Slovakia (€)
Spain (€)
Romania
Italy (€
)
Germany (€
)0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
1518
21
3840
31
37
3134
42
33
43
53
7975
65
59 58 58 57 57 57 5653
4945
Europeans Prefer to Retain Authority Over National Finances
EU should have more authority over member states' economic and budgetary policiesEach member state should retain this authority for itself
Perc
ent
Q39: Some people say that because of recent economic difficulties, the EU should have more authority over member states’ economic and budgetary policies. Other people say that each member state should retain this authority for itself. Which view is closer to your own?
Italy
(€)
France
(€)
Spain
(€)
Romania
Sweden
Netherla
nds (€)
Portuga
l (€)
EU12
German
y (€)
Bulgaria
Poland
U.K.
Slova
kia (€
)0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
66 65 65
60 5957 56
54
4946
42
36
31
Europeans Support Their Countries Contributing to Special EU Assistance Fund
Perc
ent (
App
rova
l)
Q41: As you may know, the European Union has recently created a fund to assist member states that find themselves in budgetary difficulty. To what extent do you approve or disapprove of [COUNTRY] making a contribution to this fund? Do you…
Overview
1.Transatlantic Relations and Global Views
2.Economy and Eurocrisis
3.Obama’s First Term and the 2012 Elections
4.Transatlantic Security
5. Russia
Q1a/Q3: How desirable is it that the United States exert strong leadership in world affairs? Very desirable, somewhat desirable, somewhat undesirable, or very undesirable? Do you approve or disapprove of the way the President of the United States Barack Obama (2002-2008: George Bush) is handling international policies?
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
64
45
3639 37 36 36
55 55 54 52
38
30
2124
18 19 20
8378
7571
Europeans Want Strong U.S. Leadership, and Really Like Obama
U.S. leadership in world affairs desirable
Approve U.S. President's handling of international af-fairs
Perc
ent (
App
rova
l)
27
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
64
45
3639 37 36 36
55 55 5452
38
30
2124
18
19 20
83 7875
7172
55 54 5348 50.2 48.05
64
74
6662
3035
2732
2016.1 17.08
8272 74
67
Britons Want Strong U.S. Leadership, and Really Like ObamaEuropean desire for U.S. leadership in world affairsEuropean approval U.S. President's handling of international affairsBritish desire for U.S. leadership in world af-fairsBritish approval of U.S. President's handling of international affairs
Perc
ent (
App
rova
l)
Q1a/Q3: How desirable is it that the United States exert strong leadership in world affairs? Very desirable, somewhat desirable, somewhat undesirable, or very undesirable? Do you approve or disapprove of the way the President of the United States Barack Obama (2002-2008: George Bush) is handling international policies?
Q3: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the President of the United States Barack Obama (2002-2008: George Bush) is handling international policies?
Germany
Italy
Netherla
nds
Portugal
France
Spain EUU.K.
Bulgaria
Slovakia
RomaniaU.S.
Poland
Turkey
Russia
Sweden
20
40
60
80
100
92 91 90 90 8885 83 82
72 71
58 57 5550
7974
79 79 81
69 7167
5155
66
5449
42
26
71
Overall Approval of Obama's Handling of International Policies
2009 2012
Perc
ent
Managing Relations with Russia
Stabilizing Afghanistan
Fighting International Terrorism
Handling Negotiations with Iran Concerning its Nuclear Program
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
55
48
71
4953 55
66
50
3632 32
24
38
23
38
21
…and Approval of U.S. President Obama by Policy
EU12 U.S. Turkey Russia
Perc
ent (
App
rova
l)
Q4a.1/3/4/5/6: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the President of the United States Barack Obama has been handling the following issues? How about….?
30
Managing Relations with Russia
Stabilizing Afghanistan
Fighting International Terrorism
Handling Negotiations with Iran Concerning its Nuclear Program
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
55
48
71
4953 55
66
50
3632 32
24
38
23
38
21
51 50
70
47
...and Approval of U.S. President Obama by Policy
EU12 U.S. Turkey Russia U.K.
Perc
ent (
App
rova
l)
Q4a.1/3/4/5/6: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the President of the United States Barack Obama has been handling the following issues? How about….?
Q17.1/Q17.2: To what extent is your view of the following candidates for president of the United States favorable or unfavorable?
U.S. EU12 U.S. EU12Mitt Romney Barack Obama
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
44
23
57
82
49
39
4011
6 38 3 7
U.S. Presidential Candidates Perceived Very Differently
Don't Know / Refuse to answerUnfavorableFavorable
Perc
ent
France
Germany
Portugal
Netherla
nds
SwedenSpain
EU12U.K.
Italy
Romania
Turkey
Slovakia
Bulgaria
PolandRussi
a0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2 57
5 4
118 9 9
6 5
108
1612
8987
8582
7977
75 7573
63
5147
40
35
27
If Europeans could vote for the U.S. President...
Mitt Romney Barack Obama
Perc
ent
Q18.b: Now, thinking of the U.S. Presidential election this year: if you had a chance to vote in this election, who would you vote for? [NOTE: Russia included.]
Overview
1.Transatlantic Relations and Global Views
2.Economy and Eurocrisis
3.Obama’s First Term and the 2012 Elections
4.Transatlantic Security
5. Russia
RomaniaIta
lySpain
Poland
France
EU12U.S.
Netherla
nds
Bulgaria
Germany
U.K.
Sweden
Portugal
Slovakia0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
51
4340
35 34 3330 28 27 25 25 23 21 19
31
9 14
29
1824
30 32 3432 31
38
25
41
15 46 43
26
46 39 3437
3342
40 35 5133
Mixed Views on Future of U.S.-EU Partnership
Should take a more independent approachShould remain about the sameShould become closer
Perc
ent
Q9: Do you think that the partnership in security and diplomatic affairs between the United States and the European Union should become closer, should remain about the same, or should take a more independent approach?
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
69
62
5755 55
60
61 59
625856 62
60 61 60.2
58.9
62 6062
5653 52
44
35.2 37.7 3530
37 38
NATO is Still Essential for Country's Security
EU
U.S.
TurkeyPerc
ent S
ayin
g N
ATO
is e
ssen
tial
Q11: Some people say that NATO is still essential to our country's security. Others say it is no longer essential. Which of these views is closer to your own?
36
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
69
6257
55 55
60 6159
62 58
56
62
60
6160.2
58.9
6260 62
56
53 52
44
35.237.7
35
30
37 38
76
7065
6264 68
7268 69
71
NATO Is Still Essential for Country's Security
EU
U.S.
Turkey
U.K.
Perc
ent s
ayin
g N
ATO
is e
ssen
tial
Q11: Some people say that NATO is still essential to our country's security. Others say it is no longer essential. Which of these views is closer to your own?
37
Netherla
ndsU.K.
Romania
Portugal
Slovakia
France
Germany
Bulgaria U.S.Spain
Italy
Poland
Turkey
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
71 7168 66
61 60 60 58 56 5652
45
38
23 22
17
29
27
35 37
24
35
42
3940
39
7 7 15 6 13 5 3 18 9 2 10 15 23
NATO is Still Essential for Country's Security — by Country
Don't know/ Refuse to answerNo longer essentialStill essential
Perc
ent
Q11: Some people say that NATO is still essential to our country's security. Others say it is no longer essential. Which of these views is closer to your own?
Q36a: And how about defense spending? Do you think the [COUNTRY] government should increase defense spending, keep defense spending at the current level, or decrease defense spending?
Italy
Spain
Germany
Portugal
SlovakiaEU12
France
Netherla
nds
RomaniaU.S.
Bulgaria
Sweden
Poland
TurkeyU.K.
Russia
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
5652
45 45 4539 38 37
34 32 3025
2117 16
13
3442 47
43 42 4654
51
45 4551 56
49
4451
43
55 6 8 7 11
87 14
2012
17
19 2929
34
Most Want to Keep Current Defense Spending
Increase
Keep at the current level
Decrease
Perc
ent
Sweden
France
Netherla
nds
Bulgaria
Germany
U.K.U.S.
SpainEU12
Portugal
Italy
Poland
Slovakia
Romania
Turkey
Russia
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
56
39
47
55
37
42
49
37 3840 40
2628 28
23
12
62
45
49
56
42 42
53
46
42
46
41
27
31 31
19
15
68
58 5856
5350 49 49 48 48
42
2926
24
20
11
Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya: Was Intervention the Right Thing to Do?
In Iraq In Afghanistan In Libya
Perc
ent S
ayin
g In
terv
entio
n w
as ri
ght
Q32.1/2/3: In recent years, there have been a number of military interventions in other countries. Taking everything into consideration, in each of the following cases, do you think the intervention was the right thing to do or not the right thing to do?
40
Slovakia
Bulgaria
Portugal
Romania
Poland
Germany
EU12U.K.
Spain
Turkey
Italy
U.S.
France
Netherla
nds
Sweden0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
70 69 68 68 6763
59 59 58 57 56 5550 48 48
1115
28
20 19
3233 33
38
32 33 3545
3844
Broad Agreement Against Intervention in Syria
Should intervene
Should stay out completely
Perc
ent
Q28: Recently, there has been discussion of the desirability of intervening in Syria, where the government has been using military force to suppress an opposition movement which is fighting the Syrian government. In this situation, what do you think [COUNTRY] should do?
Poland
France
Italy
EU12
U.K.
German
y
Bulgaria
Spain U.S.
Portuga
l
Romania
Netherla
nds
Slova
kia
Sweden
Turke
y0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
62 6155 53 52 51 50 50
44 43 43 39 3526 22
16 2126
22 2622 21 21
2418
26
12 23
24
16
1416 16
21 1823
22 2622 34
23
33
3445
37
21 2 2 2 2
22
52 4
82
2
11
Majorities Want to Withdraw Troops in Afghanistan
Increase
Keep at current levelReduce
Withdraw all
Perc
ent
Q34a/b: As you may know, [COUNTRY/the Netherlands] currently has troops/police trainers stationed in Afghanistan. In your view, should [COUNTRY/the Netherlands] increase the number of troops/police trainers in Afghanistan, keep its troops/police trainers at its current level, reduce the number of its troops/police trainers or should it withdraw all troops/police trainers from Afghanistan?
Q33.1/2/3/4/5: And thinking about the future, do you feel optimistic or pessimistic about the prospects of stability in…
In Egypt In Libya In Iraq In Afghanistan In Syria0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
46
55
64
70 69
40
4750
56 55
Widespread Pessimism about Prospects for Stability
EU12 U.S.
Perc
ent s
ayin
g th
ey fe
el p
essi
mis
tic
43
In Egypt In Libya In Iraq In Afghanistan In Syria0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
46
55
64
70 69
40
4750
56 55
42
51
57
7066
Widespread Pessimism for Prospects of Stability
EU12 U.S. U.K.
Perc
ent s
ayin
g th
ey fe
el p
essi
mis
tic
Q33.1/2/3/4/5: And thinking about the future, do you feel optimistic or pessimistic about the prospects of stability in…
Q21: As you may know, negotiations to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons are under way. There are different ways to address Iran’s acquiring nuclear weapons. Which of the following do you think is the best option?
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
3534
28
13
7 6
20
32
10
18
8
12
16
10
4
27
33
18
6 5
13
What to Do About Iran's Nuclear Program?
EU12 U.S. Turkey Russia
Perc
ent
45
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
34
28
13
7 6
20
32
10
18
8
12
16
10
4
27
33
18
6 5
13
38
27
12
68
What to Do About Iran's Nuclear Program?
EU12 U.S. Turkey Russia U.K.
Perc
ent
Q21: As you may know, negotiations to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons are under way. There are different ways to address Iran’s acquiring nuclear weapons. Which of the following do you think is the best option?
Sweden
France
Portugal
Italy
SpainU.K.
Netherla
ndsEU12
Germany
RomaniaU.S.
Bulgaria
Slovakia
Turkey
PolandRussi
a0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
8176 75
72 71 69 67 67 66 64 62 6256
42 42 40
Broad Approval of Responsibility to Protect Civilians from Vio-lence
Perc
ent (
App
rova
l)
Q27: According to the United Nations, members of the international community, including [COUNTRY], have the responsibility to protect civilians in other countries from violence, including violence committed by their own government. Please tell me if you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, strongly disagree that [COUNTRY] has this responsibility?
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
48
4135 34
29 2723
27
3334
84 8278 78
74 7471
77 75 74
47 49
36 35
42
3235
Is War Sometimes Necessary to Obtain Justice?
EU12U.S.Turkey
Perc
ent (
Agr
eem
ent)
Q43.2: Please tell me to what extent you agree or disagree with each of the following: Under some conditions, war is necessary to obtain justice
48
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
48
41
35 3429 27
2327
33 34
84 8278 78
74 7471
77 75 74
47 49
36 35
4232 35
7469
64 65
58.861.64
55
6164 64
Is War Sometimes Necessary to Obtain Justice?
EU12 U.S. Turkey U.K.
Perc
ent (
Agr
eem
ent)
Q43.2: Please tell me to what extent you agree or disagree with each of the following: Under some conditions, war is necessary to obtain justice
Overview
1.Transatlantic Relations and Global Views
2.Economy and Eurocrisis
3.Obama’s First Term and the 2012 Elections
4.Transatlantic Security
5. Russia
Bulgaria
Netherla
nds
Portuga
l
Slova
kia
France
Romania
EU12
Spain U.K.
U.S.
German
y
Poland
Italy
Turke
y
Sweden
Russia
-10
10
30
50
70
9088
6159 58
5652
50 50 5048 48
42 4137
31
78
38
43
64
31
44
37
4340
42
32 33 33 32
23
84
Opinions of Russia Are Mostly Unfavorable…
2011 2012
Perc
ent (
Favo
rabl
e)
Q 5.4: Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of Russia?
Ger-many
Japan EU China Turkey South Korea
U.S. Israel Iran0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
71
65 64 63 61
5350 48
37
19 2124
3026
30
41
35
45
… But Russians’ Views of Others Are Mostly Favorable
Favorable Unfavorable
Perc
ent
Q5.1, 2, 3, 7, 8, 9, 10, 12, 13: Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of...?
Common Values
Common Interests
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
4552
3938
17 11
With the U.S.
Perc
ent
Q6a/b / 7a/b / 8a/b: Some people say that Russia and the US/European Union/China have enough common values/interests to be able to cooperate on international problems. Others say that Russia and the US/European Union/China have such different values/interests that cooperating on international problems is impossible. Which view is closer to your own?
Common Values
Common Interests
60 63
22 22
18 15
With the EU
Don't Know / Refuse to Answer
So different that cooperating on international problems is impossi-bleCommon enough to cooperate on international problems
Common Values
Common Interests
5665
2321
21 14
With China
Russians See Broad Basis for Cooperation on International Problems
Q45.1: I would like to ask you a question about how much confidence you have in certain institutions in Russia. For each of the following institutions, please tell me if you tend to be very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, not at all confident. How about …
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
7069
6765
62
56
46
4137 36
Russians Confident in President, Less so in Duma and CourtsPe
rcen
t (Co
nfide
nce)
Key Findings• Transatlantic majorities approve of U.S. President Barack Obama‘s
foreign policy, but Mitt Romney is largely unknown in Europe• Americans and Europeans feel transatlantic relationship is more
important than Asia• Growing numbers on both sides of the Atlantic say they are personally
affected by the economic crisis• Two-in-three Europeans say EU membership was good for their
economy — but 57% say the Euro‘s impact has been negative• Americans and Europeans agree intervention in Libya was right
— but want to stay out of Syria• Majorities in U.S. and Europe hold unfavorable views of Russia• Turks warm slightly to U.S. and Europe — but still hold unfavorable
views
For more information about methodology, specific countries, and the full top-line data set please visit
www.transatlantictrends.org
Follow GMF at:
www.facebook.com/gmfus www.twitter.com/gmfus
Q5.1/5.2: Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of the United States/the European Union?
BulgariaRomaniaGermanySlovakia
FranceItaly
EU12Poland
PortugalSpain
SwedenRussia
NetherlandsU.S.U.K.
Turkey
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 10068
84
70
62
81
76
74
65
74
72
67
50
78
84
76
34
88
84
75
72
71
69
67
68
67
64
64
64
62
57
46
36
1: Majorities in U.S. and EU Have Favorable Opinions of Each Other
View of EU
View of U.S.
Percent
U.S.
Netherla
ndsU.K.
Germany
Sweden
Romania
France
Portugal
EU12Ita
ly
BulgariaSpain
Poland
Slovakia
Turkey
Russia
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
82
6562 60 59 57 56 56
5249
39 39 38 37
26
19
1427 32
38 38
31
4239 42
48
44
59
43
5359 64
1: Desire for U.S. Leadership
Undesirable
Desirable
Perc
ent
Q1a: How desirable is it that the United States exert strong leadership in world affairs? Very desirable, somewhat desirable, somewhat undesirable, or very undesirable?
58
France
Sweden
Romania
Bulgaria
Portugal
PolandEU12
U.S.Spain
Slovakia
Turkey
Italy
Netherla
nds
Russia
Germany
U.K.0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
86
78 76 74 73 73 71 70 69 69 67 65 63
55
37
29
12
11
22 23 24 2321 24
21 22
31
2025
36
4455
1: Desire for EU Leadership
Undesirable
Desirable
Perc
ent
Q1b: How desirable is it that the European Union exert strong leadership in world affairs? Very desirable, somewhat desirable, somewhat undesirable, or very undesirable?
59
Q5.1/ 5.10: Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of...?
U.S.
Romania
France
Netherla
ndsIta
lyU.K.
EU12
Portugal
Spain
Germany
Bulgaria
Sweden
Poland
SlovakiaRussi
a
Turkey
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
84 8481
78 76 76 74 74 72 70 68 67 6562
50
34
67
8683
90
53
7074
5560
8488
7974
80
71
48
1: Favorable Opinions of the U.S. vs. Germany
Favorability of U.S.Favorability of Germany
Perc
ent
60
Japan
German
yIta
lyIsr
ael
EUSp
ain
Greece
Turke
yRussi
aChina
South
Korea
Iran
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
68 6763
59 5753
44 43 42 41 41
20
23 2320
32 3130 39
46 48 5246
71
1: U.S. Opinion of the Rest of the World
Unfavorable
Favorable
Perc
ent
Q5.2-5.13: Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of...?
61
France
Germany
Spain
Bulgaria
Portugal
Romania
Netherla
ndsIta
lyEU12
Slovakia
SwedenU.S.
PolandU.K.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
77 75 7370 70 70 69 68 66 66 65 63
59 57
22 24 25
18
2619
26 28 2824
28 2825
38
1 2 2 11 4 11 6 5 6 10 8 9 16 5
1: Do the U.S. and EU Share Enough Common Values to Coop-erate?
Don't know/ Refuse to answer
Such different values that cooperating on international problems is impos-sible
Enough common values to cooperate on international problems
Perc
ent
Q6a: Some people say that the United States and the European Union [IN RUSSIA: Russia and the United States], have enough common values to be able to cooperate on international problems. Others say that the US and the EU [IN RUSSIA: Russia and the US] have such different values that cooperating on international problems is impossible. Which view is closer to your own?
62
France
Italy
Netherla
ndsSpain
Romania
Sweden
BulgariaEU12
U.S.
Germany
Portugal
Slovakia
PolandU.K.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
75 74 72 71 70 70 68 6764 64 64 63
5954
23 2220
27
1522
2127
2731 31
2525
40
2 4 8 2 15 7 11 6 9 4 5 12 16 6
1: Do the U.S. and EU Share Enough Common Interests to Coop-erate?
Don't know/ Refuse to answer
Such different interests that cooperating on international problems is impossible
Enough common interests to cooperate on international problems
Perc
ent
Q6b: Some people say that the United States and the European Union [IN RUSSIA: Russia and the United States] have enough common interests to be able to cooperate on international problems. Others say that the US and the EU [IN RUSSIA: Russia and the US] have such different interests that cooperating on international problems is impossible. Which view is closer to your own?
63
Russia
Romania
Portugal
U.S.
BulgariaSpain
Italy
EU12
Netherla
nds
PolandU.K.
Turkey
Slovakia
Germany
Sweden
France
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
56 54 5246 44 41
37 36 36 35 35 33 33 31 30 28
23 25
41 45
35
54 56 5551
41
54
43 46
63 627121 22 7 9 22 5 8 9 13 24 11 23 20 6 8 2
1: Do the U.S. and EU Share Enough Common Values with China to Cooperate?
Don't know/ Refuse to answerSuch different values that cooperating on international problems is impos-sibleEnough common values to cooperate on international problems
Perc
ent
Q8a: Some people say that [IN EUROPE: the European Union and China/ IN US: the United States and China/ IN TURKEY: Turkey and China/ IN RUSSIA: Russia and China] have enough common values to be able to cooperate on international problems. Others say that the [IN EUROPE: the European Union and China/ IN US: the United States and China/ IN TURKEY: Turkey and China/ IN RUSSIA: Russia and China] have such different values that cooperating on international problems is impossible. Which view is closer to your own?
64
Russia
Portugal
RomaniaU.S.
Italy
Netherla
ndsSpain
EU12
Bulgaria
PolandU.K.
Slovakia
Germany
Sweden
Turkey
France
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
6560
5346 46
41 40 39 39 37 37 36 35 34 32 32
2133
24
47 4546
5852
34 39
53
43
5956
45
6614 7 22 8 9 13 2 9 26 24 10 21 6 11 23 2
1: Do the U.S and EU Share Enough Common Interests with China to Cooperate?
Don't know/ Refuse to answerSuch different interests that cooperating on international problems is impossibleEnough common interests to cooperate on international problems
Perc
ent
Q8b: Some people say that [IN EUROPE: the European Union and China/ IN US: the United States and China/ IN TURKEY: Turkey and China/ IN RUSSIA: Russia and China] have enough common interests to be able to cooperate on international problems. Others say that [IN EUROPE: the European Union and China/ IN US: the United States and China/ IN TURKEY: Turkey and China/ IN RUSSIA: Russia and China] have such different interests that cooperating on international problems is impossible. Which view is closer to your own?
Q3: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the President of the United States Barack Obama is handling international policies? Approve very much, approve somewhat, disapprove somewhat, disapprove very much…
U.S. EU Turkey
5
10
15
20
25
30
29
21
7
26
17
11
27
1412
3: Approve Very Much of Obama's Handling of International Policies
2010 2011 2012
Perc
ent
Q17.1: To what extent is your view of the following candidates for president of the United States favorable or unfavorable? Mitt Romney
Poland
Bulgaria
Romania
Russia
Slova
kia
Turke
yU.K.
EU12
Italy
Sweden
Portuga
lSp
ain
France
Netherla
nds
German
yU.S.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
66 63 61 59 5849
40 38 38 34 33 32 30 28 26
6
2522 22 23 20
11 24 23 1917
31 29
18 25 24
44
916 16 17 22
40 36 39 42 49
36 40
52 47 51 49
3: Perception of Presidential Candidate Mitt Romney
Unfavorable
Favorable
Don’t Know
Perc
ent
Q20: Thinking about Iran, are you concerned or not concerned about Iran acquiring nuclear weapons? Please tell me if you are very much concerned, somewhat concerned, a little concerned, or not at all concerned?
Portugal
Italy
Spain
France U.S.
Germany EU
U.K.
Sweden
Poland
Netherla
nds
Bulgaria
Romania
Slovakia
Turkey
Russia
-10
10
30
50
70
9087 86
7976 76 75 75
72 7167 65 64 64
54
38
80
89
83 8479
82 8076
81
74
68
7471
64
48
61
4: Concern About Iran Acquiring Nuclear Weapons
2011 2012
Perc
ent
Q21: As you may know, negotiations to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons are under way. There are different ways to address Iran’s acquiring nuclear weapons. Which of the following do you think is the best option?Q22: And now imagine that all of these non-military options have been tried and the only option left to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons is the use of military force. In that case, should the [European Union\ United States\Russia\Turkey] take military action against Iran, or should [it/they] simply accept that Iran could acquire nuclear weapons? [SPLIT: Q22 was only asked to those who chose to offer economic incentives, impose economic sanctions, or provide support to opponents of the Iranian government in Q21] NOTE: This slide reports absolute country percentages.
U.S. EU12 Turkey Russia0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
18
74 5
35 35
11 10
4: Low Support for Military Action Against Iran
Take military action against Iran when all options are available
Take military action against Iran with other options exhausted
Perc
ent o
f tot
al c
ount
ry s
ampl
e
Q24: Israel may take military action to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. Would you approve or disapprove of Israel taking military action? [NOTE: this was only asked in these seven countries.]
Turkey Bulgaria Poland Russia Slovakia Romania U.S.0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
1621
18 19
2732
62
72 7066 65
60
52
31
4: Approval of Israeli Strikes Against Iran
Approve Disapprove
Perc
ent
Q31a: As you may know, Russia and China may oppose intervention in Syria and can prevent any future United Nations action with their veto. If Russia or China should veto a future United Nations intervention, should [COUNTRY] ignore this veto and still intervene in Syria? [NOTE: this was only asked in these seven countries.]
Slovakia Bulgaria Romania Poland Turkey U.S.0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
912 12 13
22
37
7168 68
64 63
53
4: Approval of Intervention in Syria in Light of Russian or Chinese Veto
Support intervention despite veto Oppose intervention in the case of veto
Perc
ent
71
Turkey U.S. Bulgaria Romania Poland Slovakia Russia0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
31 28
19 19 16 1511
2333 40
4644 48
41
27
31
18 14 1618
21
19 7 24 21 24 19 26
4: Will the Post-Arab Spring Change Relations?
Don't know/ RefuseGet worseStay the sameImprove
Perc
ent
Q25: As you may know, recent popular uprisings in a number of Middle Eastern and North African countries have removed their governments from power and are now in the process of replacing them. In view of these developments, do you think relations between [COUNTRY] and the countries of the Middle East and North Africa are likely to improve, get worse, or stay the same? [NOTE: this was only asked in these seven countries.]
Participation in NATO military operations Participation in NATO military operations if mandated by the UN
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
47
67
50
30
4: Swedes Skeptical on Participation in NATO Operations—But Not if Mandated by the UN
Support Oppose
Perc
ent
Q12a: Thinking about the future, do you support or oppose the participation of Sweden in military operations carried out by NATO? Q12b: Thinking about the future, do you support or oppose the participation of Sweden in military operations carried out by NATO with the support of the United Nations? [SPLIT: Swedish respondents were asked one or the other]
73
Q1c: How desirable is it that Russia exert strong leadership in world affairs? Very desirable, somewhat desirable, somewhat undesirable, or very undesirable?
Russia
Bulgaria U.S.
Slovakia
Germany
Netherla
nds
Portugal
U.K.
France
EU12
Sweden
RomaniaIta
ly
Turkey
PolandSpain
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
69
47 4540
33 33 31 3126 25 24 23
1916
12 12
20
30
43 46
63
5560
56
7167
72
60
73
65
7782
5: Desire for Russian Leadership
Undesirable
Desirable
Perc
ent
Q16.1/16.3: How much confidence do you have that the results of elections reflect the will of the voters in the following countries? Russia/[COUNTRY] Very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, not at all confident?
Sweden
German
y
Slova
kia U.S.
France
Turke
y
Poland
Netherla
ndsEU
12U.K.
Portuga
l
Bulgaria
Spain
Romania
Russia
Italy
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
10 11
40
30
15
29
1417 16 16 16
30
11
34
19
87
7974 73
6964 63
60 5956 54
45 45 44 43
36
5: Confidence in Russian Elections vs. Own Country's Elections
Russian electionsOwn country's elections
Perc
ent
Q5.14/15/16: Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of Ukraine/Belarus/Georgia...?
Ukraine Belarus Georgia0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
52
64
27
39
27
60
5: Russian Views of Their Neighbors
Favorable Unfavorable
Perc
ent
Q9: Do you think that the partnership in security and diplomatic affairs between the United States and the European Union [IN RUSSIA: Russia and NATO] should become closer, should remain about the same, or should the [IN EUROPE: European Union / IN THE US: United States / IN RUSSIA: Russia] take a more independent approach from the [IN EUROPE: United States / IN US: European Union / In Russia: NATO]?
Should take a more inde-pendent approach
Should remain about the same
Should become closer0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
36
30
21
5: Russian Opinion of the Russian-NATO PartnershipPe
rcen
t
Q31b: As you may know, the Russian government may oppose intervention in Syria and can prevent any future United Nations action with this veto. Do you oppose or support such a veto by the Russian government to stop the United Nations from intervening in Syria?
Yes, I would support a veto No, I would not support a veto
Don't Know / Refuse to Answer
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
54
21
26
5: Russian Views of Russian Veto on Syria Intervention Pe
rcen
t
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