ICAER - 2013 10-12 May 13 Assessment of SES at household level in India –Cdr Kapil Narula 1 COMPARATIVE ASSESSMENT OF SUSTAINABLE ENERGY SECURITY (SES) OF VARIOUS ENERGY SOURCES AT HOUSEHOLD LEVEL IN INDIA Cdr Kapil Narula Instructor, Faculty of Electronics and Communication Engineering, Indian Naval Academy, Ezhimala, Dist Kannur, Kerala – 670310 (India) PhD Research Scholar, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Gen. A.K. Vaidya Marg, Goregaon (E), Mumbai - 400 065 (India)
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ICAER - 2013 10-12 May 13Assessment of SES at household level in India –Cdr Kapil Narula
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COMPARATIVE ASSESSMENT OF SUSTAINABLE ENERGY
SECURITY (SES) OF VARIOUS ENERGY SOURCES AT HOUSEHOLD LEVEL IN INDIA
Cdr Kapil Narula
Instructor, Faculty of Electronics and Communication Engineering, Indian Naval Academy, Ezhimala,
Dist Kannur, Kerala – 670310 (India)
PhD Research Scholar,Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research,
Gen. A.K. Vaidya Marg, Goregaon (E), Mumbai - 400 065 (India)
ICAER - 2013 10-12 May 13Assessment of SES at household level in India –Cdr Kapil Narula
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• Introduction
• Model and methodology
• Populating ‘Scores’ and ‘Weights’
• Results – Dimensional Index and SES Index
• Sensitivity analysis
• Conclusion
Contents
ICAER - 2013 10-12 May 13Assessment of SES at household level in India –Cdr Kapil Narula
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Introduction
• Energy is pre-requisite for development
• Energy security and sustainability is a complex multidimensional issue
• Sustainability in entire energy chain: supply, transformation, demand
ICAER - 2013 10-12 May 13Assessment of SES at household level in India –Cdr Kapil Narula
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Aim
• To design a multi-criteria analysis framework for comparative assessment of SES using quantitative indicators and to assess the SES of different energy sources at household level in India
ICAER - 2013 10-12 May 13Assessment of SES at household level in India –Cdr Kapil Narula
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SES defined
• We define ‘Sustainable Energy Security’ (SES) as “provisioning of uninterrupted energy services in an affordable, equitable, efficient and environmentally benign manner”.
• Four dimensions – Availability, Affordability, Acceptability, Efficiency
ICAER - 2013 10-12 May 13Assessment of SES at household level in India –Cdr Kapil Narula
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ModelCode Energy Source, E(k)
C Coal/coke/charcoalFW Firewood and chipsDC Dung cakeLPG Liquefied Petroleum Gas
K KeroseneL Electricity
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IndicatorsDimension Name Indicator Components Unit
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Results - DI and SES Index
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Sensitivity to weightsScenarios 1-6: Variation (+/- 5 %) in weights allotted to AVL and AFF dimensions
SES Index of energy sources for different scenarios for rural and urban India
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Conclusion • The multi-criteria analysis framework has been applied to evaluate the SES
Index at the household level in rural and urban India separately.
• Results:– Rural - ‘Firewood and chips’ has the highest rank followed by Dung Cake and Kerosene in
rural areas, while LPG has the lowest rank.– Urban - Ranking of energy sources: Firewood, LPG, Electricity, Dung Cake, Coal and
Kerosene.
• Rankings are mostly insensitive to (+/-5%) variation in weights allotted to indicators.
• If India wants to achieve its goal of SES - Careful attention to promote the use of more ‘Efficient’ and ‘Environmentally Acceptable’ energy sources such as LPG and Electricity to ensure higher ‘Availability’ in the face of their lower ‘Affordability’.
ICAER - 2013 10-12 May 13Assessment of SES at household level in India –Cdr Kapil Narula