Page 1 of 22 Daily Exclusive ORYZA Rice E-Newsletter Contents are published with permission of ORYZA.com \ Vol 5.Issue XIV September 14, 2015 Daily Exclusive ORYZA Rice E-Newsletter
Jul 23, 2016
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\
Vol 5.Issue XIV
September 14, 2015
Daily Exclusive ORYZA Rice E-Newsletter
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Global Rice Quotes
September 11th, 2015
Long grain white rice - high quality
Thailand 100% B grade 355-365 ↔
Vietnam 5% broken 320-330 ↔
India 5% broken 375-385 ↑
Pakistan 5% broken 315-325 ↔
Myanmar 5% broken 420-430 ↔
Cambodia 5% broken 420-430 ↔
U.S. 4% broken 530-540 ↔
Uruguay 5% broken 535-545 ↔
Argentina 5% broken 530-540 ↔
Long grain white rice - low quality
Thailand 25% broken 330-340 ↔
Vietnam 25% broken 315-325 ↔
Pakistan 25% broken 290-300 ↔
Cambodia 25% broken 405-415 ↔
India 25% broken 340-350 ↔
U.S. 15% broken 500-510 ↔
Long grain parboiled rice
Thailand parboiled 100% stxd 345-355 ↓
Pakistan parboiled 5% broken stxd 415-425 ↔
India parboiled 5% broken stxd 360-370 ↑
U.S. parboiled 4% broken 570-580 ↔
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Brazil parboiled 5% broken 545-555 ↔
Uruguay parboiled 5% broken NQ ↔
Long grain fragrant rice
Thailand Hommali 92% 810-820 ↔
Vietnam Jasmine 450-460 ↔
India basmati 2% broken NQ ↔
Pakistan basmati 2% broken NQ ↔
Cambodia Phka Mails 830-840 ↔
Brokens
Thailand A1 Super 305-315 ↔
Vietnam 100% broken 310-320 ↔
Pakistan 100% broken stxd 275-285 ↔
Cambodia A1 Super 355-365 ↔
India 100% broken stxd 300-310 ↔
Egypt medium grain brokens NQ ↔
U.S. pet food 335-345 ↔
Brazil half grain NQ ↔
All prices USD per ton, FOB vessel, oryza.com
Bangladesh Researchers Develop New
Transgenic Saline-Tolerant Rice Varieties to
Boost Production in Coastal Belt
Sep 11, 2015
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A team of Bangladeshi researchers led by Professor Zeba Islam Seraj of Dhaka University
developed four transgenic saline-tolerant rice varieties, which are capable of producing 50%
higher yield than the saline-tolerant varieties currently used, according to Daily Star.
The researchers infused a particular pea gene 'helicase' that contains into four high yielding rice
varieties (HYVs) BRRI Dhan-28, BRRI Dhan-29, BRRI Dhan-36 and BRRI Dhan-47. They
procured 'helicase' from the International Center for Genetic Engineering and Biotechnology
(ICGEB) and then using Agrobacterium as carrier infused the salt-tolerance vigour into home-
grown rice variety Binnatoa. Then the researchers crossed the helicase-infused Binnatoa with the
four selected HYVs.
Agrobacterium is an important material in genetic engineering as it is capable of transferring
organism's genetic information between itself and plants.
The team is initially focussing on two transgenic varieties derived from BRRI Dhan-28 and
BRRI Dhan-47 as they are considered to have higher yield potential and higher resistance to
salinity. The team leader told local sources that the two rice varieties would be put on confined
trials inside BRRI's transgenic greenhouse followed by field trials once they receive permission
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from the biosafety regulators. She noted that the farmers can have the transgenic rice for
cultivations in two to three years, provided the trials are successful.
"There are salinity level up to 15/16 decisiemens per metre in coastal regions but even if we can
cover 50% of the moderate salinity-prone farmland under transgenic rice, the country's rice
productivity would have a significant boost," she said.
The Agriculture Minister noted that the new rice breeds that could withstand salinity would
support the government's policy of promoting Boro in the southern coastal regions and rain-fed
Aman and Aus in the northern regions.
Brazil Rice Stocks Decline Slightly to 124,777
Tons in August 2015
Sep 11, 2015
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Brazil rice stocks stood at around 124,777 tons in August 2015, slightly down from around
127,785 tons in July 2015 and down about 77% from around 538,747 tons in August 2014,
according to the country's national grain supplying agency Conab.
According to Conab, rice stocks with the Selling Option Contract of Agricultural Products
(OPCAO) the Federal Government Acquisition (AGF) remained unchanged from last month's
level of 72,558 tons and 52,213 tons respectively. They were down about 78% and about 75%
respectively from their year-ago levels of 326,607 tons and 211,201 tons. Rice stocks with
farmers (Agricultural Familiar) stood at around 6 tons in August 2015, down 57% from around
14 tons in July 2015 and down about 99% from around 939 tons in August 2014.
In August 2015, Brazil’s National Grains Supply Company (Conab) has forecasted the country's
2014-15 paddy rice production at around 12.432 million tons (around 8.45 million tons, basis
milled), up about 2.6% from around 12.121 million tons (around 8.24 million tons, basis milled)
in 2013-14, and slightly down from its July forecast of around 12.499 million tons.
China May Sign Rice Import Agreement with
U.S. Shortly
Sep 11, 2015
China has agreed to open its rice import market to the U.S. rice and is likely to sign an agreement
with the U.S. government shortly, a move that would end more than a decade long negotiations,
according to Politico.
The China's General Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine (AQSIQ)
reportedly informed the U.S. Department of Agriculture that it would sign a proposal that
establishes the phytosanitary or pest control rules necessary to allow U.S. rice into China.
Though the timing of the deal is still not clear, the U.S. rice industry representatives are
optimistic about the development.
"We're confident that we're in the very final phase of all of this and it appears that we'll have a
signed protocol before the end of September," the President of the U.S. Rice Producers
Association was quoted. Sources say the deal would be finalized during the Chinese Premier's
visit to the U.S. later this month.
The USDA sent its latest phytosanitary protocol to China last month but the U.S. rice sector was
not confident whether the Chinese government would accept the proposal. The U.S. government
has for a long time refused the Chinese demand to label the shipments based in the varieties of
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rice included in the blends of grain. The U.S. has been maintaining that a phytosanitary deal
concerns about plant pest and disease safeguards and not labelling issues. However, the USDA
agreed to inform the Chinese government about any kind of pests and beetles detected in the U.S.
mills.
China originally agreed to import at least 2.7 million tons of U.S. rice when it joined the World
Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001. But several issues have been hindering a deal between the
two countries.
USDA forecasts China to import about 4.4 million tons of rice in 2015-16, up about 10% from
around 4 million tons in 2014-15.
Vietnam Rice Exports Decline 10% y/y to
3.818 Million Tons in First Eight Months of
2015
Sep 11, 2015
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Vietnam exported about 3.818 million tons of rice in first eight months of 2015, down about 10%
from about 4.26 million tons of rice exported during same time last year, according to data from
the Vietnam Food Association (VFA). The average rice export price so far in this year stands at
about $417 per ton (FOB), down about 3% per ton from about $431 per ton recorded during
same last year.
In August, 2015, Vietnam exported about 517,060 tons of rice, down about 18% from about
627,089 tons rice exported in August 2014, and down about 12% from about 589,323 tons rice
exported in July 2015. The average export price in August stands at about $434 per ton, up about
1% per ton from a year ago and up about 8% per ton from a month ago.
Large Undisposed Stocks Suppressing Prices
in Pakistan, Says FAO-SUPARCO Report
Sep 11, 2015
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In the August Crop Monitoring System Bulletin, the National Space Agency of Pakistan
(SUPARCO) and UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) report that this year's
monsoon in Pakistan has been turbulent with ensuing floods in Chitral and downstream Indus
basin. Due to this around 48,300 hectares of paddy fields have been inundated.
The report says the sowing of kharif rice crop has been completed. Generally, the availability of
fertilizers was satisfactory but irrigation water supply was lower by about 7.96% over last year.
It also says that lack of proper marketing has led to increased stocks and lower prices last year.
This year's harvest that is expected during October/November is expected to further depress
prices leading to problems to farmers. The government is urged to take remedial measure to
address this issue. Export price of Pakistan 5% rice is currently quoted at around $320 per ton,
down about 26% from around $435 per ton last year.
The Federal Committee on Agriculture (FCA) has reportedly fixed the 2015- 16 (July - June)
milled rice production target at around 6.902 million tons (around 10.21 million tons, basis
paddy) from around 2.836 million hectares. It is targeting an yield of around 2.434 tons per
hectare in 2015-16.
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USDA estimates Pakistan's MY 2014-15 (November - October) milled rice production to
increase about 3% to around 6.9 million tons (around 10.35 million tons, basis paddy) from
around 6.7 million tons (around 10.051 million tons, basis paddy) last year.
Iraq Extends Deadline to Buy At least 30,000
Tons of Rice Until September 14, 2015
Sep 11, 2015
The Iraq Trade Ministry has extended deadline to buy at least 30,000 tons of rice in international
tenders from the U.S., Uruguay, Argentina, Brazil and India until September 14, 2015, according
to Bloomberg.
The Ministry initially set September 6, 2015 as deadline to receive bids with offers having to
remain valid until September 10, 2015.
However, it did not make any purchases due to high prices. India offered three bids of $537 per
ton, $538 per ton and $539 per ton (c&f basis) for 50,000 tons of IR-64 grade rice; the U.S.
offered a bid of $559 per ton (c&f); Argentina offered a bid of $547 per ton (c&f), Uruguay
offered a bid at $549 per ton (c&f); and Brazil reportedly did not make any offer, according to
the European traders.
Oryza Afternoon Recap - Chicago Rough
Rice Futures Rally as Bullish USDA S&D
Report Sends US Grains Higher
Sep 11, 2015
Chicago rough rice futures for Nov delivery settled 16 cents per cwt (about $4 per ton) higher at
$12.830 per cwt (about $283 per ton). The other grains finished the day higher after the release
of a supportive USDA S&D report; Soybeans closed about 0.1% higher at $8.7425 per bushel;
wheat finished about 1.4% higher at $4.8450 per bushel, and corn finished the day about 3.4%
higher at $3.8700 per bushel.
U.S. stocks traded in a range Friday, as investors eyed declines in oil prices and remained
uncertain ahead of the key Federal Reserve meeting next week. The major averages held mostly
lower in early afternoon trade, with only the Dow Jones industrial average trying for slight gains.
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Investors are mixed over whether the Federal Open Market Committee will raise rates at its
meeting next Wednesday and Thursday. In Europe, the pan-European STOXX 600 index closed
down about 1%, with investors also looking to next week's Fed decision. In Asia, the Shanghai
Composite Index closed 0.08% higher, while the Nikkei was down 0.19%.In midday trade, the
Dow Jones industrial average traded up 6 points, or 0.04%, at 16,337.
The S&P 500 traded down 3 points, or 0.16%, at 1,949, with consumer discretionary leading five
sectors higher and energy the greatest laggard. The Nasdaq traded down 5 points, or 0.10%, at
4,791. Gold is trading about 0.6% lower, crude oil is seen trading about 1.9% lower, and the U.S.
dollar is seen trading about 0.3% lower about 1:00pm Chicago time.Thursday, there were 1,172
contracts traded, up from 1,229 contracts traded on Wednesday. Open interest – the number of
contracts outstanding – on Thursday increased by 80 contracts to 10,070.
India 2015-16 Main Paddy Rice Sowing
Slightly Ahead of Last Year Despite El Nino
Concerns
Sep 11, 2015
Total area planting to India's 2015-16 Kharif (main) rice crop (June - December) is continuing to
be ahead of the last year planting despite concerns of weaker rains in the second half of the
monsoon season (August-September). Total rice planted area stood at around 36.841 million
hectares as of September 11, 2015, slightly up from around 36.651 million hectares planted
during the same time last year, according to a press release by the Agriculture Ministry.
The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast a 16% deficit in the rainfall during
the second half (August-September) of the monsoon season (June-September). While August
rainfall was estimated at 10% below normal, the September is expected to witness a higher
deficit. A likely drought-inducing El Nino this year is expected to lower production prospects in
India this year. The IMD has forecasted the El Nino pattern to reach to moderate to a strong one
during the monsoon season (June – September).
The government of India estimates 2014-15 rice production to decline about 2% y/y to around
104.8 million tons due to below average rains during the kharif main rice crop planting process
(June - September 2014) in many key rice growing areas and unseasonal rains and hailstorms
during February and March 2015. If monsoons play a havoc this year also, production would
decline for second consecutive year leading to price hikes.
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Global rice prices are expected to increase by 10-20% as El Nino is likely to dampen production
prospects in Asian countries, including India, Thailand, Indonesia and the Philippines.
The total Kharif crop sown area stands at 101.2 million hectares as on September 11, 2015, up
about 1.77% from around 99.44 million hectares during the same period last year, according to
the Agriculture Ministry.
Philippines Rice Stocks Continue to Decline
for Third Consecutive Month
Sep 11, 2015
The Philippines rice stocks have declined for third consecutive month in August 2015 after
increasing in April and May, according to the Bureau of Agricultural Statistics (BAS).Total rice
stocks in the Philippines as of August 1, 2015 stood at around 2.24 million tons, down about
13% from around 2.57 million tons recorded in July 2015, and up about 30% from around 1.72
million tons recorded during the same period last year.
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According to the BAS, household stocks (which account for about 32.7% of total rice stocks in
the country) stood at around 730,000 tons as of August 1, 2015, up about 4% from year-ago
levels of around 700,000 tons. Commercial warehouse rice stocks (which account for about
31.9% of total stocks) have reached around 720,000 tons as of August 1, 2015, up about 24%
from their year-ago levels of around 580,000 tons. The rice stocks with the National Food
Authority (NFA) (which account for 35.4% of total stocks) stood at around 790,000 tons, up
about 80% from around 440,000 tons recorded in August 2014.
Month-on-month, household rice stocks are down about 23%, commercial warehouse rice stocks
are down about 14% and NFA rice stocks - in which about 91.5% are imported rice - are up
about 2.5%, according to the BAS.
The BAS says that the Philippines' rice stocks as of August 1, 2015 are enough to last for 66
days (household stocks are enough for 22 days, commercial warehouses stocks are enough for 21
days and stocks with NFA are enough for 23 days).
Myanmar Decides to Resume Rice Exports,
Says Commerce Minister
Sep 11, 2015
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The government of Myanmar has decided to lift the temporary ban on exports, which was
imposed in early August to overcome food shortages and price hikes following widespread
flooding, and resume rice exports, local sources quoted the Commerce Minister.
The Minister reportedly announced the decision to resume exports at the annual meeting of the
Union of Myanmar Federation of Chambers and Industry on September 9.He noted that the
decision to resume exports has been taken after evaluating the recovery from flood damage in
growing areas. “Rice has been re-planted in some areas and after we calculated the effect of the
flooding, we decided to re-open the market to exports,” he said.
The Vice Chairman of the Myanmar Rice Federation (MRF) noted that the temporary suspension
of exports would reduce the 2015-16 (April - March) rice exports by over 400,000 tons. Prior to
the flood crisis, the MRF had been expecting the country to export about 2 million tons of rice in
2015-16, up from about 1.8 million tons exported in 2014-15.
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Oryza Overnight Recap – Chicago Rough
Rice Futures Higher Overnight as Traders
Brace for USDA S&D Update
Sep 11, 2015
Chicago rough rice futures for Nov delivery are currently paused 7 cents per cwt (about $2 per
ton) higher at $12.740 per cwt (about $281 per ton) ahead of floor trading in Chicago. The other
grains are seen trading mostly higher ahead of early morning action; soybeans are currently seen
trading about 0.3% higher, wheat is listed about 0.1% lower and corn is currently noted about
0.1% higher.
U.S. stock index futures indicated a lower open on Friday with traders cautious about next
week's meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve and wary of any attempts by the market to rally. The
Fed will meet on September 16 and 17, with the timing of the U.S. central bank's first rate hike
in nine years a continued source of debate in the markets. In Europe, the pan-European STOXX
600 index was down about 1%, with investors also looking to next week's decision.
In Asia, the Shanghai Composite Index closed 0.08% higher, while the Nikkei was down
0.19%.Futures extended losses slightly after the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August came in
unchanged, mildly beating expectations for a 0.1% decline. The core PPI was up 0.7% in the 12
months through August. The only other major economic data due is consumer sentiment,
scheduled for release at 10 a.m. Gold is currently trading about 0.4% lower, crude oil is seen
trading about 3.1% lower, and the U.S. dollar is currently trading about 0.1% higher
at 8:15am Chicago time.
Oryza U.S. Rough Rice Recap - Prices Firm
after USDA Cuts Production Forecast
Sep 11, 2015
The U.S. cash market continued its charge higher today after the USDA released a friendly
WASDE report for U.S. rice.
The USDA cut their old crop long grain ending stocks by 2.6 million cwt (117,934 tons) pegging
it at 26.5 million cwt (1.20 million tons). The USDA also cut their 2015/2016 long grain
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production estimate by 17.5 million cwt (793,787.59 tons) pegging it at 131.5 million cwt (5.96
million tons) on account of decreased acreage and lower field yields.
The decreases in long grain production were partially offset by cutting long grain domestic use
by 6.0 million cwt (272,156 tons) and long grain exports by 10.0 million cwt (453,593 tons). In
the end, the USDA cut their 2015/2016 long grain ending stocks figure by 4.1 million cwt
(185,973 tons) pegging it at 23.0 million cwt (1.04 million tons). The USDA also increased their
average on farm price for long grain paddy from $11.50-12.50 per cwt ($254-$276 per ton) to
$12.80-$13.80 per cwt ($282-$304 per ton).
In the meantime, the USDA reported that cumulative net export sales for the week that ended on
September 3rd
, totaled 93,400 tons, an increase of 41% from the previous week.
Increases were reported for the following destinations including: 30,000 tons to Venezuela,
25,600 ton to South Korea, 15,600 tons to Mexico, 12,000 tons to Japan, and 6,400 tons to El
Salvador including 3,000 tons switched from unknown destinations while decreases of 7,300
tons were reported for unknown destinations.
U.S. rice exporters shipped 95,400 tons, a decrease of 39% from the previous week, with the
primary destinations including: 30,000 tons to Venezuela, 27,900 tons to Panama, 13,500 tons to
Mexico, 10,100 tons to Haiti, and 4,400 tons to South Korea.
Oryza Weekly: Philippines Tender A Sliver of
Hope for Global Rice Prices
Sep 11, 2015
The Oryza White Rice Index (WRI), a weighted average of global white rice export quotes,
ended the week at about $391 per ton, down about $1 per ton from a week ago, down about $7
per ton from a month ago and down about $80 per ton from a year ago.
Thailand
Thailand 5% broken rice is today shown at about $345 per ton, down about $10 per ton from a
week ago, down about $25 per ton from a month ago and down about $85 per ton from a year
ago.
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Rice exports increased sharply in July 2015 after declining about 27% m/m in June. Thailand
has exported about 734,947 tons of rice in July, an increase of about 7% from June but about
22% less than in July 2014.
The latest rice auction conducted by the Thai government received a lukewarm response from
traders.
Thailand’s National Rice Policy Committee has instructed authorities in 51 provinces to carry
out inspections of about 13.5 million tons of rice stored in 1,800 warehouses around the country.
Vietnam
Vietnam 5% broken rice is today shown at about $325 per ton, down about $5 per ton from a
week ago, down about $20 per ton from month ago and down about $125 per ton from a year
ago.
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During the period January 1 – August 27, Vietnam exported about 3.626 million tons of rice, a
decrease of about 15% from the first eight months of 2014.
Vietnam’s rice exports to Africa declined sharply in July due to a decline in export demand and
stiff competition from India and Thailand. Vietnam exported 70,819 tons of rice to Africa in
July (about 12% of its total exports that month).
The USDA Post has lowered its estimates for Vietnam’s 2015 rice exports to 6 million tons, a
decrease of about 10% from USDA’s official estimate and a decrease of about 5% from last
year’s exports.
Cambodia 5% broken rice is today shown at about $425 per ton, down about $10 per ton from a
week and a month ago, and down about $45 per ton from a year ago. In the first eight months of
2015, Cambodia has exported about 342,136 tons of milled rice, an increase of about 46% from
the same period last year. Meanwhile, rice exporters in Cambodia have expressed concern that
Cambodia may not bid for the Philippines tender for 750,000 tons as they cannot compete with
Thailand and Vietnam exporters on price.
India
India 5% broken rice is today shown at about $380 per ton, up about $10 per ton from a week
ago, down about $10 per ton from a month ago, and down about $60 per ton from a year ago.
Total area planting to India's 2015-16 Kharif (main) rice crop (June - December) in India stood at
around 36.841 million hectares as of September 11, 2015, slightly up from around 36.651 million
hectares planted during the same time last year, according to a press release by the Agriculture
Ministry.
The government plans to involve private players in 2015-16 rice procurement operations for the
2015-16 kharif marketing season (October-September) in some eastern states in order to improve
efficiency in transportation, packaging, and storage facilities.
Indian basmati rice exporters are concerned of oversupply of stocks from the kharif 2014 crop,
falling prices and lower demand head of the harvest of the kharif 2015 crop.
Rice stocks in the central pool stood at about 16.313 million tons as of September 1, a decrease
of about 25% from the same period last year.
Pakistan
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Pakistan 5% broken rice is today shown at about $320 per ton, unchanged from a week ago,
down about $25 per ton from a month ago and down about $115 per ton from a year ago.
Members of the Rice Exporters Association of Pakistan are urging the government to speed up
the rice-energy barter trade with Iran in order to help the deteriorating rice sector.
In the August Crop Monitoring System Bulletin, the National Space Agency of Pakistan
(SUPARCO) and UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) report that this year's
monsoon in Pakistan has been turbulent with ensuing floods in Chitral and downstream Indus
basin. Due to this around 48,300 hectares of paddy fields have been inundated. They also report
that lack of proper marketing has led to increased stocks and lower prices last year.
Central & South America
Five per cent broken rice from Uruguay and Argentina is today shown at about $540 per ton,
unchanged from a week and a month ago, and down about $75 per ton from a year ago.
Brazil 5% broken rice is today shown at about $500 per ton, unchanged from a week and a
month ago and down about $110 per ton from a year ago. Brazil rice stocks stood at around
124,777 tons in August 2015, slightly down from around 127,785 tons in July 2015 and down
about 77% from around 538,747 tons in August 2014, according to the country's national grain
supplying agency Conab. Official sources report that in the first eight months of 2015, Brazil
has exported around 719,112 tons of rice. In August, Brazil exported about 117,342 tons of rice,
an increase of about 70% from July.
U.S.
U.S. 4% broken rice is today shown at about $535 per ton, unchanged from a week ago, up about
$60 per ton from a month ago and up about $5 per ton from a year ago.
The U.S. has reportedly dominated Turkey rice imports during the first six months of 2015, with
U.S. rice constituting 34% of total rice imports during that period.
Higher night temperatures in the southern part of the U.S. coupled with cloudy weather in other
regions is likely to lower the U.S. 2015 rice production by about 10-20% compared to last year,
according to Bloomberg.
Other Markets
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China has agreed to open its rice import market to the U.S. rice and is likely to sign an
agreement with the U.S. government shortly, a move that would end more than a decade long
negotiations and allow U.S. imports in its massive rice import market.
European Union rice imports have increased to about 1.143 million tons in crop year 2014-15
(September-August), an increase of about 12.7% from CY 2013-14, according to the European
Commission.
Paddy rice acreage in Italy in 2015-16 (September-August) stands at around 227,329
hectares. This is about 3.5% more than last crop year. Italy’s rice exports to non-EU nations
during the first week of 2015-16 crop year (September-August) are about half what they were at
this time last year, reaching only 1,195 tons.
The Philippines rice stocks have declined for third consecutive month in August 2015 after
increasing in April and May, according to the Bureau of Agricultural Statistics (BAS). Total rice
stocks in the Philippines as of August 1, 2015 stood at around 2.24 million tons, down about
13% from around 2.57 million tons recorded in July 2015, and up about 30% from around 1.72
million tons recorded during the same period last year. The National Food Authority of the
Philippines will import an additional 750,000 tons of rice to boost stocks as a drought-inducing
El Nino weather pattern is expected to affect the country’s production.
The Iraq Trade Ministry has extended deadline to buy at least 30,000 tons of rice in international
tenders from the U.S., Uruguay, Argentina, Brazil and India until September 14, 2015, according
to Bloomberg.
The government of Indonesia will provide rice insurance subsidies to farmers for the 2015-16
rice growing season (October-March).
The FAO All Rice Price Index declined to about 209 points in August 2015, a decrease of about
0.9% from July.
The FAO estimates 2015 global milled rice production to increase about 0.7% from 2014 to
500.6 million tons.
The FAO estimates North Korea’s 2015 paddy rice output to decline about 12.4% from last year
to about 2.3 million tons.
The government of Myanmar has decided to lift the temporary ban on exports, which was
imposed in early August to overcome food shortages and price hikes following widespread
flooding, and resume rice exports, local sources quoted the Commerce Minister.
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A team of Bangladeshi researchers led by Professor Zeba Islam Seraj of Dhaka University
developed four transgenic saline-tolerant rice varieties, which are capable of producing 50%
higher yield than the saline-tolerant varieties currently used, according to the Daily Star.
Temperature Fluctuations to Lower
Prospects for U.S. 2015 Rice Production
Sep 11, 2015
Higher night temperatures in the southern part
of the U.S. coupled with cloudy weather in
other regions is likely to lower the U.S. 2015
rice production by about 10-20% compared to
last year, according to Bloomberg.While rice
crops in Mississippi and Arkansas were
impacted by hot night temperatures in July,
crops in Louisiana were impacted by cloudy
skies during the growing season. Nearly 35%
the crop has been harvested across the five rice
growing states as of September 6. “We feel that
the crop is going to be a smaller crop,” said the
President of the U.S. Rice Producers
Association.
Experts are particularly concerned about the yields in Arkansas, the largest rice producing state
in the U.S. The President of the U.S. Rice Producers Association noted that though the harvest
activities are progressing well in Arkansas, problems associated with temperature are still having
effect on the crop. On the other hand California, the second largest rice producing in the U.S. is
enduring an extended drought and lower water supplies. While Arkansas produces long-grain
rice, California produces medium grain and short grain rice.
USDA estimates the U.S. 2015-16 (August - July) production to decline by about 7.2% y/y to
around 9.3 million tons. It estimates harvested area to decline about 6.2% y/y to around 1.096
million hectares. The yield is likely to be at record 8.66 tons per hectare, according to the USDA.
Domestic rice prices are said to have increased yield and quality concerns, said a market analyst
at VantageRM in Austin, Texas.
Page 22 of 22
Daily Exclusive ORYZA Rice E-Newsletter Contents are published with permission of ORYZA.com
Thailand Rice Sellers Lower Some of Their
Quotes; India Rice Sellers Increase Some of
Their Quotes
Sep 11, 2015
Thailand rice sellers lowered their quotes for parboiled rice by about $5 per ton to around $345-
$355 per ton today. India rice sellers increased their quotes for 5% broken rice by about $10 per
ton to around $375-$385 per ton and increased their quotes for parboiled rice by about $5 per ton
to around $360-$370 per ton. Vietnam and Pakistan rice sellers kept their quotes mostly
unchanged today.
5% Broken Rice
Thailand 5% rice is indicated at around $340 - $350 per ton, about $20 per ton premium on
Vietnam 5% rice shown at around $320 - $330 per ton. India 5% rice is indicated at around $375
- $385 per ton, up about $10 per ton from yesterday and about $60 per ton premium on Pakistan
5% rice shown at around $315 - $325 per ton.
25% Broken Rice
Thailand 25% rice is shown at around $330 - $340 per ton, about $15 per ton premium on
Vietnam 25% rice shown at around $315- $325 per ton. India 25% rice is indicated at around
$340 - $350 per ton, about $50 per ton premium on Pakistan 25% rice shown at around $290 -
$300 per ton.
Parboiled Rice
Thailand parboiled rice is indicated at around $345 - $355 per ton, down about $5 per ton from
yesterday. India parboiled rice is indicated at around $360- $370 per ton, up about $5 per ton
from yesterday and about $55 per ton discount to Pakistan parboiled rice last shown at around
$415 - $425 per ton.
100% Broken Rice
Thailand broken rice, A1 Super, is indicated at around $305 - $315 per ton, about $5 per ton
from premium on Vietnam 100% broken rice shown at around $300 - $310 per ton. India's 100%
broken rice is shown at around $300 - $310 per ton, about $25 per ton premium on Pakistan
broken sortexed rice shown at around $275 - $285 per ton.