Climate Change Effects on Marine Systems
Climate Change Effects on Marine Systems
Effects on Marine Systems - Circulation
• The “Achilles’ Heel” of the climate system.
Effects on Marine Systems - Circulation
Effects on Marine Systems - Circulation
• The Gulf Stream brings warm, salty water to the north – it’s an oceanic heat pump.
• The loss of this heat would cool the North Atlantic region by 3-5° C.
• A critical component of this is the sinking limb of the conveyor which is driven by density.
Effects on Marine Systems - Circulation
Effects on Marine Systems - Circulation
Effects on Marine Systems - Circulation
• The scientific community does not expect the conveyor to shut off as a result of global warming!
• What is more likely is that existing Arctic ice will melt at a rate that buffers the warming at high latitudes.
• But once that ice is gone …
Effects on Marine Systems - Circulation
• Another circulation system that could be affected by global change is the El Niño – Southern Oscillation.
Effects on Marine Systems - Circulation
• A typical El Niño event causes between 2 and 7 billion dollars in economic damage.
• Usually due to some combination of drought, flooding, and storm damage.
Effects on Marine Systems - Circulation
• Trade winds blowing from east to west pile up warm water in the western Pacific (Western Warm Pool). Pool of warm water generates a lot of precipitation for this region (Indonesia, Philippines, etc.)
Effects on Marine Systems - Circulation
• Trade winds greatly weaken or even reverse direction allowing Warm Pool waters to “slosh” back towards the east.
Effects on Marine Systems - Circulation
• First observed by South American fishermen – the anchovies would vanish around December.
Normal
El Niño
Effects on Marine Systems - Circulation
Effects on Marine Systems - Circulation
Effects on Marine Systems - Circulation
• Less intense hurricane season in the Atlantic.
• More intense hurricane season in the Pacific.
Effects on Marine Systems - Circulation
• Essentially an enhancement of “normal” conditions. Results in weather anomalies that are basically the opposite of those caused by El Niño.
La Niña
Normal
El Niño
Effects on Marine Systems - Circulation
Effects on Marine Systems - Circulation
Effects on Marine Systems - Circulation
• El Niños used to occur every 4-7 years.
• But since the early-1970’s they have occurred every 2-5 years.
• A lot of research on whether that change in frequency is related to human impact on climate.
Effects on Marine Systems - Ecosystems
• El Niños also have a strong effect on ecosystems.
• Warm water where they are normally cooler cause organisms to move deeper to cooler temperatures.
El Niño
Effects on Marine Systems - Ecosystems
• Many fish move deeper, resulting in massive sea bird mortality during El Niño events due to starvation.
Effects on Marine Systems - Ecosystems
http://video.nationalgeographic.com/video/player/environment/environment-natural-disasters/landslides-and-more/el-nino.html
Effects on Marine Systems - Ecosystems
• Increased temperature (not just due to El Niño) a problem for many marine ecosystems.
• Similar to freshwater ecosystems, warmer temperatures impact organism distribution, metabolism, and gender ratios.
Effects on Marine Systems - Ecosystems
• Temperature and coral reefs - “coral bleaching.”
Effects on Marine Systems - Ecosystems
• Temperature and coral reefs - “coral bleaching.”
Effects on Marine Systems - Ecosystems
Effects on Marine Systems - Ecosystems
• Corals are small animals that secrete a calcium carbonate skeleton.
• Many coral species have symbiotic algae living in their tissue called zooxanthellae.
Effects on Marine Systems - Ecosystems
• Corals are small animals that secrete a calcium carbonate skeleton.
• Many coral species have symbiotic algae living in their tissue called zooxanthellae.
Effects on Marine Systems - Ecosystems
• Zooxanthellae produce organic compounds that the coral relies on for food.
• When temperatures rise, the corals expel the zooxanthellae – makes them look white, or “bleached.”
Effects on Marine Systems - Ecosystems
• Without the symbiotic zooxanthellae, the coral loses 90-95% of its food supply, and usually dies within months.
• Once the coral is dead macro algae takes over, smothering the reef.
Effects on Marine Systems - Ecosystems
Effects on Marine Systems - Ecosystems
(green – no bleaching, blue – low bleaching, yellow – medium bleaching, red – high bleaching)
Effects on Marine Systems - Ecosystems
• Temperature effects are expected to be greater for the Arctic.
Effects on Marine Systems - Ecosystems
• Less sea ice means less area for seals to reproduce, less area for polar bears to hunt.
• The other big concern is ocean acidification.
• When CO2 dissolves in water it produces carbonic acid – makes the oceans more acidic.
Effects on Marine Systems - Ecosystems
• Lots of organisms make their skeletons out of calcium carbonate.
Effects on Marine Systems - Ecosystems
Effects on Marine Systems - Ecosystems
• Will have drastic consequences not just on the carbonate organisms themselves, but all the way up the food chain that feeds on those organisms.
Effects on Marine Systems - Ecosystems