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Planning to fail, failing to plan? A most different systems comparison of urban planning in Portugal and Iran Mona Jabbari (U. Minho) Carlos Jalali (U. Aveiro) Frederico Moura e Sá (U. Aveiro)
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Page 1: 12.2.11. #2 mona jabbari

Planning to fail, failing to plan?

A most different systems comparison

of urban planning in Portugal and Iran

Mona Jabbari (U. Minho)

Carlos Jalali (U. Aveiro)

Frederico Moura e Sá (U. Aveiro)

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1. TERRITORY: FUNCTIONS AND USES

• LAND FUNCTIONS (ANTHROPOLOGICAL PERSPECTIVE) :

• ENVIRONMENTAL (ECOLOGICAL BALANCE)

• PRODUCTIVE (PRIMARY SECTOR)

• SUPPORT (INFRASTRUCTURE, BUILDING, …)

• EVOLUTION OF LAND USE

DOMINANT BEHAVIOR AND SOCIAL ORDER

CONFLICT / CLASH

REFLECTION / MIRROR

E.G. IN PORTUGAL MUCH OF THE LAND IS PRIVATE PROPER TY ���� BASIC RIGHT (LIBERAL FRAMEWORK)

EACH OWNER LEGITIMATELY DEMANDS THE MAXIMUM ECONOMIC ADVANTAGE OF THEIR "GOOD"

CARVALHO, J. (2010). MERCADO, IDEOLOGIA E ORDENAMEN TO DO TERRITÓRIO. AVEIRO, UNIVERSIDADE DE AVEIRO.

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2. LAND USE: CURRENT DYNAMICS

URBAN(CITY)

RURAL(FIELD)VS.

CLASSICAL DICHOTOMY(CONCENTRATED OCCUPATION)

STEAM ENGINE, AUTOMOBILE AND INFRASTRUCTURE EXPANSI ON

SCATTERED / FRAGMENTED OCCUPATION (URBAN SPRAWL)

MODEL (BASED ON CAR USE AND UNTIL NOW IN CHEAP ENERGY) THAT MULTIPLIES ITSELF BY:

• THE PERMANENT EXTENSION OF INFRASTRUCTURES(IRRATIONALITY ���� WITHOUT ASSESSING LEVELS OF SERVICE)

• LAND OWNERS ACTION:

• ENVIRONMENTAL FUNCTION

• PRODUCTIVE FUNCTION

• SUPPORT FUNCTIONS

(WITHOUT ECONOMIC RETURN)

RELENTLESS PURSUIT OF BUILDING ON HIS PROPERTY

CARVALHO, J. (2010). MERCADO, IDEOLOGIA E ORDENAMEN TO DO TERRITÓRIO. AVEIRO, UNIVERSIDADE DE AVEIRO.DOMINGUES, Á. (2008). URBANIZAÇÃO EXTENSIVA – UMA NO VA ESCALA PARA O PLANEAMENTO. CITTA 1ST ANNUAL CONF ERENCE ON PLANNING RESEARCH. PORTO, FEUP.

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4. SPRAWL IN PORTUGAL…

Tehran province: Different Grain size of heterogeneo us tissue

GROWTH RATES OF HOUSEHOLDS AND FAMILIES IN PORTUGAL ,1970-81, 1981-91 AND 1991-2001

GROWTH OF HOUSING HAS BEEN CONTINUOUSLY ABOVE 20%, ALWAYS WELL ABOVE

THE INCREASE OF THE FAMILY NUMBERS.

A EVOLUÇÃO DO PARQUE HABITACIONAL PORTUGUÊS: REFLEX ÕES PARA O FUTURO

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4. SPRAWL IN PORTUGAL… THREE DIFFERENT TYPOLOGIES

CONTINUOUS LINEAR BUILDING (EX: CARVALHEIRA – AVEIRO)

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4. SPRAWL IN PORTUGAL… THREE DIFFERENT TYPOLOGIES

OCCASIONAL PATCHES OF URBANIZATIONS (EX: SÃO JOSÉ DA PONTE – ÉVORA)

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4. SPRAWL IN PORTUGAL… THREE DIFFERENT TYPOLOGIES

UNIFORM PUNCTUAL BUILDING (EX: AZURVA – AVEIRO)

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3. SPRAWL IN IRAN…

Tehran is the economic and political centre of the country. This helps explain sprawling settlements in the Tehran province. The province has a population of around 11 million.

Statistical Center of Iran(2013) at : www.amar.org. ir

Iran

Tehran province

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3. SPRAWL IN IRAN… TWO DIFFERENT TYPOLOGIES

TEHRAN PROVINCE: PUNCTUAL BUILDING, HETEROGENEOUS P LOT SIZES

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3. SPRAWL IN IRAN… TWO DIFFERENT TYPOLOGIES

North of Iran

Statistical Center of Iran(2013) at : www.amar.org. ir

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3. SPRAWL IN IRAN… TWO DIFFERENT TYPOLOGIES

NORTH OF IRAN: CONTINUOUS LINEAR SPRAWL, HOMOGENEOU S PLOT SIZES

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3. SPRAWL IN IRAN…

GROWTH RATES OF HOUSEHOLDS AND FAMILIES IN IRAN,1996-2000, 2001-2005 AND 2006-2010

Statistical Center of Iran(2013) at : www.amar.org. ir

GROWTH OF FAMILIES HAS BEEN CONTINUOUSLY ABOVE DOUB LE AND HALF, ALWAYS

WELL ABOVE THE INCREASE OF THE RATE HOUSE NUMBERS.

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5. THE RESEARCH QUESTION

WHY?WHAT FACTORS EXPLAIN

INEFFICIENT LAND USE AND SPRAWL?

EXPLANATIONS OF INEFFICIENT LAND USE AND SPRAWL GENERALLY BASED ON CASE STUDIES. E.G.:CARVALHO, J. (COORDENAÇÃO GERAL) (NO PRELO). CUSTOS E BENEFÍCIOS, À ESCALA LOCAL, DE UMA OCUPAÇÃO DISPERSA. UNIVERSIDADE DE AVEIRO, UNIVERSIDADE DE ÉVORA, DGOTDU. (CASOS DE AVEIRO E ÉVORA).

GRAHAM, S., MARVIN, S. (2001). SPLINTERING URBANISM: NETWORKED INFRASTRUCTURE, TECHNOLOGICAL MOBILITIES AND THE URBAN CONDITION. LONDON, NEW YORK, ROUTLEDGE.

SIEVERTS, T. (2003). CITIES WITHOUT CITIES: AN INTERPRETATION OF THE ZWISCHENSTADT. LONDON, NEW YORK, SPON PRESS.

SOARES, L. B. (2002). A REALIDADE INCONTORNÁVEL DA DISPERSÃO. SOCIEDADE E TERRITÓRIO, N. 33, FEVEREIRO, P. 123-129.

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6. COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS

LIJPHART (1971): SCIENTIFIC EXPLANATION CONSISTS OF TWO BASIC ELEMENTS: (1) THE ESTABLISHMENT OF GENERAL EMPIRICAL RELATIONSHIPS AMONG TWO OR MORE VARIABLES, WHILE (2) ALL OTHER VARIABLES ARE CONTROLLED THAT IS, HELD CONSTANT

COMPARATIVE METHOD: “METHOD OF DISCOVERING EMPIRICA L RELATIONSHIP AMONG VARIABLES” (LIJPHART, 1971: 683)

SYSTEMATIC COMPARISON OF SMALL N; DELIBERATE AND CA REFUL SELECTION OF CASES; IDENTIFYING CAUSAL RELATIONSHIP S BY ANALYSING SIMILARITIES AND DIFFERENCES BETWEEN CASES

TWO MAIN STRATEGIES:1. MOST SIMILAR SYSTEMS DESIGN (MSSD): minimise variance in the

independent (control) variables and maximise differ ence in the dependent variable

2. MOST DIFFERENT SYSTEMS DESIGN (MDSD): maximise variance in the independent variables and minimise difference in th e dependent variable

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6. COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS

THE LOGIC OF MDSD

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6. COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS

PORTUGAL IRANDEMOCRACY NOT DEMOCRACY

MARKET ECONOMY TRANSITION ECONOMY

10 MILLION POP’N; HIGH DENSITY (115/KM2); LOW

GROWTH (0.18%)

76 MILLION POP’N; LOW DENSITY (47/KM2); FAST

GROWTH (1.25%)

PIECEMEAL PLANNING SYSTEM

CENTRALISED PLANNING

PREPONDERANCE OF PRIVATE INITIATIVE

PUBLIC CONTROL OF CONSTRUCTION

BUT BOTH WITH INEFFICIENT LAND USE (SPRAWL)

PORTUGAL AND IRAN AS A MOST DIFFERENT SYSTEMS DESIG N COMPARISON

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7. THE PORTUGUESE CASE: FACTORS

REASONS FOR DISORGANIZED OCCUPATION OF THE TERRITORY:

PUBLIC ACTION ONLY USES PLANS (GENERALLY TOO PERMISSIVE) AND LICENSING (WITH CASE BY CASE APPROACH AND DEPENDENT ON THE INITIATI VE OF EACH OWNER - EVEN IF THE LICENSEE COMPLIES WITH THE PLAN, DISORDER REMAINS)

WHAT IS MISSING:

• ANOTHER REAL ESTATE TAX SYSTEM (THE PRESENT ONE REWARDS INACTION AND INHIBITS OPERATION OF THE MARKET)

• AND ABOVE ALL, MORE PUBLIC INITIATIVE (DIRECT ACTIONS OR PROMOTION OF EFFECTIVE PARTNERSHIPS - IN STRATEGIC TERRITORIALLY INTERVENTIONS)

CARVALHO, J. (2010). MERCADO, IDEOLOGIA E ORDENAMEN TO DO TERRITÓRIO. AVEIRO, UNIVERSIDADE DE AVEIRO.

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8. THE IRANIAN CASE: FACTORS

REASONS FOR DISORGANIZED OCCUPATION OF THE TERRITORY:

1990s-2000s: CONSTRUCTION AS THE ONLY LUCRATIVE USE OF LAND, AND PARTICULARLY PROFITABLE IN THE ECONOMY AS A WHOLE, GIVEN HIGH DEMAND. PRIVATE CAPITAL CHANNELLED TO CONSTRUCTION.

Since 2000s: DIRECT GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION TO INCREASE HOUSING. HOWEVER, HAS SERVED TO FURTHER INCREASE VALUE OF LA ND (PRIVATE) FOR CONSTRUCTION, AND LITTLE PLANNING STRUCTURE.

WHAT IS MISSING:

• ANOTHER REAL ESTATE TAX SYSTEM (NO TAXATION ON CONSTRUCTION PROFITS)

• AND ABOVE ALL, MORE PUBLIC INITIATIVE (DIRECT ACTIONS OR PROMOTION OF EFFECTIVE PARTNERSHIPS - IN STRATEGIC TERRITORIALLY INTERVENTIONS)

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8. THE COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS

WHAT FACTORS EXPLAIN INEFFICIENT LAND USE AND SPRAWL?

DESPITE DIFFERENT URBAN PLANNING REGULATIONS AND CO NTEXTUAL FACTORS, IRAN AND PORTUGAL WITH SIMILAR OUTCOMES.

THE COMMON FACTOR:

ABUNDANCE OF CHEAP CREDIT FOR CONSTRUCTION

IN PORTUGAL, CREDIT PROVIDED BY FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONSIN IRAN, CREDIT PROVIDED GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION

IN BOTH CASES, SIMILAR IMPACT: ECONOMIC LOGIC OVERRIDES SOCIAL AND

ENVIRONMENTAL LOGICS

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THANK YOU