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    Country Report

    on TurkmenistanAssignment on International

    Business Strategies

    Rahul Ranganathan, IM-19, Roll No: 121NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING

    Submitted to

    Professor Som Sekhar

    Bhattacharya

    Professor, NITIE, Mumbai

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    Table of Contents

    1. Introduction 2

    2. Porters national diamond 4

    2.1 Factor Conditions 4

    2.2 Demand conditions 6

    2.3 Firm strategy, structure & rivalry 7

    2.4 Related & supporting industries 7

    2.5 Governments role 8

    3. CAGE Framework 9

    3.1 Cultural Distance 9

    3.2 Administrative Distance 103.3 Geographical Distance 10

    3.4 Economic Distance 11

    4. Trade relationships 12

    4.1 Trade relationship with India 14

    4.2 Bilateral relationship with India 15

    References 16

    Abstract

    The purpose of this document is to highlight and lay emphasis on the economy of

    Turkmenistan as a country with reference to the Porters diamond model and the CAGE

    framework. Firstly, the countrys economic and general state of affairs are sought to be

    explained by means of the four aspects of the Porters diamond model as applied to a

    nation. Thereafter, an analysis of the trade relations and cross-border flows of goods and

    services in and out of Turkmenistan is undertaken to arrive at the industries prima-facie

    supporting the countrys economy. Finally, the CAGE framework is deployed to assess the

    distance relationships between India and Turkmenistan with a view to draw conclusions and

    suggestions for a more favourable future outlook.

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    1.

    Introduction

    Nestled between Iran, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and Afghanistan and bordering the Caspian

    Sea with a coastline of around 1,800 kms, Turkmenistan is primarily is a declaredpresidential republic. However, Turkmenistan is governed by authoritarian presidential rule

    since its Independence on October 27, 1991 consequent to the break-up of the Soviet

    Union. Its story so far has been primarily written by two men, Saparmurat Niyazov and

    Gurbanguly Berdimuhammedov with both their governments fostering centralized state

    control with complete authority over the parliament and judiciary. The country is divided

    into 5 provinces, Ahal Welayat, Balkan Welayat, Dashoguz Welayat, Lebap Welayat and

    Mary Welayat and 1 independent city of Ashgabat. The 5 regions of the territorial-

    administrative structure are formed based on tribal characteristics. 80% of the total area of

    the country is covered by the Karakum Desert justifying the primarily arid and tropical

    desert climate. [9]

    The territories of Turkmenistan have been populated since ancient times by one army or

    another, most notably, by Alexander the Great when he conquered the region in 4 thcentury

    BC on his way to India. Thereafter, the Arabs conquered the region in 7 th century AD

    bringing Islam with them and establishing the country along the famous Silk Road trading

    route. In the 12th century, Genghiz Khan took control of the region with the following 7

    centuries characterized by constant intertribal wars and a state of instability. It was only in

    1894 that imperial Russia took over with Turkmenistan declared as one of the 15 republics

    of the Soviet Union in 1924 post the October Revolution in 1917[1]

    . After the breakup of theSoviet Union, the country gained independence with Saparmurat Niyazov becoming the first

    president of the new republic.

    The Turkmenistan economy has registered consistent double digit growth over the past 3-5

    years with growth buoyed primarily by strong terms of trade and sustained demand for

    natural gas from China. The below table provides valuable insight into the key economic

    indicators for Turkmenistan:

    Indicator 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    GDP in current prices (TMT million) 27000 49470 57611 59000 79976

    Rates of growth of production (%)

    GDP 11 14.7 6.1 9.2 14.7

    Industry 10.1 7.1 -20.8 8.1 24.2

    Agriculture, fishery and forestry 6.1 4 8.5 7.8 0.1

    Construction 36.2 129.3 114.4 15.9 12.6

    Transportation and communications 17.1 8.7 14.7 12.2 8.1

    Trade and catering 15.4 9.9 27 11.3 9

    GDP industry structure

    Industry 36.7 50.5 42.7 39.7 49.3Agriculture, fishery and forestry 17.8 10.8 10.5 12.8 10

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    Construction 6.4 10.1 18.2 16.1 13.6

    Transportation and communications 5.7 4.1 5 5.9 4.5

    Trade and catering 9.2 5.3 6.1 7.1 5.9

    Other services 24.2 19.2 17.5 18.4 16.7

    Exchange rate annualized (TMT/USD) 1.04 2.32 2.85 2.85 2.85

    Revenues of state at current prices (TMT million) 4,684 10080 11,768 10,170 15079

    Expenditures of state at current prices (TMT million) 3,629 5,375 10,124 8,878 12,180

    Table 1: Key economic indicators for Turkmenistan[6]

    In terms of the main political drivers for Turkmenistans economy, centralization of

    authority, geopolitical forces, and the politics of natural resources are key. This strong

    growth is supported by high domestic public investment in social infrastructure and

    especially strong investment in physical infrastructure, which facilitated the further

    expansion of the exportable sectors, especially natural gas. However, apart from

    hydrocarbon sector aided growth, other sectors of the economy have also contributed theirshare with agricultural sector growing at 12% driven by good harvest of cotton. In addition,

    some subsectors of the manufacturing industry, namely the production of construction

    materials, fish processing, and textiles have grown by 32%, 8%, and 11% on average,

    respectively[4]

    .

    In terms of exchange rate, Turkmenistan maintains a fixed rate of the Turkmen manat

    against the US dollar. In this system, the official exchange rate was determined at a weekly

    auction conducted by the Central Bank of Turkmenistan. The commercial banks were

    allowed to sell foreign currency for a list of specified transactions only with exchange taxes

    of 50% and 30% levied on cash receipts from natural gas and oil and petroleum product

    exports, respectively. No forward markets for currency exchanges exist and neither do stock

    markets for exchange of company shares.

    The country does no publish any concrete economic information on balance of payments,

    external debt, monetary statistics and any detailed government budget data. Also, there is

    no data available on issues such as poverty and unemployment. Although employment is

    formally guaranteed, there are few opportunities for employment outside the public sector.

    As suggested before, the public expenditure by the government is high in Turkmenistan with

    the state administering 17 different subsidy programs which supported by the state budgetincluding universal access to utilities free of charge to the public, including gas, electricity,

    water, sewage and public transportation which have been guaranteed until 2030. The

    budget guarantees access to health and education services free of charge (though the

    quality of these need to be upgraded substantially).

    A recent report by the World Bank describes the medium-term outlook for the countrys

    economy to be favorable but heavily dependent on external demand for Turkmen oil

    products and gas. The baseline growth projection has been revised upward at 12.2 and 10.4

    percent, respectively, for 2013 and 2014 with 11% growth rate in real GDP established in2012

    [2]. With the hydrocarbon sector accounting for about half of GDP, 95% of exports, and

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    85% of fiscal revenues, a sharp decline in global hydrocarbon prices is the key risk to the

    growth projections.

    2. Porters national diamond

    After a brief insight into Turkmenistans economy, this section proceeds ahead with ananalysis of Turkmenistan as a nation from the lens of the Porters national diamond

    framework. The framework consists of four attributes, each of which are exemplified below:

    2.1Factor Conditions

    This factor assesses a nations position in terms of factors of production along four different

    fronts, human resources, physical resources, capital resources and infrastructure.

    2.1.1 HUMAN RESOURCES

    In terms of demography, 85% of Turkmenistans population are Turkmen with Uzbeks and

    Russians constituting minorities at 5% and 4% respectively among others. Moreover, Islam is

    the dominant religion in the country without doubt with 89% of the population practising

    the same with the remaining 11% being Christians [2]. More than three-fourths of the

    population lives in rural areas or farms which is a reflection of the skill level and the

    economic development of the country [3]. Although the country provides free and

    compulsory education for all, the quality of education remains dubious with President

    Niyazov renowned for administering his own book Ruhnama as the principal text for all

    levels of education in the past.

    Also, the state of Turkmenistan, in a Soviet-reminiscent style guarantees employment for

    everyone and hence, the official rate of employment is declared to be zero. Apart from

    there being limited opportunities for employment outside state governed enterprises, the

    viability of employment within those enterprises itself is in question with large numbers of

    Turkmens leaving the country to find work in Russia and other neighbouring countries.

    Another aspect of emphasis to be noted is that in spite of the overwhelming majority of

    residents being Muslims, the brand of Islam followed is more moderate as compared to that

    in other Central Asian countries. In a Gallup survey, some Turkmen Muslims responded that

    they never perform salat, the ritual prayer that traditional Islam calls for five times daily

    while only 7% actually perform it five times a day. About four in ten Turkmen Muslims (42

    percent) said they fast during Ramadan, compared with majorities of Muslims in most other

    Central Asian countries[3]

    . This purports the idea that the Turkmen society is not fertile

    territory for Islamist groups is a good enough reason to believe the state is unlikely to face

    any significant threat to its hold on power in the short term. It also may bode well for the

    possibility of reforms over the longer term, as the dogmatic conservatism that has blocked

    social change in other Islamic countries does not seem to be present in Turkmenistan.

    In conclusion then, Turkmenistans human resources capability can at best be described as

    under-developed.

    2.1.2

    PHYSICAL RESOURCES

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    Turkmenistans physical resources can be categorized broadly in terms of resources for

    natural gas, petroleum products and cotton and textiles among other goods. In this regard,

    the country has primarily been a supplier of raw materials in line with its existing resources

    Natural Gas

    Turkmenistans vast resources of natural gas put it among the top-five countries in theworld in terms of gas resources. Essentially, the development of the natural gas industry in

    Turkmenistan can be described in four stages:

    Stage I:

    This stage between 1992 and 1996 was characterized by relatively stable production and

    export of natural gas to traditional partners like the USSR via a pipeline network owned by

    the Soviet Union.

    Stage II:

    This stage was characterized by a significant decline in the exports and production of naturalgas because of insufficient demand from buyers in Russia.

    Stage III:

    This stage between 1998 and 2008 represents a significant shift by the Turkmen

    government to diversify its exports of natural gas. The construction of the Korpeje-Kurtkui

    pipeline opened up an alternate export route of natural gas to Iran.

    Stage IV:

    This stage is an extension of Stage III with significant diversification in natural gas exports

    and substantial increase in export volumes to foreign markets, with particular focus towardsChina and agreements to put in place the Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI)

    pipeline to pump natural gas to India.

    Petroleum and petroleum products

    The Government of Turkmenistan is attracting large investments into modernizing the

    national petroleum industry in order to enable the country to discover new deposits of

    petroleum and expand volumes of accessible hydrocarbon fuel. State-of-the-art equipment

    from United States, Germany, China and Russia have been imported, for instance, to

    supplement the plants of state-run company Turkmennebit. Other efforts to increase the

    volume of petroleum production include the development of the South Yoloten depositwhere, in addition to vast natural gas reserves, highly lucrative oil reserves are expected.

    Petroleum is also being extracted at the Yashyldepe deposit on the right bank of the River

    Amudarya.

    Cotton, textiles and other goods

    While contributing in small amounts to the total exports of Turkmenistan, the development

    of domestic production of interim finished goods, primarily cloth, has given a boost to these

    industries.

    Other products exported include technical iodine, sodium sulphate, technical carbon, raw

    (grege) silk, washed (scoured) wool, and carpets and carpet goods.

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    2.1.3 CAPITAL RESOURCES

    In terms of availability of capital, government control is strong and most banks remain

    focused on financing specific sectors of the economy, or particular public enterprises. Of the

    12 commercial banks in Turkmenistan, five are state-owned and account for 80% of total

    assets and deposits in the banking system. Capital markets do not exist and there is no stock

    exchange. Total bank deposits are still less than 6% of GDP. Over 95% of credits (mainly

    short-term and low-interest) are to state enterprises. In June 2000, Turkmen citizens were

    banned from holding foreign bank accounts and ordered to repatriate funds within three

    months. Continued government interference, lack of political will for reform, a weak

    institutional framework, and a severely underdeveloped private sector are likely to hinder

    any limited progress in banking and financial-sector development for the foreseeable future.

    What financial system is in place is plagued with endemic corruption.

    2.1.4 INFRASTRUCTURE

    In terms of urban infrastructure, Turkmenistan has 4 cities to speak of, Ashgabat, Turkmenabat,

    Dashoguz and Turkmenbashi. Movement between these 4 cities or between the 5 welayats

    remains highly restricted and hence, the need for development of infrastructure in terms of

    transportation and highways has not been felt.

    Also, in terms of industrial infrastructure development, there remain major infrastructure

    and economic hurdles to ensure that energy reserves will be able to be exploited and thus

    would translate into sustainable, long-term economic growth for the country.

    First and foremost, the country's current production capacity is insufficient and outdated

    and would never be able to support the proposed expansion of production. Without newcapital investment inflows, production would not be able to increase despite the available

    reserves.

    Second, and almost as importantly, the country must continue to diversify and improve its

    export pipelines. The completion of the Chinese export pipeline and the expansion of the

    Iranian export pipeline open further avenues for export, but Turkmen exports are still

    heavily dependent on the Gazprom-owned Russian pipelines, with a limited top export

    capacity. Lending agreements with the Chinese will bring in vast amounts of new capital in

    return for greater promises of production and export to that country.

    Although global prices for natural gas are back up from 200809 crisis lows, they remainlower than they had been before the global recession and are vulnerable to future slides. If

    prices were to drop, the forward impetus for Turkmen economic growth would be severely

    compromised. For now, baseline expectations are that in the short term, the Turkmen

    outlook will be constrained somewhat by limited domestic extraction and transport

    capacity. In the longer term, this capacity is assumed to increase substantially, thus

    providing the country with the basis for greater long-term growth.

    2.2Demand conditions

    Turkmenistan operates a licensing based regime of sorts similar to that of India pre-1991.

    Production orders and domestic prices are heavily centralized and controlled by the statewith high social spending as suggested by Table 1 above. Apart from free education and

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    government is striving for self-sufficiency in grain and aiming to use cotton production to

    develop a viable textile industry further up the value chain by attracting FDI. However,

    transportation to key markets and government intervention still remain significant obstacles

    for the development of these supporting industries to the economy. Moreover, with all

    Central Asian countries in bitter disputes over sharing diminishing sources of water in the

    region, attainment of self-sufficiency in food remains a distant dream for the nation.

    Moreover, with insufficient and non-existent capabilities to manufacture equipments to

    buttress its oil and gas industry aided growth, the economy is going to be increasingly

    dependent on imports to sustain high growth levels.

    Thus, on an overall level, with respect to the Porters national diamond all thefour factors

    show unfavourable signs for the progress of the nation of Turkmenistan. Unless the

    government undertakes a significant overhaul of the entire system, the dependence on

    exports of natural gas for revenues and the associated risks of a slack in the demand or gas

    prices globally will continue to persist.

    2.5

    Governments role

    As mentioned earlier, Turkmenistan is essentially an authoritarian state with high

    centralized state control. The president himself controls the parliament and judiciary while

    there is no freedom of the press and media with the government in full control of all

    content. In September 2008, the constitution was amended with a strengthened and

    enlarged mejlis or the parliament. Industry is entirely dominated by state owned enterprises

    while services have been migrated to the private sector.

    From an economic standpoint, the government of Turkmenistan may face the following

    significant challenges which are required to be overcome for long term sustainable growth:

    Dependence on the economy on hydrocarbon exports makes it vulnerable to drop in

    prices as suggested before and hence diversification of development options needs

    to be considered.

    In order to foster the development of the private sector, apart from developing

    market institutions and an effective banking sector, the government also needs to

    invest in human capital.

    The development of prudent governance practices is absolutely essential to attract

    foreign investment and efficiently utilize Turkmenistans hydrocarbon revenues.

    Amendments to public policy to curtail public spending and cost of budget subsidies

    would be required as the country may run into high fiscal deficits in the medium

    term.

    Although the current government has hinted at adopting more favourable policies, little

    change has been witnessed on the ground. The government needs to re-invent its role in

    policy development and governance in order to gain from industrial growth.

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    3.

    CAGE Framework

    The CAGE framework consists of four aspects of distances on the basis of cultural,

    administrative, geographical and economic factors on which to characterize the relationship

    between two countries. Each of these distance aspects are as follows:

    3.1Cultural Distance

    Languages

    There is strong disparity in terms of languages spoken by the two countries as there is not a

    single common language spoken by their respective citizens. The distribution of languages

    spoken by the two countries is as shown below:

    Figure 1: Distribution of languages[2]

    Religion

    Even in this aspect, the two countries are poles apart with the dominant religion in

    Turkmenistan being a religion practiced by minorities in India. The distribution of religions

    practiced in the two countries is as shown below:

    Figure 2: Distribution of religions[2]

    % of population speaking languages in

    India

    Hindi Bengali Telugu Marathi Tamil

    Urdu Gujarati Kannada Malayalam Oriya

    Punjabi Assamese Maithili other

    % of population speaking languages in

    Turkmenistan

    Turkmen Russian Uzbek Other

    % of population practising religions

    in India

    Hindu Muslim Christian Sikh other unspecified

    % of population practising

    religions in Turkmenistan

    Muslim Eastern Orthodox unknown

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    3.2Administrative Distance

    Trade bloc and regional trade agreements

    Turkmenistan is not a signatory to the CIS Economic Union Agreement executed by nine CIS

    countries. However, the country has in place bilateral trade agreements with Azerbaijan,

    Georgia, Ukraine and Uzbekistan. Most importantly though, Turkmenistan is a current

    signatory to the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) although it originally refrained

    from doing so.

    India, on the other hand, is a signatory to a number of free trade agreements like the Asia

    Pacific Trade Agreements (APTA), South Asian Free Trade Agreement (SAFTA) and Global

    System of Trade Preferences among Developing countries (GSTP) apart from other bilateral

    trade agreements with ASEAN, Singapore, Japan, Chile and the EU.

    Thus, there is no match between the two countries in this aspect.

    Currency

    In terms of currencies of Turkmenistan and India, the Turkmen manat is set at a fixed

    exchange rate to the dollar and is set and revised by the Central Bank of Turkmenistan as

    and when required. Hence, in effect, the country adopts a fixed peg arrangement. In

    addition, conversion from the manat to any other currency other than the US Dollar is not

    carried out by the Central Bank of Turkmenistan.

    On the other hand, the Indian Rupee is managed on a regular basis by the Reserve Bank of

    India upon any outlining effect from the market but the exchange rate if fundamentally

    market governed in any case. Thus, India offers a managed float regime and the Indian

    Rupee can be freely converted into currency of any other form.

    Thus, there is no match between the two countries in this aspect.

    Colony/Colonizer

    In terms of inheritance of the countrys borders today, although the territories of both the

    countries have been inhabited since ancient times, Turkmenistan has inherited a largely

    Soviet-era based system on the one hand while India has adopted and refined a Britishsystem after independence.

    Corruption

    Turkmenistan is ranked 168 out of 177 countries in the Transparency International

    Corruption Perceptions Index showing that it is one of the most corrupt countries in the

    world. India, on the other hand, fares a lot better with a rank of 94 in the same index. [8]

    3.3Geographical Distance

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    The two countries of Turkmenistan and India neither share any common borders nor border

    the same water body but are relatively close to each other with the distance between their

    respective capitals being 2,783 kms.[2]

    Land Area

    India ranks in at nearly 7 times the size of Turkmenistan with an area of 3,287,263 square

    kms compared to that of Turkmenistan at 488,100 square kms. [2]

    Climate

    Turkmenistan possesses a subtropical desert and arid climate with around 96% of its area

    unsuitable for agriculture while India, on the other hand, has a more tropical climate with

    48% of its area being arable. [2]

    Transportation Infrastructure

    Turkmenistans lacklustre transport infrastructure has been highlighted before in this reportwith the country possessing a moderate 2,980 kms of railways and 58,592 kms of roadways.

    India, on the other hand, has 63,974 kms of railways and an extensive road network of

    4,700,000 kms which includes national highways, state highways and other interior and

    arterial roads.[2]

    3.4Economic Distance

    GDP per capita (USD)

    The per capita GDP of Turkmenistan has steadily increased to 6,800 in 2012 compared to

    4,400 in 2010 coincident with the GDP growth rate of over double digits during the same

    period.[10]

    Indias per capita GDP, on the other hand, has remained at the same level of around 1,500

    USD during the same timeframe. However, the base effect of higher population also needs

    to be incorporated when considering Indias situation into account.

    Real GDP growth rate

    Indias GDP growth rate has moderated over the last two years around the level of 5-6%

    after posting growth rates of 9% during the years before. Turkmenistans economy, on the

    other hand, has expanded considerably over the past two years posting growth rates of

    above 11% in real GDP. Again, however, the base effect of higher GDP of India needs to be

    factored in.[10]

    Human Development Index

    In terms of the Human Development Index, both the countries fare quite the worse with

    Turkmenistan ranked 102 in the index while India ranked still lower at 136. [11]

    Internet Penetration

    Only 80,400 people in Turkmenistan have access to Internet compared to a whopping 61

    million in India showcasing the lack of penetration of web and associated technologies in

    the Central Asian nation.[2]

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    In order to put the comparisons of the CAGE model into perspective, it can be concluded

    that all the four distances are high in case of Turkmenistan and India. The relative effects of

    these distances as compared to one another can be exemplified as below:

    Figure 2: Comparison of CAGE dimensions between Turmenistan and India

    4.

    Trade relationships

    The trade relationships of Turkmenistan are best described by the graphs below

    representing the countries to which exports are being directed to and countries from where

    goods are being imported. The data are summarized for the year 2010. The graphs illustrate

    the dominating influence of Russia, China and Iran on the economy of Turkmenistan.

    Particularly, the increasing role of China is to be taken note of as it expands its presence in

    the country and gain a strong foothold in the share of natural gas exports.

    Also, the graphs indicate the marginal position of India in terms of trade with Turkmenistan.

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8Cultural

    Administrative

    Geographical

    Economic

    CAGE Framework Analysis Results

    Turkmenistan India

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    Figure 3: Imports & Exports of Turkmenistan by country

    [7]

    In terms of the diversity of its trade, the following graphs illustrate the dominating role of

    petroleum products in Turkmenistans exports. The imports however, are quite diversified in

    terms of goods and services.

    China

    TurkeyItaly

    Russia

    Afghanistan

    United Kingdom

    Iran

    Europe

    AsiaCIS NA

    TURKMENISTAN EXPORTS

    Russia

    China

    Iran

    Germany

    Turkey

    CIS

    Asia

    EuropeNASA

    TURKMENISTAN IMPORTS

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    Figure 4: Imports & Exports of Turkmenistan by product

    [7]

    4.1Trade relationship with India

    Goods and services imported from and exported to India are described in the following

    graphs. A key point of note here is that India imports a good from Turkmenistan that is not

    its dominant export good. India does not have any share in the exports of natural gas and

    petroleum products from Turkmenistan. It is with this initiative in mind that the TAPI

    pipeline is envisaged to help. Turkmenistan is not so distant from India geographically, and

    although the pipeline has numerous security roadblocks, it sure provides a feasible way out

    to secure Indias energy security particularly considering the fact that Turkmenistans south

    and south east are areas of high resource density.

    0.00%

    5.00%

    10.00%

    15.00%

    20.00%

    25.00%

    30.00%

    35.00%

    40.00%

    Petroleumgases

    Petroleumoils,refined

    Cottonraw

    Cottonyarnof>85%Peat

    Polym

    ersofpropyleneor

    Pe

    troleumoils,crude

    Wov

    enfabricsofcotton

    Houselinen

    Wov

    enfabricsofcotton

    Wom

    en'ssuits,notknit

    Electricalenergy

    Cottonseedoilcake

    Kn

    itorcrochetfabric,

    T-shirts

    Vegetablesapsand

    Ships'derricks;cranes

    Petroleumcoke

    Self-propelledbulldozers,

    Rawhidesandskinsof

    Petroleumjelly

    Motorvehiclesfor

    Wool

    Plants

    usedinperfumery,

    Scra

    pofpreciousmetal

    Othermoving,

    Traile

    rsandsemi-trailers

    Turkmenistan's Exports

    0.00%

    1.00%

    2.00%

    3.00%

    4.00%

    5.00%

    6.00%

    7.00%

    8.00%

    Cruiseshipsandsimilar

    Tubes,pipesand

    Motorvehiclesfor

    Insulatedwire;optical

    Cement

    Specialpurposemotor

    Pumpsforliquids

    Structuresandparts

    Floatingor

    Prefabricatedbuildings

    Telephones

    Otherbarsandrodsof

    Partsforusewith

    Electricaltransformers

    Self-propelled

    Othermoving,

    Cars

    Rawsugar,cane

    Newpneumatictires,

    Othertubesandpipes

    Medicaments,packaged

    Apples

    Workedmonumental

    Machinesand

    Turkmenistan's Imports

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    Figure 5: Imports & Exports of Turkmenistan to and from India[7]

    According to the Indian Ministry of External Affairs, total trade between the two countries

    stood at $42.69 million in 2010-11 with exports from India contributing to $ 29.51 million

    and $13.18 million worth of imports from India.

    4.2Bilateral relationship with India

    2012 marked the 20th anniversary of establishment of political ties between India and

    Turkmenistan on a formal note but the two countries have maintained close and friendly

    ties historically with the Turkmen Gate built in Delhi in the 1650s. Two notable outcomes

    of the bilateral relationship have been the conception of the TAPI pipeline project in 2010

    and the conclusion of an agreement on free visa entry for Diplomatic Passport holders in

    2011.

    Cotton raw

    Synthetic filament

    tow Wool

    TURKMENISTAN EXPORTS TO INDIA

    27%

    19%

    10%9%

    8%

    7%

    5%2%

    2%

    2%

    2%

    2% 2%

    1%

    1%

    1%

    1%

    Turkmenistan Imports from India

    Medicaments, packaged

    Tubes, pipes and hoses and fittings

    Refrigerators, freezers

    Centrifuges

    Worked monumental or building stone

    (except slate)

    Shawls, scarves, etc, not knit

    Builders' joinery and carpentry of wood

    Appliances for thermostatically

    controlled valves

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    Several delegates have visited from both countries since 1995 with the most notable ones

    being the visit of Prime Minister P V Narasimha Rao in 1995 and the visit of Petroleum &

    Natural Gas minister Mr Jaipal Reddy in 2012 on the Indian side. From Turkmenistan, both

    President Saparmurat Niyazov and Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov have visited India in 1997

    and 2010 respectively.

    Also, there is a healthy exchange of people from the two countries with approximately 100

    Turkmen students studying in India and about 1,800 Indian nationals plying their trade in

    Turkmenistan, mostly in the Oil and Gas industry.

    References

    1.

    Background Notes on the Countries of theWorld: Turkmenistan, January 2012, pp

    1-1

    2. CIA World Factbook 2013, Central Intelligence Agency, USA

    3. Crabtree S., Esipova N., Gallup Presents: Inside Turkmenistan, Harvard

    International Review, Summer 2011, pp 72-76

    4. Country Intelligence Report: Turkmenistan, IHS Global Insight, October 2013

    5. Emerging Europe Monitor: Russia & CIS, Business Monitor International, Vol 17,

    Issue 8, August 2013

    6. Jumayev I., Foreign Trade of Turkmenistan: Trnds, Problems and Prospects,

    Working paper No. 11, Institute of Public Policy and Administration, University ofCentral Asia, 2012

    7. The Observatory of Economic Complexity,http://atlas.media.mit.edu/,Massachusetts

    Institute of Technology, 2010

    8. Turkmenistan: An Overview, 2012 PEG BRIEF: Turkmenistan, Political Economy and

    Governance (PEG) Brief Series, September 2012

    9. WorldBank Group - Turkmenistan Partnership, Program Snapshot, October 2013

    10.World Bank Development Indicators,http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/world-

    development-indicators

    11.Human Development Index Data, United Nations Development Program,

    http://hdr.undp.org/en/countries

    12.India-Turkmenistan relations, Ministry of External Affairs, India, June 2012

    http://atlas.media.mit.edu/http://atlas.media.mit.edu/http://atlas.media.mit.edu/http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/world-development-indicatorshttp://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/world-development-indicatorshttp://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/world-development-indicatorshttp://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/world-development-indicatorshttp://hdr.undp.org/en/countrieshttp://hdr.undp.org/en/countrieshttp://hdr.undp.org/en/countrieshttp://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/world-development-indicatorshttp://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/world-development-indicatorshttp://atlas.media.mit.edu/