Top Banner
03/16/22 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute
55

11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

Dec 27, 2015

Download

Documents

Jasmin Lamb
Welcome message from author
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
Page 1: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

CARPE DIEMWP 7: FMI Progress Report

Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute

Page 2: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

· Area 1/WP3: Development of a variational assimilation scheme for doppler winds (FMI + SMHI, responsible persons at FMI Heikki Järvinen, Kirsti Salonen)

· Area 2/WP7: Advanced surface precipitation estimate from radars and a NWP model (HIRLAM) (Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola)

· Objective: Improve the accuracy and quality of operational real time precipitation measurements

Page 3: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

WP 7.3 Vertical reflectivity profile correction applying radars and

NWP

· New order:7.3 started first and continues during the whole 36 months. WPs 7.1-7.2 started later and feed 7.3.

· Operational method has been created and validated (preliminary presentations at ERAD and AMS Radar Conferences, Heikki’s MSc), a final paper should be written. Remaining problem: OP i.e. WP 7.2.

· Results applied in the GPM-project validation planning

Page 4: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Measured vertical profile of reflectivity

• 7 C-band radars

• every 15 minutes• layer thickness 200 m• range 2 - 40 km• max bin count 5000 / layer

Page 5: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Statistics of VPR from March 2001 to August 2003 (556 471 profiles)

Page 6: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

Climatological profiles based on precipitation profiles March 2001 to

August 2003

Page 7: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

VPR correction ),(

),0(log10

rhZ

rZS

e

e

Page 8: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Yearly average VPR correction

Page 9: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Validation of the VPR correction with overlapping radars

Measurement area 5 – 15 km

1. Precipitation profile measured at Radar 2

2. > 50 measurement bins in the same location diagnosed as precipitation (max. 10020)

3. Difference in those bins (Rad 2 – Rad 1) tells under/over estimation at the distance Rad 2

4. Average bias and standard deviation calculated for distances 141 km, 180 km, 193 km, 198 km and 219 km.

Page 10: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

Radar pair Anjalankoski-Vantaa (Vantaa-Anjalankoski) Feb – May 2003, distance

141 km

Page 11: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

Radar pair Korppoo-Vantaa (Vantaa-Korppoo) Feb – May 2003, distance 180

km

Page 12: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

Radar pair Ikaalinen-Vantaa (Vantaa-Ikaalinen) Feb – May 2003, distance 193

km

Page 13: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

Radar pair Ikaalinen-Korppoo (Korppoo-Ikaalinen) Feb – May 2003, distance 198

km

Page 14: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

Radar pair Kuopio-Utajärvi (Utajärvi-Kuopio) Feb – May 2003, distance 219 km

Page 15: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

Radar pair Vantaa-Ikaalinen (Ikaalinen-Vantaa) Jun – Aug 2003, distance 193 km

•Calibration difference on Vantaa (+ 2-3 dB) and lowest elavation angle 0.8 instead of 0.4 on Ikaalinen because of technical reason (-2 dB)

Page 16: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

Correction with different measurement angles

Snow profile Rain profile with bright band

2 dB

Page 17: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

Nordrad Quality Assurance project

• Calibration difference for radar pair Vantaa Ikaalinen, period Jun – Aug 2003

Page 18: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

WP 7.1: Attenuation correction based on 3D water phase diagnosis from NWP model quantities

Deliverables: Large attenuation statistics for rain-only (assumed in most existing radar systems) and variable water phase statisticsImprovement in surface precipitationOverestimation of attenuation in hail avoided by applying a hail algorithm

Page 19: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

Calculation of attenuation

· Simple one: all precipitation is liquid, k(dB/km)=1.12*10-4 Ze

0.62 · Advanced one: freezing level height fixed at each

radar, obtained from NWP and VPR, attenuation calculated separately in each water phase layer

· We are testing Doppler data from elevation angle 90 degrees in the polar volume scans to improve the radar-based detection of freezing level

· Formula: rain (see above), dry snow (in Battan), bright band ?

Page 20: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

WP 7.2 Elimination of overhanging precipitation (OP) from surface estimates

Altostratus: present in 15 % of all VPR in Finland in 2001

Page 21: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

Diagnosis of OP in the network

· Apply precipitation base height field from the radar network

· Apply (an idea so far): nowcast movement of theVPR, measured above the radars with the analysed motion vector field (operationally available)

· Apply precipitating layers from NWP. First step: compare model profiles from HIRLAM with VPR from radars. Available quantities e.g. RH, and cloud condensate mixing ratio.

Page 22: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

Example of OP case 9.3. 2002 02 UTC

Page 23: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

9.3. 2002 03 UTC

Page 24: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

9.3. 2002 04 UTC

Page 25: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

9.3. 2003 05 UTC

Page 26: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

9.3. 2003 06 UTC

Page 27: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

9.3. 2003 07 UTC

Page 28: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Overhanging precipitation 9.3. 2002 at Anjalankoski radar

Page 29: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Page 30: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Page 31: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Page 32: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Page 33: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Page 34: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Page 35: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Page 36: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Page 37: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Page 38: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Page 39: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Page 40: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Page 41: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Page 42: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Page 43: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Page 44: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Page 45: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Page 46: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Page 47: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

HIRLAM model relative humidity 09.03. 2003

Page 48: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

HIRLAM model freezing level height 21.8. 2003 17 UTC

Page 49: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

24 h accumulated precipitation Nov 8, 2002, 23 UTC No VPR correction No VPR correction

Page 50: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

24 h accumulated precipitation Nov 7, 2002, 14 UTC No VPR correction With VPR correction

Page 51: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

24 h accumulated precipitation Dec 21, 2002, 21 UTC No VPR correction No VPR correction

Page 52: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

VPR correction in the network

Page 53: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)

Time averaging of the single radar VPR correction

t

httt

cp

ccpp www

wCwCC

6

h

twt 6

1

Page 54: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

Radar pair Anjalankoski-Kuopio (Kuopio-Anjalankoski) Feb – May 2003, distance

219 km

Page 55: 11/09/2015FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE CARPE DIEM WP 7: FMI Progress Report Jarmo Koistinen, Heikki Pohjola Finnish Meteorological Institute.

04/19/23 FINNISH METEOROLOGICAL INSTITUTE

1(2)