Saturday, June 11, 2011 1 Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd. Email: [email protected]Headlines (Global Economy)US unemployment rate increased to 9.1% in May 2011. (Indian Economy)Industrial Production grew 6.3% in April 2011 (New IIP Series) (Economic Calendar) (Global and Domestic Stock Markets ) (Derivative Analysis) Nifty June Futures closed at 5484.15 (Technical Analysis) Nifty Support levels are at 5350-5325 and Resistance 5550-5600. (Weekly Recommendations) Century Textiles Ltd. & Karnataka Bank Ltd. (Sector & Company Highlights) (MF Industry update)
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Initial Jobless Claims, Housing Starts, Current Account Balance.
Domestic Performance of Sectoral Indices
Indian markets remained volatile in the week with muted volumes as market
participants waited for important economic data. Nifty and Sensex lost 0.6%
each. BSE Midcap and Smallcap remained flat. Among the BSE sectoral indices,
CD (+3.16%), IT (+1.5%) gained, while Auto (-2.0%), Metals (-1.3%) ended negative.
On the BSE100 index, IVRCL Infra, HDIL were the gainers, while Shriram
Transport, Hero Honda lost ~7-8% in the week. DIIs were buyers while FIIs
were net sellers in the cash market. Data to watch next week: India ManpowerSurvey, Monthly Wholesale Prices, YoY%, India Repo Cutoff Yield, Food Articles
Last week Nifty shut on a marginal negative note @ 5486 and down by 31 points from the previous week's close. Technically Nifty on
weekly chart has formed doji candle stick pattern, which shows sideways to negative sentiment in coming sessions. Nifty spot on weeklyhas opened at 5504.30 and made a high of 5570 and made a low of 5457.45 then finally closed negative at 5486. Stochastics and the RSI
are slightly oversold signaling that buying pressure at support levels are possible short-term. The close below the 65 day moving
average (5606) indicates the short term trend could be turning sideways to negative. Stochastics trending lower at midrange will tend to
reinforce a move lower especially if resistance levels are taken out. The market setup is somewhat sideways to negative trend with
rading range between 5570-5370. The next area of resistance is around 5520-5570. So Nifty appears to be sideways trading on weekly
chart having supports at 5400-5350 levels. For short term trading long positions, stop loss of 5480 is advisable.
Weekly Nifty has resistance at 5520-5570 and supports at 5400-5350.
Weekly Bank Nifty has resistance at 10800-10920 and supports at 10541-10370.
Oscillators Analysis: Stochastics and RSI are positive crossover and are in oversold territory on weekly chart reading, which indicate
positive sentiment in stock momentum.Pattern Analysis: A clear head and shoulder neck line breakout at 115.00, which indicates stock upside, is a confirmation of a trend in that
direction with good volume support.
Technical Analysis:
On weekly chart KTK Bank has been trading above medium term moving average (65 DMA) at 112 levels, which indicates positive
sentiment in short term trading and strong buying pressure above support zone around Rs.116, we expect the momentum to continue
ill 135-140 on the upside targets. And any genuine correction should see in stock price around supports at 116, which should be used as
a buying opportunity for the potential target 138.00.
We recommended the stock at market and in the range 118-116, with stop loss below at 112(on closing basis) for a target of Rs. 138.00.
• Steel Strips Wheels is in talks to raise INR 700 mn through a stake sale to two foreign investors this fiscal and expects to close at leastone deal in six months.
Capital Goods & Infrastructure
• Man Infra construction has bagged orders worth INR 1.51 bn. Positive, as it improves the revenue visibility of the company.
• ARSS Infrastructure Projects has bagged an order worth INR 2.075 bn. Positive, as it improves the revenue visibility of the company
• Ramky Infrastructure has bagged work orders worth INR 5.82 bn covering industrial, water and waste water and building verticals
from different parts of the country. Positive, as it improves the revenue visibility of the company
• BEML has bagged an order for USD 11 mn from Myanmar for supply of a fleet of dump trucks, used for transporting loose materials,
spares, supplies. Shipment of trucks is expected to commence from Q3FY12. The company is focusing on African and Chinese markets
for mining and construction equipments during current fiscal. Positive strategically, as presence in alternate geography will de-risk its
business model from the risk of dependency in a particular region.
• Unity Infraprojects bagged an order worth INR 997.4 mn in Madhya Pradesh. The company is also looking to raise INR 1 - 1.5 bn to retire
its high cost debt. Neutral, given the size of order and raising of low cost debt fund is just planned.
Cement
• Ambuja Cements has bought an 85% stake in Nepal’s Dang Cement Industries for about INR 191 mn and company is also in the process
of buying an additional 5% in Dang, which holds limestone mining lease in Nepal, for INR 11.3 mn. Neutral
Information Technology
• Infosys Ltd. will explore business opportunities in the government outsourcing market in the UK as the company seeks to increase its
share of revenue from public sector departments looking to cut costs. The company has also acquired Gen-I, the corporate information
communication technology arm of Telecom New Zealand.
• HCL Infosystems Ltd. is under the scanner of the CBI for its alleged role in charging an exorbitant fee of nearly INR 5.7 bn for its
broadcast network technology to MTNL Ltd. during the Commonwealth Games, although the initial estimate for the same was only
around INR 314.3 mn.
• HCL Technologies Ltd. may strengthen its presence in the financial services sector by buying out Oracle Financial Services’ services
arm.
Metals & Mining
• Coal India , the only supplier of the scarce mineral to steel and power industries, has tweaked a clause in its fuel supply agreements to
escape penalty even while supplying only half of the contracted amount to end users. As against the earlier penalty trigger point of
90%, the state-owned fuel supplier now has to ensure only 50% supplies to evade damages citing shortage and lower production due
to stringent environmental norms.
• Hindustan Copper may not sell new shares in a planned follow-on public offer as soaring copper prices have left the company with
strong cash reserves and no immediate need to raise funds.
Oil & Gas
• Indraprastha Gas Ltd (IGL), a JV of state-run GAIL India and BPCL, hiked compressed natural gas (CNG) by Rs 0.50 per kg, the second
hike in rates in as many months. Neutral, given the quantum of hike which is off-set by higher input cost.
Deutsche Mutual Fund has announced that the face value of institutional plan
under DWS Treasury Fund - Cash Plan, an open ended debt fund will be changed
from Rs 10 to Rs 100 with effect from July 4, 2011. The unit holding of the existing
investors as of that date will be adjusted accordingly and the same will not have
any impact on the value of investment.
Mutual Funds (MFs) made investments worth Rs 312.70 crore and sold off Rs
285.60 crore worth of equities on June 07, 2011, according to data released by the
Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI). Thus, MFs stood as net buyers of
Rs 27.10 crore in equities on that day. In the month of June, MFs have made total
investments of Rs 1797.60 crore and sold off Rs 1991.60 crore worth of equities, so
far.
ING Mutual Fund has announced revision of fundamental attributes of ING
Liquid Fund. The nature of the scheme is being changed from an open ended
liquid income scheme to an open ended liquid scheme. The investment objective
of the scheme is to generate reasonable returns while providing a high level of
liquidity and low risk by investing in money market securities. All the existing
investors of this scheme as on 30th May 2011 would be provided an exit optionwithout charging an exit load from 6th June 2011 to 5th July 2011. The change will
be effective from 6th July 2011.
Source: Accord Fintech
Source: Accord Fintech
Weekly Activity
Purchase Sales Net Purchase /Sales Purchase Sales Net Purchase /Sales
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