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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 1 ECE 333 – GREEN ELECTRIC ENERGY 11. Basic Concepts in Power System Economics George Gross Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering University of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign
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11. Basic Concepts in Power System Economics - … · Basic Concepts in Power System Economics ... q We use the input-output curve to obtain the incremental input ... incremental

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Page 1: 11. Basic Concepts in Power System Economics - … · Basic Concepts in Power System Economics ... q We use the input-output curve to obtain the incremental input ... incremental

ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 1

ECE 333 – GREEN ELECTRIC ENERGY

11. Basic Concepts in Power System Economics

George Gross

Department of Electrical and Computer EngineeringUniversity of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 2

CHRONOLOGICAL LOAD FOR A SUMMER WEEK

MW

hours

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 3

A WEEKDAY CHRONOLOGICAL LOAD CURVE

hourly load valuesMW

2000

0

1000

0 24 h

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 4

FRIDAY HOURLY LOAD VALUESh load (MW)

0100 820

0200 840

0300 885

0400 1010

0500 1375

0600 1560

0700 1690

0800 1775

0900 1810

1000 1875

1100 1975

1200 2000

h load (MW)

1300 1900

1400 1850

1500 1780

1600 1680

1700 1550

1800 1370

1900 1130

2000 975

2100 875

2200 780

2300 775

2400 750

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 5

FRIDAY LOAD DURATION CURVE

hours

MW

2000

0

1000

h

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 6

LOAD DURATION CURVE FOR A SUMMER WEEK

MW

138.71

168100 %0

hours65

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 7

q Inability to m specify the load at any specific hourm distinguish between weekday and weekend

loadsq Ability to

m specify the number of hours at which the load exceeds any given value

m quantify the total energy requirement for the given period in terms of the area under the LDC

LOAD DURATION CURVE CHARACTERISTICS

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 8

q The costs of generation by a conventional unit

are described by an input-output curve, which

specifies the level of input required to obtain a

required level of output

q Typically, such curves are obtained from actual

measurements and are characterized by their

monotonically non–decreasing shapes

CONVENTIONAL GENERATION UNIT ECONOMICS

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 9

GENERATION UNIT ECONOMICS

MWh/houtputminc maxc

inputMMBtu/h

orbbl /h

input – output curve

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 10

INPUT – OUTPUT MEASUREMENTS

heat input(MMBtu/h )

output (MWh/h )

set control valve points

heat content &flow-rate of fuel

energy output

measurement measurement

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 11

EXAMPLE : CWLP DALLMAN UNITS 1 AND 2

972901835773715659605552499446392336

807570656055504540353025

heat

inpu

t( M

MB

tu/h

)

outp

ut( M

Wh/

h )

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 12

CWLP DALLMAN UNITS 1 AND 2INPUT – OUTPUT CURVE FITTING

MMBtu/h

MWh/h200

400

600

800

1,000

25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 13

q The output is in MW and the input is in bbl/h or Btu/h (volume or thermal heat contents of the input fuel)

q We may also think of the abscissa in units $/hsince the costs of the input are obtained via a linear scaling the fuel input by the fuel unit price

q We use the input-output curve to obtain the incremental input – output curve which provides the costs to generate an additional MWh at a given level of output

GENERATION UNIT ECONOMICS

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 14

GENERATION UNIT ECONOMICS

incremental heat rate = = incremental input output

heat rate hp=

Δh

p

input 106 Btu/h

orbbl/h

MWh/h outputminimum

capacity

Δh Δ p

maximumcapacity

ΔhΔ p

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 15

INCREMENTAL CHARACTERISTICS

output in MWh/hminimum

capacitymaximumcapacity

incr

emen

tal h

eat r

ate

106

Btu

/MW

h

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 16

HEAT RATE

a possibleoperating point

MWh/h outputminimum

capacitymaximumcapacity

heat rate =

input

output

incrementalheat rate

=

incremental input

incremental output

input MMBtu/h

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 17

q The heat rate is a figure of merit widely used by

the industry

q The heat rate gives the inverse of the efficiency

measure of a generation unit since

q The lower the H.R., the higher is the efficiency of

the resource

HEAT RATE

H .R. = input

output

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 18

CWLP DALLMAN UNITS 1 AND 2H. R. & INCREMENTAL H. R. CURVES

heat rate (H.R.) incremental heat rate (I.H.R.)

MMBtu/MWh

9

10

11

12

13

14

25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 MWh/h

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 19

q The amount of generation a generating unit produces is a function of

m the generator capacitym the generator availabilitym the generator loading order to meet the load

q A 100 % available base–loaded unit with capacity runs around the clock and so in a T–hour

period generates total MWh given by

GENERATOR CAPACITY FACTOR

E = c max T

c max

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 20

q The maximum it can generate is

q The capacity factor of a base-loaded unit is

q A cycling unit exhibits on – off behavior since its loading depends on the system demand; its

exceeds the actual generation since the unit generates only during certain periods

GENERATOR CAPACITY FACTOR

E max = c max T

κ

κ =

EE max

= 1

E max = c max T

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 21

q Therefore, a cycling unit has a c.f.

q For example, a cycling unit of 150MW that operates typically 1,800 hours per year with no outages and at full capacity has

q A peaking unit operates only for a few hours each year and consequently has a relatively small c.f.

GENERATOR CAPACITY FACTOR

κ =

EE max

< 1

κ = 150 ⋅ 1,800

150 ⋅ 8,760= 180

876= 0.21

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 22

q An expensive peaker may have, say, a c.f.

indicating that under perfect availability it ope-rates about 438 hours a year

q Typically, is given a definition on a yearly basis

where, the denominator may account for annual maintenance and forced outages and so would imply less than 8,760 hours of operation

GENERATOR CAPACITY FACTOR

κ = 5%

κ = annual energy generated

maximum energy generated

κ

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 23

CAPACITY FACTOR

c. f . =

A 1

A 1 + A 2( )

2A1Ac

MW

time0 % 100 %

load duration curve

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 24

LOADING OF RESOURCES

unit 1

unit 2

unit 3

unit 4

unit 5unit 6

unit 7

h

MW

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 25

LOADING OF RESOURCES

Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday

total available capacity

load

inte

rmed

iate

lo

ad

base load

peak

load

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 26

q Fixed costs are those costs incurred that are

independent of the operation of a resource and

are incurred even if the resource is not operating

q Typical components of fixed costs are:

m investment or capital costs

m insurance

m fixed O&M

m taxes

RESOURCE FIXED AND VARIABLE COSTS

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 27

q Variable costs are associated with the actual

operation of a resource

q Key components of variable costs are

m fuel costs

m variable O&M

m emission costs

RESOURCE FIXED AND VARIABLE COSTS

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 28

q The fixed charge rate annualizes the capital costs to

produce a yearly uniform cash–flow set over the

life of a resource

q The annual fixed costs are

q Typically, the yearly charge is given on a per unit

– kW or MW – basis

ANNUALIZED INVESTMENT OR CAPITAL COSTS

yearly costs = fixed costs( ) ⋅ fixed charged rate( )

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 29

q The fixed charge rate takes into account the

interest on loans, acceptable returns for investors

and other fixed cost components: however, each

component is independent of the generated MWh

q The rate strongly depends on the costs of capital

ANNUALIZED INVESTMENT OR CAPITAL COSTS

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 30

q The variable costs are a function of the number

of hours of operation of the unit or equivalently

of the capacity factor

q The annualized variable costs may vary from

year to year

ANNUALIZED VARIABLE COSTS

variablecosts

=fuelcosts

!

"#

$

%&

heatrate

!

"#

$

%& +

variableO & M costs

!

"#

$

%&

number ofhours

!

"#

$

%&

κ

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 31

q The yearly variable costs explicitly account for

fuel cost escalation

q Often, the yearly costs are given on a per unit – kW

or MW – basis

q We illustrate these concepts with a pulverized –

coal steam plant

ANNUALIZED VARIABLE COSTS

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 32

EXAMPLE: COAL – FIRED STEAM PLANT

characteristic value units

capital costs 1,400 $/kW

heat rate 9,700 Btu/ kWh

fuel costs 1.5 $/MBtu

variable costs 0.0043 $/kWh

annual fixed charge rate 0.16

full output period 8,000 h

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 33

q The annualized fixed costs per kW are

q The initial year annual variable costs per kW are

EXAMPLE: COAL–FIRED STEAM PLANT

1.5×10 −6 $ / Btu( ) 9,700 Btu / kWh( ) +0.0043 $ / kWh

#

$%%

&

'((

8,000h( )

= 150.8$ / kW

1,400 $ / kW( ) 0.16( ) = 224 $ / kW

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ECE 333 © 2002 – 2017 George Gross, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, All Rights Reserved. 34

q Total annual costs for 8,000 h are

q Note, we do the example under the assumption of full output for 8,000 h and 0 output for the

remaining 760 h of the yearq We also neglect any possible outages of the unit

and so explicitly ignore any uncertainty in the unit performance

EXAMPLE: COAL–FIRED STEAM PLANT

224 +150.8( )$ / kW8,000 h

= 0.0469 $ / kWh