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1-Supply Chain Management - An Overview - RG

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    Supply Chain Management:

    An Overview

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    Supply Chain Management - Introduction

    Say we get an order from a European retailer to produce10,000 garments. For this customer we might decide to buyyarn from a Korean producer but have it woven and dyedin Taiwan. So we pick the yarn and ship it to Taiwan. TheJapanese have the best zippers so we go to YKK, a big

    Japanese zipper manufacturer, and we order the rightzippers from their Chinese plants. the best place to makethe garments is Thailand. So we ship everything there.the customer needs quick delivery, we may divide theorder across five factories in Thailand. Effectively, we are

    customizing the value chain to best meet the customersneeds. (Interview of Victor Fung ofLi & Fungin HBR,Sept-Oct 1998.)

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    Supply

    Sources:plants

    vendors

    ports

    RegionalWarehouses:stocking

    points

    FieldWarehouses:stockingpoints

    Customers,demandcenterssinks

    Production/purchasecosts

    Inventory &warehousingcosts

    Transportationcosts

    Inventory &warehousingcosts

    Transportationcosts

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    Some More Definitions

    Supply Chain Management deals with the management of

    materials, information, and financial flows in a network

    consisting of suppliers, manufacturers, distributors andcustomers.

    Stanford Supply Chain Forum

    Logistics involves managing the flow of items,

    information, cash and ideas through the coordination ofsupply chain processes and through the strategic

    addition of place, period and pattern values.

    MIT Center for Transportation and Logistics

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    Supply Chain Management - Introduction

    A value chainis another name for asupply chain. Asupply chainis a sequence of organizations - their

    facilities, functions and activities - that are involved in

    producing and delivering a product or service.

    Li & Fungis Hong Kongs largest export trading company.It has also been innovative in supply chain management.

    In the interview example, it can be seen thatLi & Funghas

    created a supply chain for the purpose of meeting a

    customers needs. In general, this case is more theexception than the rule, but serves to illustrate some of the

    pieces of a supply chain.

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    Flows in a supply chain

    Customer

    Information

    Product

    Funds

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    Some More Definitions

    Supply Chain Management is primarily concerned with the efficient

    integration of suppliers, factories, warehouses and stores so that

    merchandise is produced and distributed in the right quantities, to

    the right locations and at the right time, and so as to minimize totalsystem cost subject to satisfying service requirements.

    Simchi-Levi

    Call it distribution or logistics or supply chain management. By

    whatever name, it is the sinuous, gritty, and cumbersome process by

    which companies move, materials, parts, and products to customers.

    Fortune (1994)

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    Key Observations

    Integrated activity:

    *Among functions such as logistics, manufacturing, distribution,design/engineering, marketing, finance,etc.

    * Multiple organizations,i.e., suppliers, customers& 3 PL providers

    * Coordination of conflicting goals, metrics, etc.

    Responsible for multiple flows:

    * Information (orders, status, contracts)

    * Physical (finished goods, raw material, w.i.p.)

    * Financial (payment, credits, etc.)

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    Key Observations (continued)

    Most analysis involves trade-offs

    * Across different entities

    * Across metrics: Cost, Service, Time, Risk, etc. Each interface in the supply chain represents

    *Movement of goods

    * Information flows

    * Transfer of title

    * Purchase and sale

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    Supply Chain Management - Introduction

    In a supply chain, virtually all of the members serve as

    both customers as well as suppliers. In theLi & Fung

    example, the Korean yarn producer and the Japanese

    zipper producer are probably only suppliers and the

    customers customers (folks like you and me) areprobably only customers. Every other organization in the

    supply chain is both a customer and a supplier. See the

    figure on slide five (green - supplier, yellow - customer,

    orange - both).

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    Supply Chain Management - Introduction

    Supplier

    Supplier

    Supplier

    Storage

    }Mfg. Dist. RetailerCustomerStorage

    Supplier

    Supplier

    Storage

    }

    Service Customer

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    Supply Chain Management - Introduction

    Yarn

    Zippers

    Factory

    1

    Factory2

    Factory

    3

    Factory

    4

    Factory

    5

    The

    Customer

    (Retailer)

    Yarn

    Dying &

    Weaving

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    Supply Chain Management - Introduction

    Supply chain managementdeals with linking the

    organizations within the supply chain in order to meet

    demand across the chain as efficiently as possible. In our

    example,Li & Fungis creating and managing the links. In

    non-brokered supply chains, one or more of the chains

    organizations can provide the management function.

    Why is supply chain management so important?

    To gain efficiencies from procurement, distribution and logistics

    To make outsourcing more efficient

    To reduce transportation costs of inventories

    To meet competitive pressures from shorter development times,

    more new products, and demand for more customization

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    Supply Chain Management - Introduction

    To meet the challenge of globalization and longer supply chains

    To meet the new challenges from e-commerce

    To manage the complexities of supply chains

    To manage the inventories needed across the supply chain

    Why is supply chain management difficult?

    Different organizations in the supply chain may have different,

    conflicting objectives

    Manufacturers: long run production, high quality, high productivity,

    low production cost

    Distributors: low inventory, reduced transportation costs, quick

    replenishment capability

    Customers: shorter order lead time, high in-stock inventory, large

    variety of products, low prices

    Supply chains are dynamic - they evolve and change over time

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    Supply Chain Management - Introduction

    Supply chains and vertical integration

    For any organization vertical integration involves either taking on

    more of the supplier activities (backward) and/or taking on more of

    the distribution activities (forward)

    An example of backward vertical integration would be a peanut

    butter manufacturer that decides to start growing peanuts rather than

    buying peanuts from a supplier

    An example of forward vertical integration would be a peanut butter

    manufacturer that decides to start marketing their peanut better

    directly to grocery stores

    In supply chains, some of the supplying and some of the distributionmight be performed by the manufacturer

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    Supply Chain Management - Introduction

    The significance of vertical integration in the supply chain is that the

    activities that are performed by the manufacturer are typically moreeasily managed than those which are performed by other

    organizations

    Therefore, the degree of vertical integration can have an impact on

    the structure and relationships between members of a supply chain

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    Supply Chain Management - Introduction

    Strategic, tactical and operating issues Strategic - long term and dealing with supply chain design

    Determining the number, location and capacity of facilities

    Make or buy decisions

    Forming strategic alliances

    Tactical - intermediate term

    Determining inventory levels

    Quality-related decisions

    Logistics decisions

    Operating - near term Production planning and control decisions

    Goods and service delivery scheduling

    Some make or buy decisions

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    Supply Chain Management - Introduction

    Key issues in supply chain management include

    Distribution network configuration

    How many warehouses do we need?

    Where should these warehouses be located?

    What should the production levels be at each of our plants?

    What should the transportation flows be between plants andwarehouses?

    Inventory control

    Why are we holding inventory? Uncertainty in customer demand?

    Uncertainty in the supply process? Some other reason?

    If the problem is uncertainty, how can we reduce it? How good is our forecasting method?

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    Supply Chain Management - Introduction

    Distribution strategies

    Direct shipping to customers?

    Classical distribution in which inventory is held in warehouses and

    then shipped as needed?

    Cross-docking in which transshipment points are used to take stock

    from suppliers deliveries and immediately distribute to point of usage?

    Supply chain integration and strategic partnering

    Should information be shared with supply chain partners?

    What information should be shared?

    With what partners should information be shared?

    What are the benefits to be gained?

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    Supply Chain Management - Introduction

    Product design

    Should products be redesigned to reduce logistics costs?

    Should products be redesigned to reduce lead times?

    Would delayed differentiation be helpful?

    Information technology and decision-support systems

    What data should be shared (transferred) How should the data be analyzed and used?

    What infrastructure is needed between supply chain members?

    Should e-commerce play a role?

    Customer value

    How is customer value created by the supply chain?

    What determines customer value? How do we measure it?

    How is information technology used to enhance customer value in the

    supply chain?

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    Supply Chain Management - Introduction

    How can you assess how well your supply chain is

    performing? The SCOR model - Supply Chain Operations Reference Model -

    developed by the Supply Chain Council (http://www.supply-

    chain.org/) can be used to assess performance

    SCOR model metrics include: On-time delivery performance

    Lead time for order fulfillment

    Fill rate - proportion of demand met from on-hand inventory

    Supply chain management cost

    Warranty cost as a percentage of revenue Total inventory days of supply

    Net asset turns

    22

    http://www.supply-chain.org/http://www.supply-chain.org/http://www.supply-chain.org/http://www.supply-chain.org/http://www.supply-chain.org/
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    Supply Chain Management - Introduction

    Creating an effective supply chain

    Develop strategic objectives and tactics

    Integrate and coordinate activities in the internal portion of the

    supply chain

    Coordinate activities with suppliers and customers

    Coordinate planning and execution across the supply chain Consider forming strategic partnerships

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    Notable Quotes

    In the end, all business comes down to

    Supply Chain vs. Supply ChainRobert Rodin, CEO, Marshall Industries

    Japanese Manufacturing Industry owes its Competitive Advantage

    and Strength to itsSub-Contracting Structure.Ministry of International Trade and Industry, Japan (1992)

    Manufacturing now competes less on product and qualitywhichare often comparableand more on inventory turns and speed to

    market.

    John Kasarda, Forbes, 1999

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    Philosophy of SCM

    The entire supply chain is a single, integratedentity.

    The cost, quality, time, and deliveryrequirements of the customer are objectivesshared by every company in the chain.

    Inventory is the last resort for resolving supplyand demand imbalances.

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    Efficiency: Basis of

    Production Management Efficiency leads to lower costs

    Lower cost implies

    Lower Price =>Greater demand =>Bettermarket growth =>Higher profits =>Product/Process development =>Better market share

    1980s and 1990s: Era of achieving excellence at

    the firm level (JIT, TQM, TPM, BPR, ERP, etc) 2000s: Era of achieving excellence at the value

    chain level (SCM, CRM, E-Commerce, etc.)

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    Evolution of SCM

    Stage 1:Vendor Purchase

    Production - Distribution Retailer

    Stage 2:Materials Management -

    Logistics Management

    Stage 3: Supply Chain Management

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    Why is SCM Important?

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    Why is SCM Important?

    Strategic Competitive AdvantageTo

    compete in the marketplace* Manufacturing is becoming more efficient

    * SCM offers opportunity for differentiation (Dell) or

    cost reduction (Wal-Mart or Big Bazaar)

    GlobalizationWe are all interrelated,

    interconnected, interdependent= Higher

    competitiveness

    * Requires greater coordination of production anddistribution

    * Increased risk of supply chain interruption

    * Increases need for robust and flexible supply chains

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    Why is SCM Important?

    (continued)

    At the company level, supply chain management

    impacts

    * COSTFor many products, 20% to 40% oftotal product costs are controllable

    logistics costs.

    * SERVICEFor many products, performance

    factors such as inventory availabilityand speed of delivery are critical to

    customer satisfaction.

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    Conflicting Objectives in the

    Supply Chain1. Purchasing

    Stable volume requirements

    Flexible delivery time Little variation in mix

    Large quantities

    2. Manufacturing

    Long run production

    High quality

    High productivity

    Low production cost 30

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    Conflicting Objectives in the

    Supply Chain3. Warehousing

    Low inventory

    Reduced transportation costs Quick replenishment capability

    4. Customers

    Short order lead time

    High in stock Enormous variety of products

    Low prices

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    Decision Phases in

    a Supply Chain

    Supply chain strategy or

    design Supply chain planning

    Supply chain operation

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    Process view of a supply chain

    Cycle view

    Push/pullview

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    Cycle View of Supply Chains

    Customer Order Cycle

    Replenishment Cycle

    Manufacturing Cycle

    Procurement Cycle

    Customer

    Retailer

    Distributor

    Manufacturer

    Supplier 34

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    Replenishment cycle

    Retail order trigger

    Retail order entry Retail order fulfillment

    Retail order receiving

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    Manufacturing cycle

    Order arrival from thedistributor, retailer, orcustomer

    Production scheduling

    Manufacturing and shipping

    Receiving at the distributor,retailer, or customer

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    Push/Pull View of

    Supply Chains

    Pull processes: execution is

    initiated in response toacustomer order

    Push processes: executionis initiated in anticipation

    ofcustomer orders

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    Push/Pull View of Supply

    ChainsProcurement,Manufacturing andReplenishment cycles

    Customer Order

    Cycle

    Customer

    Order Arrives

    PUSH PROCESSES PULL PROCESSES

    39

    SUPPLY CHAIN DESIGN:

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    SUPPLY CHAIN DESIGN:

    Three Components

    1. Insourcing/OutSourcing

    (The Make/Buy or Vert ical Integ rat ion Decis ion )

    2. Partner Selection

    (Choice of suppl iers and partners for the chain)

    3. The Contractual Relationship(Arm 's leng th, joint venture, long-term con tract ,

    strategic al l iance, equity part ic ipat ion , etc.)

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    LESSONS IN

    SUPPLY CHAIN DESIGN1. KNOW YOUR LOCATION IN THE

    VALUE CHAIN.

    2. UNDERSTAND THE DYNAMICS OF

    VALUE CHAIN FLUCTUATIONS.

    3. THINK CAREFULLY ABOUT THE

    ROLE OF VERTICAL COLLABORA--TIVE RELATIONSHIPS.

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    Dell Computers supply chain

    Customer

    Web page

    Assembly plant All of Dells suppliers and their

    suppliers

    Dell builds to order: customer orderinitiates manufacturing at Dell

    Dell does not have a retailer, wholesaler,or distributor in its supply chain

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    Dell Computers supply chain

    Dell carries only about 10 days of inventory(vs. 80 to 100 days of inventory for the

    competition) Less inventory to become obsolete, e.g.,

    computer chips

    Less inventory to be defective (implications

    of small inventory and product quality) No finished product inventory; some parts

    no inventory, e.g., Sony monitors

    Dell outsources service and support to 3rd

    party providers 43

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    Supply chain objective

    Maximize overall value generated

    Value strongly correlated to supply

    chain profitabilitythe differencebetween the revenue generated from thecustomer and the overall cost across thesupply chain

    Example: A customer purchasing acomputer from Dell pays $ 700 (therevenue)

    Dell and other stages of the supply chainincur cost to convey information, 44

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    Examples of Supply Chains

    Dell / Compaq

    Toyota / GM / Ford

    Milk Distribution System of NDDB

    Merry-Go-Round System of NTPC

    Dabbawalas of Mumbai

    Amazon / Borders / Barnes and Noble

    45

    Th D i f th S l

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    The Dynamics of the Supply

    Chain

    OrderS

    ize

    Time

    Source: Tom Mc Guffry, Electronic Commerce and Value Chain Management, 1998

    Customer

    Demand

    Retailer OrdersDistributor Orders

    Production Plan

    46

    Th D i f th S l

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    The Dynamics of the Supply

    Chain

    OrderS

    ize

    Time

    Source: Tom Mc Guffry, Electronic Commerce and Value Chain Management, 1998

    Customer

    Demand

    Production Plan

    47

    Three Types of Integration

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    yp g

    of the Supply Chain

    Geographical Integration

    *From local to world-wide logistics

    Functional Integration

    * From Function-dominated logistics to

    Flow-dominated logistics

    Inter-Firm Integration

    * From a Sector-based Logistics to Inter-sector Logistics

    48

    S l Ch i I t ti i Diffi lt

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    Supply Chain Integration is Difficult

    for two main reasons Different facilities in the supply chain may

    have different, conflicting objectives

    * For instance, the suppliers are in direct conflict withthe manufacturers desire for flexibility.

    The supply chain is a dynamic systemthat evolves over time

    * Not only do demand and supplier capabilities changeover time, but supply chain relationships also evolveover time.

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    Supply Chain: The

    Magnitude In 1998, American companies spent $898

    billion in supply-related activities (or 10.6% of

    Gross Domestic Product). Transportation 58%

    Inventory 38%

    Management 4% Third party logistics services grew in 1998 by

    15% to nearly $40 billion

    50

    S C i i

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    Supply Chain: The Magnitude(continued)

    SOME ESTIMATES FOR INDIA

    * Logistics Spend IN Rs. 2,40,000 crores(approx. US $ 50 Billion)

    * Share of GDP . 12-13 %

    * Major Elements are ( Percentage of Total)

    * Transportation 35

    * Inventories 25

    * Packaging 11

    * Handling & Warehousing .. 9

    * Others & Losses 14

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    Supply Chain: The

    Magnitude (continued) Compaq computer estimates it lost $500 million to $1

    billion in sales in 1995 because its laptops and desktopswere not available when and where customers were readyto buy them.

    Boeing Aircraft, one of Americas leading capital goodsproducers, was forced to announce write-downs of $2.6

    billion in October 1997.The reason? Raw material shortages, internal and supplierparts shortages. (Wall Street Journal, Oct. 23, 1997)

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    Supply Chain: The Potential

    In 25 years, NDDB has enabled India to become thelargest producer of milk by implementing a logistics andsupply chain system that has eliminated several

    intermediaries, thereby leading to a much higherremunerative price (yield) for producers and lower pricefor consumers.

    As described in the FORBES magazine, the Dabbawalasof Mumbai has achieved an extremely high level ofreliability and precision (SIX SIGMA level in QAparlance) in delivering to their customers the productsearmarked for them.

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    Supply Chain: The Potential

    Dell Computer has outperformed the competition in

    terms of shareholder value growth over the eight

    years period, 1988-1996, by over 3,000% (seeAnderson and Lee, 1999) using

    - Direct business model

    - Build-to-order strategy.

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    Supply Chain: The Potential

    In 10 years, Wal-Mart transformed itself

    by changing its logistics system. It has the

    highest sales per square foot, inventoryturnover and operating profit of any

    discount retailer.

    57

    Complexities Involved in

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    Complexities Involved in

    Supply Chain Management The supply chain is a complex network of

    facilities and organizations with different,conflicting objectives

    Matching supply and demand is a majorchallenge

    System variations over time are also an

    important consideration Many supply chain problems are new and there

    is no clear understanding of all the issuesinvolved

    58

    Supply Chain:

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    Supply Chain:

    The ComplexityNational Semiconductors:

    Production:

    Produces chips in six different locations: four in the US,

    one in Britain and one in Israel Chips are shipped to seven assembly locations in

    Southeast Asia.

    Distribution

    The final product is shipped to hundreds of facilities all

    over the world

    20,000 different routes

    12 different airlines are involved

    95% of the products are delivered within 45 days

    5% are delivered within 90 days. 59

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    Supply Chain Challenges

    Achieving Global Optimization

    Conflicting Objectives

    Complex network of facilities

    System Variations over time

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    Sequential Optimization vs.

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    Procurement

    Planning

    Manufacturing

    Planning

    Distribution

    PlanningDemand

    Planning

    Sequential Optimization

    Supply Contracts/Collaboration/Information Systems and DSS

    Procurement

    Planning

    Manufacturing

    Planning

    Distribution

    PlanningDemand

    Planning

    Global Optimization

    Sequential Optimization vs.

    Global Optimization

    Source: Duncan McFarlane 61

    S l Ch i Ch ll

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    Supply Chain Challenges

    Achieving Global Optimization

    Conflicting Objectives

    Complex network of facilities

    System Variations over time

    Managing Uncertainty

    Matching Supply and Demand

    Demand is not the only source of uncertainty

    62

    M i U t i t

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    Managing Uncertainty

    1. Point forecasts are invariably wrong

    Plan for forecast rangeuse flexiblecontracts to go up/down.

    2. Aggregate forecasts are more accurate

    Aggregate the forecastpostponement/risk pooling

    63

    M i U t i t ( td)

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    Managing Uncertainty (contd)

    3. Longer term forecasts are less accurate

    Shorten forecasting horizonsmultipleorders; early detection

    4. In many cases, somebody else knows

    what is going to happen

    Collaborate

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    Whats New in SCM?

    Global competition

    Shorter product life cycle

    New, low-cost distribution channels

    More powerful well-informed customers

    Internet and E-Business strategies

    65

    Levels of implied demand

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    p

    uncertainty

    Low High

    Price ResponsivenessCustomer Need

    Implied Demand Uncertainty

    Detergent

    Long lead time steel

    High Fashion

    Emergency steel

    66

    Understanding the Supply Chain: Cost-

    R i Effi i t F ti

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    Responsiveness Efficient Frontier

    High Low

    Low

    High

    Responsiveness

    Cost67

    Achieving Strategic Fit

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    Achieving Strategic Fit

    Implied

    uncertainty

    spectrum

    Responsive

    supply chain

    Efficient

    supply chain

    Certain

    demand

    Uncertain

    demand

    Responsiveness spectrum

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    N C

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    New Concepts

    Push-Pull strategies

    Direct-to-Consumer

    Strategic alliances

    Manufacturing postponement

    Dynamic Pricing

    E-Procurement

    70

    Dealing with Product Variety:

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    Mass Customization

    Mass

    Customization

    High

    HighLow

    Low

    Long

    ShortLeadTime

    71

    Fragmentation of Markets

    d P d V i

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    and Product Variety

    Are the requirementsof all market segments

    served identical?

    Are the characteristics of all products

    identical?

    Can a single supply chain structure be usedfor all products / customers? No! A single

    supply chain will fail different customers on

    efficiency or responsiveness or both. 72

    T il d L i i

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    Tailored Logistics

    Each Logistically Distinct Business

    (LDB) will have distinct requirements

    in terms of

    Inventory

    Transportation

    Facility

    Information

    Key: How to gain efficiencieswhile 73

    Applying the Framework

    to e-commerce:

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    to e-commerce:

    What is e-commerce? Commerce transacted over the Internet

    Is product information displayed on the

    Internet?Is negotiation over the Internet?

    Is the order placed over the Internet?

    Is the order tracked over the Internet?Is the order fulfilled over the Internet?

    Is payment transacted over the Internet?

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    Revenue Impact of

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    E-Commerce Length of supply chain

    Product information

    Time to market

    Negotiating prices and contract terms

    Order placement and tracking

    Order fulfillment

    Payment

    76

    Cost Impact of E-Commerce

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    Cost Impact of E Commerce

    Facility costs

    Site and processing cost

    Inventory costsCycle, Safety, Seasonal inventory

    Transportation costs

    Inbound and outbound costs

    Information sharing

    Coordination77

    A Plethora of Approaches

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    A Plethora of Approaches

    Just in Time Inventory

    Vendor Managed Inventory

    Quick Response

    Collaborative Planning, Forecasting and Replenishment Cross-docking / Flow through Centres

    Outsourcing / 3 PLs

    Activity Based Costing

    Internet / EDI

    Bar-Coding / RFID

    Build to Order

    78

    A Plethora of Approaches

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    (continued)

    Partnerships / Alliances

    Auctions / Exchanges

    Postponement Strategies

    SC Software

    SC Event Management

    Merge-In-Transit

    Collaborative Transportation Management CashtoCash Metrics

    79

    Framework for analysis

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    Framework for analysis

    Model Based Approach* Use fundamental models to gain insights

    * Analytical, though not necessarily Operations

    Research, approach

    * Extensive use of case studies and real-life examples

    Total System Cost

    * Avoid the silo effect of traditional logistics

    * Capture and integrate across different players in SC

    * Service can be included

    80

    Framework for Analysis

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    (continued)

    Portfolio of Solutions

    * Rarely is a single solution sufficient or practical

    * A set of solutions is usually more applicable* The context matters

    Management of Uncertainty

    * Risk can be measured, monitored, and managed

    * Impacts sourcing, contracting, pricing, incentives, etc.

    81

    Modeling for SCM

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    ode g o SC

    Forecasting Models

    - These models allow prediction of demand based on past data orother parameters that are independently available. They enable

    better planning, given the lead-time necessary for response.

    Location Models- These models identify the optimal location of facilities such as

    plants and warehouses, considering the inbound and outboundtransportation costs as well as the fixed and variable costs of

    operation at the locations under consideration. These areusually formulated as Mixed IntegerProgramming Models.

    82

    Modeling for SCM (contd)

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    g ( )

    Distribution Network Design Models- These models are usually comprehensive in nature, deciding

    between two, three and even four stages of distributionnetwork, location of warehouses and break-bulk points,

    and sometimes even the transportation.

    Allocation Models- These models help in optimally allocating commodities from

    sources to destinations in a multi-source, multi-destination

    environment. The costs considered for optimisation areproduction costs and warehousing costs. The constraintsconsidered can be due to demand, capacity, routerestrictions, etc.

    83

    Modeling for SCM (contd)

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    g ( )

    Inventory Models

    - Inventory plays a major role in SCM.

    - Inventory can be of various types such as:

    - Batching and shipment inventories

    - Buffer stocks to take care of uncertainties

    - Pipeline inventory ( primary and secondary

    transportation )

    These models minimize the total relevant cost, based on trade-offs among, inter alia, inventory carrying cost, ordering cost,

    stock-out cost, transportation cost, taxes & duties, etc.

    84

    Modeling for SCM (contd)

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    g ( )

    Routing Models

    - These models allow optimal routing on atransportation network from a given source to a

    destination. The models used are the ShortestPath Problem, the Traveling Salesman Problemand the Vehicle Routing Problem. DecisionSupport Systems that interactively use theexpertise of the decision maker by providing

    graphical support through a map (i.e., using aGeographical Information System ) are also veryuseful in such decisions.

    85

    Modeling for SCM (contd)

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    g ( )

    Scheduling Models

    - These models enable allocation of resources toparticular activities. Depending on the criteria of

    interest and the number of resources, the modelsare of aid in evaluating appropriate rules for allocation.

    Alternative Analysis- This model simply proposes the identification of alternatives,

    criteria for decision making and analysis of the alternativesacross the criteria to arrive at the best choice. Formal

    approaches such as simulation and analytic hierarchy process

    could be used in assessing the implications of the criteria.

    86

    SCM - Inventory Management Issues

    Manufacturers would like to produce in large lot sizes

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    Manufacturers would like to produce in large lot sizes

    because it is more cost effective to do so. The problem,however, is that producing in large lots does not allow for

    flexibility in terms of product mix.

    Retailers find benefits in ordering large lots such as

    quantity discounts and more than enough safety stock. The downside is that ordering/producing large lots can

    result in large inventories of products that are currently not

    in demand while being out of stock for items that are in

    demand.

    87

    SCM - Inventory Management Issues

    Ordering/producing in large lots can also increase the safety

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    Ordering/producing in large lots can also increase the safety

    stock of suppliers and its corresponding carrying cost. Itcan also create whats called the bullwhip effect.

    The bullwhip effectis the phenomenon of orders and

    inventories getting progressively larger (more variable)

    moving backwards through the supply chain. This isillustrated graphically on the next slide.

    88

    SCM - Inventory Management Issues

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    Order

    Size

    Time

    Source: Tom Mc Guffry, Electronic Commerce and Value Chain Management, 1998

    CustomerDemand

    Retailer OrdersDistributor Orders

    Production Plan

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    SCM - Inventory Management Issues

    Some of the causes of variability that leads to the bullwhip

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    Some of the causes of variability that leads to the bullwhip

    effectincludes: Demand forecasting Many firms use the min-max inventory

    policy. This means that when the inventory level falls to the reorder

    point (min) an order is placed to bring the level back to the max, or

    the order-up-to-level. As more data are observed, estimates of the

    mean and standard deviation of customer demand are updated. Thisleads to changes in the safety stock and order-up-to level, and

    hence, the order quantity. This leads to variability.

    Lead time As lead time increases, safety stocks are increased, and

    order quantities are increased. More variability.

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    SCM - Inventory Management Issues

    Batch ordering. Many firms use batch ordering such as with a

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    min-max inventory policy. Their suppliers then see a large order

    followed by periods of no orders followed by another large order.This pattern is repeated such that suppliers see a highly variable

    pattern of orders.

    Price fluctuation. If prices to retailers fluctuate, then they may try

    to stock up when prices are lower, again leading to variability.

    Inflated orders. When retailers expect that a product will be in

    short supply, they will tend to inflate orders to insure that they will

    have ample supply to meet customer demand. When the shortage

    period comes to an end, the retailer goes back to the smaller orders,

    thus causing more variability.

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    SCM - Inventory Management Issues

    How then can we cope with the bullwhip effect?

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    Centralizing demand information occurs when customerdemand information is available to all members of the

    supply chain. This information can be used to better predict

    what products and volumes are needed and when they are

    needed such that manufacturers can better plan forproduction. However, even though centralizing demand

    information can reduce the bullwhip effect, it will not

    eliminate it. Therefore, other methods are needed to cope

    with the bullwhip effect.

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    SCM - Inventory Management Issues

    Methods for coping with the bullwhip effectinclude:

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    p g p ff

    Reducing uncertainty. This can be accomplished by centralizingdemand information.

    Reducing variability. This can be accomplished by using a

    technique made popular by WalMartand thenHome Depotcalled

    everyday low pricing(EDLP). EDLP eliminates promotions as well

    as the shifts in demand that accompany them. Reducing lead time. Order times can be reduced by using EDI

    (electronic data interchange).

    Strategic partnerships. The use of strategic partnerships can

    change how information is shared and how inventory is managed

    within the supply chain. These will be discussed later.

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    SCM - Inventory Management Issues

    Other helpful techniques for improving inventory

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    management include:

    Cross-docking. This involves unloading goods arriving from a

    supplier and immediately loading these goods onto outbound trucks

    bound for various retailer locations. This eliminates storage at the

    retailers inbound warehouse, cuts the lead time, and has been used

    very successfully by WalMartandXeroxamong others.

    Delayed differentiation. This involves adding differentiating

    features to standard products late in the process. For example,

    Bennetton decided to make all of their wool sweaters in undyed

    yarn and then dye the sweaters when they had more accurate

    demand data. Another term for delayed differentiationispostponement.

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    SCM - Inventory Management Issues

    Direct shipping. This allows a firm to ship directly to customers

    th th th h t il Thi h li i t t i th

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    rather than through retailers. This approach eliminates steps in the

    supply chain and reduces lead time. Reducing one or more steps inthe supply chain is known as disintermediation. Companies such as

    Delluse this approach.

    95

    SCM - Strategic Partnering

    Strategic partnering(SP) is when two or more firms that

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    have complementary products or services join such thateach may realize a strategic benefit. Types of strategic

    partnering include:

    Quick response,

    Continuous replenishment,

    Advanced continuous replenishment, and

    Vendor managed inventory (VMI)

    96

    SCM - Strategic Partnering

    In quick responseSP vendors receive point-of-sales (POS)

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    data from retailers. The data are then used to synchronizeproduction and inventory management at the supplier.

    Although the retailer still prepares and submits individual

    orders to the supplier, the POS data is used to improve

    forecasting and scheduling.

    In continuous replenishmentSP vendors again receive POS

    data and use them to prepare shipments at previously agreed

    to intervals as well as to maintain agreed to inventory

    levels. This approach is used by WalMart.

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    SCM - Strategic Partnering

    In advanced continuous replenishmentSP suppliers will

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    gradually decrease inventory levels at the retailers locationas long as they can still meet service levels. The result is

    that inventory level are continuously improved. Kmartuses

    this approach.

    In vendor managed inventorySP the supplier will decide onthe appropriate inventory levels for each of the products it

    supplies and the appropriate inventory policies to maintain

    these levels. One of the best examples of this is the SP

    between WalMartandProctor & Gamble. (See summary

    on next slide.)

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    SCM - Strategic Partnering

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    Criteria

    Types

    Decision

    Maker

    Inventory

    Ownership

    New Skills

    Employed by vendors

    Quick

    Response

    Retailer Retailer Forecasting Skills

    Continuous

    Replenishment

    Contractually Agreed to Levels Either

    Party

    Forecasting & Inventory Control

    Advanced

    Continuous

    Replenishment

    Contractually agreed to & Continuously

    Improved Levels

    Either

    Party

    Forecasting & Inventory Control

    VMI Vendor Either

    Party

    Retail

    Management

    Source: Simchi-Levi, Kaminsky & Simchi-Levi, Irwin McGraw Hill, 2000

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    SCM - Strategic Partnering

    Requirements for an effective SP include:

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    Advanced information systems, Top management commitment, and

    Mutual trust

    Steps in SP implementation include:

    Contractual negotiations Ownership

    Credit terms

    Ordering decisions

    Performance measures

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    SCM - Strategic Partnering

    Develop or integrate information systems

    Develop effective forecasting techniques

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    Develop effective forecasting techniques

    Develop a tactical decision support tool to assist in coordinating

    inventory management and transportation policies

    Advantages of SP include:

    Fully utilize system knowledge

    Decrease required inventory levels

    Improve service levels

    Decrease work duplication

    Improve forecasts

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    SCM - Strategic Partnering

    Disadvantages of SP include:

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    Expensive technology is required Must develop supplier/retailer trust

    Supplier responsibility increases

    Expenses at the supplier also often increase

    Third party logistics(3PL) involves the use of an outside

    company to perform part or all of a firms materials

    management and product distribution function.

    Examples of companies that provide 3PL includeRyder Dedicated

    LogisticsandJ.B. Hunt.

    Examples of companies that use 3PL include 3M,Dow Chemical,Kodakand Sears.

    102