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1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President Miller and Lents, Ltd. Russian Oil & Gas Reserve Definitions
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1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

Mar 31, 2015

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Page 1: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

1

Presented at the

Annual Meeting of theSociety of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers

Santa Fe, New MexicoJune 13-16, 2009

George Schaefer

Senior Vice President

Miller and Lents, Ltd.

Russian Oil & Gas Reserve Definitions

Page 2: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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Russia

Page 3: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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Russian Oil & Gas Reserves

1. Russia has been and will continue to be a strategic resource to world economies.

2. How do Russian authorities define petroleum reserves?

3. How do their definitions compare with the West (SPE and SEC)?

Page 4: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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World Proved Oil Reserves as ofJanuary 1, 2008

(Billion Barrels) Country Oil ReservesSaudi Arabia 266.8Canada 178.6Iran 138.4Iraq 115.0Kuwait 104.0United Arab Emirates 97.8Venezuela 87.0

Russia 79.0Libya 41.5Nigeria 36.2Kazakhstan 30.0United States 21.0China 16.0Qatar 15.2Algeria 12.2Brazil 12.2Mexico 11.7Angola 9.0Azerbaijan 7.0Norway 6.9Rest of World 46.5______________________World Total 1,332.0

Source: “World Factbook” by United States CIA

Page 5: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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World Natural Gas Reserves as ofJanuary 1, 2008

(Trillion Cubic Feet)

Country Gas Reserves % of World TotalWorld 6,186 100.0Top 20 Countries 5,606 90.6

Russia 1,680 27.2Iran 948 15.3Qatar 905 14.6Saudi Arabia 253 4.1United Arab Emirates 214 3.5United States 211 3.4Nigeria 184 3.0Venezuela 166 2.7Algeria 159 2.6Iraq 112 1.8Turkmenistan 100 1.6Kazakhstan 100 1.6Indonesia 94 1.5Malaysia 83 1.3China 80 1.3Norway 79 1.3Uzbekistan 65 1.1Egypt 59 0.9Canada 58 0.9Kuwait 56 0.9Rest of World 580 9.4

Source: “Worldwide Look at Reserves and Production,” Oil &Gas Journal, Vol. 105, No. 48 (December 24, 2007), pp. 24-25.

Page 6: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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Annual Russian Oil Production

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Years of Production

An

nu

al O

il P

rod

ucti

on

- t

ho

usa

nd

bar

rels

per

day

Source: United States Energy Information Administration

Page 7: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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Page 8: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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Page 9: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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Russian Oil & Gas Reserves

1. Russia has been and will continue to be a strategic resource to world economies.

2. How do Russian authorities define petroleum reserves?

3. How do their definitions compare with the West (SPE and SEC)?

Page 10: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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Russian Strategic Motivators

1. Respect / National Pride

2. National Security

3. Economic Recoverability

Page 11: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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Reserve Life Index

Reserve Life Index = Proved Reserves Production Rate

For Russia:Reserve Life Index = 23 on oil productionReserve Life Index = 74 on natural gas

For Western Companies:Reserve Life Index = 11

Page 12: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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Economic Recoverability

Page 13: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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Russian Proved Oil Reserves

Proved Undeveloped

36%Proved

Producing44%

Proved Nonproducing

20%

Page 14: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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Typical Russian Reservoir ModelAverage Reservoir Parameters

Permeability 69 md

Porosity 23.9 percent

Pay Thickness 8.1 meters

Oil Viscosity 1.647 cp

Water Viscosity 0.430 cp

Oil Saturation 0.59

Formation Volume Factor 1.178 reservoir barrels per stock tank barrel

Reservoir Temperature 1.65° F (74° C)

Initial Pressure 2,893 psi

Assumed Parameters

Residual Oil Saturation 0.25

Coefficient of Permeability Variation 0.75

Mobility Ratio 1.0

Injection Pressure 4,400 psi

Producing Pressure 1,000 psi

Distance Between Wells 500 meters

Model Area 4,000,000 m2 (400 hectares)

Model Original Oil in Place 25 million barrels

Page 15: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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Recovery Factor Correlation for Western Siberian Basin For Reservoirs with Greater Than 75% Depletion

Page 16: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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Russian Oil & Gas Reserves

1. Russia has been and will continue to be a strategic resource to world economies.

2. How do Russian authorities define petroleum reserves?

3. How do their definitions compare with the West (SPE and SEC)?

Page 17: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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Russian approach to reserve classification recognizes the natural progression of resource identification, delineation and conversion to reserves. Resources and reserves are classified by where a reservoir, field, or region is located within this sequence of events.

Category ID Activity

D2 - Regional Analysis

D1 - Regional Exploration

C3 - Prospect Identification / Wildcat Drilling

C2 - New Field Discovery / Infield Exploration

C1 - Delineation Drilling

B - Development Plan

A - Production

Page 18: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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Russian Reserves Classifications

Page 19: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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Comparison of Russian Reserve Definitions With Western Standards

Page 20: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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Russian Federation Classification Scheme

Page 21: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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Russian & Western Classification of Reserves

Russia

West(SPE, SEC)

Technical recoverability

Commercial recoverability

Key Criteria

• Geophysical and geological exploration completed

• Proved by exploration and production operations

• Commercially viable

• Geophysical and geological exploration completed

• Proved by drilling

• Projected commercial viability

• Geophysical & geological exploration completed

• Minimum drilling data available

• Paper estimates are partially proven

• Assumed to be existent based on presence of favorable data, structures and analogs

• Geological and engineering (or production) data available to fully prove commercial viability of development 1)

• Studies not fully completed, namely:

• Well explored producing adjacent areas

• Unexplored areas analog to explored properties

• Commercially viable in existing economic and technological environment

• Assumed to be existent in:

• Unexplored areas based on analog data from similar fields

• Assumed to be commercially viable in existing economic and technological environment

1) SPE and SEC classification of proved reserves slightly differs as SEC ‘proven reserve’ requirements are more stringent (offset rule) resulting in more conservative estimates

А В С1 + С2 D

Proved Probable Possible

Proved Possible

30% С1 70% С1

Probable

Page 22: 1 Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers Santa Fe, New Mexico June 13-16, 2009 George Schaefer Senior Vice President.

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Russian Oil & Gas ReservesConclusions

1. Russia will continue to be a major energy supplier in the globalization of world economies.

2. Russian authorities define petroleum reserves as best illustrated using the McKelvey Box.

3. Russia is a strong competitor and formidable adversary with abundant supply of natural resources and a talented, educated work force.