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1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future
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1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Page 1: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

1

Prepared for

Technology Awareness Forum

January 19, 2005

Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future

Page 2: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

2

Agenda

Venture Capital Industry Funding Environment for Nanotech

Is the VC Industry Interested in Nanotech Venture Firms Investing in the Category

What Venture Capitalists Look for Capturing the Attention of Venture Investors Summary

Page 3: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

3

Venture Capital Industry

Page 4: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Venture Capital Investments($ in 000s)

Source: Thomson Venture Economics

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

$35,000

$40,000

$45,000

$50,000

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

Est. $20.0 B

~ ~

$54.5 B

$105.9 B

Page 5: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Uninvested Venture Capital“Overhang” still Significant

Source: SVB Estimates & Venture Economics

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Billio

ns

$53.4 Billion

Page 6: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Overhang AnalysisAvailable Cash/Investment Rate

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

High = 4.4x

Low = 0.6x

Median = 2.2x

Mean = 2.4x

Cur

rent

Ove

rhan

g / E

xpec

ted

Inve

stm

ent

Page 7: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Capital Raised by Venture Funds

$-

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

Fund Raising(millions)

$3,700 $10,500 $17,000

2002 2003 2004(e)

Page 8: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Early-Stage as a % of All Venture Capital

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Minnesota U.S.

Page 9: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Venture Capital and Nanotechnology

Page 10: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Deals / Companies / VC Firms2001 - 2004

0

20

40

60

80

100

2001 2002 2003 2004

No. Of Deals No.Of Company No.Of Firm

Page 11: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Avg. per Deal / Company / VC Firm2001 -2004

0

2

4

6

8

10

2001 2002 2003 2004Average Per Deal Average Per Company Average Per Firm

($'s in Millions)

Page 12: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Nanotech Investments by VCs2001 - 2004

247.3 31%

166.32 21%

179.3 22%

205.04 26%

2001 2002 2003 2004

Total Investments = 798.4 millions

Page 13: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Good News

$200 Million Annually

Page 14: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Not So Good News

Only 1% of Venture Investments

Page 15: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Federal Funding Nano R&D

$116M in 1997to

$961M in 2004

An 8x Increase….

Page 16: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Leading Nanotech Investors

Draper Fisher (10 deals) Harris & Harris group (9) Ardesta/MEMS Tech (4) NGEN Partners

(NextGen Partners) (4) Sevin Rosen (4) Zero Stage (4)

Alloy Ventures (3) Arch Venture Partners (3) CB Health Ventures (3) Eastman Ventures (3) Morgenthaler (3) New Enterprise

Associates (3) SBV Venture Partners

(Sigefi, Burnette & Vallee) (3)

Page 17: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Top Ten > 25% of Market

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

No.Of Deal No.Of Company No.Of Firm

Total Top Ten Investment Total Investment

Page 18: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Top Ten Venture Investor vs.Industry Average

0

5

10

15

20

25

Average Per Deal Average PerCompany

Average Per Firm

Average Top Ten Investment Average Investment

($'s in Millions)

Page 19: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Which Way is the Wind Blowing?

Bulk of the Investments Tools

Distant Second Optics

Close Third Bio/Pharma; Materials; and, Solar/Power

Page 20: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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What Venture Capitalists Look For

Page 21: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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1954 Vision for Home Computer

Page 22: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Old User Experience

Page 23: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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New User ExperienceTop 10 Wired 40

Google Amazon.com Apple Computer Genentech eBay

Samsung Electronics Yahoo! Electronic Arts Pixar Cisco Systems

Page 24: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Mini Due Diligence ProcessIs it “Venture Capable”

Management Relevant domain expertise Fundable

Product/Service Explicit customer need Clear and compelling value

proposition (ROI)

 Market Size (> $100M) and

sustainable business drivers Target segment well defined

 Validation Customers, customers,

customers Maturity of the

distribution plan

 Deal Reasonable valuation and

terms Raising enough money to

hit meaningful milestones

Page 25: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Management

Page 26: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Investing In TalentFactors considered most important by investment professionals

(Weighted importance out of 100*)

Management Team

Market Sector

Business Model

Proprietary Product/Service

37

24

20

19

Source: Spencer Stuart/NVCA VC-backed Leadership survey

Page 27: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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“As a founder, think hardest about the team. Are these the people I want to

be in trouble with for the next 5, 10, 15 years of my life? Because as you

build a new business, one thing’s for sure: you will get into trouble.”

John Doerr, Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers

Page 28: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Product/Service

Page 29: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Sustaining vs. Disruptive Technologies

Sustaining Technology Foster improved product performance

Disruptive Technology Bring to the market a very different value

proposition

The Innovator’s Dilemma – Clayton Christensen

Page 30: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Sustaining vs. Disruptive Technologies

Sustaining Technology Improves

performance along an existing utility curve

A

BSustaining Technology

Cost

Performance

Page 31: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Sustaining vs. Disruptive Technologies

Disruptive Technology Moves the market to

new utility curve

A

Disruptive Technology

B

Cost

Performance

Page 32: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Market

Page 33: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Market Characteristics

Worth Winning $250 million

Sustainable Drivers Y2k

Well Defined Subsegment

Page 34: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Validation

Page 35: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Seeing the FutureBeta Users, Customers and Distribution

Page 36: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Deal

Page 37: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Return Expectations

5-10x your investment

or

30%+ IRR

Page 38: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Sherpa Pocket Guide to Success

Quick Go vs. No Go Decision(4x in 5 Years = 32% IRR)

Page 39: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Summary

Page 40: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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“It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the

most intelligent; it is the one that is most adaptable to change.”

Charles Darwin, British Naturalist

Page 41: 1 Prepared for Technology Awareness Forum January 19, 2005 Nanotechnology: A Look Into the Invisible Future.

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Sherpa Partners, LLCSherpa Partners, LLC5050 Lincoln Drive - Suite 490

Minneapolis, MN 55436

Rick Brimacombwww.sherpapartners.com

Direct: 952-942-1074Main: 952.942.1070