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1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor
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1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

Dec 19, 2015

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Page 1: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

1 (of 31)

IBUS 302: International Finance

Topic 11-Options Contracts

Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor

Page 2: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

2 (of 31)

Learning Objectives

1. Explain the basic characteristics of options (using stock options). ▪

2. Determine the value of a FX option at expiration.

3. Price European FX call options using the Black-Scholes model.▪

Page 4: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

4 (of 31)

Option Basics

An option gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a given quantity of an asset on (or before) a given date, at prices agreed upon today.

The buyer has the long position; the seller has the short position.

Roughly analogous to a forward contract with optional exercise by the buyer.

Page 5: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

5 (of 31)

Option Basics (cont’d)

Exercising the Option The act of buying or selling the underlying asset

Strike Price or Exercise Price Refers to the fixed price in the option contract at

which the holder can buy or sell the underlying asset.

Expiry (Expiration Date) The maturity date of the option

Page 6: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

6 (of 31)

Option Basics (cont’d)

European versus American options European options exercised only at expiry. American options exercised at any time up to expiry.

In-the-Money Exercising the option would result in a positive payoff.

At-the-Money Exercising the option would result in a zero payoff.

Out-of-the-Money Exercising the option would result in a negative payoff.

Premium The Price paid for the option.

Page 7: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

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Call Options

Call options gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy a given quantity of some asset on or before some time in the future, at prices agreed upon today.

Payoff: C = Max[ST – E, 0]

Page 8: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

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Call Option Payoffs (at expiration)

–20

12020 40 60 80 100

20

40

60

Stock price ($)

Op

tio

n p

ayo

ffs

($)

Buy a

cal

l

Exercise price = $50

50

Page 9: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

9 (of 31)

Put Options

Put options gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to sell a given quantity of an asset on or before some time in the future, at prices agreed upon today.

Payoff: P = Max[E – ST, 0]

Page 10: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

10 (of 31)

Put Option Payoffs (at expiration)

–20

0 20 40 60 80 100

20

0

40

60

Stock price ($)

Op

tio

n p

ayo

ffs

($)

Buy a put

Exercise price = $50

50

50

Page 11: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

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Selling Options

The seller receives the option premium in exchange.

The seller of an option accepts a liability, i.e., the obligation if buyer exercises the option.

Unlike forward contracts, option contracts are not symmetric between buyer and seller.

Page 12: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

12 (of 31)

Call Option Payoffs (at expiration)

–20

12020 40 60 80 100

20

40

60

Stock price ($)

Op

tio

n p

ayo

ffs

($)

Sell a call

Exercise price = $50

50

Page 13: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

13 (of 31)

Put Option Payoffs (at expiration)

–20

0 20 40 60 80 100

–40

20

0

40

–50

Stock price ($)

Op

tio

n p

ayo

ffs

($)

Sell a put

Exercise price = $50

50

Page 14: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

FX Options (versus Stock Options)

Underlying Asset: The Forward Rate Each option gives you the right to exchange a

certain amount of one currency for another. Exercise Price is an FX Rate Risk Free Rate

Rate for the domestic currency Premium is priced in the domestic currency. The FX Black-Scholes formula is slightly

different from the one used for stock options.14 (of 31)

Page 15: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

15 (of 31)

Valuing FX Options

Two questions:1. What is the value of an option at expiration?

2. What is the value of an option prior to expiration? Two answers:

1. Relatively easy and we have done it.

2. A much more interesting (and difficult) question.

Page 16: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

Value at Expiration

Call C = Max[ST($/x) – E, 0]

Put P = Max[E – ST($/x), 0]

Note: ST($/x) is the FX spot rate at expiration, i.e., time T.

16 (of 31)

Page 17: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

Value Prior to Expiration

Issues: ST($/x) is not known.

E[ST($/x)] Probability known Assume normal distribution

Solution Calculate E[Max[ST($/x) – E, 0]] We use FT($/x) to estimate E[ST($/x)]

17 (of 31)

Page 18: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

Data

FT($/x) = Forward Rate at T E = Exercise Rate i$ = Dollar Risk Free Rate (Annual)s = Volatility of the Forward Rate (Annual) T = Time to Expiration (Years)

18 (of 31)

Page 19: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

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Sensitivities What happens to the call premium

if the following increase?

Forward Rate

Exercise Rate

Risk Free Rate

Volatility

Time to Expiration ▪

↑ ▪

Page 20: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

20 (of 31)

Prince and Time

Page 21: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

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The FX Black-Scholes Model $-i T

T 1 2C = F $/x N(d ) - EN(d ) e

C = Call Price (in dollars)FT($/x) = Forward Rate at TE = Exercise Ratei$ = Dollar Risk Free Rates = Volatility of the Forward RateT = Time to ExpirationN( ) = Standard Normal Distributione = the exponential

T 2

1

F $/x 1ln + σ T

E 2d =

σ T

2 1d = d - σ T

Page 22: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

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The FX Black-Scholes Model: Example

Find the value of a three-month call option: F3($/£) = 1.7278 Exercise Rate = 1.7.00 Risk free interest rate available in the US (i$) = 4% Annual forward rate volatility = 11% Time to expiration = 0.25 (= 3/12 months)

Page 23: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

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The Black-Scholes Model

First, calculate d1 and d2

T 2

1

F $/x 1ln + σ T

E 2d =

σ T

2 1d = d - σ T = 0.3224 - 0.11 .25 = 0.2674

2

1

1.7278 1ln + 0.11 .25

1.7000 2d = = 0.3224

0.11 .25

Page 24: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

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The Black-Scholes Model

d1 =0.3224 N(d1) = N(0.3224) = 0.6264

d2 =0.2674 N(d2) = N(0.2674) = 0.6054

$-i TT 1 2C = F $/x N(d ) - EN(d ) e

-.04 .25C = $1.7278 0.6264 - 1.7000 0.6054 e

C = $0.0526

The find C

Page 25: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

Standard Normal Distribution

25 (of 31)

x 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.06 -0.07 -0.08 -0.09 x 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.090.00 0.5000 0.4960 0.4920 0.4880 0.4840 0.4801 0.4761 0.4721 0.4681 0.4641 0.00 0.5000 0.5040 0.5080 0.5120 0.5160 0.5199 0.5239 0.5279 0.5319 0.5359

-0.10 0.4602 0.4562 0.4522 0.4483 0.4443 0.4404 0.4364 0.4325 0.4286 0.4247 0.10 0.5398 0.5438 0.5478 0.5517 0.5557 0.5596 0.5636 0.5675 0.5714 0.5753-0.20 0.4207 0.4168 0.4129 0.4090 0.4052 0.4013 0.3974 0.3936 0.3897 0.3859 0.20 0.5793 0.5832 0.5871 0.5910 0.5948 0.5987 0.6026 0.6064 0.6103 0.6141-0.30 0.3821 0.3783 0.3745 0.3707 0.3669 0.3632 0.3594 0.3557 0.3520 0.3483 0.30 0.6179 0.6217 0.6255 0.6293 0.6331 0.6368 0.6406 0.6443 0.6480 0.6517-0.40 0.3446 0.3409 0.3372 0.3336 0.3300 0.3264 0.3228 0.3192 0.3156 0.3121 0.40 0.6554 0.6591 0.6628 0.6664 0.6700 0.6736 0.6772 0.6808 0.6844 0.6879-0.50 0.3085 0.3050 0.3015 0.2981 0.2946 0.2912 0.2877 0.2843 0.2810 0.2776 0.50 0.6915 0.6950 0.6985 0.7019 0.7054 0.7088 0.7123 0.7157 0.7190 0.7224-0.60 0.2743 0.2709 0.2676 0.2643 0.2611 0.2578 0.2546 0.2514 0.2483 0.2451 0.60 0.7257 0.7291 0.7324 0.7357 0.7389 0.7422 0.7454 0.7486 0.7517 0.7549-0.70 0.2420 0.2389 0.2358 0.2327 0.2296 0.2266 0.2236 0.2206 0.2177 0.2148 0.70 0.7580 0.7611 0.7642 0.7673 0.7704 0.7734 0.7764 0.7794 0.7823 0.7852

Standard Normal Distribution Table, N(x), for x > 0

Find x in the bold row and column, N(x) is the value at the intersection.

This is a partial table. There is also a table for x < 0.

Table values are only approximate.

Page 26: 1 (of 31) IBUS 302: International Finance Topic 11-Options Contracts Lawrence Schrenk, Instructor.

Black-Scholes Reminders

Time is stated in years, so it is normally less than 1.

In the formula for d1, you need variance (s2) in the numerator, but standard deviation (s) in the denominator.

In the data, volatility can be given as either variance or standard deviation.

d1 and d2 can be positive or negative, but C is always positive.

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