1 Making Reform Matter A Data Walk Making Reform Matter A Data Walk UDLN May 22, 2013 Uri Treisman The Charles A. Dana Center at The University of Texas.

1

Making Reform Matter

A Data Walk

UDLN May 22, 2013

Uri TreismanThe Charles A. Dana Center

at The University of Texas at Austin

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300

350

400

450

500

550

Ave

rag

e S

cale

Sco

re

U.S.A.

Source: NCES, PISA 2006 Results, http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/pisa/

Higher than U.S. average Not measurably different from U.S. average Lower than U.S. average

PISA 2006 Mathematics

USA ranked 25th out of 30 OECD countries

Source: Michael Marder, 2013; from PSID, CNEF, UNICEF, PISA datasets.

Source: Michael Marder, 2013; from PSID, CNEF, UNICEF, PISA datasets.

Pisa and Poverty --Reading

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Other Countries’ Average Scale Score MathPerformance on 8th Grade TIMSS Comparedwith the U.S.

Source: Data taken from the Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS), accessed Jan 10, 2013 at http://nces.ed.gov/timss/index.asp. Computations of categories by the Charles A. Dana Center.

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1999 2003 2007 20110

10

20

30

40

50

60

1725

3728

7

11

6

814

95

6 Higher than the U.S.

Same as the U.S.

Lower than the U.S.

Nu

mb

er o

f C

ou

ntr

ies

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Mathematics Achievement at the 8th Grade (TIMSS 2011)Average scale score by country

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Korea, Rep. of 613 Slovenia 505   Lebanon 449

Singapore 611 Hungary 505   Abu Dhabi-UAE 449

Chinese Taipei-CHN 609 Australia 505   Malaysia 440

Hong Kong-CHN 586 Alberta-CAN 505   Georgia 431

Japan 570 Lithuania 502   Thailand 427

Massachusetts-USA 561 TIMSS scale average 500   Macedonia, Rep. of 426

Minnesota-USA 545 Italy 498   Tunisia 425

Russian Federation 539 California-USA 493   Chile 416

North Carolina-USA 537 New Zealand 488   Iran, Islamic Rep. of 415

Quebec-CAN 532 Kazakhstan 487   Qatar 410

Indiana-USA 522 Sweden 484   Bahrain 409

Connecticut-USA 518 Ukraine 479   Jordan 406

Colorado-USA 518 Dubai-UAE 478   Palestinian Nat'l Auth. 404

Israel 516 Norway 475   Saudi Arabia 394

Finland 514 Armenia 467   Indonesia 386

Florida-USA 513 Alabama-USA 466   Syrian Arab Republic 380

Ontario-CAN 512 Romania 458   Morocco 371

United States 509 United Arab Emirates 456   Oman 366

England-GBR 507 Turkey 452   Ghana 331

Source: Data taken from the Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS), accessed Jan 10, 2013 at http://nces.ed.gov/timss/index.asp. Data display by the Charles A. Dana Center.

8 8

Science Achievement at the 8th Grade (TIMSS 2011)Average scale score by country

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Singapore 590 Ontario-CAN 521   Chile 461

Massachusetts-USA 567 Quebec-CAN 520   Abu Dhabi-UAE 461

Chinese Taipei-CHN 564 Australia 519   Bahrain 452

Korea, Rep. of 560 Israel 516   Thailand 451

Japan 558 Lithuania 514   Jordan 449

Minnesota-USA 553 New Zealand 512   Tunisia 439

Finland 552 Sweden 509   Armenia 437

Alberta-CAN 546 Italy 501   Saudi Arabia 436

Slovenia 543 Ukraine 501   Malaysia 426

Russian Federation 542 TIMSS scale average 500   Syrian Arab Republic 426

Colorado-USA 542 California-USA 499   Palestinian Nat'l Auth. 420

Hong Kong-CHN 535 Norway 494   Georgia 420

England-GBR2 533 Kazakhstan 490   Oman 420

Indiana-USA 533 Alabama-USA 485   Qatar 419

Connecticut-USA 532 Dubai-UAE 485   Macedonia, Rep. of 407

North Carolina-USA 532 Turkey 483   Lebanon 406

Florida-USA 530 Iran, Islamic Rep. of 474   Indonesia 406

United States 525 Romania 465   Morocco 376

Hungary 522 United Arab Emirates 465   Ghana 306

Source: Data taken from the Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS), accessed Jan 10, 2013 at http://nces.ed.gov/timss/index.asp. Data display by the Charles A. Dana Center.

Bachelor’s attainment for high-income young people is 68 points higher than

for low-income youth.

Source: “Bachelor’s Degree Attainment by Age 24 by Family Income Quartiles, 1970 to 2010.” Graphic: The Education Trust

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NAEP Math: Grade 4

*Accommodations not permittedSource: NAEP Data Explorer, NCES (Proficient Scale Score = 249)

Graphic: The Education Trust

National Public – Grade 8 NAEP Math

*Accommodations not permitted

Source: NAEP Data Explorer, NCES (Proficient Scale Score = 299)

Source:

Scale Scores by State – Low-Income Students

NAEP Data Explorer, NCES (Proficient Scale Score = 299)

Source:

Scale Scores by State – Higher Income Students

NAEP Data Explorer, NCES (Proficient Scale Score = 299)

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8th Grade Hispanic – Proficient

19% 23%10%

Note: Basic Scale Score = 243; Proficient Scale Score = 281Chart Source: Education Trust, 2011 NAEP TUDA ResultsData Source: NAEP Data Explorer, NCES

Urban Math PerformanceLatino students

220

230

240

250

260

270

280

290

300

Aver

age

Scal

e Sc

ore

Grade 8 – NAEP Math (2011)

Source: NCES, “Eighth-Grade Algebra: Findings from the Eighth-Grade Round of the Early Childhood Longitudinal Study, Kindergarten Class of 1998-99 (ECLS-K)” (2010), graph by Education Trust.

African-American students with strong math performance in the fifth grade are less likely to be placed in eighth grade algebra than are their

peers

Math classes at high-poverty, high-minority secondary schools are more likely to be taught by

out-of-field* teachers.

Note: High-poverty school: 55 percent or more of the students are eligible for free/reduced-price lunch. Low-poverty school :15 percent or fewer of the students are eligible for free/reduced-price lunch. High-minority school: 78 percent or more of the students are black, Hispanic, American Indian or Alaskan Native, Asian or Pacific Islander. Low-minority school : 12 percent or fewer of the students are non-white students. *Teachers with neither certification nor major. Data for secondary-level core academic classes (math, science, social studies, English) across the U.S. Source: Education Trust Analysis of 2007-08 Schools and Staffing Survey data.

Source: Michael Marder, 2012.

Source: Michael Marder, 2012.

Now, instead of being the “land of opportunity,” the U.S. has one of lowest rates of intergenerational mobility.

United Kingdom

U.S. France Germany Sweden Canada Finland Norway Denmark0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.5 0.470.41

0.32 0.270.19 0.18 0.17 0.15

Earn

ings

Ela

stici

ty

Cross-country examples of the link between father and son wages

Source: Tom Hertz, “Understanding Mobility in America” (Washington, D.C.: Center for American Progress, 2006). Graph by Education Trust.