1 Luxembourg Foresight Phase 2 Aims, Process Expected Output Anette Braun / Karlheinz Steinmüller.

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Luxembourg ForesightPhase 2

Aims, ProcessExpected Output

Anette Braun / Karlheinz Steinmüller

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Content

• About us

• Aims and Idea

• Schedule and Methods

• Workshops and Reports

• Expected Output and Results

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About VDI- Future Technologies Division www.zukuenftigetechnologien.de

FTD (German: ZTC) of the German

Association of Engineers is active at the

interface of the academic world, politics and

industry and strongly involved in European and

(inter)national foresight activities and

metaanalyses of foresight issues:

•European Science and Technology Observatory, •European Techno-Economic Policy Support Network,•the European Foresight Monitoring Network,•Regional Foresight in German border Regions, •Regional Foresight Guide for Germany, Enlargement Futures, •European Prospective Analyses 2020; •EUROFORE, European Foresight Mapping Pilot Project, •and many more...

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About Z_punkt The Foresight Company www.z-punkt.de

Z_punkt• independent think tank and consultancy• founded in 1997• offices at Essen, Karlsruhe & BerlinClients: • mainly major German corporations like

Deutsche Telekom, BASF, Volkswagen, BMW, RWE, Siemens, GlaxoSmithKline

• German Ministries (Bund & Länder), European Commission

Recent projects include a contribution to Platform Foresight 2003-01-3 of the European Commission “Emerging science and technology priorities in public research policies of the European countries, the US and Japan”.

Networks:• German Node of Millennium Project of the UN

University• Advisory Board of Finland Futures Academy• Collège Européen de Prospective Territoriale

de la DIACT (France)• European Energy Technology Foresight

Network EFOnet

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Aims and Idea of Luxembourg Foresight

• AimsAims Identification of a limited number of national priorities in public research

(promising topics with future RTD potential)

Identify how public research can address needs and demands of public, business,

and society.

• Idea: Idea: Based on the input from Phase I:

For each of the 6 fields identified in phase 1, an expert panel will meet twice in

phase 2 of the Foresight

provide thematic input papers for each workshop

prepare and facilitate the workshops

provide for the workshops´ output

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Schedule

10/06 11/06 12/06 01/07 03/0702/07

LaunchEvent

Stake-holder

WS

WS_1

WS_2

Question-naire

Documentations

Interim Report

Final Report

Documentations

InputPapers

Taking stock of L. researchIdentify challenges for L. economy & society

Develop future visions:Realistic goals for L. research

Research prioritiesImplementation issues

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Methods

Desk Research Desk Research (on basis of Phase I input and additional analyses(on basis of Phase I input and additional analyses):):

State-of-the-art of the thematic fields

Description of national and international context

Definition of priority domains and their specific issues (technology performance matrix)

Assessment of priority domains along key user oriented axes (society, industry/business,

RTD)

Assessment of priority domains against implementation/application feasibility (drivers and

obstacles)

Description of Research Priorities along (converging) domains

First draft SWOT analysis: Strengths – Weaknesses – Opportunities –Threats

6 expert panels 6 expert panels (interactive expert input from WS):(interactive expert input from WS):

Definition of needs and demands of Luxembourg public/business/society

Refinement of SWOT analysis

Possible and realistic goals (“vision”) within a 10 years time horizon

Tentative prioritisation and Selection of Research Priorities

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Six Panels to Thematic Fields

Six thematic field(established in Phase 1)

• Environmental Sciences

• Information and Communication

Technologies

• Physical Sciences and Engineering

• Law, Economy and Finance

• Life Sciences

• Social Sciences and Humanities

Panel composition

broad range of expertise on various aspects of the pertaining policy questions

• Researchers from L. public

research

• Researchers from L. companies

• Stakeholders outside the public

sector research community

• International experts

• Chair / Vice-Chair

• FNR supervisor

• Facilitators

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Ecology

Politics

Technology

Economy

Agenda Stakeholder WS: “Luxembourg Demands”Agenda

• Opening: Aims, Methodology

• Plenary session: Main challenges for Luxembourg

• Breakout session: Analyse aspects of main challenges

• Plenary session: Presentation and discussion of breakout session resultsDemands of Luxembourg society and business

Results

• Main challenges for Luxembourg public / business / society with link to national policy context

Challenges for Luxembourg

SocietyImpacts of Ageing: .......

Migration Issues: .....

Healthcare.....

.....

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Concept of the Input Papers

The Input Paper gives a state-of-the-art of the thematic field within the national and international context as derived from baseline report and OECD innovation study. It will serve as background documentation for the first set of expert workshops to be held in November and December 2006 (WS_1).

1. Definition and national context of the thematic field (state-of-the-art)

2. Definition of priority domains and their specific issues (technology performance matrix)

3. Assessment of priority domains along key user oriented axes (society, industry/business, RTD)

4. Assessment of priority domains against implementation/application feasibility (drivers and obstacles)

5. International context and competition level

6. Outlook: Inspirational Statements and Questions

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Agenda WS_1: “From Challenges to Lead Visions” Agenda

• Input presentation: results of questionnaire & thematic field matrix

• Luxembourg needs and demands: Stakeholder views (from stakeholder WS)

• Brainstorming: SWOT analysis – identification of bottlenecks

• Future vision: brainstorming on “headlines 2016” (working groups)

• Prioritisation on the level of thematic field and sub-domains

Results (per thematic field)

• SWOT matrix for thematic field

• Realistic goal (vision) for thematic field and sub-domains

• Tentative prioritisation

Strengths Weaknesses

Options Threats

ICT research in LUX

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Concept of the Interim Report

The Interim report is based on thematic field analyses and results of the first expert workshop WS_1. It gives an overall SWOT analysis for Luxembourg and a ranking of the related priority domains with future potential.

It will serve as background documentation for the second set of expert workshops to be held in January and February 2007 (WS_2).

• Definition and bounding of the domain(s)

• National and international context

• Needs and demands of Luxembourg public/business/society

• SWOT analysis

• Possible and realistic goals (“vision”) within a 10 years time horizon

• Tentative prioritisation

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Agenda WS_2: “Prioritisation & Implementation Issues” Agenda

• Input: Results of other panels (summary) / Interim report / overall SWOT

• Definition of Research Priorities

• Development of elements for a road map of the thematic field

• Selection of research priorities

Results (per thematic field)

• Research priorities

• Ideas for implementation issues and funding instruments

Sub-Goal /

Measure

Relevance Feasibility

Secure Software for VoIP-Banking

+ ++

ICT/ Domain Telecommunications

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Expected Results

Identification of a limited number of priorities in public research

(promising topics with future RTD potential where budget increase is

necessary)

Identification how public research can address needs and demands of

public, business, and society.

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Expected Outputs in the Final Report

The Final Report will focus the research priorities as derived from the previous work (reports and workshops).

It shall integrate the users perspective and the application orientation.

(A consolidated version of the interim report will be integrated.)

• Methodology

• Overview of Research Priorities- Definition of Research Priorities along users requirements - Definition of Research Priorities along (converging) domains

• Potential Priority axes (roadmap) for Luxembourg

• Description of national and international policy context (Lisbon etc)

• Implementation issues

• General conclusions

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Thank you very much

for your attention